Tuesday, September 22 β games and opportunities
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Best gameβΎοΈ MLBGame 1Playoff race10:05 AM PT
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Not enough of NHL playing today to name a best game fairly.
Filtered to Blue Jays @ OriolesClear
36 opportunities in this game
100
Chris Bassitt
5+ Hits Allowed
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
6.3 hits per start over last 6
Main risk
Hits allowed depends heavily on opponent and batted-ball luck
Last 68685656/6
96
Max Scherzer
4 or fewer Strikeouts
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
3.8 K per start over last 6
Main risk
Strikeout totals swing with the opposing lineup and pitch count
Last 614102335/6
93
Chris Bassitt
5+ Strikeouts
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
5.3 K per start over last 6
Main risk
Strikeout totals swing with the opposing lineup and pitch count
Last 66546565/6
77
Max Scherzer
5 or fewer Hits Allowed
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
4.2 hits per start over last 6
Main risk
Hits allowed depends heavily on opponent and batted-ball luck
Last 65415735/6
72
Coby Mayo
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1011112030107/10
71
Gunnar Henderson
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1021111031038/10
71
Alejandro Kirk
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Faces Chris Bassitt, who allows hits 13% above league average
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1021102211219/10
70
Pete Alonso
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1001301110026/10
69
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Faces Chris Bassitt, who allows hits 13% above league average
Main risk
Recent hit rate has cooled
Last 1001140011117/10
67
Brett Bateman
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Faces Chris Bassitt, who allows hits 13% above league average
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1031012201107/10
64
Dylan Beavers
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Ice cold β 1 hit in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1022020001004/10
62
George Springer
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Faces Chris Bassitt, who allows hits 13% above league average
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1022211100027/10
62
Kazuma Okamoto
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Faces Chris Bassitt, who allows hits 13% above league average
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1021111011119/10
56
Andres Gimenez
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Faces Chris Bassitt, who allows hits 13% above league average
Main risk
Recent plate-appearance volume is limited
Last 1011021100117/10
54
Nathan Lukes
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Faces Chris Bassitt, who allows hits 13% above league average
Main risk
Recent plate-appearance volume is limited
Last 1011011100217/10
54
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
Last 1030112300016/10
44
Eloy Jimenez
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Faces Chris Bassitt, who allows hits 13% above league average
Main risk
Recent plate-appearance volume is limited
Last 1002121100005/10
44
Leody Taveras
2+ Strikeouts
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
1.4 strikeouts per game over last 20
Main risk
Faces a low-strikeout starter (16% of batters faced) β the biggest single argument against this prop
44
Charles McAdoo
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Faces Chris Bassitt, who allows hits 13% above league average
Main risk
Recent hit rate has cooled
Last 1000101101015/10
43
Colton Cowser
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
Last 1001102012206/10
42
Brandon Valenzuela
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Faces Chris Bassitt, who allows hits 13% above league average
Main risk
Ice cold β 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1011000001115/10
38
Ernie Clement
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Faces Chris Bassitt, who allows hits 13% above league average
Main risk
Ice cold β 2 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1010010000103/10
38
Myles Straw
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Faces Chris Bassitt, who allows hits 13% above league average
Main risk
Recent plate-appearance volume is limited
Last 1000000220103/10
38
Samuel Basallo
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Ice cold β 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1001000210003/10
37
Leody Taveras
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
Last 1001200101105/10
32
Josh Smith
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Faces Chris Bassitt, who allows hits 13% above league average
Main risk
Ice cold β 2 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1000100100002/10
30
Lenyn Sosa
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Faces Chris Bassitt, who allows hits 13% above league average
Main risk
Ice cold β 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1001010000103/10
27
Christian Franklin
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Ice cold β 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1000200100002/10
27
Sean Keys
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Faces Chris Bassitt, who allows hits 13% above league average
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
Last 1000111000104/10
25
Carlos Narvaez
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
Last 1001000200103/10
22
Chadwick Tromp
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Ice cold β 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1002001000002/10
20
Rece Hinds
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
Last 1020000010103/10
20
Sam Huff
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Ice cold β 2 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1001100000002/10
19
Jeremiah Jackson
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Ice cold β 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1001101101005/10
18
Yohel Pozo
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Recent plate-appearance volume is limited
Last 1000110101015/10
15
Davis Schneider
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Faces Chris Bassitt, who allows hits 13% above league average
Main risk
Ice cold β 2 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1010000000012/10
Scores reflect recent player performance only. Opposing starter, park, weather, and bullpen are not modeled yet.