Week 2 · 2026-09-20
Seattle Seahawks
14-3 in 2025
at
Arizona Cardinals
3-14 in 2025
Built from the full 2025 season — the 2026 feed has no played games yet.
The read
Each side's case and the swing factor, from last season's profiles. Records, not forecasts.
Seattle wins if
Elite offense (28 pts/g) beats Cardinals' weak defense (29 allowed).
Arizona wins if
Weak offense (21 pts/g) beats Seahawks' elite defense (17 allowed).
Watch
Cardinals' passing attack should test Seahawks.
Matchup at a glance
Last season's profiles side by side, then each offense against the other defense. Percentiles are league rank, higher is better for that side.
SeahawksCardinals
28.4 97thPoints / game34th 20.9
17.2 97thPoints allowed / game12th 28.7
5.9 84thYards / play38th 5.2
123.3 70thRush yards / game6th 93.1
239.0 72thPass yards / game88th 256.1
40% 3rd-down % 42%
-0.2 39thTurnover margin / game53th -0.1
What it says. Seahawks lead on 4 of 6 ranked rows; the widest gap is points allowed / game, Seahawks 97th against 12th.
Each offense against the other defense
When Seattle has the ball
Passing
Seahawks offense
239 yds/g 72th
Cardinals defense
242.8 allowed 31th
Rushing
Seahawks offense
123.3 yds/g 70th
Cardinals defense
126.9 allowed 25th
When Arizona has the ball
Passing
Cardinals offense
256.1 yds/g 88th
Seahawks defense
212.9 allowed 69th
Rushing
Cardinals offense
93.1 yds/g 6th
Seahawks defense
91.9 allowed 94th
Player spotlights
6 players whose usage sets a bar they usually clear. The bar is picked from prior games; the matchup effect is measured and flagged only where it is real.
SeahawksSam DarnoldQB
225+ Pass Yards
229.4 avg · cleared 60% (6/10)
Tough matchup-15 ydsPlayers lose 15 yards against their own form facing this pass defence
Kenneth Walker IIIRB
50+ Rush Yards
59.7 avg · cleared 70% (7/10)
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR
75+ Rec Yards
97.4 avg · cleared 80% (8/10)
Matchup not a factor
CardinalsJacoby BrissettQB
250+ Pass Yards
276.7 avg · cleared 60% (6/10)
Trey McBrideTE
75+ Rec Yards
81.8 avg · cleared 60% (6/10)
Matchup not a factor
Michael WilsonWR
60+ Rec Yards
87.0 avg · cleared 60% (6/10)
Matchup not a factor
Receivers carry no matchup call: across three ingested seasons the gap between the softest and toughest defences is about 2 receiving yards, against a 35-yard game-to-game swing. We measured it rather than assuming it.
Recent form
The last five results, oldest to newest.
SeahawksWWWWW5-0 last 5 · 26.6 for · 15.0 againstCardinalsLLLLL0-5 last 5 · 18.0 for · 37.0 against