Red Sox at Yankees · Sports Today

AL Wild Card Series · Game 3 of 3Yankees lead 1-0 · If necessary

Boston Red Sox

No. 5 seed · 87-75 in the regular season

Regular-season form: offense cooling lately

LHP Ranger Suarez · Command specialist

New York Yankees

No. 4 seed · 93-68 in the regular season

Regular-season form: offense cooling lately

RHP Gerrit Cole · High-strikeout arm · plus control

MLB · Yankee Stadium · 5:00 PM PT

Playoff Prop Desk

Evidence for player and pitcher decisions

Data through Sep 29 · regular season ended Sep 27

Lineup spot leads because it sets plate appearances, which predict a hit more than twice as well as recent hitting does.

Total bases rides on the same chances as a hit, plus extra-base power. We do not model it; these are records.

The opposing starter carries batter strikeouts more than the batter's own form, so his strikeout rate sits beside every row.

Workload leads: a postseason hook can cut a starter's batters faced, and strikeouts need batters.

Records only. When this market was measured, recent hits allowed carried no information beyond its base rate.

Records only — the site has no walks model.

Ranger SuarezLHP · Red Sox vs Yankees

5 K / start5 K / start4.6 H allowed / start4.6 H allowed / start4.6 H allowed / start1.6 BB / start

~85 pitches · 21.9 BF · ~5.1 IP per start · 28 regular-season starts

Recent K423855

Recent H495533

Recent BB421051

Pitches ~9310191969886

BF242527262419

Last 6 recorded starts · no postseason appearance yet

Yankees last game's lineup vs LHP: K 22% 254/1167hits 23% 268/1167BB 9% 104/1167 per PA

Start by start

	Avg	Aug 24	Aug 30	Sep 4	Sep 12	Sep 18	Sep 24
Pitches ~	~85.1	93	101	91	96	98	86
Batters faced	21.9	24	25	27	26	24	19
Innings ~	~5.1	5.0	5.1	7.0	7.0	5.2	5.0
Strikeouts	5	4	2	3	8	5	5
Hits allowed	4.6	4	9	5	5	3	3
Walks	1.6	4	2	1	0	5	1

vs New York Yankees this season: Apr 22: 4.2 IP, 4 K, 5 H, 2 BB; Jun 7: 6.1 IP, 6 K, 6 H, 0 BB; Aug 30: 5.1 IP, 2 K, 9 H, 2 BB

Gerrit ColeRHP · Yankees vs Red Sox

6 K / start6 K / start5.2 H allowed / start5.2 H allowed / start5.2 H allowed / start1.1 BB / start

~89 pitches · 23.6 BF · ~5.2 IP per start · 22 regular-season starts

Recent K553468

Recent H686943

Recent BB110003

Pitches ~7990847790105

BF262427222222

Last 6 recorded starts · no postseason appearance yet

Red Sox last game's lineup vs RHP: K 23% 676/2984hits 22% 649/2984BB 8% 248/2984 per PA

Start by start

	Avg	Aug 27	Sep 1	Sep 6	Sep 12	Sep 18	Sep 23
Pitches ~	~88.7	79	90	84	77	90	105
Batters faced	23.6	26	24	27	22	22	22
Innings ~	~5.2	6.0	5.1	7.0	4.1	6.0	5.2
Strikeouts	6	5	5	3	4	6	8
Hits allowed	5.2	6	8	6	9	4	3
Walks	1.1	1	1	0	0	0	3

vs Boston Red Sox this season: Jun 27: 5.1 IP, 5 K, 7 H, 1 BB

Red SoxNot confirmedvs RHP Gerrit ColeGames with 1+ hitGames with 2+ total basesGames with 1+ strikeoutStrikeouts per PAWalks per PA

Not posted yet — this is the last game's order (Sep 29), not tonight's

1Roman AnthonyLHB vs RHPSeason34/55L147/11Post0/1Season20/55L144/11Post0/1Season41/55L149/11Post1/1Season27% 66/242vs RHP30% 47/159Season12% 29/242K% vs RHP30% 47/1590212013100052301710001112102221000001100

Bats 1st · 4.46 PA per start this season · league average from the 1st spot: 4.49

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	55	52-for-212	34/55 · 62%	14/55 · 25%	84	20/55 · 36%	14/55 · 25%	9/55 · 16%	19	66	27% 66/242	41/55 · 75%	19/55 · 35%	29	12% 29/242
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	25-for-99	16/24 · 67%	7/24 · 29%	46	10/24 · 42%	7/24 · 29%	6/24 · 25%	11	33	31% 33/108	20/24 · 83%	10/24 · 42%	9	8% 9/108
L14Sep 14–27	11	11-for-42	7/11 · 64%	3/11 · 27%	20	4/11 · 36%	3/11 · 27%	2/11 · 18%	6	13	28% 13/46	9/11 · 82%	4/11 · 36%	4	9% 4/46
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-2	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	100% 2/2	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/2
This seriesvs New York Yankees	1	0-for-2	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	100% 2/2	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/2
vs New York Yankeesregular season	2	2-for-7	1/2	1/2	3	1/2	1/2	0/2	1	1	12% 1/8	1/2	0/2	1	12% 1/8

vs Gerrit Cole: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

2Adley RutschmanSwitch vs RHPSeason57/99L147/10Post1/1Season37/99L145/10Post0/1Season50/99L145/10Post1/1Season17% 68/410vs RHP18% 49/267Season10% 39/410K% vs RHP18% 49/2670111310211022151024101110130020000000010

Bats 2nd · 4.27 PA per start this season · league average from the 2nd spot: 4.4

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	99	88-for-364	57/99 · 58%	24/99 · 24%	155	37/99 · 37%	22/99 · 22%	17/99 · 17%	40	68	17% 68/410	50/99 · 51%	14/99 · 14%	39	10% 39/410
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	17	17-for-64	12/17 · 71%	4/17 · 24%	35	10/17 · 59%	4/17 · 24%	4/17 · 24%	10	13	19% 13/67	10/17 · 59%	2/17 · 12%	3	4% 3/67
L14Sep 14–27	10	10-for-38	7/10 · 70%	2/10 · 20%	17	5/10 · 50%	2/10 · 20%	2/10 · 20%	5	7	18% 7/39	5/10 · 50%	1/10 · 10%	1	3% 1/39
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs New York Yankees	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
vs New York Yankeesregular season	10	6-for-40	4/10 · 40%	1/10 · 10%	9	2/10 · 20%	2/10 · 20%	1/10 · 10%	1	7	17% 7/41	6/10 · 60%	1/10 · 10%	0	0% 0/41

vs Gerrit Cole: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

3Willson ContrerasRHB vs RHPSeason83/129L142/4Post0/1Season56/129L141/4Post0/1Season93/129L143/4Post1/1Season25% 135/535vs RHP28% 107/389Season11% 59/535K% vs RHP28% 107/3890010201100003020410023110201130020110000

Bats 3rd · 4.15 PA per start this season · league average from the 3rd spot: 4.3

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	129	124-for-448	83/129 · 64%	32/129 · 25%	232	56/129 · 43%	37/129 · 29%	30/129 · 23%	51	135	25% 135/535	93/129 · 72%	32/129 · 25%	59	11% 59/535
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	5	4-for-14	3/5	1/5	7	2/5	1/5	1/5	1	4	22% 4/18	3/5	1/5	2	11% 2/18
L14Sep 14–27	4	2-for-11	2/4	0/4	5	1/4	1/4	1/4	1	4	29% 4/14	3/4	1/4	1	7% 1/14
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	3	75% 3/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs New York Yankees	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	3	75% 3/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
vs New York Yankeesregular season	13	9-for-47	7/13 · 54%	2/13 · 15%	19	5/13 · 38%	3/13 · 23%	2/13 · 15%	5	16	31% 16/52	11/13 · 85%	4/13 · 31%	5	10% 5/52

vs Gerrit Cole: 1-for-2, 1 XBH, 0 K, 1 BB in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

4Wilyer AbreuLHB vs RHPSeason98/157L144/11Post1/1Season63/157L143/11Post0/1Season89/157L148/11Post1/1Season21% 141/681vs RHP23% 105/464Season10% 71/681K% vs RHP23% 105/4641001200101100220020103211102111020000010

Bats 4th · 4.34 PA per start this season · league average from the 4th spot: 4.18

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	157	149-for-597	98/157 · 62%	42/157 · 27%	267	63/157 · 40%	37/157 · 24%	26/157 · 17%	66	141	21% 141/681	89/157 · 57%	40/157 · 25%	71	10% 71/681
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	17-for-87	12/23 · 52%	4/23 · 17%	27	8/23 · 35%	4/23 · 17%	2/23 · 9%	8	23	24% 23/96	15/23 · 65%	6/23 · 26%	9	9% 9/96
L14Sep 14–27	11	5-for-41	4/11 · 36%	1/11 · 9%	7	3/11 · 27%	0/11 · 0%	0/11 · 0%	2	14	31% 14/45	8/11 · 73%	4/11 · 36%	4	9% 4/45
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
This seriesvs New York Yankees	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
vs New York Yankeesregular season	13	10-for-45	8/13 · 62%	2/13 · 15%	18	5/13 · 38%	3/13 · 23%	2/13 · 15%	5	8	15% 8/53	6/13 · 46%	2/13 · 15%	5	9% 5/53

vs Gerrit Cole: 0-for-3, 1 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

5Ceddanne RafaelaRHB vs RHPSeason102/136L142/3Post0/1Season64/136L140/3Post0/1Season81/136L142/3Post0/1Season20% 117/576vs RHP19% 80/422Season4% 22/576K% vs RHP19% 80/4221002011010100201101000112001100000000100

Bats 5th · 4.3 PA per start this season · league average from the 5th spot: 4.04

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	136	152-for-542	102/136 · 75%	41/136 · 30%	238	64/136 · 47%	29/136 · 21%	20/136 · 15%	51	117	20% 117/576	81/136 · 60%	31/136 · 23%	22	4% 22/576
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	6	5-for-16	4/6	1/6	5	1/6	0/6	0/6	0	5	28% 5/18	4/6	1/6	1	6% 1/18
L14Sep 14–27	3	2-for-6	2/3	0/3	2	0/3	0/3	0/3	0	2	29% 2/7	2/3	0/3	1	14% 1/7
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/3	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
This seriesvs New York Yankees	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/3	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
vs New York Yankeesregular season	13	9-for-51	6/13 · 46%	3/13 · 23%	9	3/13 · 23%	0/13 · 0%	0/13 · 0%	0	8	15% 8/54	5/13 · 38%	2/13 · 15%	3	6% 3/54

vs Gerrit Cole: 2-for-3, 0 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

6Nick SogardSwitch vs RHPSeason43/65L148/12Post0/1Season23/65L143/12Post0/1Season39/65L148/12Post0/1Season20% 56/277vs RHP19% 39/204Season11% 31/277K% vs RHP19% 39/2040102210110010321011021221110000000001010

Bats 6th · 4.26 PA per start this season · league average from the 6th spot: 3.88

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	65	61-for-239	43/65 · 66%	17/65 · 26%	92	23/65 · 35%	14/65 · 22%	8/65 · 12%	20	56	20% 56/277	39/65 · 60%	15/65 · 23%	31	11% 31/277
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	21-for-88	15/24 · 62%	6/24 · 25%	31	8/24 · 33%	5/24 · 21%	3/24 · 12%	6	22	23% 22/97	15/24 · 62%	6/24 · 25%	6	6% 6/97
L14Sep 14–27	12	10-for-45	8/12 · 67%	2/12 · 17%	14	3/12 · 25%	2/12 · 17%	1/12 · 8%	2	11	23% 11/48	8/12 · 67%	3/12 · 25%	2	4% 2/48
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/3	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
This seriesvs New York Yankees	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/3	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
vs New York Yankeesregular season	4	4-for-16	3/4	1/4	8	2/4	2/4	1/4	2	5	31% 5/16	3/4	2/4	0	0% 0/16

vs Gerrit Cole: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

7Jarren DuranLHB vs RHPSeason82/151L144/11Post0/1Season44/151L142/11Post0/1Season108/151L144/11Post1/1Season27% 165/608vs RHP28% 131/467Season7% 41/608K% vs RHP28% 131/4670200211000040021100010001001010011002001

Bats 7th · 4.25 PA per start this season · league average from the 7th spot: 3.73

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	151	114-for-551	82/151 · 54%	27/151 · 18%	199	44/151 · 29%	30/151 · 20%	23/151 · 15%	40	165	27% 165/608	108/151 · 72%	42/151 · 28%	41	7% 41/608
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	14-for-67	10/23 · 43%	4/23 · 17%	23	5/23 · 22%	3/23 · 13%	3/23 · 13%	4	17	22% 17/76	12/23 · 52%	4/23 · 17%	7	9% 7/76
L14Sep 14–27	11	6-for-24	4/11 · 36%	2/11 · 18%	8	2/11 · 18%	1/11 · 9%	1/11 · 9%	1	5	17% 5/30	4/11 · 36%	1/11 · 9%	4	13% 4/30
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-2	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	1	33% 1/3
This seriesvs New York Yankees	1	0-for-2	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	1	33% 1/3
vs New York Yankeesregular season	12	8-for-38	6/12 · 50%	1/12 · 8%	10	1/12 · 8%	1/12 · 8%	1/12 · 8%	2	7	18% 7/39	6/12 · 50%	1/12 · 8%	0	0% 0/39

vs Gerrit Cole: 0-for-3, 2 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

8Trevor StoryRHB vs RHPSeason45/64L146/10Post1/1Season22/64L142/10Post1/1Season50/64L148/10Post1/1Season32% 86/266vs RHP31% 59/190Season4% 11/266K% vs RHP31% 59/1901211100001151140000212011223010010000100

Bats 8th · 4.17 PA per start this season · league average from the 8th spot: 3.54

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	64	59-for-251	45/64 · 70%	11/64 · 17%	88	22/64 · 34%	10/64 · 16%	6/64 · 9%	19	86	32% 86/266	50/64 · 78%	27/64 · 42%	11	4% 11/266
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	22	23-for-83	17/22 · 77%	5/22 · 23%	35	10/22 · 45%	5/22 · 23%	2/22 · 9%	8	28	32% 28/87	18/22 · 82%	8/22 · 36%	3	3% 3/87
L14Sep 14–27	10	7-for-33	6/10 · 60%	1/10 · 10%	13	2/10 · 20%	2/10 · 20%	2/10 · 20%	2	13	35% 13/37	8/10 · 80%	4/10 · 40%	3	8% 3/37
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
This seriesvs New York Yankees	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
vs New York Yankeesregular season	4	3-for-13	2/4	1/4	4	1/4	1/4	0/4	1	3	21% 3/14	2/4	1/4	1	7% 1/14

vs Gerrit Cole: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

9Caleb DurbinRHB vs RHPSeason85/151L145/11Post0/1Season49/151L143/11Post0/1Season64/151L144/11Post0/1Season13% 79/586vs RHP14% 59/422Season9% 51/586K% vs RHP14% 59/4220222000010024200001000011010001000101000

Bats 9th · 3.96 PA per start this season · league average from the 9th spot: 3.23

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	151	126-for-507	85/151 · 56%	34/151 · 23%	192	49/151 · 32%	30/151 · 20%	14/151 · 9%	39	79	13% 79/586	64/151 · 42%	13/151 · 9%	51	9% 51/586
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	16-for-71	12/23 · 52%	4/23 · 17%	22	5/23 · 22%	3/23 · 13%	2/23 · 9%	4	11	12% 11/92	10/23 · 43%	1/23 · 4%	13	14% 13/92
L14Sep 14–27	11	8-for-36	5/11 · 45%	3/11 · 27%	10	3/11 · 27%	1/11 · 9%	1/11 · 9%	2	4	9% 4/44	4/11 · 36%	0/11 · 0%	5	11% 5/44
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/3	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
This seriesvs New York Yankees	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/3	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
vs New York Yankeesregular season	13	8-for-44	6/13 · 46%	2/13 · 15%	12	2/13 · 15%	2/13 · 15%	1/13 · 8%	2	13	27% 13/48	10/13 · 77%	2/13 · 15%	4	8% 4/48

vs Gerrit Cole: 1-for-3, 1 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

YankeesNot confirmedvs LHP Ranger SuarezGames with 1+ hitGames with 2+ total basesGames with 1+ strikeoutStrikeouts per PAWalks per PA

Not posted yet — this is the last game's order (Sep 29), not tonight's

1Paul GoldschmidtRHB vs LHPSeason58/104L143/5Post0/1Season39/104L141/5Post0/1Season60/104L141/5Post0/1Season22% 84/380vs LHP17% 31/183Season8% 29/380K% vs LHP17% 31/1830101110200010211030011000001000110010002

Bats 1st · 4.18 PA per start this season · league average from the 1st spot: 4.49

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	104	87-for-345	58/104 · 56%	25/104 · 24%	156	39/104 · 38%	24/104 · 23%	18/104 · 17%	32	84	22% 84/380	60/104 · 58%	20/104 · 19%	29	8% 29/380
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	11	8-for-27	6/11 · 55%	2/11 · 18%	10	3/11 · 27%	1/11 · 9%	0/11 · 0%	2	3	9% 3/32	3/11 · 27%	0/11 · 0%	3	9% 3/32
L14Sep 14–27	5	4-for-15	3/5	1/5	5	1/5	1/5	0/5	1	1	6% 1/17	1/5	0/5	1	6% 1/17
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/5	0/1	0/1	2	40% 2/5
This seriesvs Boston Red Sox	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/5	0/1	0/1	2	40% 2/5
vs Boston Red Soxregular season	10	8-for-38	4/10 · 40%	3/10 · 30%	15	4/10 · 40%	3/10 · 30%	2/10 · 20%	3	7	18% 7/40	6/10 · 60%	1/10 · 10%	2	5% 2/40

vs Ranger Suarez: 3-for-9, 1 K in 9 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

2Ben RiceLHB vs LHPSeason98/154L148/12Post1/1Season68/154L145/12Post1/1Season106/154L148/12Post1/1Season24% 162/666vs LHP27% 60/221Season13% 84/666K% vs LHP27% 60/22120001301247000290131101031013112010011010

Bats 2nd · 4.41 PA per start this season · league average from the 2nd spot: 4.4

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	154	151-for-573	98/154 · 64%	42/154 · 27%	306	68/154 · 44%	53/154 · 34%	43/154 · 28%	69	162	24% 162/666	106/154 · 69%	41/154 · 27%	84	13% 84/666
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	27-for-85	15/23 · 65%	8/23 · 35%	49	10/23 · 43%	7/23 · 30%	5/23 · 22%	9	21	20% 21/103	14/23 · 61%	4/23 · 17%	16	16% 16/103
L14Sep 14–27	12	13-for-43	8/12 · 67%	4/12 · 33%	26	5/12 · 42%	3/12 · 25%	2/12 · 17%	6	12	22% 12/54	8/12 · 67%	2/12 · 17%	10	19% 10/54
Postseasonthis October	1	4-for-5	1/1	1/1	11	1/1	1/1	1/1	3	1	20% 1/5	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/5
This seriesvs Boston Red Sox	1	4-for-5	1/1	1/1	11	1/1	1/1	1/1	3	1	20% 1/5	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/5
vs Boston Red Soxregular season	12	7-for-43	4/12 · 33%	3/12 · 25%	11	3/12 · 25%	2/12 · 17%	1/12 · 8%	2	16	35% 16/46	9/12 · 75%	5/12 · 42%	2	4% 2/46

vs Ranger Suarez: 0-for-3, 1 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

3Heliot RamosRHB vs LHPSeason73/112L148/11Post0/1Season41/112L146/11Post0/1Season82/112L1410/11Post1/1Season27% 120/442vs LHP24% 28/115Season7% 31/442K% vs LHP24% 28/1150111021210044202141011122120122000000010

Bats 3rd · 4.04 PA per start this season · league average from the 3rd spot: 4.3

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	112	98-for-404	73/112 · 65%	20/112 · 18%	165	41/112 · 37%	19/112 · 17%	15/112 · 13%	37	120	27% 120/442	82/112 · 73%	30/112 · 27%	31	7% 31/442
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	17	14-for-55	11/17 · 65%	3/17 · 18%	27	7/17 · 41%	5/17 · 29%	4/17 · 24%	6	17	27% 17/62	13/17 · 76%	4/17 · 24%	6	10% 6/62
L14Sep 14–27	11	11-for-41	8/11 · 73%	3/11 · 27%	21	6/11 · 55%	4/11 · 36%	3/11 · 27%	5	13	28% 13/47	10/11 · 91%	3/11 · 27%	5	11% 5/47
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	67% 2/3	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/3
This seriesvs Boston Red Sox	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	67% 2/3	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/3
vs Boston Red Soxregular season	4	3-for-7	2/4	1/4	7	2/4	1/4	1/4	2	2	17% 2/12	2/4	0/4	4	33% 4/12

vs Ranger Suarez: 2-for-2, 1 XBH, 0 K, 1 BB in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

4Cody BellingerLHB vs LHPSeason90/132L146/10Post1/1Season53/132L143/10Post0/1Season66/132L144/10Post0/1Season16% 88/562vs LHP14% 29/200Season10% 59/562K% vs LHP14% 29/2003310110001631014000110003010101100001000

Bats 4th · 4.3 PA per start this season · league average from the 4th spot: 4.18

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	132	132-for-496	90/132 · 68%	32/132 · 24%	214	53/132 · 40%	28/132 · 21%	20/132 · 15%	45	88	16% 88/562	66/132 · 50%	18/132 · 14%	59	10% 59/562
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	22	28-for-91	16/22 · 73%	8/22 · 36%	46	11/22 · 50%	9/22 · 41%	6/22 · 27%	8	14	15% 14/95	10/22 · 45%	2/22 · 9%	3	3% 3/95
L14Sep 14–27	10	10-for-41	6/10 · 60%	2/10 · 20%	16	3/10 · 30%	3/10 · 30%	2/10 · 20%	2	6	14% 6/44	4/10 · 40%	1/10 · 10%	3	7% 3/44
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Boston Red Sox	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Boston Red Soxregular season	13	9-for-45	7/13 · 54%	2/13 · 15%	12	2/13 · 15%	1/13 · 8%	1/13 · 8%	1	9	18% 9/49	7/13 · 54%	2/13 · 15%	4	8% 4/49

vs Ranger Suarez: 3-for-9, 3 K in 9 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

5George Lombard Jr.RHB vs LHPSeason27/42L149/11Post1/1Season16/42L146/11Post1/1Season29/42L146/11Post0/1Season27% 44/166vs LHP27% 8/30Season6% 10/166K% vs LHP27% 8/301202111203150511460300101140200000000000

Bats 5th · 3.95 PA per start this season · league average from the 5th spot: 4.04

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	42	36-for-152	27/42 · 64%	9/42 · 21%	63	16/42 · 38%	8/42 · 19%	7/42 · 17%	12	44	27% 44/166	29/42 · 69%	11/42 · 26%	10	6% 10/166
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	19	16-for-73	12/19 · 63%	4/19 · 21%	34	8/19 · 42%	5/19 · 26%	5/19 · 26%	8	20	25% 20/79	13/19 · 68%	5/19 · 26%	3	4% 3/79
L14Sep 14–27	11	13-for-46	9/11 · 82%	4/11 · 36%	27	6/11 · 55%	4/11 · 36%	4/11 · 36%	6	11	23% 11/47	6/11 · 55%	3/11 · 27%	1	2% 1/47
Postseasonthis October	1	3-for-4	1/1	1/1	3	1/1	1/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Boston Red Sox	1	3-for-4	1/1	1/1	3	1/1	1/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Boston Red Soxregular season	3	1-for-7	1/3	0/3	1	0/3	0/3	0/3	0	2	25% 2/8	1/3	1/3	1	12% 1/8

vs Ranger Suarez: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

6Amed RosarioRHB vs LHPSeason43/86L143/4Post0/1Season20/86L141/4Post0/1Season44/86L141/4Post1/1Season23% 57/244vs LHP21% 33/160Season6% 14/244K% vs LHP21% 33/1602101010120220101012011100000110000000001

Bats 6th · 3.43 PA per start this season · league average from the 6th spot: 3.88

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	86	54-for-227	43/86 · 50%	9/86 · 10%	92	20/86 · 23%	9/86 · 10%	9/86 · 10%	17	57	23% 57/244	44/86 · 51%	12/86 · 14%	14	6% 14/244
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	9	8-for-30	6/9	2/9	9	3/9	0/9	0/9	1	4	13% 4/30	4/9	0/9	0	0% 0/30
L14Sep 14–27	4	4-for-13	3/4	1/4	4	1/4	0/4	0/4	0	1	8% 1/13	1/4	0/4	0	0% 0/13
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-1	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	50% 1/2	1/1	0/1	1	50% 1/2
This seriesvs Boston Red Sox	1	0-for-1	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	50% 1/2	1/1	0/1	1	50% 1/2
vs Boston Red Soxregular season	12	11-for-35	8/12 · 67%	3/12 · 25%	14	4/12 · 33%	1/12 · 8%	1/12 · 8%	1	4	10% 4/40	3/12 · 25%	1/12 · 8%	4	10% 4/40

vs Ranger Suarez: 2-for-7, 1 XBH, 0 K in 8 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

7Anthony VolpeRHB vs LHPSeason36/69L146/10Post1/1Season20/69L144/10Post0/1Season44/69L146/10Post0/1Season23% 56/243vs LHP18% 18/100Season9% 23/243K% vs LHP18% 18/1002201100211330110022100210312101000000000

Bats 7th · 3.75 PA per start this season · league average from the 7th spot: 3.73

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	69	53-for-218	36/69 · 52%	14/69 · 20%	73	20/69 · 29%	9/69 · 13%	3/69 · 4%	15	56	23% 56/243	44/69 · 64%	11/69 · 16%	23	9% 23/243
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	14	13-for-49	8/14 · 57%	4/14 · 29%	19	5/14 · 36%	3/14 · 21%	1/14 · 7%	4	11	22% 11/51	7/14 · 50%	3/14 · 21%	2	4% 2/51
L14Sep 14–27	10	9-for-36	6/10 · 60%	3/10 · 30%	12	4/10 · 40%	2/10 · 20%	0/10 · 0%	3	10	27% 10/37	6/10 · 60%	3/10 · 30%	1	3% 1/37
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Boston Red Sox	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Boston Red Soxregular season	6	2-for-17	2/6	0/6	3	1/6	0/6	0/6	1	5	25% 5/20	3/6	2/6	3	15% 3/20

vs Ranger Suarez: 0-for-3, 0 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

8Spencer JonesLHB vs LHPSeason46/84L146/10Post1/1Season27/84L143/10Post0/1Season63/84L148/10Post0/1Season36% 104/289vs LHP31% 18/59Season9% 25/289K% vs LHP31% 18/591001011111400401211105222021200000100001

Bats 8th · 3.62 PA per start this season · league average from the 8th spot: 3.54

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	84	64-for-261	46/84 · 55%	15/84 · 18%	112	27/84 · 32%	18/84 · 21%	15/84 · 18%	25	104	36% 104/289	63/84 · 75%	30/84 · 36%	25	9% 25/289
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	22	22-for-83	16/22 · 73%	5/22 · 23%	38	11/22 · 50%	6/22 · 27%	4/22 · 18%	8	35	38% 35/91	17/22 · 77%	12/22 · 55%	7	8% 7/91
L14Sep 14–27	10	6-for-42	6/10 · 60%	0/10 · 0%	13	3/10 · 30%	2/10 · 20%	2/10 · 20%	3	18	42% 18/43	8/10 · 80%	7/10 · 70%	1	2% 1/43
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	1	25% 1/4
This seriesvs Boston Red Sox	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	1	25% 1/4
vs Boston Red Soxregular season	8	7-for-18	5/8	1/8	8	1/8	1/8	1/8	1	6	32% 6/19	4/8	1/8	0	0% 0/19

vs Ranger Suarez: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

9Austin WellsLHB vs LHPSeason51/121L145/8Post1/1Season25/121L143/8Post1/1Season73/121L145/8Post0/1Season27% 103/388vs LHP29% 29/99Season12% 48/388K% vs LHP29% 29/991101210102440151040222010110100001111120

Bats 9th · 3.39 PA per start this season · league average from the 9th spot: 3.23

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	121	62-for-333	51/121 · 42%	10/121 · 8%	111	25/121 · 21%	14/121 · 12%	13/121 · 11%	21	103	27% 103/388	73/121 · 60%	27/121 · 22%	48	12% 48/388
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	20	10-for-52	8/20 · 40%	2/20 · 10%	22	5/20 · 25%	4/20 · 20%	4/20 · 20%	4	15	23% 15/66	12/20 · 60%	3/20 · 15%	14	21% 14/66
L14Sep 14–27	8	6-for-21	5/8	1/8	15	3/8	3/8	3/8	3	6	21% 6/28	5/8	1/8	7	25% 7/28
Postseasonthis October	1	2-for-3	1/1	1/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Boston Red Sox	1	2-for-3	1/1	1/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Boston Red Soxregular season	12	5-for-35	4/12 · 33%	1/12 · 8%	11	1/12 · 8%	1/12 · 8%	1/12 · 8%	2	9	25% 9/36	6/12 · 50%	2/12 · 17%	0	0% 0/36

vs Ranger Suarez: 0-for-2, 1 K in 2 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

Thresholds

Games that cleared each mark. Counts first; a rate only from 10 games up. L14 is the last two weeks of the regular season.

1+ hit — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Red Sox
1Roman Anthony	34/55 · 62%	7/11 · 64%	0/1
2Adley Rutschman	57/99 · 58%	7/10 · 70%	1/1
3Willson Contreras	83/129 · 64%	2/4	0/1
4Wilyer Abreu	98/157 · 62%	4/11 · 36%	1/1
5Ceddanne Rafaela	102/136 · 75%	2/3	0/1
6Nick Sogard	43/65 · 66%	8/12 · 67%	0/1
7Jarren Duran	82/151 · 54%	4/11 · 36%	0/1
8Trevor Story	45/64 · 70%	6/10 · 60%	1/1
9Caleb Durbin	85/151 · 56%	5/11 · 45%	0/1
Yankees
1Paul Goldschmidt	58/104 · 56%	3/5	0/1
2Ben Rice	98/154 · 64%	8/12 · 67%	1/1
3Heliot Ramos	73/112 · 65%	8/11 · 73%	0/1
4Cody Bellinger	90/132 · 68%	6/10 · 60%	1/1
5George Lombard Jr.	27/42 · 64%	9/11 · 82%	1/1
6Amed Rosario	43/86 · 50%	3/4	0/1
7Anthony Volpe	36/69 · 52%	6/10 · 60%	1/1
8Spencer Jones	46/84 · 55%	6/10 · 60%	1/1
9Austin Wells	51/121 · 42%	5/8	1/1

2+ hits — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Red Sox
1Roman Anthony	14/55 · 25%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
2Adley Rutschman	24/99 · 24%	2/10 · 20%	0/1
3Willson Contreras	32/129 · 25%	0/4	0/1
4Wilyer Abreu	42/157 · 27%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
5Ceddanne Rafaela	41/136 · 30%	0/3	0/1
6Nick Sogard	17/65 · 26%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
7Jarren Duran	27/151 · 18%	2/11 · 18%	0/1
8Trevor Story	11/64 · 17%	1/10 · 10%	0/1
9Caleb Durbin	34/151 · 23%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
Yankees
1Paul Goldschmidt	25/104 · 24%	1/5	0/1
2Ben Rice	42/154 · 27%	4/12 · 33%	1/1
3Heliot Ramos	20/112 · 18%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
4Cody Bellinger	32/132 · 24%	2/10 · 20%	0/1
5George Lombard Jr.	9/42 · 21%	4/11 · 36%	1/1
6Amed Rosario	9/86 · 10%	1/4	0/1
7Anthony Volpe	14/69 · 20%	3/10 · 30%	0/1
8Spencer Jones	15/84 · 18%	0/10 · 0%	0/1
9Austin Wells	10/121 · 8%	1/8	1/1

2+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Red Sox
1Roman Anthony	20/55 · 36%	4/11 · 36%	0/1
2Adley Rutschman	37/99 · 37%	5/10 · 50%	0/1
3Willson Contreras	56/129 · 43%	1/4	0/1
4Wilyer Abreu	63/157 · 40%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
5Ceddanne Rafaela	64/136 · 47%	0/3	0/1
6Nick Sogard	23/65 · 35%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
7Jarren Duran	44/151 · 29%	2/11 · 18%	0/1
8Trevor Story	22/64 · 34%	2/10 · 20%	1/1
9Caleb Durbin	49/151 · 32%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
Yankees
1Paul Goldschmidt	39/104 · 38%	1/5	0/1
2Ben Rice	68/154 · 44%	5/12 · 42%	1/1
3Heliot Ramos	41/112 · 37%	6/11 · 55%	0/1
4Cody Bellinger	53/132 · 40%	3/10 · 30%	0/1
5George Lombard Jr.	16/42 · 38%	6/11 · 55%	1/1
6Amed Rosario	20/86 · 23%	1/4	0/1
7Anthony Volpe	20/69 · 29%	4/10 · 40%	0/1
8Spencer Jones	27/84 · 32%	3/10 · 30%	0/1
9Austin Wells	25/121 · 21%	3/8	1/1

3+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Red Sox
1Roman Anthony	14/55 · 25%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
2Adley Rutschman	22/99 · 22%	2/10 · 20%	0/1
3Willson Contreras	37/129 · 29%	1/4	0/1
4Wilyer Abreu	37/157 · 24%	0/11 · 0%	0/1
5Ceddanne Rafaela	29/136 · 21%	0/3	0/1
6Nick Sogard	14/65 · 22%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
7Jarren Duran	30/151 · 20%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
8Trevor Story	10/64 · 16%	2/10 · 20%	0/1
9Caleb Durbin	30/151 · 20%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
Yankees
1Paul Goldschmidt	24/104 · 23%	1/5	0/1
2Ben Rice	53/154 · 34%	3/12 · 25%	1/1
3Heliot Ramos	19/112 · 17%	4/11 · 36%	0/1
4Cody Bellinger	28/132 · 21%	3/10 · 30%	0/1
5George Lombard Jr.	8/42 · 19%	4/11 · 36%	1/1
6Amed Rosario	9/86 · 10%	0/4	0/1
7Anthony Volpe	9/69 · 13%	2/10 · 20%	0/1
8Spencer Jones	18/84 · 21%	2/10 · 20%	0/1
9Austin Wells	14/121 · 12%	3/8	0/1

4+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Red Sox
1Roman Anthony	9/55 · 16%	2/11 · 18%	0/1
2Adley Rutschman	17/99 · 17%	2/10 · 20%	0/1
3Willson Contreras	30/129 · 23%	1/4	0/1
4Wilyer Abreu	26/157 · 17%	0/11 · 0%	0/1
5Ceddanne Rafaela	20/136 · 15%	0/3	0/1
6Nick Sogard	8/65 · 12%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
7Jarren Duran	23/151 · 15%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
8Trevor Story	6/64 · 9%	2/10 · 20%	0/1
9Caleb Durbin	14/151 · 9%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
Yankees
1Paul Goldschmidt	18/104 · 17%	0/5	0/1
2Ben Rice	43/154 · 28%	2/12 · 17%	1/1
3Heliot Ramos	15/112 · 13%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
4Cody Bellinger	20/132 · 15%	2/10 · 20%	0/1
5George Lombard Jr.	7/42 · 17%	4/11 · 36%	0/1
6Amed Rosario	9/86 · 10%	0/4	0/1
7Anthony Volpe	3/69 · 4%	0/10 · 0%	0/1
8Spencer Jones	15/84 · 18%	2/10 · 20%	0/1
9Austin Wells	13/121 · 11%	3/8	0/1

1+ K — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Red Sox
1Roman Anthony	41/55 · 75%	9/11 · 82%	1/1
2Adley Rutschman	50/99 · 51%	5/10 · 50%	1/1
3Willson Contreras	93/129 · 72%	3/4	1/1
4Wilyer Abreu	89/157 · 57%	8/11 · 73%	1/1
5Ceddanne Rafaela	81/136 · 60%	2/3	0/1
6Nick Sogard	39/65 · 60%	8/12 · 67%	0/1
7Jarren Duran	108/151 · 72%	4/11 · 36%	1/1
8Trevor Story	50/64 · 78%	8/10 · 80%	1/1
9Caleb Durbin	64/151 · 42%	4/11 · 36%	0/1
Yankees
1Paul Goldschmidt	60/104 · 58%	1/5	0/1
2Ben Rice	106/154 · 69%	8/12 · 67%	1/1
3Heliot Ramos	82/112 · 73%	10/11 · 91%	1/1
4Cody Bellinger	66/132 · 50%	4/10 · 40%	0/1
5George Lombard Jr.	29/42 · 69%	6/11 · 55%	0/1
6Amed Rosario	44/86 · 51%	1/4	1/1
7Anthony Volpe	44/69 · 64%	6/10 · 60%	0/1
8Spencer Jones	63/84 · 75%	8/10 · 80%	0/1
9Austin Wells	73/121 · 60%	5/8	0/1

2+ K — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Red Sox
1Roman Anthony	19/55 · 35%	4/11 · 36%	1/1
2Adley Rutschman	14/99 · 14%	1/10 · 10%	1/1
3Willson Contreras	32/129 · 25%	1/4	1/1
4Wilyer Abreu	40/157 · 25%	4/11 · 36%	0/1
5Ceddanne Rafaela	31/136 · 23%	0/3	0/1
6Nick Sogard	15/65 · 23%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
7Jarren Duran	42/151 · 28%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
8Trevor Story	27/64 · 42%	4/10 · 40%	0/1
9Caleb Durbin	13/151 · 9%	0/11 · 0%	0/1
Yankees
1Paul Goldschmidt	20/104 · 19%	0/5	0/1
2Ben Rice	41/154 · 27%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
3Heliot Ramos	30/112 · 27%	3/11 · 27%	1/1
4Cody Bellinger	18/132 · 14%	1/10 · 10%	0/1
5George Lombard Jr.	11/42 · 26%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
6Amed Rosario	12/86 · 14%	0/4	0/1
7Anthony Volpe	11/69 · 16%	3/10 · 30%	0/1
8Spencer Jones	30/84 · 36%	7/10 · 70%	0/1
9Austin Wells	27/121 · 22%	1/8	0/1

4+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Ranger Suarez	18/28 · 64%	4/6	—
Gerrit Cole	19/22 · 86%	5/6	—

6+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Ranger Suarez	10/28 · 36%	1/6	—
Gerrit Cole	11/22 · 50%	2/6	—

7+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Ranger Suarez	7/28 · 25%	1/6	—
Gerrit Cole	8/22 · 36%	1/6	—

3 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Ranger Suarez	8/28 · 29%	2/6	—
Gerrit Cole	3/22 · 14%	1/6	—

5 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Ranger Suarez	18/28 · 64%	5/6	—
Gerrit Cole	13/22 · 59%	2/6	—

6 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Ranger Suarez	24/28 · 86%	5/6	—
Gerrit Cole	17/22 · 77%	4/6	—

1 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Ranger Suarez	14/28 · 50%	3/6	—
Gerrit Cole	15/22 · 68%	5/6	—

2 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Ranger Suarez	23/28 · 82%	4/6	—
Gerrit Cole	19/22 · 86%	5/6	—

3+ — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Ranger Suarez	5/28 · 18%	2/6	—
Gerrit Cole	3/22 · 14%	1/6	—

regular season ends · 2 playoff game · strips run oldest → newest · tap a hitter for L28, the opponent, the series and the matchup. Built from the play-by-play feed, which does not pick up official scoring changes, so a season total can differ from MLB’s by a hit. Evidence, not picks: no odds are read and nothing here is scored.

Game Analysis

Context and interpretation

Team Identity

Boston Red Sox

Season-to-date, 162 games, 6,346 PA.

A balanced offense without a standout strength or glaring weakness. The offense has cooled off recently.

Power

Below Avg38

Contact

Average50

Plate Discipline

Below Avg35

Speed

Below Avg42

RISP

Well Below19

Recent Form

Trending Down

Total bases per PA is down 17% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

New York Yankees

Season-to-date, 161 games, 6,245 PA.

A power-hitting, patient offense that does damage on extra-base hits, though it can be strikeout-prone. The offense has cooled off recently.

Power

Above Avg77

Contact

Well Below11

Plate Discipline

Above Avg72

Speed

Average65

RISP

Below Avg31

Recent Form

Trending Down

Walk rate is down 9% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

What This Game Is About

Biggest Advantage

Yankees' offense is defined by being power-hitting, and this game tests whether Red Sox can match it.

Swing Factor

Ranger Suarez strikes hitters out at a 22.4% clip (58th percentile); Yankees carry a 23.6% strikeout rate.

Momentum

Red Sox are trending down and Yankees are trending down over their last 10 games.

Key Matchups

Can either lineup run up a starter's pitch count?

Red Sox' nine see 3.83 pitches per plate appearance against RHPs (league 3.89); Gerrit Cole averages ~89 pitches and 23.6 batters a start. Yankees' nine see 3.87 pitches per plate appearance against LHPs (league 3.89); Ranger Suarez averages ~85 pitches and 21.9 batters a start.

Edge · EvenRed Sox: 3.83 P/PAYankees: 3.87 P/PALow confidence

Which lineup has the platoon advantage?

5 of 9 in the Red Sox' last game's lineup bat from the other side of Gerrit Cole (RHP); 5 of 9 in the Yankees' last game's lineup bat from the other side of Ranger Suarez (LHP). Switch hitters count.

Edge · EvenRed Sox: 5/9Yankees: 5/9Low confidence

Uses the last game's order where tonight's lineup is not posted.

Which bullpen is under more pressure?

Red Sox relievers ~215 pitches; Yankees relievers ~29 pitches (Sep 27–29).

Edge · YankeesRed Sox: ~215 relief pitchesYankees: ~29 relief pitchesModerate confidence

Through Sep 29, the feed's last day. Relief pitches are reconstructed from play-by-play.

Expected Game Shape

BalancedLow confidence

Competitive profile without a clear stylistic tilt. Yankees bring more power. Starting pitching is likely to set the tone.

Both probable starters grade around the 59th percentile in combined suppression.
Red Sox are trending down; Yankees are trending down.

Storylines to Watch

Can Yankees handle Ranger Suarez's strikeout stuff?

Yankees have been a below-average contact team while Ranger Suarez misses bats at an above-average rate — a swing factor early.

Yankees contact percentile: 11

Does Yankees' power tilt the game?

Yankees bring a clearly stronger extra-base profile into this matchup.

Red Sox power pct 38 vs Yankees 77

Is Austin Wells the one to watch?

Austin Wells enters as Yankees' hottest bat. On-base rate is up 92% over his prior baseline, with hits in 4 of his last 7 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 17%.

0.208 hit rate · 0.458 TB/PA · 0.147 hit rate · 0.258 TB/PA

Based on plate appearances before 2026-10-01, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.