Sunday, August 30 β games and opportunities
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WingsNot enough of MLS playing today to name a best game fairly.
Filtered to Mariners @ Blue JaysClear
35 opportunities in this game
99
Max Scherzer
5 or fewer Hits Allowed
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
4.2 hits per start over last 6
Main risk
Hits allowed depends heavily on opponent and batted-ball luck
Last 64453546/6
99
Logan Gilbert
5 or fewer Hits Allowed
Seattle Mariners
Why it stands out
4.5 hits per start over last 6
Main risk
Hits allowed depends heavily on opponent and batted-ball luck
Last 65544456/6
96
Max Scherzer
4 or fewer Strikeouts
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
3.7 K per start over last 6
Main risk
Strikeout totals swing with the opposing lineup and pitch count
Last 64544145/6
93
Logan Gilbert
5+ Strikeouts
Seattle Mariners
Why it stands out
5.5 K per start over last 6
Main risk
Strikeout totals swing with the opposing lineup and pitch count
Last 64667555/6
80
Brett Bateman
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1020203203127/10
77
Josh Naylor
1+ Hit
Seattle Mariners
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1011301023107/10
75
Dominic Canzone
1+ Hit
Seattle Mariners
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Recent hit rate has cooled
Last 1021210011128/10
70
Nathan Lukes
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1001010221117/10
69
Alejandro Kirk
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Recent hit rate has cooled
Last 1013211110018/10
69
Randy Arozarena
1+ Hit
Seattle Mariners
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1001013100116/10
67
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1012112011018/10
67
Kazuma Okamoto
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1011211100128/10
62
Andres Gimenez
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1001121012017/10
62
Ernie Clement
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Recent hit rate has cooled
Last 1003112010106/10
59
George Springer
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Recent plate-appearance volume is limited
Last 1030203101247/10
58
Julio Rodriguez
1+ Hit
Seattle Mariners
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
Last 1000110021015/10
57
Charles McAdoo
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
Last 1000223101016/10
57
Cole Young
1+ Hit
Seattle Mariners
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Ice cold β 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1000001001013/10
54
Victor Robles
1+ Hit
Seattle Mariners
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Recent plate-appearance volume is limited
Last 1041101320017/10
54
Cal Raleigh
1+ Hit
Seattle Mariners
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Last 1000011131005/10
53
Taylor Ward
1+ Hit
Seattle Mariners
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Ice cold β 0 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1001100000002/10
53
J.P. Crawford
1+ Hit
Seattle Mariners
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Ice cold β 2 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1000120001003/10
51
Jhonny Pereda
1+ Hit
Seattle Mariners
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Recent hit rate has cooled
Last 1011100101117/10
50
Brock Rodden
1+ Hit
Seattle Mariners
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Ice cold β 2 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1011111000005/10
48
Brandon Valenzuela
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Ice cold β 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1000100111004/10
44
Eloy Jimenez
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Recent plate-appearance volume is limited
Last 1002121100005/10
44
Julio Rodriguez
2+ Strikeouts
Seattle Mariners
Why it stands out
1.4 strikeouts per game over last 20
Main risk
Faces a low-strikeout starter (15% of batters faced) β the biggest single argument against this prop
39
Myles Straw
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Recent plate-appearance volume is limited
Last 1000000120114/10
35
Miles Mastrobuoni
1+ Hit
Seattle Mariners
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
Last 1011100011005/10
35
Weston Wilson
1+ Hit
Seattle Mariners
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
Last 1000100021003/10
34
Jesus Sanchez
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
Last 1000001020203/10
33
Mitch Garver
1+ Hit
Seattle Mariners
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Ice cold β 2 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1000001010002/10
31
Patrick Wisdom
1+ Hit
Seattle Mariners
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Ice cold β 2 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1010010100003/10
30
Lenyn Sosa
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Ice cold β 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1001010000103/10
27
Rob Refsnyder
1+ Hit
Seattle Mariners
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Ice cold β 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Last 1000010020002/10
Scores reflect recent player performance only. Opposing starter, park, weather, and bullpen are not modeled yet.