New York Liberty
26-16
4:30 PM PT
Minnesota Lynx
32-9
Breanna Stewart
20.1 PPG · 8.1 REB · 3.2 AST
Olivia Miles
19.5 PPG · 4.6 REB · 5.9 AST
Game Script
Expect a balanced, competitive matchup. Liberty (89.6 PPG) meet Lynx (90.9 PPG), with both defenses stingy.
The game likely turns on paint: Liberty score 20.7 two-point makes a game; Lynx protect the rim with 4.5 blocks. Interior control leans Lynx.
Game Snapshot
New York Liberty
Last 53-2WLWLW
StreakW1
L5 scoring84.4points/game
L5 defense83.0allowed/game
Home15-6Road 11-10
Rest20dsince last game
Series1-12 played
Minnesota Lynx
Last 53-2WWWLL
StreakL2
L5 scoring82.0points/game
L5 defense81.2allowed/game
Home15-6Road 17-3
Rest19dsince last game
Series1-12 played
Team Identity
New York Liberty
ReboundingThree-point shootingDefensive-mindedRim protectionElite offense
A rebounding edge and a three-point attack, though hampered by little interior scoring.
EliteAbove Avg67
Defensive DAbove Avg72
Three-point shootingAbove Avg78
TransitionAverage56
Paint-firstBelow Avg28
Ball movementAverage50
ReboundingAbove Avg83
Rim protectionAbove Avg72
Minnesota Lynx
Defensive-mindedElite offensePaint-first offenseRim protectionThree-point shootingBall movementRebounding
A defensive identity and an elite offense.
EliteAbove Avg83
Defensive DElite89
Three-point shootingAbove Avg78
TransitionBelow Avg39
Paint-firstAbove Avg83
Ball movementAbove Avg72
ReboundingAbove Avg72
Rim protectionAbove Avg83
Where the Game Will Be Won
Paint
Liberty score 20.7 two-point makes a game; Lynx protect the rim with 4.5 blocks. Interior control leans Lynx.
Edge · LynxLiberty: 20.7 2PT makesLynx: 4.5 blocks/gmHigh confidence
Perimeter
Liberty shoot 35% from three (10.1/gm); Lynx allow 32%. The three-point battle tilts toward Liberty.
Edge · LibertyLiberty: 10.1 3PM at 35%Lynx allow 32% on threesHigh confidence
Turnovers
Liberty average 13.4 turnovers, Lynx 12.5; steals (6.2 vs 8.8) add pressure. Ball security favors Lynx.
Edge · LynxLiberty: 13.4 TO / 6.2 STLLynx: 12.5 TO / 8.8 STLHigh confidence
Scoring Environment
Liberty have averaged 176 combined points a game, Lynx 174. A higher-scoring environment favors Liberty.
Edge · LibertyLiberty: 176 combined pts/gm (56th pct)Lynx: 174 combined pts/gm (39th pct)High confidence
Rebounding
Liberty carry a +4.0 rebound margin, Lynx +1.6. Second-chance control leans Liberty.
Edge · LibertyLiberty: +4.0 margin, 8.2 OREBLynx: +1.6 margin, 9.3 OREBHigh confidence
Players Who Shape Tonight
Breanna Stewart
New York Liberty · F
20.1 PPG · 8.1 REB · 3.2 AST · 33 MIN
As New York Liberty's primary scorer, Stewart sets the tone for how they attack. Holding steady
Jonquel Jones
New York Liberty · C
14.4 PPG · 8.9 REB · 2.6 AST · 28 MIN
As New York Liberty's defensive anchor, Jones sets the tone for how they attack. Trending down
Olivia Miles
Minnesota Lynx · G
19.5 PPG · 4.6 REB · 5.9 AST · 31 MIN
As Minnesota Lynx's superstar, Miles sets the tone for how they attack. Holding steady
Napheesa Collier
Minnesota Lynx · F
18.0 PPG · 7.3 REB · 2.8 AST · 30 MIN
As Minnesota Lynx's primary scorer, Collier sets the tone for how they attack. Holding steady
Trending Players
Rebecca Allen
New York Liberty
8.0 points over his last 5 (from 5.2).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 8.0p 4.2r 0.6aSeason: 5.2p 17.7 min
Leonie Fiebich
New York Liberty
11.3 points over his last 5 (from 9.5).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 11.3p 5.0r 2.7aSeason: 9.5p 29.3 min
Han Xu
New York Liberty
8.4 points over his last 5 (from 6.1).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 8.4p 3.0r 0.6aSeason: 6.1p 13.8 min
Marine Johannes
New York Liberty
5.2 points over his last 5 (from 9.1).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 5.2p 1.4r 2.6aSeason: 9.1p 21.7 min
Jonquel Jones
New York Liberty
Minutes down to 23.0 from 29.1.
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 15.2p 6.4r 1.2aSeason: 14.3p 29.1 min
Team Trends
New York LibertyPoints85
Opp points66
3PT%41%
Rebounds44
Minnesota LynxPoints81
Opp points89
3PT%32%
Rebounds32
Strongest Player Opportunities
100
Olivia Miles
20+ Points
Minnesota Lynx
Why it stands out
30.2 minutes per game over the last 5
Main risk
Recent production is below the 10-game baseline
100
Natasha Howard
6+ Rebounds
Minnesota Lynx
Why it stands out
32.4 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
100
Napheesa Collier
6+ Rebounds
Minnesota Lynx
Why it stands out
32.4 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
100
Olivia Miles
7+ Assists
Minnesota Lynx
Why it stands out
30.2 minutes per game over the last 5
Main risk
Recent production is below the 10-game baseline
100
Breanna Stewart
6+ Rebounds
New York Liberty
Why it stands out
32.6 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
100
Sabrina Ionescu
3+ Assists
New York Liberty
Why it stands out
30.2 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
Based on games before 2026-09-18. Injuries, confirmed starters, rest/travel, and advanced ratings (pace, offensive/defensive rating) are not yet included.