Baltimore OriolesOffense cooling lately
RHP Chris Bassitt · Pitches to contact
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AthleticsOffense cooling lately
Starter TBD
Team Identity
Baltimore Orioles
Season-to-date, 135 games, 5,252 PA.
A patient, opportunistic offense that works counts and draws walks, though it can be station-to-station. The offense has cooled off recently.
PowerAverage53
ContactBelow Avg26
Plate DisciplineElite89
SpeedWell Below24
RISPAbove Avg67
Recent FormTrending Down
Walk rate is down 36% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
Athletics
Season-to-date, 135 games, 5,275 PA.
An opportunistic offense that cashes in scoring chances, though it can be station-to-station. The offense has cooled off recently.
PowerAverage58
ContactAverage63
Plate DisciplineBelow Avg42
SpeedBelow Avg26
RISPAbove Avg70
Recent FormTrending Down
Total bases per PA is down 7% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
What This Game Is About
Biggest Advantage
Athletics bring the more opportunistic profile, while Orioles lean on being patient.
Swing Factor
Chris Bassitt strikes hitters out at a 14.7% clip (8th percentile); Athletics carry a 21.9% strikeout rate.
Momentum
Orioles are trending down and Athletics are trending down over their last 10 games.
Key Matchups
Can Chris Bassitt miss enough bats?
Chris Bassitt strikes hitters out at a 14.7% clip (8th percentile); Athletics carry a 21.9% strikeout rate.
Edge · AthleticsChris Bassitt: 14.7% K rateAthletics: 21.9% K rateHigh confidence
Can Chris Bassitt limit Athletics' power?
Athletics rank in the 58th percentile in extra-base production, while Chris Bassitt sits in the 30th percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · AthleticsAthletics: 0.349 TB/PAChris Bassitt: 0.369 TB/PA allowed (347 PA)High confidence
Can Chris Bassitt command the strike zone?
Athletics walk in 8.4% of trips; Chris Bassitt allows walks sparingly (7.5%).
Edge · Chris BassittAthletics: 8.4% walk rateChris Bassitt: 7.5% walks allowedHigh confidence
How do Athletics handle right-handers?
Athletics have produced worse against right-handers this season (0.342 vs. 0.349 TB/PA overall).
Edge · Chris Bassittvs right-handers: 0.342 TB/PA (3545 PA)overall: 0.349 TB/PAModerate confidence
Pitcher Trends
Chris Bassitt
Baltimore Orioles · 8 starts
Strikeouts3.9/start
Hits allowed6.0/start
6+ Hits Allowed — 4 of last 64 or fewer Strikeouts — 4 of last 6
15% K ratePer-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Player Trends
Dylan Beavers
Baltimore Orioles · 0.265 hit rate · 0.618 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L53 / 5L107 / 10L2515 / 25
Total bases per PA is up 107% over his prior baseline, with hits in 7 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 21%.
Lawrence Butler
Athletics · 0.311 hit rate · 0.422 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L55 / 5L109 / 10L2519 / 256-game hit streak
Hit rate is up 74% over his prior baseline, with hits in 9 of his last 10 games.
Colton Cowser
Baltimore Orioles · 0.320 hit rate · 0.520 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L55 / 5L106 / 10L2514 / 255-game hit streak
Hit rate is up 80% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 8 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 24%.
Zack Gelof
Athletics · 0.111 hit rate · 0.133 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L103 / 10L2513 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 70% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 10 games.
Samuel Basallo
Baltimore Orioles · 0.138 hit rate · 0.241 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L103 / 10L2512 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 39% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 8 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 38%.
Jackson Holliday
Baltimore Orioles · 0.156 hit rate · 0.200 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L104 / 10L2511 / 25
On-base rate is down 46% over his prior baseline, with hits in 4 of his last 10 games.
Players Positioned to Succeed
74
Pete Alonso
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Consistently reaching base
Main risk
Recent hit rate has cooled
73
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer
1+ Hit
Athletics
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
72
Lawrence Butler
1+ Hit
Athletics
Why it stands out
Consistently reaching base
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
71
Tommy White
1+ Hit
Athletics
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
70
Henry Bolte
1+ Hit
Athletics
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
70
Adley Rutschman
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Ice cold — 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Expected Game Shape
UncertainLow confidence
Probable-starter data is incomplete, so the shape is hard to call.
Early edge Athletics Driver Unclear without matched starters Volatility Moderate
- At least one probable starter could not be matched to stored data.
- Orioles are trending down; Athletics are trending down.
Storylines to Watch
Is Dylan Beavers the one to watch?
Dylan Beavers enters as Orioles' hottest bat. Total bases per PA is up 107% over his prior baseline, with hits in 7 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 21%.
0.265 hit rate · 0.618 TB/PA · 0.209 hit rate · 0.298 TB/PA
Can Zack Gelof snap out of it?
Zack Gelof has cooled off. Total bases per PA is down 70% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 10 games.
0.111 hit rate · 0.133 TB/PA · 0.247 hit rate · 0.441 TB/PA
Based on plate appearances before 2026-08-30, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.