Connecticut Sun
10-33
4:30 PM PT
Washington Mystics
27-16
Brittney Griner
13.4 PPG · 5.7 REB · 2.4 AST
Shakira Austin
17.0 PPG · 9.3 REB · 2.6 AST
Game Script
Expect a defensive, grind-it-out battle. Sun (78.4 PPG) meet Mystics (83.7 PPG), with both defenses stingy.
The game likely turns on rebounding: Sun carry a -1.6 rebound margin, Mystics +7.4. Second-chance control leans Mystics.
Game Snapshot
Connecticut Sun
Last 50-5LLLLL
StreakL5
L5 scoring74.8points/game
L5 defense100.2allowed/game
Home7-15Road 3-18
Rest2dsince last game
Series1-23 played
Washington Mystics
Last 54-1WWLWW
StreakW2
L5 scoring91.8points/game
L5 defense80.4allowed/game
Home13-7Road 14-9
Rest2dsince last game
Series2-13 played
Team Identity
Connecticut Sun
Rim protection
Strong rim protection, though hampered by an inconsistent offense.
EliteWell Below11
Defensive DAverage56
Three-point shootingWell Below11
TransitionWell Below22
Paint-firstAverage56
Ball movementWell Below11
ReboundingAverage50
Rim protectionAbove Avg83
Washington Mystics
ReboundingDefensive-minded
A rebounding edge and a defensive identity, though hampered by a slower half-court style.
EliteBelow Avg28
Defensive DElite94
Three-point shootingWell Below25
TransitionWell Below17
Paint-firstAverage64
Ball movementBelow Avg33
ReboundingElite100
Rim protectionAverage50
Where the Game Will Be Won
Rebounding
Sun carry a -1.6 rebound margin, Mystics +7.4. Second-chance control leans Mystics.
Edge · MysticsSun: -1.6 margin, 8.9 OREBMystics: +7.4 margin, 10.1 OREBHigh confidence
Perimeter
Sun shoot 30% from three (5.9/gm); Mystics allow 33%. The three-point battle tilts toward Sun.
Edge · SunSun: 5.9 3PM at 30%Mystics allow 33% on threesHigh confidence
Paint
Sun score 23.0 two-point makes a game; Mystics protect the rim with 3.8 blocks. Interior control leans Sun.
Edge · SunSun: 23.0 2PT makesMystics: 3.8 blocks/gmHigh confidence
Turnovers
Sun average 13.7 turnovers, Mystics 14.9; steals (8.0 vs 5.7) add pressure. Ball security favors Sun.
Edge · SunSun: 13.7 TO / 8.0 STLMystics: 14.9 TO / 5.7 STLHigh confidence
Scoring Environment
Sun have averaged 167 combined points a game, Mystics 166. A higher-scoring environment favors Sun.
Edge · SunSun: 167 combined pts/gm (22nd pct)Mystics: 166 combined pts/gm (17th pct)High confidence
Players Who Shape Tonight
Brittney Griner
Connecticut Sun · C
13.4 PPG · 5.7 REB · 2.4 AST · 25 MIN
As Connecticut Sun's defensive anchor, Griner sets the tone for how they attack. Holding steady
Aneesah Morrow
Connecticut Sun · F
11.4 PPG · 8.9 REB · 1.6 AST · 23 MIN
As Connecticut Sun's rebounding presence, Morrow sets the tone for how they attack. Trending up
Shakira Austin
Washington Mystics · C
17.0 PPG · 9.3 REB · 2.6 AST · 29 MIN
As Washington Mystics's primary scorer, Austin sets the tone for how they attack. Trending down
Sonia Citron
Washington Mystics · G
16.5 PPG · 3.7 REB · 4.4 AST · 33 MIN
As Washington Mystics's primary scorer, Citron sets the tone for how they attack. Holding steady
Trending Players
Nell Angloma
Connecticut Sun
7.8 points over his last 5 (from 3.6).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 7.8p 4.0r 2.2aSeason: 3.6p 10.5 min
Georgia Amoore
Washington Mystics
12.8 points over his last 5 (from 6.1).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 12.8p 1.6r 4.0aSeason: 6.1p 22.6 min
Charlisse Leger-Walker
Connecticut Sun
11.2 points over his last 5 (from 6.5).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 11.2p 2.6r 5.0aSeason: 6.5p 23.3 min
Cotie McMahon
Washington Mystics
3.4 points over his last 5 (from 6.8).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 3.4p 1.4r 1.2aSeason: 6.8p 20.5 min
Michaela Onyenwere
Washington Mystics
7.0 points over his last 5 (from 9.2).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 7.0p 1.2r 1.2aSeason: 9.2p 25.7 min
Shakira Austin
Washington Mystics
Minutes down to 27.6 from 29.7.
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 17.2p 8.0r 2.8aSeason: 17.0p 29.7 min
Team Trends
Connecticut SunPoints89
Opp points101
3PT%54%
Rebounds27
Washington MysticsPoints93
Opp points77
3PT%50%
Rebounds37
Strongest Player Opportunities
100
Kiki Iriafen
10+ Rebounds
Washington Mystics
Why it stands out
28.2 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
100
Charlisse Leger-Walker
3+ Assists
Connecticut Sun
Why it stands out
Usable recent role at 24.6 minutes
No notable risk
100
Leila Lacan
3+ Assists
Connecticut Sun
Why it stands out
28.2 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
100
Sonia Citron
5+ Assists
Washington Mystics
Why it stands out
32.0 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
100
Kiki Iriafen
15+ Points
Washington Mystics
Why it stands out
28.2 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
100
Shakira Austin
15+ Points
Washington Mystics
Why it stands out
Usable recent role at 27.6 minutes
Main risk
Recent production is below the 10-game baseline
Based on games before 2026-09-22. Injuries, confirmed starters, rest/travel, and advanced ratings (pace, offensive/defensive rating) are not yet included.