Connecticut Sun
10-31
4:30 PM PT
Atlanta Dream
26-15
Brittney Griner
13.4 PPG · 5.7 REB · 2.4 AST
Angel Reese
15.9 PPG · 12.2 REB · 2.7 AST
Game Script
Expect a defensive, grind-it-out battle. Sun (78.7 PPG) meet Dream (90.3 PPG), with both defenses stingy.
The game likely turns on paint: Sun score 23.2 two-point makes a game; Dream protect the rim with 3.3 blocks. Interior control leans Sun.
Game Snapshot
Connecticut Sun
Last 51-4LWLLL
StreakL3
L5 scoring76.2points/game
L5 defense91.0allowed/game
Home7-14Road 3-17
Rest17dsince last game
Series0-22 played
Atlanta Dream
Last 54-1WWWLW
StreakW1
L5 scoring94.6points/game
L5 defense86.0allowed/game
Home13-8Road 13-7
Rest18dsince last game
Series2-02 played
Team Identity
Connecticut Sun
Rim protection
Strong rim protection, though hampered by an inconsistent offense.
EliteWell Below11
Defensive DAverage56
Three-point shootingWell Below11
TransitionWell Below22
Paint-firstAverage61
Ball movementWell Below11
ReboundingAverage50
Rim protectionAbove Avg78
Atlanta Dream
ReboundingElite offenseDefensive-minded
A rebounding edge and an elite offense.
EliteAbove Avg78
Defensive DAbove Avg78
Three-point shootingAverage47
TransitionAverage50
Paint-firstBelow Avg44
Ball movementAverage61
ReboundingElite89
Rim protectionBelow Avg33
Where the Game Will Be Won
Paint
Sun score 23.2 two-point makes a game; Dream protect the rim with 3.3 blocks. Interior control leans Sun.
Edge · SunSun: 23.2 2PT makesDream: 3.3 blocks/gmHigh confidence
Perimeter
Sun shoot 29% from three (5.8/gm); Dream allow 36%. The three-point battle tilts toward Dream.
Edge · DreamSun: 5.8 3PM at 29%Dream allow 36% on threesHigh confidence
Rebounding
Sun carry a -1.2 rebound margin, Dream +5.0. Second-chance control leans Dream.
Edge · DreamSun: -1.2 margin, 9.2 OREBDream: +5.0 margin, 11.0 OREBHigh confidence
Scoring Environment
Sun have averaged 166 combined points a game, Dream 176. A higher-scoring environment favors Dream.
Edge · DreamSun: 166 combined pts/gm (22nd pct)Dream: 176 combined pts/gm (50th pct)High confidence
Turnovers
Sun average 13.6 turnovers, Dream 13.3; steals (8.0 vs 9.0) add pressure. Ball security favors Dream.
Edge · DreamSun: 13.6 TO / 8.0 STLDream: 13.3 TO / 9.0 STLHigh confidence
Players Who Shape Tonight
Brittney Griner
Connecticut Sun · C
13.4 PPG · 5.7 REB · 2.4 AST · 25 MIN
As Connecticut Sun's defensive anchor, Griner sets the tone for how they attack. Holding steady
Aneesah Morrow
Connecticut Sun · F
11.4 PPG · 8.9 REB · 1.6 AST · 23 MIN
As Connecticut Sun's rebounding presence, Morrow sets the tone for how they attack. Trending up
Angel Reese
Atlanta Dream · F
15.9 PPG · 12.2 REB · 2.7 AST · 31 MIN
As Atlanta Dream's rebounding presence, Reese sets the tone for how they attack. Trending up
Rhyne Howard
Atlanta Dream · G
17.9 PPG · 3.7 REB · 3.6 AST · 34 MIN
As Atlanta Dream's primary scorer, Howard sets the tone for how they attack. Holding steady
Trending Players
Aaliyah Edwards
Connecticut Sun
18.0 points over his last 5 (from 9.9).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 18.0p 6.5r 1.2aSeason: 9.9p 19.2 min
Nell Angloma
Connecticut Sun
7.2 points over his last 5 (from 3.7).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 7.2p 3.6r 1.8aSeason: 3.7p 10.6 min
Angel Reese
Atlanta Dream
18.6 points over his last 5 (from 15.6).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 18.6p 15.4r 4.2aSeason: 15.6p 30.5 min
Olivia Nelson-Ododa
Connecticut Sun
8.0 points over his last 5 (from 10.1).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 8.0p 1.0r 0.5aSeason: 10.1p 21.5 min
Brionna Jones
Atlanta Dream
6.3 points over his last 5 (from 9.2).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 6.3p 3.7r 2.0aSeason: 9.2p 17.7 min
Leila Lacan
Connecticut Sun
9.4 points over his last 5 (from 12.1).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 9.4p 1.0r 5.4aSeason: 12.1p 28.9 min
Team Trends
Connecticut SunPoints71
Opp points97
3PT%26%
Rebounds29
Atlanta DreamPoints89
Opp points81
3PT%36%
Rebounds37
Strongest Player Opportunities
100
Angel Reese
10+ Rebounds
Atlanta Dream
Why it stands out
34.8 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
100
Jordin Canada
5+ Assists
Atlanta Dream
Why it stands out
31.8 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
100
Charlisse Leger-Walker
3+ Assists
Connecticut Sun
Why it stands out
Usable recent role at 24.2 minutes
No notable risk
100
Rhyne Howard
20+ Points
Atlanta Dream
Why it stands out
33.4 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
100
Leila Lacan
3+ Assists
Connecticut Sun
Why it stands out
Usable recent role at 26.4 minutes
No notable risk
100
DeWanna Bonner
6+ Rebounds
Atlanta Dream
Why it stands out
Usable recent role at 25.2 minutes
Main risk
Recent production is below the 10-game baseline
Based on games before 2026-09-17. Injuries, confirmed starters, rest/travel, and advanced ratings (pace, offensive/defensive rating) are not yet included.