Tuesday, September 1 — games and opportunities
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Best game⚾️ MLB4:40 PM PT
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⚾️ MLBSeries on the line5:05 PM PT
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⚾️ MLBSeries · HOU leads 1-05:10 PM PT
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Filtered to Padres @ RedsClear
33 opportunities in this game
100
Randy Vasquez
4 or fewer Strikeouts
San Diego Padres
Why it stands out
1.2 K per start over last 6
Main risk
Strikeout totals swing with the opposing lineup and pitch count
Last 60011326/6
99
Randy Vasquez
4 or fewer Hits Allowed
San Diego Padres
Why it stands out
2.5 hits per start over last 6
Main risk
Hits allowed depends heavily on opponent and batted-ball luck
Last 67122215/6
98
Nick Lodolo
5 or fewer Strikeouts
Cincinnati Reds
Why it stands out
3.7 K per start over last 6
Main risk
Strikeout totals swing with the opposing lineup and pitch count
Last 64452256/6
85
Sal Stewart
1+ Hit
Cincinnati Reds
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1011321102229/10
83
Elly De La Cruz
1+ Hit
Cincinnati Reds
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1010411133129/10
78
Fernando Tatis Jr.
1+ Hit
San Diego Padres
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Ice cold — 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1013240101107/10
69
Manny Machado
1+ Hit
San Diego Padres
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1002010010215/10
69
Ty France
1+ Hit
San Diego Padres
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1011101010217/10
67
Dane Myers
1+ Hit
Cincinnati Reds
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1011010203016/10
67
JJ Bleday
1+ Hit
Cincinnati Reds
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Ice cold — 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1010400101015/10
62
Hector Rodriguez
1+ Hit
Cincinnati Reds
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1010121132018/10
59
Jackson Merrill
1+ Hit
San Diego Padres
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
Last 1000210022015/10
59
Jake Cronenworth
1+ Hit
San Diego Padres
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
Last 1000212010105/10
59
Matt McLain
1+ Hit
Cincinnati Reds
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Ice cold — 2 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1010100010014/10
58
Dustin Harris
1+ Hit
San Diego Padres
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Recent plate-appearance volume is limited
Last 1012112011319/10
57
Eugenio Suarez
1+ Hit
Cincinnati Reds
Why it stands out
Consistently reaching base
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
Last 1010011020116/10
57
Nick Lodolo
6 or fewer Hits Allowed
Cincinnati Reds
Why it stands out
5.8 hits per start over last 6
Main risk
Hits allowed depends heavily on opponent and batted-ball luck
Last 665531065/6
57
Samad Taylor
1+ Hit
San Diego Padres
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
Last 1000121101117/10
57
Tyler Stephenson
1+ Hit
Cincinnati Reds
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
Last 1000212012127/10
56
Freddy Fermin
1+ Hit
San Diego Padres
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Recent plate-appearance volume is limited
Last 1000110121005/10
54
Luis Campusano
1+ Hit
San Diego Padres
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Ice cold — 1 hit in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1012000100003/10
47
Xander Bogaerts
1+ Hit
San Diego Padres
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Recent plate-appearance volume is limited
Last 1010110101016/10
46
Edwin Arroyo
1+ Hit
Cincinnati Reds
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Recent plate-appearance volume is limited
Last 1011210011006/10
45
P.J. Higgins
1+ Hit
Cincinnati Reds
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Recent plate-appearance volume is limited
Last 1001102101005/10
45
Nick Castellanos
1+ Hit
San Diego Padres
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
Last 1000110000114/10
44
Jose Trevino
1+ Hit
Cincinnati Reds
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Recent plate-appearance volume is limited
Last 1002010001204/10
43
Tyler Stephenson
2+ Strikeouts
Cincinnati Reds
Why it stands out
1.3 strikeouts per game over last 20
Main risk
Faces a low-strikeout starter (14% of batters faced) — the biggest single argument against this prop
42
Austin Hays
1+ Hit
San Diego Padres
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Ice cold — 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1020010101004/10
25
TJ Friedl
1+ Hit
Cincinnati Reds
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Recent plate-appearance volume is limited
Last 1000000010123/10
24
Sung-Mun Song
1+ Hit
San Diego Padres
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Ice cold — 2 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1000100100002/10
20
Bryce Johnson
1+ Hit
San Diego Padres
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Ice cold — 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1000100200002/10
17
Will Benson
1+ Hit
Cincinnati Reds
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
Last 1010101110005/10
12
Jase Bowen
1+ Hit
San Diego Padres
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
Last 1010000110003/10
Scores reflect recent player performance only. Opposing starter, park, weather, and bullpen are not modeled yet.