Did the signals hold up?
Daily Results
Record
22–13
Hit rate
62.9%
Avg scorei
88
Graded35Void0Pending0Predictions35
62.9% today·roughly in line with the 30-day average (61.6%)·+20.4 pts over base, where 30 days runs +10.5 pts
Daily read
- A strong day. Against what this exact mix of props lands on its own, the slate ran +20.4 pts — ahead of the +10.5 pts the 30 days before it run. The bars were higher than usual (42% of these props land unprompted against 51% across that window), so the raw hit rate understates the day.
By market
MarketRecordHit ratevs baseAvg scorei
Batter Hits7–4 n=1163.6%+3.1 pts72
Points7–2 n=977.8%+39.2 pts99
Rebounds3–5 n=837.5%+7.1 pts94
Assists5–2 n=771.4%+38.5 pts91
Props
35 predictionsHighest-scored misses5 misses among the day's 10 strongest predictions
- 100Kiah StokesRebounds Over 7.5actual 7 reb
- 100Jonquel JonesRebounds Over 9.5actual 8 reb
- 100A'ja WilsonPoints Over 24.5actual 24 pts
Show
HITChelsea GrayLas Vegas Aces vs Valkyries · WNBAAssistsOver 4.51006 ast
Why this score?
- 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 5+ in 4/5
- Recent production is above the 10-game baseline
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
MISSKiah StokesGolden State Valkyries vs Aces · WNBAReboundsOver 7.51007 reb
Why this score?
- Usable recent role at 27.8 minutes
- Cleared 8+ in 4/5
- Recent production is above the 10-game baseline
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
HITBreanna StewartNew York Liberty vs Dream · WNBAPointsOver 19.510035 pts
Why this score?
- 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 20+ in 4/5
- Recent production is above the 10-game baseline
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
HITBreanna StewartNew York Liberty vs Dream · WNBAReboundsOver 7.510011 reb
Why this score?
- 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 8+ in 6/10
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
MISSJonquel JonesNew York Liberty vs Dream · WNBAReboundsOver 9.51008 reb
Why this score?
- 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 10+ in 4/5
- Recent production is above the 10-game baseline
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
HITJordin CanadaAtlanta Dream vs Liberty · WNBAAssistsOver 4.51008 ast
Why this score?
- 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 5+ in 4/5
- Recent production is above the 10-game baseline
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
HITGabby WilliamsGolden State Valkyries vs Aces · WNBAPointsOver 14.510020 pts
Why this score?
- 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 15+ in 4/5
- Recent production is above the 10-game baseline
Main risk: Minutes have been volatile
MISSA'ja WilsonLas Vegas Aces vs Valkyries · WNBAPointsOver 24.510024 pts
Why this score?
- 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 25+ in 7/10
- Recent production is above the 10-game baseline
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
MISSA'ja WilsonLas Vegas Aces vs Valkyries · WNBAReboundsOver 7.51007 reb
Why this score?
- 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 8+ in 4/5
- Recent production is above the 10-game baseline
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
MISSJackie YoungLas Vegas Aces vs Valkyries · WNBAPointsOver 19.510014 pts
Why this score?
- 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 20+ in 6/10
Main risk: Cleared 20+ in only 2 of the last 5
HITJackie YoungLas Vegas Aces vs Valkyries · WNBAAssistsOver 6.51008 ast
Why this score?
- 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 7+ in 6/10
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
HITRhyne HowardAtlanta Dream vs Liberty · WNBAPointsOver 14.510018 pts
Why this score?
- 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 15+ in 4/5
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
MISSVeronica BurtonGolden State Valkyries vs Aces · WNBAAssistsOver 4.51003 ast
Why this score?
- 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 5+ in 4/5
Main risk: Recent production is below the 10-game baseline
MISSAngel ReeseAtlanta Dream vs Liberty · WNBAReboundsOver 9.51007 reb
Why this score?
- 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 10+ in 7/10
- 10-game average provides threshold cushion
Main risk: Cleared 10+ in only 2 of the last 5
HITAngel ReeseAtlanta Dream vs Liberty · WNBAPointsOver 14.510023 pts
Why this score?
- 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 15+ in 7/10
Main risk: Recent production is below the 10-game baseline
HITDeWanna BonnerAtlanta Dream vs Liberty · WNBAReboundsOver 3.51004 reb
Why this score?
- Usable recent role at 24.2 minutes
- Cleared 4+ in 4/5
- 10-game average provides threshold cushion
Main risk: Minutes have been volatile
HITChelsea GrayLas Vegas Aces vs Valkyries · WNBAPointsOver 9.59919 pts
Why this score?
- 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 10+ in 5/5
- Recent production is above the 10-game baseline
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
HITJordin CanadaAtlanta Dream vs Liberty · WNBAPointsOver 9.59923 pts
Why this score?
- 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 10+ in 5/5
- Recent production is above the 10-game baseline
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
HITJonquel JonesNew York Liberty vs Dream · WNBAPointsOver 9.59321 pts
Why this score?
- 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 10+ in 4/5
- 10-game average provides threshold cushion
Main risk: Recent production is below the 10-game baseline
HITKaila CharlesGolden State Valkyries vs Aces · WNBAReboundsOver 3.5805 reb
Why this score?
- Usable recent role at 22.0 minutes
- Cleared 4+ in 8/10
- 10-game average provides threshold cushion
Main risk: Recent playing time is below 24 minutes
HITGabby WilliamsGolden State Valkyries vs Aces · WNBAAssistsOver 2.5793 ast
Why this score?
- 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 3+ in 7/10
Main risk: Minutes have been volatile
HITRhyne HowardAtlanta Dream vs Liberty · WNBAAssistsOver 2.5794 ast
Why this score?
- 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 3+ in 7/10
- 10-game average provides threshold cushion
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
MISSPauline AstierNew York Liberty vs Dream · WNBAAssistsOver 2.5791 ast
Why this score?
- Usable recent role at 25.6 minutes
- Cleared 3+ in 7/10
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
MISSPauline AstierNew York Liberty vs Dream · WNBAReboundsOver 3.5761 reb
Why this score?
- Usable recent role at 25.6 minutes
- Cleared 4+ in 4/5
- 10-game average provides threshold cushion
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
HITMichael Harris IIAtlanta Braves vs Dodgers · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5752 hits
Why this score?
- Recent contact results are improving
- Low recent strikeout rate
- Consistently reaching base
Main risk: Lineup not yet posted
HITJose RamirezCleveland Guardians vs White Sox · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5742 hits
Why this score?
- Strong recent plate-appearance volume
- Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk: Ice cold — 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
HITSteven KwanCleveland Guardians vs White Sox · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5741 hit
Why this score?
- Strong recent plate-appearance volume
- Low recent strikeout rate
- Consistently reaching base
Main risk: Lineup not yet posted
MISSJoey OrtizMilwaukee Brewers vs Padres · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5730 hits
Why this score?
- Consistently reaching base
Main risk: Recent hit rate has cooled
MISSTy FranceSan Diego Padres vs Brewers · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5720 hits
Why this score?
- Recent contact results are improving
- Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk: Lineup not yet posted
HITMiguel VargasChicago White Sox vs Guardians · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5721 hit
Why this score?
- Strong recent plate-appearance volume
- Low recent strikeout rate
- Consistently reaching base
Main risk: Ice cold — 1 hit in the last 25 plate appearances
MISSDrake BaldwinAtlanta Braves vs Dodgers · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5720 hits
Why this score?
- Strong recent plate-appearance volume
- Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk: Lineup not yet posted
MISSMookie BettsLos Angeles Dodgers vs Braves · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5710 hits
Why this score?
- Low recent strikeout rate
- Consistently reaching base
Main risk: Recent hit rate has cooled
HITChase MeidrothChicago White Sox vs Guardians · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5711 hit
Why this score?
- Recent contact results are improving
- Low recent strikeout rate
- Consistently reaching base
Main risk: Lineup not yet posted
HITGeorge Lombard Jr.New York Yankees vs Rays · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5712 hits
Why this score?
Main risk: Lineup not yet posted
HITJo AdellCleveland Guardians vs White Sox · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5702 hits
Why this score?
- Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk: Lineup not yet posted
No predictions match these filters.
Results are graded from stored plate appearances and box scores. Voids and pending results are excluded from hit rate. Opportunity Score is a ranking signal, not a probability — 70 is the publication floor, and a higher score means more estimated edge over the market's own base rate.