Atlanta Dream
33-15
85–83
Final
New York Liberty
30-19
Angel Reese
16.2 PPG · 11.7 REB · 2.7 AST
Breanna Stewart
20.8 PPG · 8.2 REB · 3.3 AST
Game Script
Expect a balanced, competitive matchup. Dream (91.0 PPG) meet Liberty (89.2 PPG), with both defenses stingy.
The game likely turns on paint: Dream score 22.5 two-point makes a game; Liberty protect the rim with 4.3 blocks. Interior control leans Liberty.
Game Snapshot
Atlanta Dream
Last 55-0WWWWW
StreakW8
L5 scoring91.0points/game
L5 defense76.6allowed/game
Home17-8Road 16-7
Rest5dsince last game
Series3-14 played
New York Liberty
Last 52-3LLWWL
StreakL1
L5 scoring81.8points/game
L5 defense83.2allowed/game
Home16-8Road 14-11
Rest5dsince last game
Series1-34 played
Team Identity
Atlanta Dream
Elite offenseDefensive-mindedRebounding
An elite offense and a defensive identity, though hampered by little rim protection.
EliteAbove Avg83
Defensive DAbove Avg83
Three-point shootingAverage47
TransitionAverage50
Paint-firstBelow Avg44
Ball movementAverage61
ReboundingAbove Avg83
Rim protectionBelow Avg28
New York Liberty
ReboundingDefensive-mindedThree-point shootingRim protection
A rebounding edge and a defensive identity, though hampered by little interior scoring.
EliteAverage61
Defensive DAbove Avg78
Three-point shootingAbove Avg78
TransitionBelow Avg44
Paint-firstBelow Avg28
Ball movementAverage50
ReboundingElite89
Rim protectionAbove Avg72
Where the Game Will Be Won
Paint
Dream score 22.5 two-point makes a game; Liberty protect the rim with 4.3 blocks. Interior control leans Liberty.
Edge · LibertyDream: 22.5 2PT makesLiberty: 4.3 blocks/gmHigh confidence
Turnovers
Dream average 12.5 turnovers, Liberty 13.7; steals (9.4 vs 6.3) add pressure. Ball security favors Dream.
Edge · DreamDream: 12.5 TO / 9.4 STLLiberty: 13.7 TO / 6.3 STLHigh confidence
Perimeter
Dream shoot 32% from three (8.9/gm); Liberty allow 34%. The three-point battle tilts toward Liberty.
Edge · LibertyDream: 8.9 3PM at 32%Liberty allow 34% on threesHigh confidence
Scoring Environment
Dream have averaged 175 combined points a game, Liberty 175. A higher-scoring environment favors Dream.
Edge · DreamDream: 175 combined pts/gm (50th pct)Liberty: 175 combined pts/gm (44th pct)High confidence
Rebounding
Dream carry a +3.7 rebound margin, Liberty +4.3. Second-chance control leans Liberty.
Edge · LibertyDream: +3.7 margin, 10.4 OREBLiberty: +4.3 margin, 8.1 OREBHigh confidence
Players Who Shape Tonight
Angel Reese
Atlanta Dream · F
16.2 PPG · 11.7 REB · 2.7 AST · 31 MIN
As Atlanta Dream's primary scorer, Reese sets the tone for how they attack. Trending down
Rhyne Howard
Atlanta Dream · G
17.5 PPG · 3.7 REB · 3.7 AST · 34 MIN
As Atlanta Dream's primary scorer, Howard sets the tone for how they attack. Holding steady
Breanna Stewart
New York Liberty · F
20.8 PPG · 8.2 REB · 3.3 AST · 33 MIN
As New York Liberty's primary scorer, Stewart sets the tone for how they attack. Trending up
Jonquel Jones
New York Liberty · C
14.4 PPG · 9.0 REB · 2.5 AST · 28 MIN
As New York Liberty's defensive anchor, Jones sets the tone for how they attack. Holding steady
Trending Players
Raquel Carrera
New York Liberty
Minutes up to 15.0 from 5.5.
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 4.5p 2.5r 2.0aSeason: 1.4p 5.5 min
Breanna Stewart
New York Liberty
25.6 points over his last 5 (from 20.2).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 25.6p 8.2r 4.2aSeason: 20.2p 32.8 min
Jordin Canada
Atlanta Dream
17.0 points over his last 5 (from 11.2).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 17.0p 3.2r 7.8aSeason: 11.2p 30.7 min
Angel Reese
Atlanta Dream
13.8 points over his last 5 (from 16.5).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 13.8p 8.4r 2.0aSeason: 16.5p 30.9 min
Allisha Gray
Atlanta Dream
Minutes down to 29.2 from 32.1.
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 17.8p 2.4r 1.8aSeason: 18.7p 32.1 min
Team Trends
Atlanta DreamPoints92
Opp points82
3PT%38%
Rebounds34
New York LibertyPoints82
Opp points92
3PT%39%
Rebounds34
Strongest Player Opportunities
100
Jonquel Jones
10+ Rebounds
New York Liberty
Why it stands out
29.0 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
100
Breanna Stewart
20+ Points
New York Liberty
Why it stands out
35.4 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
100
Jordin Canada
5+ Assists
Atlanta Dream
Why it stands out
32.6 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
100
Angel Reese
10+ Rebounds
Atlanta Dream
Why it stands out
28.6 minutes per game over the last 5
Main risk
Cleared 10+ in only 2 of the last 5
100
Breanna Stewart
8+ Rebounds
New York Liberty
Why it stands out
35.4 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
100
Rhyne Howard
15+ Points
Atlanta Dream
Why it stands out
36.2 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
Based on games before 2026-10-09. Injuries, confirmed starters, rest/travel, and advanced ratings (pace, offensive/defensive rating) are not yet included.