Green Bay Packers at New York Jets

Week 2 · 2026-09-20

Green Bay Packers

9-9 in 2025

New York Jets

3-14 in 2025

Built from the full 2025 season — the 2026 feed has no played games yet.

The read

Each side's case and the swing factor, from last season's profiles. Records, not forecasts.

Green Bay wins if

Middling offense (23 pts/g) beats Jets' weak defense (30 allowed).

New York wins if

Weak offense (18 pts/g) beats Packers' middling defense (22 allowed).

Watch

Packers own the turnover battle.

Matchup at a glance

Last season's profiles side by side, then each offense against the other defense. Percentiles are league rank, higher is better for that side.

PackersJets

23.2 56^thPoints / game12^th 17.6

21.7 62^thPoints allowed / game6^th 29.6

5.6 72^thYards / play12^th 4.4

118.7 53^thRush yards / game70^th 123.3

231.6 53^thPass yards / game3^th 163.8

48% 3rd-down % 35%

0.2 70^thTurnover margin / game3^th -1.1

What it says. Packers lead on 5 of 6 ranked rows; the widest gap is turnover margin / game, Packers 70th against 3th.

Each offense against the other defense

When Green Bay has the ball

Passing

Packers offense

231.6 yds/g 53^th

Jets defense

226.4 allowed 53^th

Even

Rushing

Packers offense

118.7 yds/g 53^th

Jets defense

139.5 allowed 12^th

Edge Jets

When New York has the ball

Passing

Jets offense

163.8 yds/g 3^th

Packers defense

215.4 allowed 62^th

Edge Packers

Rushing

Jets offense

123.3 yds/g 70^th

Packers defense

116.3 allowed 53^th

Edge Jets

Player spotlights

5 players whose usage sets a bar they usually clear. The bar is picked from prior games; the matchup effect is measured and flagged only where it is real.

Packers

Jordan LoveQB

225+ Pass Yards

226.6 avg · cleared 60% (6/10)

Tough matchup-22 ydsPlayers lose 22 yards against their own form facing this pass defence, 7th-toughest pass defence of 32

Josh JacobsRB

50+ Rush Yards

57.0 avg · cleared 60% (6/10)

Christian WatsonWR

40+ Rec Yards

56.2 avg · cleared 70% (7/10)

Matchup not a factor

Jets

Breece HallRB

50+ Rush Yards

65.5 avg · cleared 60% (6/10)

Garrett WilsonWR

60+ Rec Yards

56.4 avg · cleared 57% (4/7)

Matchup not a factor

Receivers carry no matchup call: across three ingested seasons the gap between the softest and toughest defences is about 2 receiving yards, against a 35-yard game-to-game swing. We measured it rather than assuming it.

Recent form

The last five results, oldest to newest.

PackersLLLLL0-5 last 5 · 19.2 for · 28.8 against

JetsLLLLL0-5 last 5 · 10.8 for · 37.6 against