Phillies at Braves · Sports Today

NL Wild Card Series · Game 3 of 3Series tied 1-1 · Winner takes the series

Philadelphia Phillies

No. 6 seed · 88-74 in the regular season

Regular-season form: offense cooling lately

Starter TBD

Atlanta Braves

No. 3 seed · 94-68 in the regular season

Regular-season form: offense cooling lately

Starter TBD

MLB · Truist Park · 11:00 AM PT

Probable starters not yet available

Playoff Prop Desk

Evidence for player and pitcher decisions

Data through Sep 29 · regular season ended Sep 27

Lineup spot leads because it sets plate appearances, which predict a hit more than twice as well as recent hitting does.

Total bases rides on the same chances as a hit, plus extra-base power. We do not model it; these are records.

The opposing starter carries batter strikeouts more than the batter's own form, so his strikeout rate sits beside every row.

Workload leads: a postseason hook can cut a starter's batters faced, and strikeouts need batters.

Records only. When this market was measured, recent hits allowed carried no information beyond its base rate.

Records only — the site has no walks model.

Phillies starter

No probable starter matched in the feed, so there is nothing to show.

Braves starter

No probable starter matched in the feed, so there is nothing to show.

PhilliesNot confirmedGames with 1+ hitGames with 2+ total basesGames with 1+ strikeoutStrikeouts per PAWalks per PA

Not posted yet — this is the last game's order (Sep 29), not tonight's

1Trea TurnerRHBSeason104/157L149/12Post0/1Season59/157L144/12Post0/1Season109/157L148/12Post1/1Season21% 146/700vs SP—Season7% 48/700K% vs SP—1211101220122110132010201111110220000000

Bats 1st · 4.48 PA per start this season · league average from the 1st spot: 4.49

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	157	156-for-645	104/157 · 66%	41/157 · 26%	244	59/157 · 38%	35/157 · 22%	24/157 · 15%	49	146	21% 146/700	109/157 · 69%	32/157 · 20%	48	7% 48/700
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	25	24-for-101	18/25 · 72%	6/25 · 24%	37	11/25 · 44%	3/25 · 12%	2/25 · 8%	9	20	18% 20/111	17/25 · 68%	2/25 · 8%	10	9% 10/111
L14Sep 14–27	12	12-for-48	9/12 · 75%	3/12 · 25%	14	4/12 · 33%	1/12 · 8%	0/12 · 0%	2	9	16% 9/55	8/12 · 67%	1/12 · 8%	7	13% 7/55
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Atlanta Braves	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Atlanta Bravesregular season	13	13-for-52	12/13 · 92%	1/13 · 8%	19	5/13 · 38%	1/13 · 8%	1/13 · 8%	4	7	12% 7/58	7/13 · 54%	0/13 · 0%	6	10% 6/58

2Kyle SchwarberLHBSeason91/156L144/12Post1/1Season66/156L144/12Post0/1Season119/156L148/12Post1/1Season31% 220/701vs SP—Season15% 105/701K% vs SP—0100020021020003003112011001111140101111

Bats 2nd · 4.49 PA per start this season · league average from the 2nd spot: 4.4

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	156	135-for-581	91/156 · 58%	34/156 · 22%	292	66/156 · 42%	48/156 · 31%	39/156 · 25%	66	220	31% 220/701	119/156 · 76%	72/156 · 46%	105	15% 105/701
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	25	15-for-90	10/25 · 40%	5/25 · 20%	33	9/25 · 36%	7/25 · 28%	5/25 · 20%	8	26	23% 26/113	16/25 · 64%	8/25 · 32%	20	18% 20/113
L14Sep 14–27	12	6-for-40	4/12 · 33%	2/12 · 17%	12	4/12 · 33%	3/12 · 25%	1/12 · 8%	4	10	18% 10/55	8/12 · 67%	2/12 · 17%	13	24% 13/55
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	1	25% 1/4
This seriesvs Atlanta Braves	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	1	25% 1/4
vs Atlanta Bravesregular season	13	12-for-50	8/13 · 62%	4/13 · 31%	30	7/13 · 54%	6/13 · 46%	5/13 · 38%	7	12	20% 12/59	7/13 · 54%	4/13 · 31%	8	14% 8/59

3Bryce HarperLHBSeason101/161L148/12Post0/1Season69/161L144/12Post0/1Season96/161L148/12Post1/1Season21% 148/693vs SP—Season15% 107/693K% vs SP—0110021110021002114031000021120001101000

Bats 3rd · 4.3 PA per start this season · league average from the 3rd spot: 4.3

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	161	155-for-577	101/161 · 63%	39/161 · 24%	280	69/161 · 43%	49/161 · 30%	34/161 · 21%	64	148	21% 148/693	96/161 · 60%	40/161 · 25%	107	15% 107/693
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	25	27-for-96	17/25 · 68%	7/25 · 28%	38	10/25 · 40%	7/25 · 28%	4/25 · 16%	7	26	24% 26/107	17/25 · 68%	6/25 · 24%	10	9% 10/107
L14Sep 14–27	12	11-for-48	8/12 · 67%	2/12 · 17%	15	4/12 · 33%	2/12 · 17%	1/12 · 8%	2	11	20% 11/54	8/12 · 67%	2/12 · 17%	5	9% 5/54
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Atlanta Braves	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Atlanta Bravesregular season	13	14-for-50	8/13 · 62%	5/13 · 38%	25	7/13 · 54%	5/13 · 38%	4/13 · 31%	6	18	33% 18/54	9/13 · 69%	6/13 · 46%	3	6% 3/54

4Alec BohmRHBSeason94/153L147/12Post1/1Season56/153L144/12Post1/1Season69/153L143/12Post0/1Season14% 88/629vs SP—Season8% 48/629K% vs SP—0222100001022310000201002100000100010020

Bats 4th · 4.18 PA per start this season · league average from the 4th spot: 4.18

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	153	141-for-567	94/153 · 61%	41/153 · 27%	217	56/153 · 37%	29/153 · 19%	17/153 · 11%	45	88	14% 88/629	69/153 · 45%	16/153 · 10%	48	8% 48/629
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	22-for-82	14/23 · 61%	8/23 · 35%	32	11/23 · 48%	4/23 · 17%	1/23 · 4%	8	13	14% 13/95	10/23 · 43%	3/23 · 13%	13	14% 13/95
L14Sep 14–27	12	11-for-42	7/12 · 58%	4/12 · 33%	12	4/12 · 33%	1/12 · 8%	0/12 · 0%	1	4	8% 4/50	3/12 · 25%	1/12 · 8%	8	16% 8/50
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Atlanta Braves	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Atlanta Bravesregular season	13	9-for-48	6/13 · 46%	3/13 · 23%	15	4/13 · 31%	2/13 · 15%	1/13 · 8%	4	9	17% 9/53	8/13 · 62%	1/13 · 8%	4	8% 4/53

5Derek HillRHBSeason43/88L141/5Post0/1Season17/88L141/5Post0/1Season45/88L142/5Post1/1Season32% 69/216vs SP—Season6% 13/216K% vs SP—2101010000440204000010101001010001000000

Bats 5th · 3.1 PA per start this season · league average from the 5th spot: 4.04

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	88	48-for-196	43/88 · 49%	4/88 · 5%	88	17/88 · 19%	13/88 · 15%	12/88 · 14%	17	69	32% 69/216	45/88 · 51%	17/88 · 19%	13	6% 13/216
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	11	6-for-25	5/11 · 45%	1/11 · 9%	15	4/11 · 36%	3/11 · 27%	3/11 · 27%	4	5	19% 5/26	5/11 · 45%	0/11 · 0%	1	4% 1/26
L14Sep 14–27	5	1-for-10	1/5	0/5	4	1/5	1/5	1/5	1	2	20% 2/10	2/5	0/5	0	0% 0/10
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-2	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
This seriesvs Atlanta Braves	1	0-for-2	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
vs Atlanta Bravesregular season	6	5-for-14	4/6	1/6	11	3/6	2/6	2/6	3	3	19% 3/16	2/6	1/6	1	6% 1/16

6Bryan De La CruzRHBSeason16/30L141/5Post0/1Season9/30L141/5Post0/1Season15/30L143/5Post1/1Season21% 18/86vs SP—Season8% 7/86K% vs SP—2001010000200102000001011010111100001020

Bats 6th · 3.53 PA per start this season · league average from the 6th spot: 3.88

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	30	22-for-75	16/30 · 53%	6/30 · 20%	32	9/30 · 30%	5/30 · 17%	2/30 · 7%	6	18	21% 18/86	15/30 · 50%	3/30 · 10%	7	8% 7/86
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	12	6-for-30	4/12 · 33%	2/12 · 17%	8	3/12 · 25%	1/12 · 8%	0/12 · 0%	2	7	20% 7/35	6/12 · 50%	1/12 · 8%	5	14% 5/35
L14Sep 14–27	5	1-for-13	1/5	0/5	2	1/5	0/5	0/5	1	3	19% 3/16	3/5	0/5	3	19% 3/16
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Atlanta Braves	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Atlanta Bravesregular season	5	1-for-11	1/5	0/5	1	0/5	0/5	0/5	0	4	33% 4/12	3/5	1/5	1	8% 1/12

7Bryson StottLHBSeason99/155L148/12Post1/1Season55/155L145/12Post0/1Season77/155L143/12Post1/1Season16% 100/608vs SP—Season10% 62/608K% vs SP—1101201231210140145102000100020011111010

Bats 7th · 4.04 PA per start this season · league average from the 7th spot: 3.73

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	155	137-for-536	99/155 · 64%	33/155 · 21%	215	55/155 · 35%	31/155 · 20%	20/155 · 13%	52	100	16% 100/608	77/155 · 50%	21/155 · 14%	62	10% 62/608
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	19-for-80	12/24 · 50%	5/24 · 21%	31	7/24 · 29%	6/24 · 25%	5/24 · 21%	10	11	12% 11/94	9/24 · 38%	2/24 · 8%	11	12% 11/94
L14Sep 14–27	12	13-for-41	8/12 · 67%	4/12 · 33%	21	5/12 · 42%	4/12 · 33%	3/12 · 25%	8	4	8% 4/50	3/12 · 25%	1/12 · 8%	8	16% 8/50
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Atlanta Braves	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Atlanta Bravesregular season	10	8-for-34	5/10 · 50%	2/10 · 20%	12	3/10 · 30%	2/10 · 20%	2/10 · 20%	3	6	17% 6/35	5/10 · 50%	1/10 · 10%	1	3% 1/35

8Edmundo SosaRHBSeason42/83L142/5Post1/1Season22/83L142/5Post1/1Season42/83L143/5Post1/1Season22% 54/250vs SP—Season3% 7/250K% vs SP—1010300021101070006211000102110000000000

Bats 8th · 3.49 PA per start this season · league average from the 8th spot: 3.54

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	83	57-for-231	42/83 · 51%	13/83 · 16%	99	22/83 · 27%	15/83 · 18%	9/83 · 11%	22	54	22% 54/250	42/83 · 51%	11/83 · 13%	7	3% 7/250
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	14	10-for-32	7/14 · 50%	2/14 · 14%	19	3/14 · 21%	2/14 · 14%	2/14 · 14%	5	9	27% 9/33	7/14 · 50%	2/14 · 14%	0	0% 0/33
L14Sep 14–27	5	5-for-13	2/5	2/5	13	2/5	2/5	2/5	4	4	31% 4/13	3/5	1/5	0	0% 0/13
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-2	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	1	50% 1/2	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/2
This seriesvs Atlanta Braves	1	1-for-2	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	1	50% 1/2	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/2
vs Atlanta Bravesregular season	8	3-for-21	3/8	0/8	3	0/8	0/8	0/8	0	6	27% 6/22	5/8	1/8	0	0% 0/22

9J.T. RealmutoRHBSeason62/122L141/11Post1/1Season37/122L141/11Post1/1Season68/122L148/11Post1/1Season21% 100/467vs SP—Season8% 37/467K% vs SP—0000000011000000002302211100110021010000

Bats 9th · 3.84 PA per start this season · league average from the 9th spot: 3.23

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	122	85-for-414	62/122 · 51%	20/122 · 16%	137	37/122 · 30%	17/122 · 14%	13/122 · 11%	30	100	21% 100/467	68/122 · 56%	26/122 · 21%	37	8% 37/467
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	21	8-for-71	5/21 · 24%	2/21 · 10%	13	3/21 · 14%	1/21 · 5%	1/21 · 5%	3	21	27% 21/79	14/21 · 67%	6/21 · 29%	7	9% 7/79
L14Sep 14–27	11	1-for-37	1/11 · 9%	0/11 · 0%	2	1/11 · 9%	0/11 · 0%	0/11 · 0%	1	11	26% 11/42	8/11 · 73%	3/11 · 27%	5	12% 5/42
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	3	1/1	1/1	0/1	1	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
This seriesvs Atlanta Braves	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	3	1/1	1/1	0/1	1	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
vs Atlanta Bravesregular season	8	7-for-24	3/8	3/8	11	3/8	1/8	1/8	2	7	26% 7/27	4/8	2/8	2	7% 2/27

BravesNot confirmedGames with 1+ hitGames with 2+ total basesGames with 1+ strikeoutStrikeouts per PAWalks per PA

Not posted yet — this is the last game's order (Sep 29), not tonight's

1Drake BaldwinLHBSeason98/138L148/11Post0/1Season64/138L147/11Post0/1Season87/138L147/11Post1/1Season21% 132/615vs SP—Season9% 55/615K% vs SP—0231202030034120306001120201010101100000

Bats 1st · 4.47 PA per start this season · league average from the 1st spot: 4.49

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	138	156-for-549	98/138 · 71%	48/138 · 35%	252	64/138 · 46%	39/138 · 28%	26/138 · 19%	46	132	21% 132/615	87/138 · 63%	35/138 · 25%	55	9% 55/615
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	32-for-101	19/24 · 79%	11/24 · 46%	49	14/24 · 58%	9/24 · 38%	4/24 · 17%	11	25	23% 25/110	18/24 · 75%	7/24 · 29%	6	5% 6/110
L14Sep 14–27	11	17-for-46	8/11 · 73%	7/11 · 64%	26	7/11 · 64%	5/11 · 45%	3/11 · 27%	5	9	18% 9/51	7/11 · 64%	2/11 · 18%	4	8% 4/51
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Philadelphia Phillies	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Philadelphia Philliesregular season	13	15-for-58	10/13 · 77%	5/13 · 38%	18	6/13 · 46%	2/13 · 15%	0/13 · 0%	3	17	27% 17/63	12/13 · 92%	5/13 · 38%	3	5% 3/63

2Ronald Acuna Jr.RHBSeason71/107L146/10Post0/1Season44/107L145/10Post0/1Season68/107L147/10Post0/1Season22% 103/469vs SP—Season11% 53/469K% vs SP—1212102000434510200012101001100002100000

Bats 2nd · 4.38 PA per start this season · league average from the 2nd spot: 4.4

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	107	104-for-408	71/107 · 66%	29/107 · 27%	184	44/107 · 41%	28/107 · 26%	22/107 · 21%	39	103	22% 103/469	68/107 · 64%	24/107 · 22%	53	11% 53/469
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	28-for-92	16/23 · 70%	9/23 · 39%	54	13/23 · 57%	9/23 · 39%	8/23 · 35%	12	17	17% 17/99	15/23 · 65%	2/23 · 9%	6	6% 6/99
L14Sep 14–27	10	9-for-39	6/10 · 60%	3/10 · 30%	19	5/10 · 50%	4/10 · 40%	3/10 · 30%	4	8	19% 8/43	7/10 · 70%	1/10 · 10%	4	9% 4/43
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Philadelphia Phillies	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Philadelphia Philliesregular season	13	19-for-50	11/13 · 85%	6/13 · 46%	34	8/13 · 62%	5/13 · 38%	5/13 · 38%	7	9	15% 9/60	8/13 · 62%	1/13 · 8%	9	15% 9/60

3Matt OlsonLHBSeason111/162L147/12Post0/1Season76/162L144/12Post0/1Season111/162L146/12Post1/1Season24% 171/698vs SP—Season9% 64/698K% vs SP—3201200100620160010000200001120000001000

Bats 3rd · 4.31 PA per start this season · league average from the 3rd spot: 4.3

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	162	157-for-625	111/162 · 69%	39/162 · 24%	314	76/162 · 47%	53/162 · 33%	41/162 · 25%	75	171	24% 171/698	111/162 · 69%	46/162 · 28%	64	9% 64/698
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	25	20-for-94	13/25 · 52%	5/25 · 20%	34	7/25 · 28%	4/25 · 16%	4/25 · 16%	6	21	21% 21/102	14/25 · 56%	4/25 · 16%	5	5% 5/102
L14Sep 14–27	12	12-for-44	7/12 · 58%	4/12 · 33%	19	4/12 · 33%	2/12 · 17%	2/12 · 17%	3	9	19% 9/48	6/12 · 50%	2/12 · 17%	2	4% 2/48
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Philadelphia Phillies	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Philadelphia Philliesregular season	13	12-for-51	8/13 · 62%	3/13 · 23%	23	6/13 · 46%	4/13 · 31%	3/13 · 23%	5	10	17% 10/59	8/13 · 62%	2/13 · 15%	8	14% 8/59

4Mauricio DubonRHBSeason105/153L1410/11Post1/1Season60/153L147/11Post1/1Season60/153L144/11Post1/1Season12% 73/619vs SP—Season6% 35/619K% vs SP—2211122021531212205201121000020000010000

Bats 4th · 4.11 PA per start this season · league average from the 4th spot: 4.18

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	153	157-for-572	105/153 · 69%	42/153 · 27%	227	60/153 · 39%	33/153 · 22%	20/153 · 13%	43	73	12% 73/619	60/153 · 39%	12/153 · 8%	35	6% 35/619
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	27-for-87	17/23 · 74%	9/23 · 39%	39	10/23 · 43%	6/23 · 26%	3/23 · 13%	7	11	12% 11/95	9/23 · 39%	2/23 · 9%	4	4% 4/95
L14Sep 14–27	11	16-for-42	10/11 · 91%	6/11 · 55%	24	7/11 · 64%	3/11 · 27%	2/11 · 18%	5	5	11% 5/46	4/11 · 36%	1/11 · 9%	3	7% 3/46
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Philadelphia Phillies	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Philadelphia Philliesregular season	13	13-for-47	8/13 · 62%	4/13 · 31%	19	4/13 · 31%	4/13 · 31%	2/13 · 15%	3	9	17% 9/53	6/13 · 46%	3/13 · 23%	2	4% 2/53

5Michael Harris IILHBSeason105/155L146/11Post1/1Season67/155L145/11Post1/1Season91/155L145/11Post0/1Season19% 119/621vs SP—Season4% 23/621K% vs SP—1300203043160030406311000001100002000000

Bats 5th · 4.16 PA per start this season · league average from the 5th spot: 4.04

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	155	174-for-591	105/155 · 68%	47/155 · 30%	290	67/155 · 43%	46/155 · 30%	33/155 · 21%	63	119	19% 119/621	91/155 · 59%	25/155 · 16%	23	4% 23/621
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	27-for-93	12/24 · 50%	8/24 · 33%	43	9/24 · 38%	8/24 · 33%	6/24 · 25%	8	16	16% 16/97	13/24 · 54%	3/24 · 12%	4	4% 4/97
L14Sep 14–27	11	15-for-44	6/11 · 55%	5/11 · 45%	22	5/11 · 45%	4/11 · 36%	3/11 · 27%	5	5	11% 5/46	5/11 · 45%	0/11 · 0%	2	4% 2/46
Postseasonthis October	1	3-for-3	1/1	1/1	3	1/1	1/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Philadelphia Phillies	1	3-for-3	1/1	1/1	3	1/1	1/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Philadelphia Philliesregular season	13	18-for-43	8/13 · 62%	5/13 · 38%	28	6/13 · 46%	4/13 · 31%	3/13 · 23%	4	8	17% 8/47	5/13 · 38%	3/13 · 23%	3	6% 3/47

6Ozzie AlbiesSwitchSeason104/162L145/12Post1/1Season59/162L141/12Post1/1Season84/162L1410/12Post0/1Season15% 105/682vs SP—Season7% 45/682K% vs SP—0010110001001011000311110312101000000001

Bats 6th · 4.23 PA per start this season · league average from the 6th spot: 3.88

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	162	145-for-615	104/162 · 64%	33/162 · 20%	239	59/162 · 36%	30/162 · 19%	24/162 · 15%	49	105	15% 105/682	84/162 · 52%	18/162 · 11%	45	7% 45/682
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	25	13-for-92	12/25 · 48%	1/25 · 4%	24	6/25 · 24%	3/25 · 12%	2/25 · 8%	6	21	21% 21/99	17/25 · 68%	3/25 · 12%	5	5% 5/99
L14Sep 14–27	12	6-for-43	5/12 · 42%	1/12 · 8%	9	1/12 · 8%	1/12 · 8%	1/12 · 8%	1	13	28% 13/46	10/12 · 83%	2/12 · 17%	2	4% 2/46
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-2	1/1	0/1	3	1/1	1/1	0/1	1	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	1	25% 1/4
This seriesvs Philadelphia Phillies	1	1-for-2	1/1	0/1	3	1/1	1/1	0/1	1	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	1	25% 1/4
vs Philadelphia Philliesregular season	13	12-for-55	8/13 · 62%	3/13 · 23%	19	7/13 · 54%	2/13 · 15%	1/13 · 8%	7	5	8% 5/59	5/13 · 38%	0/13 · 0%	3	5% 3/59

7Austin RileyRHBSeason85/159L146/11Post1/1Season52/159L142/11Post1/1Season120/159L147/11Post0/1Season32% 201/630vs SP—Season8% 48/630K% vs SP—1011210001101154000423002023100000010010

Bats 7th · 3.97 PA per start this season · league average from the 7th spot: 3.73

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	159	124-for-566	85/159 · 53%	33/159 · 21%	206	52/159 · 33%	31/159 · 19%	17/159 · 11%	42	201	32% 201/630	120/159 · 75%	61/159 · 38%	48	8% 48/630
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	18-for-84	15/24 · 62%	3/24 · 12%	32	7/24 · 29%	5/24 · 21%	4/24 · 17%	5	30	33% 30/92	17/24 · 71%	10/24 · 42%	6	7% 6/92
L14Sep 14–27	11	7-for-40	6/11 · 55%	1/11 · 9%	13	2/11 · 18%	2/11 · 18%	2/11 · 18%	2	16	36% 16/44	7/11 · 64%	6/11 · 55%	3	7% 3/44
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	4	1/1	1/1	1/1	1	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Philadelphia Phillies	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	4	1/1	1/1	1/1	1	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Philadelphia Philliesregular season	13	11-for-48	9/13 · 69%	2/13 · 15%	26	6/13 · 46%	4/13 · 31%	3/13 · 23%	6	14	26% 14/54	9/13 · 69%	4/13 · 31%	3	6% 3/54

8Mike YastrzemskiLHBSeason65/138L144/12Post1/1Season31/138L143/12Post0/1Season73/138L146/12Post1/1Season24% 98/408vs SP—Season10% 41/408K% vs SP—0220010001055001000121100120110001010100

Bats 8th · 3.4 PA per start this season · league average from the 8th spot: 3.54

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	138	82-for-361	65/138 · 47%	15/138 · 11%	138	31/138 · 22%	19/138 · 14%	13/138 · 9%	31	98	24% 98/408	73/138 · 53%	22/138 · 16%	41	10% 41/408
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	21	13-for-59	8/21 · 38%	4/21 · 19%	24	6/21 · 29%	5/21 · 24%	3/21 · 14%	5	14	21% 14/66	10/21 · 48%	4/21 · 19%	7	11% 7/66
L14Sep 14–27	12	6-for-33	4/12 · 33%	2/12 · 17%	15	3/12 · 25%	3/12 · 25%	3/12 · 25%	3	8	22% 8/37	6/12 · 50%	2/12 · 17%	4	11% 4/37
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Philadelphia Phillies	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Philadelphia Philliesregular season	8	7-for-24	5/8	1/8	8	2/8	1/8	0/8	1	8	30% 8/27	5/8	3/8	3	11% 3/27

9Ha-Seong KimRHBSeason12/45L141/7Post0/1Season4/45L141/7Post0/1Season26/45L146/7Post1/1Season26% 38/147vs SP—Season11% 16/147K% vs SP—0000000100000000030010112011121200000120

Bats 9th · 3.45 PA per start this season · league average from the 9th spot: 3.23

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	45	15-for-128	12/45 · 27%	2/45 · 4%	18	4/45 · 9%	2/45 · 4%	0/45 · 0%	2	38	26% 38/147	26/45 · 58%	12/45 · 27%	16	11% 16/147
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	16	8-for-42	5/16 · 31%	2/16 · 12%	11	4/16 · 25%	2/16 · 12%	0/16 · 0%	2	12	24% 12/51	9/16 · 56%	3/16 · 19%	7	14% 7/51
L14Sep 14–27	7	1-for-19	1/7	0/7	3	1/7	1/7	0/7	1	7	29% 7/24	6/7	1/7	3	12% 3/24
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-2	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	100% 2/2	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/2
This seriesvs Philadelphia Phillies	1	0-for-2	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	100% 2/2	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/2
vs Philadelphia Philliesregular season	6	1-for-14	1/6	0/6	1	0/6	0/6	0/6	0	5	29% 5/17	3/6	2/6	3	18% 3/17

Thresholds

Games that cleared each mark. Counts first; a rate only from 10 games up. L14 is the last two weeks of the regular season.

1+ hit — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Phillies
1Trea Turner	104/157 · 66%	9/12 · 75%	0/1
2Kyle Schwarber	91/156 · 58%	4/12 · 33%	1/1
3Bryce Harper	101/161 · 63%	8/12 · 67%	0/1
4Alec Bohm	94/153 · 61%	7/12 · 58%	1/1
5Derek Hill	43/88 · 49%	1/5	0/1
6Bryan De La Cruz	16/30 · 53%	1/5	0/1
7Bryson Stott	99/155 · 64%	8/12 · 67%	1/1
8Edmundo Sosa	42/83 · 51%	2/5	1/1
9J.T. Realmuto	62/122 · 51%	1/11 · 9%	1/1
Braves
1Drake Baldwin	98/138 · 71%	8/11 · 73%	0/1
2Ronald Acuna Jr.	71/107 · 66%	6/10 · 60%	0/1
3Matt Olson	111/162 · 69%	7/12 · 58%	0/1
4Mauricio Dubon	105/153 · 69%	10/11 · 91%	1/1
5Michael Harris II	105/155 · 68%	6/11 · 55%	1/1
6Ozzie Albies	104/162 · 64%	5/12 · 42%	1/1
7Austin Riley	85/159 · 53%	6/11 · 55%	1/1
8Mike Yastrzemski	65/138 · 47%	4/12 · 33%	1/1
9Ha-Seong Kim	12/45 · 27%	1/7	0/1

2+ hits — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Phillies
1Trea Turner	41/157 · 26%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
2Kyle Schwarber	34/156 · 22%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
3Bryce Harper	39/161 · 24%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
4Alec Bohm	41/153 · 27%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
5Derek Hill	4/88 · 5%	0/5	0/1
6Bryan De La Cruz	6/30 · 20%	0/5	0/1
7Bryson Stott	33/155 · 21%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
8Edmundo Sosa	13/83 · 16%	2/5	0/1
9J.T. Realmuto	20/122 · 16%	0/11 · 0%	0/1
Braves
1Drake Baldwin	48/138 · 35%	7/11 · 64%	0/1
2Ronald Acuna Jr.	29/107 · 27%	3/10 · 30%	0/1
3Matt Olson	39/162 · 24%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
4Mauricio Dubon	42/153 · 27%	6/11 · 55%	0/1
5Michael Harris II	47/155 · 30%	5/11 · 45%	1/1
6Ozzie Albies	33/162 · 20%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
7Austin Riley	33/159 · 21%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
8Mike Yastrzemski	15/138 · 11%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
9Ha-Seong Kim	2/45 · 4%	0/7	0/1

2+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Phillies
1Trea Turner	59/157 · 38%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
2Kyle Schwarber	66/156 · 42%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
3Bryce Harper	69/161 · 43%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
4Alec Bohm	56/153 · 37%	4/12 · 33%	1/1
5Derek Hill	17/88 · 19%	1/5	0/1
6Bryan De La Cruz	9/30 · 30%	1/5	0/1
7Bryson Stott	55/155 · 35%	5/12 · 42%	0/1
8Edmundo Sosa	22/83 · 27%	2/5	1/1
9J.T. Realmuto	37/122 · 30%	1/11 · 9%	1/1
Braves
1Drake Baldwin	64/138 · 46%	7/11 · 64%	0/1
2Ronald Acuna Jr.	44/107 · 41%	5/10 · 50%	0/1
3Matt Olson	76/162 · 47%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
4Mauricio Dubon	60/153 · 39%	7/11 · 64%	1/1
5Michael Harris II	67/155 · 43%	5/11 · 45%	1/1
6Ozzie Albies	59/162 · 36%	1/12 · 8%	1/1
7Austin Riley	52/159 · 33%	2/11 · 18%	1/1
8Mike Yastrzemski	31/138 · 22%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
9Ha-Seong Kim	4/45 · 9%	1/7	0/1

3+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Phillies
1Trea Turner	35/157 · 22%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
2Kyle Schwarber	48/156 · 31%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
3Bryce Harper	49/161 · 30%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
4Alec Bohm	29/153 · 19%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
5Derek Hill	13/88 · 15%	1/5	0/1
6Bryan De La Cruz	5/30 · 17%	0/5	0/1
7Bryson Stott	31/155 · 20%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
8Edmundo Sosa	15/83 · 18%	2/5	0/1
9J.T. Realmuto	17/122 · 14%	0/11 · 0%	1/1
Braves
1Drake Baldwin	39/138 · 28%	5/11 · 45%	0/1
2Ronald Acuna Jr.	28/107 · 26%	4/10 · 40%	0/1
3Matt Olson	53/162 · 33%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
4Mauricio Dubon	33/153 · 22%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
5Michael Harris II	46/155 · 30%	4/11 · 36%	1/1
6Ozzie Albies	30/162 · 19%	1/12 · 8%	1/1
7Austin Riley	31/159 · 19%	2/11 · 18%	1/1
8Mike Yastrzemski	19/138 · 14%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
9Ha-Seong Kim	2/45 · 4%	1/7	0/1

4+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Phillies
1Trea Turner	24/157 · 15%	0/12 · 0%	0/1
2Kyle Schwarber	39/156 · 25%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
3Bryce Harper	34/161 · 21%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
4Alec Bohm	17/153 · 11%	0/12 · 0%	0/1
5Derek Hill	12/88 · 14%	1/5	0/1
6Bryan De La Cruz	2/30 · 7%	0/5	0/1
7Bryson Stott	20/155 · 13%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
8Edmundo Sosa	9/83 · 11%	2/5	0/1
9J.T. Realmuto	13/122 · 11%	0/11 · 0%	0/1
Braves
1Drake Baldwin	26/138 · 19%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
2Ronald Acuna Jr.	22/107 · 21%	3/10 · 30%	0/1
3Matt Olson	41/162 · 25%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
4Mauricio Dubon	20/153 · 13%	2/11 · 18%	0/1
5Michael Harris II	33/155 · 21%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
6Ozzie Albies	24/162 · 15%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
7Austin Riley	17/159 · 11%	2/11 · 18%	1/1
8Mike Yastrzemski	13/138 · 9%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
9Ha-Seong Kim	0/45 · 0%	0/7	0/1

1+ K — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Phillies
1Trea Turner	109/157 · 69%	8/12 · 67%	1/1
2Kyle Schwarber	119/156 · 76%	8/12 · 67%	1/1
3Bryce Harper	96/161 · 60%	8/12 · 67%	1/1
4Alec Bohm	69/153 · 45%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
5Derek Hill	45/88 · 51%	2/5	1/1
6Bryan De La Cruz	15/30 · 50%	3/5	1/1
7Bryson Stott	77/155 · 50%	3/12 · 25%	1/1
8Edmundo Sosa	42/83 · 51%	3/5	1/1
9J.T. Realmuto	68/122 · 56%	8/11 · 73%	1/1
Braves
1Drake Baldwin	87/138 · 63%	7/11 · 64%	1/1
2Ronald Acuna Jr.	68/107 · 64%	7/10 · 70%	0/1
3Matt Olson	111/162 · 69%	6/12 · 50%	1/1
4Mauricio Dubon	60/153 · 39%	4/11 · 36%	1/1
5Michael Harris II	91/155 · 59%	5/11 · 45%	0/1
6Ozzie Albies	84/162 · 52%	10/12 · 83%	0/1
7Austin Riley	120/159 · 75%	7/11 · 64%	0/1
8Mike Yastrzemski	73/138 · 53%	6/12 · 50%	1/1
9Ha-Seong Kim	26/45 · 58%	6/7	1/1

2+ K — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Phillies
1Trea Turner	32/157 · 20%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
2Kyle Schwarber	72/156 · 46%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
3Bryce Harper	40/161 · 25%	2/12 · 17%	1/1
4Alec Bohm	16/153 · 10%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
5Derek Hill	17/88 · 19%	0/5	0/1
6Bryan De La Cruz	3/30 · 10%	0/5	0/1
7Bryson Stott	21/155 · 14%	1/12 · 8%	1/1
8Edmundo Sosa	11/83 · 13%	1/5	0/1
9J.T. Realmuto	26/122 · 21%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
Braves
1Drake Baldwin	35/138 · 25%	2/11 · 18%	0/1
2Ronald Acuna Jr.	24/107 · 22%	1/10 · 10%	0/1
3Matt Olson	46/162 · 28%	2/12 · 17%	1/1
4Mauricio Dubon	12/153 · 8%	1/11 · 9%	1/1
5Michael Harris II	25/155 · 16%	0/11 · 0%	0/1
6Ozzie Albies	18/162 · 11%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
7Austin Riley	61/159 · 38%	6/11 · 55%	0/1
8Mike Yastrzemski	22/138 · 16%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
9Ha-Seong Kim	12/45 · 27%	1/7	1/1

4+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post

3 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post

1 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post

regular season ends · 2 playoff game · strips run oldest → newest · tap a hitter for L28, the opponent, the series and the matchup. Built from the play-by-play feed, which does not pick up official scoring changes, so a season total can differ from MLB’s by a hit. Evidence, not picks: no odds are read and nothing here is scored.

Game Analysis

Context and interpretation

Team Identity

Philadelphia Phillies

Season-to-date, 162 games, 6,256 PA.

An opportunistic, aggressive offense that cashes in scoring chances. The offense has cooled off recently.

Power

Average50

Contact

Below Avg42

Plate Discipline

Average50

Speed

Above Avg70

RISP

Elite91

Recent Form

Trending Down

Total bases per PA is down 20% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

Atlanta Braves

Season-to-date, 162 games, 6,246 PA.

A power-hitting, opportunistic offense that does damage on extra-base hits, though it can be free-swinging. The offense has cooled off recently.

Power

Above Avg79

Contact

Average60

Plate Discipline

Below Avg25

Speed

Below Avg43

RISP

Above Avg71

Recent Form

Trending Down

Walk rate is down 8% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

What This Game Is About

Biggest Advantage

Braves bring the more power-hitting profile, while Phillies lean on being opportunistic.

Swing Factor

Phillies sit in the 50th percentile for extra-base production, Braves in the 79th.

Momentum

Phillies are trending down and Braves are trending down over their last 10 games.

Key Matchups

Which bullpen is under more pressure?

Phillies relievers ~82 pitches; Braves relievers ~65 pitches (Sep 27–29).

Edge · EvenPhillies: ~82 relief pitchesBraves: ~65 relief pitchesModerate confidence

Through Sep 29, the feed's last day. Relief pitches are reconstructed from play-by-play.

Expected Game Shape

UncertainLow confidence

Probable-starter data is incomplete, so the shape is hard to call. Braves bring more power.

At least one probable starter could not be matched to stored data.
Phillies are trending down; Braves are trending down.

Storylines to Watch

Is Bryson Stott the one to watch?

Bryson Stott enters as Phillies' hottest bat. Total bases per PA is up 52% over his prior baseline, with hits in 8 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 7%.

0.317 hit rate · 0.512 TB/PA · 0.215 hit rate · 0.336 TB/PA

Can Ozzie Albies snap out of it?

Ozzie Albies has cooled off. Total bases per PA is down 71% over his prior baseline, with hits in 4 of his last 10 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 31%.

0.103 hit rate · 0.103 TB/PA · 0.212 hit rate · 0.354 TB/PA

Based on plate appearances before 2026-10-01, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.