Did the signals hold up?
Daily Results
Record
13–14
Hit rate
48.1%
Avg scorei
86
Graded27Void1Pending0Predictions28
48.1% today·-13.6 pts vs the 30-day average (61.8%)·+0.9 pts over base, where 30 days runs +10.1 pts
Daily read
- No edge today. Against what this exact mix of props lands on its own, the slate ran +0.9 pts — behind the +10.1 pts the 30 days before it run.
By market
MarketRecordHit ratevs baseAvg scorei
Batter Hits4–5 n=9 1 void44.4%-16.1 pts74
Points4–2 n=666.7%+23.7 pts97
Assists1–4 n=520.0%-24.4 pts89
Rebounds2–2 n=450.0%—100
SP Strikeouts1–1 n=250.0%—80
SP Hits Allowed1–0 n=1100.0%—77
Props
28 predictionsHighest-scored misses5 misses among the day's 10 strongest predictions
- 100Breanna StewartPoints Over 19.5actual 19 pts
- 100Breanna StewartRebounds Over 7.5actual 2 reb
- 100Allisha GrayPoints Over 14.5actual 7 pts
Show
MISSBreanna StewartNew York Liberty vs Dream · WNBAPointsOver 19.510019 pts
Why this score?
- 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 20+ in 5/5
- Recent production is above the 10-game baseline
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
MISSBreanna StewartNew York Liberty vs Dream · WNBAReboundsOver 7.51002 reb
Why this score?
- 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 8+ in 4/5
- Recent production is above the 10-game baseline
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
HITJonquel JonesNew York Liberty vs Dream · WNBAReboundsOver 5.510011 reb
Why this score?
- Usable recent role at 26.6 minutes
- Cleared 6+ in 6/10
- Recent production is above the 10-game baseline
Main risk: Minutes have been volatile
MISSAllisha GrayAtlanta Dream vs Liberty · WNBAPointsOver 14.51007 pts
Why this score?
- 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 15+ in 4/5
- Recent production is above the 10-game baseline
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
MISSJordin CanadaAtlanta Dream vs Liberty · WNBAAssistsOver 4.51004 ast
Why this score?
- 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 5+ in 5/5
- Recent production is above the 10-game baseline
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
HITRhyne HowardAtlanta Dream vs Liberty · WNBAPointsOver 14.510016 pts
Why this score?
- 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 15+ in 7/10
Main risk: Recent production is below the 10-game baseline
MISSAngel ReeseAtlanta Dream vs Liberty · WNBAReboundsOver 9.51007 reb
Why this score?
- Usable recent role at 27.4 minutes
- Cleared 10+ in 8/10
- 10-game average provides threshold cushion
Main risk: Recent production is below the 10-game baseline
HITAngel ReeseAtlanta Dream vs Liberty · WNBAPointsOver 14.510017 pts
Why this score?
- Usable recent role at 27.4 minutes
- Cleared 15+ in 7/10
- 10-game average provides threshold cushion
Main risk: Recent production is below the 10-game baseline
HITDeWanna BonnerAtlanta Dream vs Liberty · WNBAReboundsOver 3.51009 reb
Why this score?
- Usable recent role at 22.4 minutes
- Cleared 4+ in 4/5
- 10-game average provides threshold cushion
Main risk: Recent playing time is below 24 minutes
HITJordin CanadaAtlanta Dream vs Liberty · WNBAPointsOver 9.59925 pts
Why this score?
- 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 10+ in 5/5
- Recent production is above the 10-game baseline
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
MISSPauline AstierNew York Liberty vs Dream · WNBAAssistsOver 2.5961 ast
Why this score?
- Usable recent role at 25.8 minutes
- Cleared 3+ in 4/5
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
MISSLogan HendersonMilwaukee Brewers vs Padres · MLBSP StrikeoutsOver 5.5904 K
Why this score?
- 5.8 K per start over last 6
- Reached 6+ in 4 of 6 starts
Main risk: Strikeout totals swing with the opposing lineup and pitch count
MISSSabrina IonescuNew York Liberty vs Dream · WNBAAssistsOver 2.5891 ast
Why this score?
- Usable recent role at 27.0 minutes
- Cleared 3+ in 8/10
- 10-game average provides threshold cushion
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
HITJonquel JonesNew York Liberty vs Dream · WNBAPointsOver 9.58212 pts
Why this score?
- Usable recent role at 26.6 minutes
- Cleared 10+ in 4/5
- 10-game average provides threshold cushion
Main risk: Minutes have been volatile
MISSAllisha GrayAtlanta Dream vs Liberty · WNBAAssistsOver 2.5790 ast
Why this score?
- 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 3+ in 7/10
Main risk: Recent production is below the 10-game baseline
HITRhyne HowardAtlanta Dream vs Liberty · WNBAAssistsOver 2.5798 ast
Why this score?
- 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5
- Cleared 3+ in 7/10
- 10-game average provides threshold cushion
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
MISSDrake BaldwinAtlanta Braves vs Dodgers · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5780 hits
Why this score?
- Strong recent plate-appearance volume
- Low recent strikeout rate
- Consistently reaching base
Main risk: Recent hit rate has cooled
HITMichael Harris IIAtlanta Braves vs Dodgers · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5773 hits
Why this score?
- Recent contact results are improving
- Low recent strikeout rate
- Consistently reaching base
Main risk: Lineup not yet posted
HITLogan HendersonMilwaukee Brewers vs Padres · MLBSP Hits AllowedUnder 4.5772 hits allowed
Why this score?
- 3.5 hits per start over last 6
- Held to 4 or fewer in 4 of 6 starts
Main risk: Hits allowed depends heavily on opponent and batted-ball luck
HITTy FranceSan Diego Padres vs Brewers · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5752 hits
Why this score?
- Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk: Faces Logan Henderson, who allows hits 13% below league average
VOIDJoey OrtizMilwaukee Brewers vs Padres · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.575did not bat
Why this score?
- Consistently reaching base
Main risk: Recent hit rate has cooled
MISSBrice TurangMilwaukee Brewers vs Padres · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5740 hits
Why this score?
- Recent contact results are improving
- Strong recent plate-appearance volume
- Consistently reaching base
Main risk: Elevated recent strikeout rate
HITFreddie FreemanLos Angeles Dodgers vs Braves · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5722 hits
Why this score?
- Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk: Lineup not yet posted
MISSMookie BettsLos Angeles Dodgers vs Braves · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5720 hits
Why this score?
- Low recent strikeout rate
- Consistently reaching base
Main risk: Recent hit rate has cooled
HITMauricio DubonAtlanta Braves vs Dodgers · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5721 hit
Why this score?
- Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk: Recent hit rate has cooled
HITMichael KingSan Diego Padres vs Brewers · MLBSP StrikeoutsOver 4.5716 K
Why this score?
- 5.3 K per start over last 6
- Reached 5+ in 4 of 6 starts
Main risk: Strikeout totals swing with the opposing lineup and pitch count
MISSFernando Tatis Jr.San Diego Padres vs Brewers · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5710 hits
Why this score?
- Recent contact results are improving
- Low recent strikeout rate
- Consistently reaching base
Main risk: Faces Logan Henderson, who allows hits 13% below league average
MISSWilliam ContrerasMilwaukee Brewers vs Padres · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5700 hits
Why this score?
- Strong recent plate-appearance volume
- Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk: Lineup not yet posted
No predictions match these filters.
Results are graded from stored plate appearances and box scores. Voids and pending results are excluded from hit rate. Opportunity Score is a ranking signal, not a probability — 70 is the publication floor, and a higher score means more estimated edge over the market's own base rate.