Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers

Week 2 · 2026-09-20

Las Vegas Raiders

3-14 in 2025

Los Angeles Chargers

11-7 in 2025

Built from the full 2025 season — the 2026 feed has no played games yet.

The read

Each side's case and the swing factor, from last season's profiles. Records, not forecasts.

Las Vegas wins if

Weak offense (14 pts/g) beats Chargers' strong defense (20 allowed).

Los Angeles wins if

Weak offense (21 pts/g) beats Raiders' weak defense (25 allowed).

Matchup at a glance

Last season's profiles side by side, then each offense against the other defense. Percentiles are league rank, higher is better for that side.

RaidersChargers

14.2 3^thPoints / game28^th 20.6

25.4 25^thPoints allowed / game78^th 19.8

4.4 9^thYards / play25^th 5.1

77.5 3^thRush yards / game59^th 119.7

195.0 19^thPass yards / game47^th 228.4

34% 3rd-down % 44%

-0.4 20^thTurnover margin / game70^th 0.2

What it says. Chargers lead on 6 of 6 ranked rows; the widest gap is rush yards / game, Chargers 59th against 3th.

Each offense against the other defense

When Las Vegas has the ball

Passing

Raiders offense

195 yds/g 19^th

Chargers defense

199 allowed 88^th

Even

Rushing

Raiders offense

77.5 yds/g 3^th

Chargers defense

107.6 allowed 72^th

Edge Chargers

When Los Angeles has the ball

Passing

Chargers offense

228.4 yds/g 47^th

Raiders defense

214.4 allowed 66^th

Even

Rushing

Chargers offense

119.7 yds/g 59^th

Raiders defense

116.8 allowed 47^th

Even

Player spotlights

4 players whose usage sets a bar they usually clear. The bar is picked from prior games; the matchup effect is measured and flagged only where it is real.

Raiders

Ashton JeantyRB

40+ Rush Yards

53.0 avg · cleared 60% (6/10)

Tough matchup-9 ydsPlayers lose 9 yards against their own form facing this run defence, 5th-toughest run defence of 32

Brock BowersTE

40+ Rec Yards

53.9 avg · cleared 60% (6/10)

Matchup not a factor

Jakobi MeyersWR

40+ Rec Yards

49.5 avg · cleared 70% (7/10)

Matchup not a factor

Chargers

Justin HerbertQB

200+ Pass Yards

197.3 avg · cleared 60% (6/10)

Tough matchup-16 ydsPlayers lose 16 yards against their own form facing this pass defence

Receivers carry no matchup call: across three ingested seasons the gap between the softest and toughest defences is about 2 receiving yards, against a 35-yard game-to-game swing. We measured it rather than assuming it.

Recent form

The last five results, oldest to newest.

RaidersLLLLW1-4 last 5 · 12.4 for · 24.8 against

ChargersWWLLL2-3 last 5 · 14.4 for · 17.0 against