White Sox at Astros · Sports Today

AL Wild Card Series · Game 2 of 3White Sox win 2-0

Chicago White Sox

No. 6 seed · 84-78 in the regular season

Regular-season form: bats heating up

RHP Sean Burke · High-strikeout arm

Houston Astros

No. 3 seed · 81-81 in the regular season

Regular-season form: bats heating up

RHP Hunter Brown · High-strikeout arm

MLB · Daikin Park, hits run 5% below average here · 2:00 PM PT

Playoff Prop Desk

Evidence for player and pitcher decisions

Data through Sep 29 · regular season ended Sep 27

Lineup spot leads because it sets plate appearances, which predict a hit more than twice as well as recent hitting does.

Total bases rides on the same chances as a hit, plus extra-base power. We do not model it; these are records.

The opposing starter carries batter strikeouts more than the batter's own form, so his strikeout rate sits beside every row.

Workload leads: a postseason hook can cut a starter's batters faced, and strikeouts need batters.

Records only. When this market was measured, recent hits allowed carried no information beyond its base rate.

Records only — the site has no walks model.

Sean BurkeRHP · White Sox vs Astros

5.7 K / start5.7 K / start4.6 H allowed / start4.6 H allowed / start4.6 H allowed / start2 BB / start

~91 pitches · 22.4 BF · ~5.1 IP per start · 27 regular-season starts

Recent K436257

Recent H721854

Recent BB084231

Pitches ~9892104489789

BF251722142621

Last 6 recorded starts · no postseason appearance yet

Astros confirmed lineup vs RHP: K 20% 641/3151hits 23% 729/3151BB 9% 284/3151 per PA

Start by start

	Avg	Aug 21	Aug 26	Sep 1	Sep 8	Sep 19	Sep 25
Pitches ~	~90.6	98	92	104	48	97	89
Batters faced	22.4	25	17	22	14	26	21
Innings ~	~5.1	6.0	3.0	5.2	1.1	6.0	5.1
Strikeouts	5.7	4	3	6	2	5	7
Hits allowed	4.6	7	2	1	8	5	4
Walks	2	0	8	4	2	3	1

vs Houston Astros this season: Jul 25: 6.0 IP, 10 K, 4 H, 1 BB; Sep 1: 5.2 IP, 6 K, 1 H, 4 BB

Hunter BrownRHP · Astros vs White Sox

6.2 K / start6.2 K / start4 H allowed / start4 H allowed / start4 H allowed / start2.8 BB / start

~94 pitches · 22.6 BF · ~5.1 IP per start · 20 regular-season starts

Recent K107710104

Recent H567232

Recent BB120324

Pitches ~102101909198100

BF252521202124

Last 6 recorded starts · no postseason appearance yet

White Sox confirmed lineup vs RHP: K 24% 808/3433hits 21% 729/3433BB 10% 353/3433 per PA

Start by start

	Avg	Aug 28	Sep 3	Sep 9	Sep 15	Sep 20	Sep 25
Pitches ~	~94	102	101	90	91	98	100
Batters faced	22.6	25	25	21	20	21	24
Innings ~	~5.1	6.2	6.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.1
Strikeouts	6.2	10	7	7	10	10	4
Hits allowed	4	5	6	7	2	3	2
Walks	2.8	1	2	0	3	2	4

vs Chicago White Sox this season: Jul 25: 7.0 IP, 7 K, 2 H, 0 BB; Sep 3: 6.0 IP, 7 K, 6 H, 2 BB

White Sox✓ Confirmed lineupvs RHP Hunter BrownGames with 1+ hitGames with 2+ total basesGames with 1+ strikeoutStrikeouts per PAWalks per PA

1Sam AntonacciLHB vs RHPSeason85/139L148/11Post1/1Season51/139L145/11Post0/1Season68/139L142/11Post0/1Season15% 82/557vs RHP13% 58/443Season8% 43/557K% vs RHP13% 58/4430002123121000312313100000001000000010001

Bats 1st · 4.28 PA per start this season · league average from the 1st spot: 4.49

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	139	132-for-480	85/139 · 61%	38/139 · 27%	189	51/139 · 37%	29/139 · 21%	13/139 · 9%	37	82	15% 82/557	68/139 · 49%	14/139 · 10%	43	8% 43/557
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	26-for-82	17/24 · 71%	7/24 · 29%	33	8/24 · 33%	5/24 · 21%	1/24 · 4%	6	9	10% 9/94	9/24 · 38%	0/24 · 0%	6	6% 6/94
L14Sep 14–27	11	14-for-37	8/11 · 73%	5/11 · 45%	16	5/11 · 45%	3/11 · 27%	0/11 · 0%	2	2	5% 2/41	2/11 · 18%	0/11 · 0%	1	2% 1/41
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/5	0/1	0/1	1	20% 1/5
This seriesvs Houston Astros	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/5	0/1	0/1	1	20% 1/5
vs Houston Astrosregular season	7	6-for-23	4/7	2/7	8	2/7	2/7	0/7	2	4	14% 4/29	4/7	0/7	4	14% 4/29

vs Hunter Brown: 1-for-6, 0 K in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

2Kyle TeelLHB vs RHPSeason19/39L146/11Post1/1Season11/39L143/11Post0/1Season31/39L148/11Post0/1Season35% 51/144vs RHP35% 37/105Season13% 19/144K% vs RHP35% 37/1050001012121000101512121212200201001111000

Bats 2nd · 4.19 PA per start this season · league average from the 2nd spot: 4.4

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	39	25-for-119	19/39 · 49%	6/39 · 15%	43	11/39 · 28%	5/39 · 13%	5/39 · 13%	8	51	35% 51/144	31/39 · 79%	16/39 · 41%	19	13% 19/144
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	20	13-for-56	9/20 · 45%	4/20 · 20%	23	6/20 · 30%	3/20 · 15%	3/20 · 15%	4	24	32% 24/74	15/20 · 75%	8/20 · 40%	13	18% 13/74
L14Sep 14–27	11	8-for-34	6/11 · 55%	2/11 · 18%	12	3/11 · 27%	1/11 · 9%	1/11 · 9%	2	15	32% 15/47	8/11 · 73%	6/11 · 55%	8	17% 8/47
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-5	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/5	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/5
This seriesvs Houston Astros	1	1-for-5	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/5	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/5
vs Houston Astrosregular season	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

vs Hunter Brown: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

3Miguel VargasRHB vs RHPSeason107/159L149/12Post0/1Season61/159L144/12Post0/1Season93/159L146/12Post1/1Season18% 126/704vs RHP18% 91/496Season14% 101/704K% vs RHP18% 91/4960211112000064111200011010031011023101031

Bats 3rd · 4.48 PA per start this season · league average from the 3rd spot: 4.3

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	159	147-for-588	107/159 · 67%	33/159 · 21%	279	61/159 · 38%	37/159 · 23%	33/159 · 21%	65	126	18% 126/704	93/159 · 58%	28/159 · 18%	101	14% 101/704
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	25	24-for-94	18/25 · 72%	6/25 · 24%	37	8/25 · 32%	4/25 · 16%	4/25 · 16%	5	22	19% 22/113	16/25 · 64%	4/25 · 16%	17	15% 17/113
L14Sep 14–27	12	12-for-41	9/12 · 75%	3/12 · 25%	22	4/12 · 33%	3/12 · 25%	3/12 · 25%	4	8	14% 8/56	6/12 · 50%	1/12 · 8%	13	23% 13/56
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	20% 1/5	1/1	0/1	1	20% 1/5
This seriesvs Houston Astros	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	20% 1/5	1/1	0/1	1	20% 1/5
vs Houston Astrosregular season	7	7-for-28	5/7	2/7	10	3/7	1/7	1/7	1	5	16% 5/32	4/7	1/7	4	12% 4/32

vs Hunter Brown: 2-for-6, 1 K in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

4Munetaka MurakamiLHB vs RHPSeason74/127L147/13Post1/1Season49/127L145/13Post0/1Season109/127L1412/13Post1/1Season36% 196/552vs RHP36% 137/383Season16% 91/552K% vs RHP36% 137/3830101113011010421902122111212121021010001

Bats 4th · 4.49 PA per start this season · league average from the 4th spot: 4.18

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	127	94-for-454	74/127 · 58%	14/127 · 11%	217	49/127 · 39%	33/127 · 26%	32/127 · 25%	52	196	36% 196/552	109/127 · 86%	60/127 · 47%	91	16% 91/552
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	26	15-for-92	12/26 · 46%	2/26 · 8%	37	7/26 · 27%	5/26 · 19%	5/26 · 19%	9	47	42% 47/111	24/26 · 92%	15/26 · 58%	15	14% 15/111
L14Sep 14–27	13	10-for-46	7/13 · 54%	2/13 · 15%	26	5/13 · 38%	3/13 · 23%	3/13 · 23%	7	22	39% 22/57	12/13 · 92%	7/13 · 54%	8	14% 8/57
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	40% 2/5	1/1	1/1	1	20% 1/5
This seriesvs Houston Astros	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	40% 2/5	1/1	1/1	1	20% 1/5
vs Houston Astrosregular season	7	6-for-27	4/7	1/7	13	2/7	1/7	1/7	3	10	31% 10/32	6/7	2/7	5	16% 5/32

vs Hunter Brown: 1-for-6, 4 K in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

5Andrew BenintendiLHB vs RHPSeason74/141L143/9Post0/1Season40/141L142/9Post0/1Season80/141L145/9Post1/1Season24% 111/468vs RHP22% 93/420Season8% 39/468K% vs RHP22% 93/4203000100010300010004000311023010000002011

Bats 5th · 3.66 PA per start this season · league average from the 5th spot: 4.04

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	141	102-for-421	74/141 · 52%	21/141 · 15%	175	40/141 · 28%	26/141 · 18%	21/141 · 15%	41	111	24% 111/468	80/141 · 57%	25/141 · 18%	39	8% 39/468
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	22	10-for-56	7/22 · 32%	2/22 · 9%	16	4/22 · 18%	3/22 · 14%	2/22 · 9%	4	18	29% 18/63	12/22 · 55%	4/22 · 18%	6	10% 6/63
L14Sep 14–27	9	5-for-23	3/9	1/9	8	2/9	2/9	1/9	1	10	37% 10/27	5/9	3/9	3	11% 3/27
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-1	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	50% 1/2	1/1	0/1	1	50% 1/2
This seriesvs Houston Astros	1	0-for-1	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	50% 1/2	1/1	0/1	1	50% 1/2
vs Houston Astrosregular season	7	2-for-23	2/7	0/7	2	0/7	0/7	0/7	0	9	36% 9/25	6/7	2/7	2	8% 2/25

vs Hunter Brown: 0-for-5, 3 K, 1 BB in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

6Tristan PetersLHB vs RHPSeason78/149L142/10Post1/1Season49/149L140/10Post0/1Season74/149L147/10Post1/1Season18% 88/491vs RHP18% 75/424Season8% 37/491K% vs RHP18% 75/4240000010101000001010121110101011010000000

Bats 6th · 3.56 PA per start this season · league average from the 6th spot: 3.88

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	149	116-for-428	78/149 · 52%	29/149 · 19%	191	49/149 · 33%	28/149 · 19%	17/149 · 11%	47	88	18% 88/491	74/149 · 50%	12/149 · 8%	37	8% 37/491
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	13-for-68	9/23 · 39%	3/23 · 13%	19	5/23 · 22%	2/23 · 9%	2/23 · 9%	5	16	20% 16/80	14/23 · 61%	2/23 · 9%	5	6% 5/80
L14Sep 14–27	10	2-for-27	2/10 · 20%	0/10 · 0%	2	0/10 · 0%	0/10 · 0%	0/10 · 0%	0	8	24% 8/34	7/10 · 70%	1/10 · 10%	3	9% 3/34
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	20% 1/5	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/5
This seriesvs Houston Astros	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	20% 1/5	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/5
vs Houston Astrosregular season	7	4-for-19	3/7	1/7	6	1/7	1/7	1/7	1	3	13% 3/23	3/7	0/7	2	9% 2/23

vs Hunter Brown: 1-for-4, 0 K in 4 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

7Chase MeidrothRHB vs RHPSeason105/154L149/11Post1/1Season66/154L147/11Post1/1Season97/154L146/11Post0/1Season22% 141/642vs RHP24% 110/459Season10% 61/642K% vs RHP24% 110/4593100132212410046232200112011000010010000

Bats 7th · 4.22 PA per start this season · league average from the 7th spot: 3.73

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	154	156-for-563	105/154 · 68%	42/154 · 27%	235	66/154 · 43%	32/154 · 21%	18/154 · 12%	47	141	22% 141/642	97/154 · 63%	36/154 · 23%	61	10% 61/642
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	25-for-82	15/24 · 62%	8/24 · 33%	42	10/24 · 42%	7/24 · 29%	4/24 · 17%	9	19	20% 19/95	15/24 · 62%	4/24 · 17%	10	11% 10/95
L14Sep 14–27	11	16-for-41	9/11 · 82%	5/11 · 45%	26	7/11 · 64%	5/11 · 45%	3/11 · 27%	6	7	16% 7/44	6/11 · 55%	1/11 · 9%	2	5% 2/44
Postseasonthis October	1	2-for-4	1/1	1/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Houston Astros	1	2-for-4	1/1	1/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Houston Astrosregular season	7	7-for-23	5/7	2/7	12	4/7	2/7	1/7	3	5	19% 5/27	4/7	1/7	3	11% 3/27

vs Hunter Brown: 1-for-5, 2 K in 5 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

8Braden MontgomerySwitch vs RHPSeason54/92L147/12Post1/1Season30/92L145/12Post1/1Season52/92L147/12Post1/1Season19% 71/365vs RHP15% 40/262Season10% 38/365K% vs RHP15% 40/2620121322012023133201210010100120000000000

Bats 8th · 4.09 PA per start this season · league average from the 8th spot: 3.54

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	92	73-for-323	54/92 · 59%	16/92 · 17%	113	30/92 · 33%	16/92 · 17%	9/92 · 10%	25	71	19% 71/365	52/92 · 57%	16/92 · 17%	38	10% 38/365
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	16-for-74	11/24 · 46%	4/24 · 17%	23	7/24 · 29%	4/24 · 17%	1/24 · 4%	5	14	17% 14/82	12/24 · 50%	1/24 · 4%	8	10% 8/82
L14Sep 14–27	12	12-for-38	7/12 · 58%	4/12 · 33%	15	5/12 · 42%	3/12 · 25%	0/12 · 0%	3	9	23% 9/39	7/12 · 58%	1/12 · 8%	1	3% 1/39
Postseasonthis October	1	2-for-4	1/1	1/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Houston Astros	1	2-for-4	1/1	1/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Houston Astrosregular season	6	5-for-21	3/6	1/6	5	1/6	1/6	0/6	0	5	20% 5/25	3/6	2/6	3	12% 3/25

vs Hunter Brown: 1-for-4, 2 K, 1 BB in 5 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

9Colson MontgomeryLHB vs RHPSeason79/153L142/12Post1/1Season55/153L141/12Post1/1Season126/153L1411/12Post1/1Season35% 226/638vs RHP38% 167/441Season8% 54/638K% vs RHP38% 167/4412010000001301000000423033111210020000000

Bats 9th · 4.22 PA per start this season · league average from the 9th spot: 3.23

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	153	112-for-568	79/153 · 52%	29/153 · 19%	229	55/153 · 36%	39/153 · 25%	31/153 · 20%	55	226	35% 226/638	126/153 · 82%	70/153 · 46%	54	8% 54/638
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	25	10-for-84	7/25 · 28%	3/25 · 12%	23	6/25 · 24%	5/25 · 20%	3/25 · 12%	7	43	44% 43/98	23/25 · 92%	12/25 · 48%	10	10% 10/98
L14Sep 14–27	12	3-for-39	2/12 · 17%	1/12 · 8%	4	1/12 · 8%	1/12 · 8%	0/12 · 0%	1	21	49% 21/43	11/12 · 92%	6/12 · 50%	2	5% 2/43
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	4	1/1	1/1	1/1	1	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Houston Astros	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	4	1/1	1/1	1/1	1	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Houston Astrosregular season	6	5-for-22	3/6	2/6	10	2/6	2/6	1/6	3	6	22% 6/27	5/6	1/6	3	11% 3/27

vs Hunter Brown: 0-for-6, 2 K in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

Astros✓ Confirmed lineupvs RHP Sean BurkeGames with 1+ hitGames with 2+ total basesGames with 1+ strikeoutStrikeouts per PAWalks per PA

1Jeremy PeñaRHB vs RHPSeason81/110L149/11Post1/1Season46/110L146/11Post0/1Season75/110L1410/11Post0/1Season24% 116/483vs RHP24% 90/370Season5% 24/483K% vs RHP24% 90/37020111104215031110102112222111200000000000

Bats 1st · 4.42 PA per start this season · league average from the 1st spot: 4.49

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	110	123-for-447	81/110 · 74%	31/110 · 28%	211	46/110 · 42%	31/110 · 28%	22/110 · 20%	42	116	24% 116/483	75/110 · 68%	32/110 · 29%	24	5% 24/483
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	26-for-102	16/24 · 67%	6/24 · 25%	46	8/24 · 33%	6/24 · 25%	4/24 · 17%	9	33	31% 33/107	22/24 · 92%	11/24 · 46%	2	2% 2/107
L14Sep 14–27	11	18-for-51	9/11 · 82%	5/11 · 45%	36	6/11 · 55%	5/11 · 45%	4/11 · 36%	7	15	28% 15/53	10/11 · 91%	5/11 · 45%	0	0% 0/53
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Chicago White Sox	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Chicago White Soxregular season	7	10-for-29	5/7	3/7	16	3/7	3/7	1/7	2	5	17% 5/30	5/7	0/7	1	3% 1/30

vs Sean Burke: 2-for-5, 2 K, 1 BB in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

2Yordan AlvarezLHB vs RHPSeason110/158L1412/12Post1/1Season73/158L148/12Post0/1Season88/158L145/12Post0/1Season17% 119/692vs RHP18% 91/508Season16% 109/692K% vs RHP18% 91/5081122211211212531161100000112102001111000

Bats 2nd · 4.38 PA per start this season · league average from the 2nd spot: 4.4

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	158	179-for-567	110/158 · 70%	53/158 · 34%	341	73/158 · 46%	55/158 · 35%	41/158 · 26%	77	119	17% 119/692	88/158 · 56%	24/158 · 15%	109	16% 109/692
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	25-for-81	17/23 · 74%	8/23 · 35%	46	12/23 · 52%	8/23 · 35%	5/23 · 22%	11	17	17% 17/99	12/23 · 52%	4/23 · 17%	16	16% 16/99
L14Sep 14–27	12	17-for-44	12/12 · 100%	5/12 · 42%	33	8/12 · 67%	5/12 · 42%	4/12 · 33%	8	6	11% 6/53	5/12 · 42%	1/12 · 8%	8	15% 8/53
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Chicago White Sox	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Chicago White Soxregular season	7	4-for-20	3/7	1/7	5	1/7	1/7	0/7	1	6	21% 6/29	5/7	1/7	8	28% 8/29

vs Sean Burke: 0-for-3, 1 K, 3 BB in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

3Isaac ParedesRHB vs RHPSeason102/155L147/12Post1/1Season67/155L146/12Post0/1Season72/155L146/12Post1/1Season13% 88/658vs RHP13% 63/500Season11% 70/658K% vs RHP13% 63/5002202110301250524060110001011010111011010

Bats 3rd · 4.31 PA per start this season · league average from the 3rd spot: 4.3

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	155	147-for-562	102/155 · 66%	37/155 · 24%	251	67/155 · 43%	36/155 · 23%	26/155 · 17%	53	88	13% 88/658	72/155 · 46%	15/155 · 10%	70	11% 70/658
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	25	26-for-90	19/25 · 76%	6/25 · 24%	54	14/25 · 56%	8/25 · 32%	8/25 · 32%	12	15	14% 15/106	13/25 · 52%	2/25 · 8%	12	11% 12/106
L14Sep 14–27	12	12-for-43	7/12 · 58%	4/12 · 33%	25	6/12 · 50%	4/12 · 33%	4/12 · 33%	5	6	12% 6/52	6/12 · 50%	0/12 · 0%	7	13% 7/52
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Chicago White Sox	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Chicago White Soxregular season	7	6-for-25	5/7	1/7	10	3/7	1/7	1/7	2	3	10% 3/29	3/7	0/7	3	10% 3/29

vs Sean Burke: 1-for-6, 1 K in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

4Jose AltuveRHB vs RHPSeason85/135L149/12Post0/1Season56/135L146/12Post0/1Season83/135L147/12Post0/1Season20% 114/573vs RHP20% 87/435Season7% 41/573K% vs RHP20% 87/4351322200210135220021010122200100000000100

Bats 4th · 4.27 PA per start this season · league average from the 4th spot: 4.18

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	135	131-for-521	85/135 · 63%	35/135 · 26%	207	56/135 · 41%	30/135 · 22%	21/135 · 16%	42	114	20% 114/573	83/135 · 61%	29/135 · 21%	41	7% 41/573
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	25-for-96	16/24 · 67%	7/24 · 29%	37	12/24 · 50%	5/24 · 21%	3/24 · 12%	8	18	18% 18/102	14/24 · 58%	4/24 · 17%	3	3% 3/102
L14Sep 14–27	12	15-for-50	9/12 · 75%	5/12 · 42%	19	6/12 · 50%	2/12 · 17%	1/12 · 8%	2	10	19% 10/52	7/12 · 58%	3/12 · 25%	1	2% 1/52
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Chicago White Sox	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Chicago White Soxregular season	6	4-for-23	2/6	1/6	7	2/6	2/6	1/6	1	5	20% 5/25	3/6	2/6	1	4% 1/25

vs Sean Burke: 0-for-6, 1 K in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

5Yainer DiazRHB vs RHPSeason64/93L149/12Post0/1Season40/93L148/12Post0/1Season40/93L145/12Post1/1Season16% 57/361vs RHP15% 39/265Season3% 12/361K% vs RHP15% 39/2650122202220025270323010010201120000000000

Bats 5th · 4.08 PA per start this season · league average from the 5th spot: 4.04

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	93	99-for-344	64/93 · 69%	27/93 · 29%	159	40/93 · 43%	22/93 · 24%	13/93 · 14%	31	57	16% 57/361	40/93 · 43%	15/93 · 16%	12	3% 12/361
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	30-for-84	16/23 · 70%	13/23 · 57%	49	15/23 · 65%	8/23 · 35%	4/23 · 17%	10	14	16% 14/87	10/23 · 43%	4/23 · 17%	2	2% 2/87
L14Sep 14–27	12	16-for-47	9/12 · 75%	7/12 · 58%	30	8/12 · 67%	5/12 · 42%	3/12 · 25%	7	6	12% 6/48	5/12 · 42%	1/12 · 8%	0	0% 0/48
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Chicago White Sox	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Chicago White Soxregular season	4	2-for-16	2/4	0/4	3	1/4	0/4	0/4	1	4	25% 4/16	3/4	1/4	0	0% 0/16

vs Sean Burke: 0-for-4, 1 K in 4 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

6Christian WalkerRHB vs RHPSeason89/155L147/11Post0/1Season59/155L146/11Post0/1Season100/155L148/11Post0/1Season23% 147/635vs RHP24% 118/490Season8% 51/635K% vs RHP24% 118/4900201121120020415425020212101000010001022

Bats 6th · 4.13 PA per start this season · league average from the 6th spot: 3.88

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	155	128-for-571	89/155 · 57%	30/155 · 19%	243	59/155 · 38%	38/155 · 25%	29/155 · 19%	56	147	23% 147/635	100/155 · 65%	37/155 · 24%	51	8% 51/635
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	17-for-84	12/24 · 50%	5/24 · 21%	33	8/24 · 33%	5/24 · 21%	5/24 · 21%	6	20	22% 20/93	13/24 · 54%	6/24 · 25%	8	9% 8/93
L14Sep 14–27	11	10-for-41	7/11 · 64%	3/11 · 27%	23	6/11 · 55%	4/11 · 36%	4/11 · 36%	5	13	28% 13/46	8/11 · 73%	5/11 · 45%	4	9% 4/46
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-2	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	2	50% 2/4
This seriesvs Chicago White Sox	1	0-for-2	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	2	50% 2/4
vs Chicago White Soxregular season	6	3-for-21	2/6	1/6	4	2/6	0/6	0/6	1	8	35% 8/23	4/6	2/6	2	9% 2/23

vs Sean Burke: 0-for-5, 4 K in 5 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

7Lucas SpenceLHB vs RHPSeason8/17L143/5Post1/1Season5/17L143/5Post0/1Season12/17L143/5Post1/1Season35% 22/62vs RHP36% 16/44Season10% 6/62K% vs RHP36% 16/4400010302110001012063111202023020000100030

Bats 7th · 4 PA per start this season · league average from the 7th spot: 3.73

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	17	12-for-55	8/17 · 47%	3/17 · 18%	28	5/17 · 29%	3/17 · 18%	2/17 · 12%	7	22	35% 22/62	12/17 · 71%	7/17 · 41%	6	10% 6/62
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	5	6-for-18	3/5	2/5	21	3/5	3/5	2/5	6	7	32% 7/22	3/5	3/5	4	18% 4/22
L14Sep 14–27	5	6-for-18	3/5	2/5	21	3/5	3/5	2/5	6	7	32% 7/22	3/5	3/5	4	18% 4/22
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Chicago White Sox	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Chicago White Soxregular season	2	1-for-8	1/2	0/2	1	0/2	0/2	0/2	0	5	56% 5/9	2/2	2/2	0	0% 0/9

vs Sean Burke: 0-for-2, 2 K in 2 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

8Cam SmithRHB vs RHPSeason75/150L144/11Post1/1Season46/150L143/11Post0/1Season101/150L148/11Post1/1Season26% 148/567vs RHP27% 112/420Season8% 44/567K% vs RHP27% 112/4200001011021000201402122310222110000101210

Bats 8th · 3.94 PA per start this season · league average from the 8th spot: 3.54

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	150	107-for-509	75/150 · 50%	26/150 · 17%	199	46/150 · 31%	30/150 · 20%	26/150 · 17%	44	148	26% 148/567	101/150 · 67%	38/150 · 25%	44	8% 44/567
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	16-for-79	11/24 · 46%	5/24 · 21%	34	8/24 · 33%	6/24 · 25%	6/24 · 25%	8	29	33% 29/88	18/24 · 75%	9/24 · 38%	8	9% 8/88
L14Sep 14–27	11	5-for-37	4/11 · 36%	1/11 · 9%	9	3/11 · 27%	1/11 · 9%	1/11 · 9%	2	15	35% 15/43	8/11 · 73%	6/11 · 55%	5	12% 5/43
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Chicago White Sox	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Chicago White Soxregular season	7	4-for-22	3/7	1/7	10	2/7	2/7	2/7	3	5	19% 5/26	4/7	1/7	2	8% 2/26

vs Sean Burke: 0-for-3, 1 K in 4 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

9Nick AllenRHB vs RHPSeason32/60L142/3Season13/60L142/3Season24/60L142/3Season20% 32/162vs RHP21% 25/119Season6% 10/162K% vs RHP21% 25/1190103111021010411403200201001101010001000

Bats 9th · 3.25 PA per start this season · league average from the 9th spot: 3.23

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	60	42-for-145	32/60 · 53%	8/60 · 13%	58	13/60 · 22%	7/60 · 12%	4/60 · 7%	10	32	20% 32/162	24/60 · 40%	5/60 · 8%	10	6% 10/162
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	6	6-for-18	5/6	1/6	11	3/6	2/6	1/6	3	3	16% 3/19	3/6	0/6	1	5% 1/19
L14Sep 14–27	3	3-for-9	2/3	1/3	5	2/3	1/3	0/3	2	2	22% 2/9	2/3	0/3	0	0% 0/9
Postseasonthis October	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
This seriesvs Chicago White Sox	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Chicago White Soxregular season	2	2-for-5	2/2	0/2	2	0/2	0/2	0/2	0	1	20% 1/5	1/2	0/2	0	0% 0/5

vs Sean Burke: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

Thresholds

Games that cleared each mark. Counts first; a rate only from 10 games up. L14 is the last two weeks of the regular season.

1+ hit — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
White Sox
1Sam Antonacci	85/139 · 61%	8/11 · 73%	1/1
2Kyle Teel	19/39 · 49%	6/11 · 55%	1/1
3Miguel Vargas	107/159 · 67%	9/12 · 75%	0/1
4Munetaka Murakami	74/127 · 58%	7/13 · 54%	1/1
5Andrew Benintendi	74/141 · 52%	3/9	0/1
6Tristan Peters	78/149 · 52%	2/10 · 20%	1/1
7Chase Meidroth	105/154 · 68%	9/11 · 82%	1/1
8Braden Montgomery	54/92 · 59%	7/12 · 58%	1/1
9Colson Montgomery	79/153 · 52%	2/12 · 17%	1/1
Astros
1Jeremy Peña	81/110 · 74%	9/11 · 82%	1/1
2Yordan Alvarez	110/158 · 70%	12/12 · 100%	1/1
3Isaac Paredes	102/155 · 66%	7/12 · 58%	1/1
4Jose Altuve	85/135 · 63%	9/12 · 75%	0/1
5Yainer Diaz	64/93 · 69%	9/12 · 75%	0/1
6Christian Walker	89/155 · 57%	7/11 · 64%	0/1
7Lucas Spence	8/17 · 47%	3/5	1/1
8Cam Smith	75/150 · 50%	4/11 · 36%	1/1
9Nick Allen	32/60 · 53%	2/3	—

2+ hits — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
White Sox
1Sam Antonacci	38/139 · 27%	5/11 · 45%	0/1
2Kyle Teel	6/39 · 15%	2/11 · 18%	0/1
3Miguel Vargas	33/159 · 21%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
4Munetaka Murakami	14/127 · 11%	2/13 · 15%	0/1
5Andrew Benintendi	21/141 · 15%	1/9	0/1
6Tristan Peters	29/149 · 19%	0/10 · 0%	0/1
7Chase Meidroth	42/154 · 27%	5/11 · 45%	1/1
8Braden Montgomery	16/92 · 17%	4/12 · 33%	1/1
9Colson Montgomery	29/153 · 19%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
Astros
1Jeremy Peña	31/110 · 28%	5/11 · 45%	0/1
2Yordan Alvarez	53/158 · 34%	5/12 · 42%	0/1
3Isaac Paredes	37/155 · 24%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
4Jose Altuve	35/135 · 26%	5/12 · 42%	0/1
5Yainer Diaz	27/93 · 29%	7/12 · 58%	0/1
6Christian Walker	30/155 · 19%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
7Lucas Spence	3/17 · 18%	2/5	0/1
8Cam Smith	26/150 · 17%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
9Nick Allen	8/60 · 13%	1/3	—

2+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
White Sox
1Sam Antonacci	51/139 · 37%	5/11 · 45%	0/1
2Kyle Teel	11/39 · 28%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
3Miguel Vargas	61/159 · 38%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
4Munetaka Murakami	49/127 · 39%	5/13 · 38%	0/1
5Andrew Benintendi	40/141 · 28%	2/9	0/1
6Tristan Peters	49/149 · 33%	0/10 · 0%	0/1
7Chase Meidroth	66/154 · 43%	7/11 · 64%	1/1
8Braden Montgomery	30/92 · 33%	5/12 · 42%	1/1
9Colson Montgomery	55/153 · 36%	1/12 · 8%	1/1
Astros
1Jeremy Peña	46/110 · 42%	6/11 · 55%	0/1
2Yordan Alvarez	73/158 · 46%	8/12 · 67%	0/1
3Isaac Paredes	67/155 · 43%	6/12 · 50%	0/1
4Jose Altuve	56/135 · 41%	6/12 · 50%	0/1
5Yainer Diaz	40/93 · 43%	8/12 · 67%	0/1
6Christian Walker	59/155 · 38%	6/11 · 55%	0/1
7Lucas Spence	5/17 · 29%	3/5	0/1
8Cam Smith	46/150 · 31%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
9Nick Allen	13/60 · 22%	2/3	—

3+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
White Sox
1Sam Antonacci	29/139 · 21%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
2Kyle Teel	5/39 · 13%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
3Miguel Vargas	37/159 · 23%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
4Munetaka Murakami	33/127 · 26%	3/13 · 23%	0/1
5Andrew Benintendi	26/141 · 18%	2/9	0/1
6Tristan Peters	28/149 · 19%	0/10 · 0%	0/1
7Chase Meidroth	32/154 · 21%	5/11 · 45%	0/1
8Braden Montgomery	16/92 · 17%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
9Colson Montgomery	39/153 · 25%	1/12 · 8%	1/1
Astros
1Jeremy Peña	31/110 · 28%	5/11 · 45%	0/1
2Yordan Alvarez	55/158 · 35%	5/12 · 42%	0/1
3Isaac Paredes	36/155 · 23%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
4Jose Altuve	30/135 · 22%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
5Yainer Diaz	22/93 · 24%	5/12 · 42%	0/1
6Christian Walker	38/155 · 25%	4/11 · 36%	0/1
7Lucas Spence	3/17 · 18%	3/5	0/1
8Cam Smith	30/150 · 20%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
9Nick Allen	7/60 · 12%	1/3	—

4+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
White Sox
1Sam Antonacci	13/139 · 9%	0/11 · 0%	0/1
2Kyle Teel	5/39 · 13%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
3Miguel Vargas	33/159 · 21%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
4Munetaka Murakami	32/127 · 25%	3/13 · 23%	0/1
5Andrew Benintendi	21/141 · 15%	1/9	0/1
6Tristan Peters	17/149 · 11%	0/10 · 0%	0/1
7Chase Meidroth	18/154 · 12%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
8Braden Montgomery	9/92 · 10%	0/12 · 0%	0/1
9Colson Montgomery	31/153 · 20%	0/12 · 0%	1/1
Astros
1Jeremy Peña	22/110 · 20%	4/11 · 36%	0/1
2Yordan Alvarez	41/158 · 26%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
3Isaac Paredes	26/155 · 17%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
4Jose Altuve	21/135 · 16%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
5Yainer Diaz	13/93 · 14%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
6Christian Walker	29/155 · 19%	4/11 · 36%	0/1
7Lucas Spence	2/17 · 12%	2/5	0/1
8Cam Smith	26/150 · 17%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
9Nick Allen	4/60 · 7%	0/3	—

1+ K — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
White Sox
1Sam Antonacci	68/139 · 49%	2/11 · 18%	0/1
2Kyle Teel	31/39 · 79%	8/11 · 73%	0/1
3Miguel Vargas	93/159 · 58%	6/12 · 50%	1/1
4Munetaka Murakami	109/127 · 86%	12/13 · 92%	1/1
5Andrew Benintendi	80/141 · 57%	5/9	1/1
6Tristan Peters	74/149 · 50%	7/10 · 70%	1/1
7Chase Meidroth	97/154 · 63%	6/11 · 55%	0/1
8Braden Montgomery	52/92 · 57%	7/12 · 58%	1/1
9Colson Montgomery	126/153 · 82%	11/12 · 92%	1/1
Astros
1Jeremy Peña	75/110 · 68%	10/11 · 91%	0/1
2Yordan Alvarez	88/158 · 56%	5/12 · 42%	0/1
3Isaac Paredes	72/155 · 46%	6/12 · 50%	1/1
4Jose Altuve	83/135 · 61%	7/12 · 58%	0/1
5Yainer Diaz	40/93 · 43%	5/12 · 42%	1/1
6Christian Walker	100/155 · 65%	8/11 · 73%	0/1
7Lucas Spence	12/17 · 71%	3/5	1/1
8Cam Smith	101/150 · 67%	8/11 · 73%	1/1
9Nick Allen	24/60 · 40%	2/3	—

2+ K — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
White Sox
1Sam Antonacci	14/139 · 10%	0/11 · 0%	0/1
2Kyle Teel	16/39 · 41%	6/11 · 55%	0/1
3Miguel Vargas	28/159 · 18%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
4Munetaka Murakami	60/127 · 47%	7/13 · 54%	1/1
5Andrew Benintendi	25/141 · 18%	3/9	0/1
6Tristan Peters	12/149 · 8%	1/10 · 10%	0/1
7Chase Meidroth	36/154 · 23%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
8Braden Montgomery	16/92 · 17%	1/12 · 8%	1/1
9Colson Montgomery	70/153 · 46%	6/12 · 50%	0/1
Astros
1Jeremy Peña	32/110 · 29%	5/11 · 45%	0/1
2Yordan Alvarez	24/158 · 15%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
3Isaac Paredes	15/155 · 10%	0/12 · 0%	0/1
4Jose Altuve	29/135 · 21%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
5Yainer Diaz	15/93 · 16%	1/12 · 8%	1/1
6Christian Walker	37/155 · 24%	5/11 · 45%	0/1
7Lucas Spence	7/17 · 41%	3/5	1/1
8Cam Smith	38/150 · 25%	6/11 · 55%	0/1
9Nick Allen	5/60 · 8%	0/3	—

4+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Sean Burke	21/27 · 78%	4/6	—
Hunter Brown	19/20 · 95%	6/6	—

5+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Sean Burke	18/27 · 67%	3/6	—
Hunter Brown	12/20 · 60%	5/6	—

6+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Sean Burke	13/27 · 48%	2/6	—
Hunter Brown	10/20 · 50%	5/6	—

7+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Sean Burke	9/27 · 33%	1/6	—
Hunter Brown	10/20 · 50%	5/6	—

3 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Sean Burke	8/27 · 30%	2/6	—
Hunter Brown	9/20 · 45%	3/6	—

4 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Sean Burke	14/27 · 52%	3/6	—
Hunter Brown	12/20 · 60%	3/6	—

5 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Sean Burke	18/27 · 67%	4/6	—
Hunter Brown	15/20 · 75%	4/6	—

1 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Sean Burke	12/27 · 44%	2/6	—
Hunter Brown	3/20 · 15%	2/6	—

2 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Sean Burke	19/27 · 70%	3/6	—
Hunter Brown	10/20 · 50%	4/6	—

3+ — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Sean Burke	8/27 · 30%	3/6	—
Hunter Brown	10/20 · 50%	2/6	—

regular season ends · 2 playoff game · strips run oldest → newest · tap a hitter for L28, the opponent, the series and the matchup. Built from the play-by-play feed, which does not pick up official scoring changes, so a season total can differ from MLB’s by a hit. Evidence, not picks: no odds are read and nothing here is scored.

Game Analysis

Context and interpretation

Team Identity

Chicago White Sox

Season-to-date, 162 games, 6,386 PA.

A power-hitting, patient offense that does damage on extra-base hits, though it can be strikeout-prone. The bats have been heating up lately.

Power

Above Avg74

Contact

Below Avg26

Plate Discipline

Above Avg66

Speed

Below Avg34

RISP

Average54

Recent Form

Trending Up

Total bases per PA is up 10% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

Houston Astros

Season-to-date, 162 games, 6,276 PA.

A power-hitting, opportunistic offense that does damage on extra-base hits, though it can be station-to-station. The bats have been heating up lately.

Power

Elite96

Contact

Average53

Plate Discipline

Average54

Speed

Well Below3

RISP

Above Avg74

Recent Form

Trending Up

Total bases per PA is up 34% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

What This Game Is About

Biggest Advantage

Astros' offense is defined by being power-hitting, and this game tests whether White Sox can match it.

Swing Factor

Hunter Brown strikes hitters out at a 26.2% clip (82nd percentile); White Sox carry a 23.3% strikeout rate.

Momentum

White Sox are trending up and Astros are trending up over their last 10 games.

Key Matchups

Can either lineup run up a starter's pitch count?

White Sox' nine see 3.95 pitches per plate appearance against RHPs (league 3.89); Hunter Brown averages ~94 pitches and 22.6 batters a start. Astros' nine see 3.89 pitches per plate appearance against RHPs (league 3.89); Sean Burke averages ~91 pitches and 22.4 batters a start.

Edge · EvenWhite Sox: 3.95 P/PAAstros: 3.89 P/PALow confidence

Which lineup has the platoon advantage?

7 of 9 in the White Sox' confirmed lineup bat from the other side of Hunter Brown (RHP); 2 of 9 in the Astros' confirmed lineup bat from the other side of Sean Burke (RHP). Switch hitters count.

Edge · White SoxWhite Sox: 7/9Astros: 2/9High confidence

Which bullpen is under more pressure?

White Sox relievers ~175 pitches; Astros relievers ~229 pitches (Sep 27–29).

Edge · White SoxWhite Sox: ~175 relief pitchesAstros: ~229 relief pitchesModerate confidence

Through Sep 29, the feed's last day. Relief pitches are reconstructed from play-by-play.

Expected Game Shape

Power-orientedModerate confidence

Both lineups can change the game with one swing. Astros bring more power. Starting pitching is likely to set the tone.

Both probable starters grade around the 66th percentile in combined suppression.
White Sox are trending up; Astros are trending up.

Storylines to Watch

Is Lucas Spence the one to watch?

Lucas Spence enters as Astros' hottest bat. Total bases per PA is up 486% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 5 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 32%.

0.273 hit rate · 0.955 TB/PA · 0.140 hit rate · 0.163 TB/PA

Can White Sox handle Hunter Brown's strikeout stuff?

White Sox have been a below-average contact team while Hunter Brown misses bats at an above-average rate — a swing factor early.

White Sox contact percentile: 26

Can Tristan Peters snap out of it?

Tristan Peters has cooled off. Total bases per PA is down 77% over his prior baseline, with hits in 2 of his last 7 games.

0.091 hit rate · 0.091 TB/PA · 0.237 hit rate · 0.394 TB/PA

Based on plate appearances before 2026-09-30, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.