Los Angeles DodgersOffense cooling lately
Starter TBD
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Detroit TigersOffense cooling lately
LHP Framber Valdez · Pitches to contact
Team Identity
Los Angeles Dodgers
Season-to-date, 135 games, 5,292 PA.
An opportunistic, contact-oriented offense that cashes in scoring chances, though it can be station-to-station. The offense has cooled off recently.
PowerAbove Avg80
ContactElite97
Plate DisciplineElite90
SpeedBelow Avg25
RISPElite98
Recent FormTrending Down
Total bases per PA is down 14% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
Detroit Tigers
Season-to-date, 134 games, 5,217 PA.
A patient offense that works counts and draws walks, though it can be station-to-station. The offense has cooled off recently.
PowerAverage58
ContactBelow Avg37
Plate DisciplineAbove Avg71
SpeedWell Below3
RISPBelow Avg28
Recent FormTrending Down
Total bases per PA is down 24% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
What This Game Is About
Biggest Advantage
Tigers bring the more patient profile, while Dodgers lean on being opportunistic.
Swing Factor
Framber Valdez strikes hitters out at a 16.9% clip (17th percentile); Dodgers carry a 20.0% strikeout rate.
Momentum
Dodgers are trending down and Tigers are trending down over their last 10 games.
Key Matchups
Can Framber Valdez miss enough bats?
Framber Valdez strikes hitters out at a 16.9% clip (17th percentile); Dodgers carry a 20.0% strikeout rate.
Edge · DodgersFramber Valdez: 16.9% K rateDodgers: 20.0% K rateHigh confidence
Can Framber Valdez command the strike zone?
Dodgers walk in 9.5% of trips; Framber Valdez allows walks at a fairly typical rate (8.5%).
Edge · Framber ValdezDodgers: 9.5% walk rateFramber Valdez: 8.5% walks allowedHigh confidence
Can Framber Valdez limit Dodgers' power?
Dodgers rank in the 80th percentile in extra-base production, while Framber Valdez sits in the 54th percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · DodgersDodgers: 0.364 TB/PAFramber Valdez: 0.329 TB/PA allowed (656 PA)High confidence
How do Dodgers handle left-handers?
Dodgers have produced worse against left-handers this season (0.363 vs. 0.364 TB/PA overall).
Edge · Framber Valdezvs left-handers: 0.363 TB/PA (1607 PA)overall: 0.364 TB/PAModerate confidence
Pitcher Trends
Framber Valdez
Detroit Tigers · 8 starts
Strikeouts4.1/start
Hits allowed5.6/start
5 or fewer Strikeouts — 5 of last 65 or fewer Hits Allowed — 3 of last 6
17% K ratePer-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Player Trends
Hao-Yu Lee
Detroit Tigers · 0.237 hit rate · 0.342 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L106 / 10L2514 / 25
On-base rate is up 27% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 13%.
Mookie Betts
Los Angeles Dodgers · 0.234 hit rate · 0.340 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L55 / 5L108 / 10L2515 / 255-game hit streak
On-base rate is up 27% over his prior baseline, with hits in 8 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 6%.
Andy Pages
Los Angeles Dodgers · 0.294 hit rate · 0.353 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L107 / 10L2519 / 25
On-base rate is up 25% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 4 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 12%.
Eduardo Valencia
Detroit Tigers · 0.158 hit rate · 0.211 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L53 / 5L106 / 10L2515 / 243-game hit streak
Total bases per PA is down 73% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 6 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 37%.
Ben Malgeri
Detroit Tigers · 0.062 hit rate · 0.062 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L51 / 5L103 / 10L2510 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 83% over his prior baseline, with hits in 1 of his last 6 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 38%.
Dillon Dingler
Detroit Tigers · 0.135 hit rate · 0.135 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L106 / 10L2514 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 69% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 9 games.
Players Positioned to Succeed
77
Freddie Freeman
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
72
Mookie Betts
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
69
Andy Pages
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
69
Gleyber Torres
1+ Hit
Detroit Tigers
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Recent hit rate has cooled
68
Shohei Ohtani
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Ice cold — 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
64
Max Muncy
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Expected Game Shape
UncertainLow confidence
Probable-starter data is incomplete, so the shape is hard to call. Dodgers bring more power.
Early edge Dodgers Driver Unclear without matched starters Volatility Moderate
- At least one probable starter could not be matched to stored data.
- Dodgers are trending down; Tigers are trending down.
Storylines to Watch
Can Eduardo Valencia snap out of it?
Eduardo Valencia has cooled off. Total bases per PA is down 73% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 6 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 37%.
0.158 hit rate · 0.211 TB/PA · 0.368 hit rate · 0.789 TB/PA
Is Hao-Yu Lee the one to watch?
Hao-Yu Lee enters as Tigers' hottest bat. On-base rate is up 27% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 13%.
0.237 hit rate · 0.342 TB/PA · 0.244 hit rate · 0.385 TB/PA
Based on plate appearances before 2026-08-30, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.