Did the signals hold up?
Daily Results
Record
12–6
Hit rate
66.7%
Avg scorei
81
Graded18Void0Pending0Predictions18
66.7% today·+5.1 pts vs the 30-day average (61.6%)·+18.4 pts over base, where 30 days runs +10.2 pts
Daily read
- A short slate. 18 graded predictions is too few to read as a day — the rows below are a record, not a verdict.
By market
MarketRecordHit ratevs baseAvg scorei
Batter Hits7–2 n=977.8%+17.2 pts73
SP Strikeouts3–3 n=650.0%+40.7 pts92
SP Hits Allowed2–1 n=366.7%—92
Props
18 predictionsHighest-scored misses5 misses among the day's 10 strongest predictions
- 100Cam SchlittlerSP Hits Allowed Under 4.5actual 6 hits allowed
- 100Cam SchlittlerSP Strikeouts Over 7.5actual 2 K
- 82Munetaka MurakamiBatter Ks Over 1.5actual 1 K
Show
HITGavin WilliamsCleveland Guardians vs White Sox · MLBSP StrikeoutsOver 6.510011 K
Why this score?
- 7.7 K per start over last 6
- Reached 7+ in 4 of 6 starts
Main risk: Strikeout totals swing with the opposing lineup and pitch count
MISSCam SchlittlerNew York Yankees vs Rays · MLBSP Hits AllowedUnder 4.51006 hits allowed
Why this score?
- 2.3 hits per start over last 6
- Held to 4 or fewer in 6 of 6 starts
Main risk: Hits allowed depends heavily on opponent and batted-ball luck
MISSCam SchlittlerNew York Yankees vs Rays · MLBSP StrikeoutsOver 7.51002 K
Why this score?
- 8.0 K per start over last 6
- Reached 8+ in 4 of 6 starts
Main risk: Strikeout totals swing with the opposing lineup and pitch count
HITFreddy PeraltaTampa Bay Rays vs Yankees · MLBSP Hits AllowedUnder 4.5993 hits allowed
Why this score?
- 3.0 hits per start over last 6
- Held to 4 or fewer in 5 of 6 starts
Main risk: Hits allowed depends heavily on opponent and batted-ball luck
HITAnthony KayChicago White Sox vs Guardians · MLBSP StrikeoutsUnder 4.5960 K
Why this score?
- 3.5 K per start over last 6
- Held to 4 or fewer in 5 of 6 starts
Main risk: Strikeout totals swing with the opposing lineup and pitch count
MISSMunetaka MurakamiChicago White Sox vs Guardians · MLBBatter KsOver 1.5821 K
Why this score?
- Batting 4th, confirmed lineup
- 1.7 strikeouts per game over last 20
- 2+ K in 12 of 20 games
Main risk: Strikeouts swing with the opposing starter and two-strike counts
MISSJonathan ArandaTampa Bay Rays vs Yankees · MLBBatter KsOver 1.5780 K
Why this score?
- Batting 2nd, confirmed lineup
- 1.2 strikeouts per game over last 20
- 2+ K in 10 of 20 games
Main risk: Strikeouts swing with the opposing starter and two-strike counts
MISSJose RamirezCleveland Guardians vs White Sox · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5770 hits
Why this score?
- Batting 2nd, confirmed lineup
- Strong recent plate-appearance volume
- Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk: Ice cold — 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
HITGavin WilliamsCleveland Guardians vs White Sox · MLBSP Hits AllowedUnder 4.5774 hits allowed
Why this score?
- 4.0 hits per start over last 6
- Held to 4 or fewer in 4 of 6 starts
Main risk: Hits allowed depends heavily on opponent and batted-ball luck
HITSteven KwanCleveland Guardians vs White Sox · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5771 hit
Why this score?
- Batting 1st, confirmed lineup
- Strong recent plate-appearance volume
- Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
HITMiguel VargasChicago White Sox vs Guardians · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5741 hit
Why this score?
- Batting 3rd, confirmed lineup
- Strong recent plate-appearance volume
- Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk: Ice cold — 1 hit in the last 25 plate appearances
HITFreddy PeraltaTampa Bay Rays vs Yankees · MLBSP StrikeoutsUnder 4.5733 K
Why this score?
- 4.5 K per start over last 6
- Held to 4 or fewer in 4 of 6 starts
Main risk: Strikeout totals swing with the opposing lineup and pitch count
HITJo AdellCleveland Guardians vs White Sox · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5721 hit
Why this score?
- Batting 4th, confirmed lineup
- Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk: No standout red flags in recent form
HITKyle TeelChicago White Sox vs Guardians · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5721 hit
Why this score?
- Batting 2nd, confirmed lineup
- Recent contact results are improving
- Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk: Elevated recent strikeout rate
HITChase DeLauterCleveland Guardians vs White Sox · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5712 hits
Why this score?
- Batting 3rd, confirmed lineup
- Strong recent plate-appearance volume
- Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk: Ice cold — 2 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
MISSGeorge Lombard Jr.New York Yankees vs Rays · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5710 hits
Why this score?
Main risk: Lineup not yet posted
HITYandy DiazTampa Bay Rays vs Yankees · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5701 hit
Why this score?
- Batting 1st, confirmed lineup
- Recent contact results are improving
- Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk: Faces Cam Schlittler, who allows hits 17% below league average
HITMunetaka MurakamiChicago White Sox vs Guardians · MLBBatter HitsOver 0.5701 hit
Why this score?
- Batting 4th, confirmed lineup
- Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk: Elevated recent strikeout rate
No predictions match these filters.
Results are graded from stored plate appearances and box scores. Voids and pending results are excluded from hit rate. Opportunity Score is a ranking signal, not a probability — 70 is the publication floor, and a higher score means more estimated edge over the market's own base rate.