NL Wild Card Series · Game 2 of 3Padres lead 1-0 · Elimination game
Chicago Cubs
No. 5 seed · 89-73 in the regular season
Regular-season form: bats heating upRHP Kevin Gausman · High-strikeout arm · plus control
@
San Diego Padres
No. 4 seed · 91-71 in the regular season
Regular-season form: bats heating upRHP Nick Pivetta · Elite strikeout stuff · plus control
Playoff Prop Desk
Evidence for player and pitcher decisions
Lineup spot leads because it sets plate appearances, which predict a hit more than twice as well as recent hitting does.
Total bases rides on the same chances as a hit, plus extra-base power. We do not model it; these are records.
The opposing starter carries batter strikeouts more than the batter's own form, so his strikeout rate sits beside every row.
Workload leads: a postseason hook can cut a starter's batters faced, and strikeouts need batters.
Records only. When this market was measured, recent hits allowed carried no information beyond its base rate.
Records only — the site has no walks model.
Watching
Kevin GausmanRHP · Cubs vs Padres
5.8 K / start5.8 K / start5.6 H allowed / start5.6 H allowed / start5.6 H allowed / start1.5 BB / start
~94 pitches · 23.4 BF · ~5.2 IP per start · 32 regular-season starts
Recent K679667
Recent H365856
Recent BB121201
Pitches ~941021039494101
BF242327232222
Last 6 recorded starts · no postseason appearance yet
Padres confirmed lineup vs RHP: K 21% 605/2901hits 22% 643/2901BB 9% 267/2901 per PA
Start by start
| Avg | Aug 24 | Aug 29 | Sep 3 | Sep 9 | Sep 15 | Sep 23 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pitches ~ | ~93.8 | 94 | 102 | 103 | 94 | 94 | 101 |
| Batters faced | 23.4 | 24 | 23 | 27 | 23 | 22 | 22 |
| Innings ~ | ~5.2 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 5.2 |
| Strikeouts | 5.8 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| Hits allowed | 5.6 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| Walks | 1.5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
vs San Diego Padres this season: Jul 12: 6.0 IP, 8 K, 4 H, 3 BB
Nick PivettaRHP · Padres vs Cubs
5.2 K / start5.2 K / start3.4 H allowed / start3.4 H allowed / start3.4 H allowed / start1 BB / start
~72 pitches · 17.5 BF · ~4.1 IP per start · 8 regular-season starts
Recent K842547
Recent H402544
Recent BB100011
Pitches ~864263697687
BF20917172020
Last 6 recorded starts · span Apr 7 – Sep 24 · no postseason appearance yet
Cubs confirmed lineup vs RHP: K 20% 764/3738hits 22% 810/3738BB 11% 411/3738 per PA
Start by start
| Avg | Apr 7 | Apr 12 | Sep 7 | Sep 13 | Sep 18 | Sep 24 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pitches ~ | ~71.8 | 86 | 42 | 63 | 69 | 76 | 87 |
| Batters faced | 17.5 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 20 | 20 |
| Innings ~ | ~4.1 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| Strikeouts | 5.2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| Hits allowed | 3.4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Walks | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Cubs✓ Confirmed lineupvs RHP Nick PivettaGames with 1+ hitGames with 2+ total basesGames with 1+ strikeoutStrikeouts per PAWalks per PA
1Pete Crow-ArmstrongLHB vs RHPSeason111/162L147/12Post0/1Season76/162L144/12Post0/1Season115/162L149/12Post1/1Season26% 187/726vs RHP25% 122/496Season11% 83/726K% vs RHP25% 122/4960032011010007301101031011111030002111001
Bats 1st · 4.49 PA per start this season · league average from the 1st spot: 4.49
| G | H-AB | 1+ H | 2+ H | TB | 2+ TB | 3+ TB | 4+ TB | XBH | K | K/PA | 1+ K | 2+ K | BB | BB/PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular seasonall of it | 162 | 174-for-626 | 111/162 · 69% | 42/162 · 26% | 356 | 76/162 · 47% | 51/162 · 31% | 40/162 · 25% | 84 | 187 | 26% 187/726 | 115/162 · 71% | 56/162 · 35% | 83 | 11% 83/726 |
| L28Aug 31–Sep 27 | 25 | 26-for-99 | 17/25 · 68% | 5/25 · 20% | 53 | 8/25 · 32% | 7/25 · 28% | 6/25 · 24% | 12 | 27 | 24% 27/113 | 20/25 · 80% | 5/25 · 20% | 12 | 11% 12/113 |
| L14Sep 14–27 | 12 | 15-for-48 | 7/12 · 58% | 4/12 · 33% | 32 | 4/12 · 33% | 4/12 · 33% | 3/12 · 25% | 8 | 11 | 20% 11/54 | 9/12 · 75% | 1/12 · 8% | 6 | 11% 6/54 |
| Postseasonthis October | 1 | 0-for-3 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 3 | 75% 3/4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1 | 25% 1/4 |
| This seriesvs San Diego Padres | 1 | 0-for-3 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 3 | 75% 3/4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1 | 25% 1/4 |
| vs San Diego Padresregular season | 6 | 8-for-22 | 6/6 | 2/6 | 20 | 5/6 | 4/6 | 4/6 | 4 | 6 | 22% 6/27 | 5/6 | 1/6 | 5 | 19% 5/27 |
vs Nick Pivetta: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much
2Alex BregmanRHB vs RHPSeason101/155L143/8Post0/1Season62/155L142/8Post0/1Season78/155L143/8Post1/1Season15% 102/702vs RHP15% 80/523Season11% 76/702K% vs RHP15% 80/52310030010402009001011000100101031010011010
Bats 2nd · 4.54 PA per start this season · league average from the 2nd spot: 4.4
| G | H-AB | 1+ H | 2+ H | TB | 2+ TB | 3+ TB | 4+ TB | XBH | K | K/PA | 1+ K | 2+ K | BB | BB/PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular seasonall of it | 155 | 160-for-608 | 101/155 · 65% | 42/155 · 27% | 281 | 62/155 · 40% | 34/155 · 22% | 27/155 · 17% | 63 | 102 | 15% 102/702 | 78/155 · 50% | 20/155 · 13% | 76 | 11% 76/702 |
| L28Aug 31–Sep 27 | 21 | 25-for-75 | 13/21 · 62% | 7/21 · 33% | 57 | 10/21 · 48% | 5/21 · 24% | 5/21 · 24% | 15 | 6 | 7% 6/88 | 6/21 · 29% | 0/21 · 0% | 10 | 11% 10/88 |
| L14Sep 14–27 | 8 | 8-for-29 | 3/8 | 2/8 | 21 | 2/8 | 2/8 | 2/8 | 6 | 3 | 9% 3/33 | 3/8 | 0/8 | 4 | 12% 4/33 |
| Postseasonthis October | 1 | 0-for-4 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 3 | 75% 3/4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0 | 0% 0/4 |
| This seriesvs San Diego Padres | 1 | 0-for-4 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 3 | 75% 3/4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0 | 0% 0/4 |
| vs San Diego Padresregular season | 6 | 6-for-21 | 4/6 | 2/6 | 9 | 3/6 | 1/6 | 1/6 | 1 | 1 | 4% 1/28 | 1/6 | 0/6 | 7 | 25% 7/28 |
vs Nick Pivetta: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much
3Michael BuschLHB vs RHPSeason102/160L147/12Post0/1Season59/160L144/12Post0/1Season112/160L149/12Post1/1Season23% 165/710vs RHP24% 122/506Season13% 92/710K% vs RHP24% 122/5060211202200051120220011212102012012001001
Bats 3rd · 4.48 PA per start this season · league average from the 3rd spot: 4.3
| G | H-AB | 1+ H | 2+ H | TB | 2+ TB | 3+ TB | 4+ TB | XBH | K | K/PA | 1+ K | 2+ K | BB | BB/PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular seasonall of it | 160 | 145-for-600 | 102/160 · 64% | 36/160 · 22% | 236 | 59/160 · 37% | 38/160 · 24% | 27/160 · 17% | 49 | 165 | 23% 165/710 | 112/160 · 70% | 44/160 · 28% | 92 | 13% 92/710 |
| L28Aug 31–Sep 27 | 25 | 22-for-86 | 15/25 · 60% | 7/25 · 28% | 35 | 11/25 · 44% | 5/25 · 20% | 3/25 · 12% | 7 | 25 | 24% 25/103 | 19/25 · 76% | 6/25 · 24% | 15 | 15% 15/103 |
| L14Sep 14–27 | 12 | 11-for-40 | 7/12 · 58% | 4/12 · 33% | 14 | 4/12 · 33% | 1/12 · 8% | 1/12 · 8% | 1 | 13 | 25% 13/51 | 9/12 · 75% | 4/12 · 33% | 10 | 20% 10/51 |
| Postseasonthis October | 1 | 0-for-3 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 1 | 25% 1/4 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1 | 25% 1/4 |
| This seriesvs San Diego Padres | 1 | 0-for-3 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 1 | 25% 1/4 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1 | 25% 1/4 |
| vs San Diego Padresregular season | 6 | 3-for-25 | 2/6 | 1/6 | 9 | 2/6 | 2/6 | 2/6 | 2 | 10 | 32% 10/31 | 5/6 | 4/6 | 5 | 16% 5/31 |
vs Nick Pivetta: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much
4Seiya SuzukiRHB vs RHPSeason94/143L149/11Post1/1Season65/143L145/11Post0/1Season105/143L1411/11Post0/1Season24% 155/633vs RHP26% 123/465Season13% 80/633K% vs RHP26% 123/4650121212021012431502113111112100010001111
Bats 4th · 4.5 PA per start this season · league average from the 4th spot: 4.18
| G | H-AB | 1+ H | 2+ H | TB | 2+ TB | 3+ TB | 4+ TB | XBH | K | K/PA | 1+ K | 2+ K | BB | BB/PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular seasonall of it | 143 | 147-for-545 | 94/143 · 66% | 42/143 · 29% | 258 | 65/143 · 45% | 42/143 · 29% | 31/143 · 22% | 58 | 155 | 24% 155/633 | 105/143 · 73% | 36/143 · 25% | 80 | 13% 80/633 |
| L28Aug 31–Sep 27 | 24 | 22-for-89 | 14/24 · 58% | 6/24 · 25% | 36 | 9/24 · 38% | 5/24 · 21% | 4/24 · 17% | 7 | 23 | 21% 23/107 | 18/24 · 75% | 4/24 · 17% | 17 | 16% 17/107 |
| L14Sep 14–27 | 11 | 13-for-46 | 9/11 · 82% | 4/11 · 36% | 20 | 5/11 · 45% | 3/11 · 27% | 2/11 · 18% | 3 | 16 | 31% 16/51 | 11/11 · 100% | 4/11 · 36% | 4 | 8% 4/51 |
| Postseasonthis October | 1 | 1-for-3 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0% 0/4 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 1 | 25% 1/4 |
| This seriesvs San Diego Padres | 1 | 1-for-3 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0% 0/4 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 1 | 25% 1/4 |
| vs San Diego Padresregular season | 5 | 11-for-22 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 19 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 4 | 4 | 16% 4/25 | 4/5 | 0/5 | 2 | 8% 2/25 |
vs Nick Pivetta: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much
5Ian HappSwitch vs RHPSeason86/155L147/12Post0/1Season54/155L146/12Post0/1Season117/155L145/12Post0/1Season30% 189/636vs RHP28% 137/492Season13% 81/636K% vs RHP28% 137/4921021110000403123000010220001300100011001
Bats 5th · 4.27 PA per start this season · league average from the 5th spot: 4.04
| G | H-AB | 1+ H | 2+ H | TB | 2+ TB | 3+ TB | 4+ TB | XBH | K | K/PA | 1+ K | 2+ K | BB | BB/PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular seasonall of it | 155 | 119-for-546 | 86/155 · 55% | 29/155 · 19% | 225 | 54/155 · 35% | 35/155 · 23% | 26/155 · 17% | 55 | 189 | 30% 189/636 | 117/155 · 75% | 58/155 · 37% | 81 | 13% 81/636 |
| L28Aug 31–Sep 27 | 23 | 13-for-66 | 11/23 · 48% | 2/23 · 9% | 22 | 7/23 · 30% | 3/23 · 13% | 1/23 · 4% | 6 | 19 | 24% 19/78 | 11/23 · 48% | 7/23 · 30% | 12 | 15% 12/78 |
| L14Sep 14–27 | 12 | 8-for-37 | 7/12 · 58% | 1/12 · 8% | 17 | 6/12 · 50% | 3/12 · 25% | 1/12 · 8% | 6 | 9 | 22% 9/41 | 5/12 · 42% | 3/12 · 25% | 4 | 10% 4/41 |
| Postseasonthis October | 1 | 0-for-3 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0% 0/4 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 1 | 25% 1/4 |
| This seriesvs San Diego Padres | 1 | 0-for-3 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0% 0/4 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 1 | 25% 1/4 |
| vs San Diego Padresregular season | 6 | 4-for-22 | 4/6 | 0/6 | 6 | 2/6 | 0/6 | 0/6 | 2 | 7 | 27% 7/26 | 5/6 | 2/6 | 3 | 12% 3/26 |
vs Nick Pivetta: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much
6Nico HoernerRHB vs RHPSeason108/159L147/12Post1/1Season55/159L143/12Post1/1Season51/159L142/12Post0/1Season8% 58/689vs RHP8% 41/516Season6% 43/689K% vs RHP8% 41/5161210110202131011020200011000000011000000
Bats 6th · 4.38 PA per start this season · league average from the 6th spot: 3.88
| G | H-AB | 1+ H | 2+ H | TB | 2+ TB | 3+ TB | 4+ TB | XBH | K | K/PA | 1+ K | 2+ K | BB | BB/PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular seasonall of it | 159 | 165-for-628 | 108/159 · 68% | 40/159 · 25% | 220 | 55/159 · 35% | 26/159 · 16% | 15/159 · 9% | 38 | 58 | 8% 58/689 | 51/159 · 32% | 7/159 · 4% | 43 | 6% 43/689 |
| L28Aug 31–Sep 27 | 25 | 25-for-95 | 16/25 · 64% | 7/25 · 28% | 30 | 8/25 · 32% | 5/25 · 20% | 1/25 · 4% | 3 | 6 | 6% 6/101 | 5/25 · 20% | 1/25 · 4% | 3 | 3% 3/101 |
| L14Sep 14–27 | 12 | 10-for-44 | 7/12 · 58% | 3/12 · 25% | 11 | 3/12 · 25% | 1/12 · 8% | 0/12 · 0% | 1 | 2 | 4% 2/48 | 2/12 · 17% | 0/12 · 0% | 2 | 4% 2/48 |
| Postseasonthis October | 1 | 2-for-4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0% 0/4 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0% 0/4 |
| This seriesvs San Diego Padres | 1 | 2-for-4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0% 0/4 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0% 0/4 |
| vs San Diego Padresregular season | 6 | 4-for-24 | 4/6 | 0/6 | 5 | 1/6 | 0/6 | 0/6 | 1 | 3 | 11% 3/28 | 2/6 | 1/6 | 2 | 7% 2/28 |
vs Nick Pivetta: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much
7Matt ShawRHB vs RHPSeason30/70L143/7Season17/70L142/7Season28/70L142/7Season17% 35/202vs RHP19% 20/104Season10% 21/202K% vs RHP19% 20/1040002000210000200031030000120001101010001
Bats 7th · 3.57 PA per start this season · league average from the 7th spot: 3.73
| G | H-AB | 1+ H | 2+ H | TB | 2+ TB | 3+ TB | 4+ TB | XBH | K | K/PA | 1+ K | 2+ K | BB | BB/PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular seasonall of it | 70 | 41-for-173 | 30/70 · 43% | 9/70 · 13% | 71 | 17/70 · 24% | 11/70 · 16% | 8/70 · 11% | 17 | 35 | 17% 35/202 | 28/70 · 40% | 5/70 · 7% | 21 | 10% 21/202 |
| L28Aug 31–Sep 27 | 17 | 8-for-40 | 6/17 · 35% | 2/17 · 12% | 15 | 5/17 · 29% | 3/17 · 18% | 1/17 · 6% | 4 | 8 | 16% 8/51 | 5/17 · 29% | 2/17 · 12% | 8 | 16% 8/51 |
| L14Sep 14–27 | 7 | 5-for-20 | 3/7 | 2/7 | 6 | 2/7 | 1/7 | 0/7 | 1 | 3 | 12% 3/24 | 2/7 | 1/7 | 3 | 12% 3/24 |
| Postseasonthis October | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| This seriesvs San Diego Padres | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| vs San Diego Padresregular season | 3 | 4-for-10 | 2/3 | 1/3 | 8 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 2 | 1 | 10% 1/10 | 1/3 | 0/3 | 0 | 0% 0/10 |
vs Nick Pivetta: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much
8Carson KellyRHB vs RHPSeason69/116L144/9Post0/1Season38/116L142/9Post0/1Season52/116L142/9Post1/1Season16% 70/425vs RHP16% 46/289Season9% 40/425K% vs RHP16% 46/2891022010000102201000000000300111001000000
Bats 8th · 4.04 PA per start this season · league average from the 8th spot: 3.54
| G | H-AB | 1+ H | 2+ H | TB | 2+ TB | 3+ TB | 4+ TB | XBH | K | K/PA | 1+ K | 2+ K | BB | BB/PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular seasonall of it | 116 | 98-for-380 | 69/116 · 59% | 25/116 · 22% | 143 | 38/116 · 33% | 17/116 · 15% | 12/116 · 10% | 25 | 70 | 16% 70/425 | 52/116 · 45% | 15/116 · 13% | 40 | 9% 40/425 |
| L28Aug 31–Sep 27 | 20 | 15-for-61 | 10/20 · 50% | 4/20 · 20% | 20 | 5/20 · 25% | 2/20 · 10% | 1/20 · 5% | 3 | 10 | 15% 10/66 | 6/20 · 30% | 3/20 · 15% | 3 | 5% 3/66 |
| L14Sep 14–27 | 9 | 6-for-26 | 4/9 | 2/9 | 6 | 2/9 | 0/9 | 0/9 | 0 | 4 | 14% 4/29 | 2/9 | 1/9 | 2 | 7% 2/29 |
| Postseasonthis October | 1 | 0-for-3 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 1 | 33% 1/3 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0% 0/3 |
| This seriesvs San Diego Padres | 1 | 0-for-3 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 1 | 33% 1/3 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0% 0/3 |
| vs San Diego Padresregular season | 2 | 3-for-9 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 3 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 0 | 1 | 10% 1/10 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 1 | 10% 1/10 |
vs Nick Pivetta: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much
9Dansby SwansonRHB vs RHPSeason62/124L143/7Post0/1Season37/124L141/7Post0/1Season81/124L145/7Post1/1Season24% 115/486vs RHP21% 73/347Season10% 51/486K% vs RHP21% 73/3470112010000011501000011104011212010010010
Bats 9th · 3.94 PA per start this season · league average from the 9th spot: 3.23
| G | H-AB | 1+ H | 2+ H | TB | 2+ TB | 3+ TB | 4+ TB | XBH | K | K/PA | 1+ K | 2+ K | BB | BB/PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular seasonall of it | 124 | 90-for-428 | 62/124 · 50% | 23/124 · 19% | 169 | 37/124 · 30% | 23/124 · 19% | 16/124 · 13% | 38 | 115 | 24% 115/486 | 81/124 · 65% | 30/124 · 24% | 51 | 10% 51/486 |
| L28Aug 31–Sep 27 | 7 | 4-for-25 | 3/7 | 1/7 | 7 | 1/7 | 1/7 | 1/7 | 1 | 9 | 32% 9/28 | 5/7 | 2/7 | 3 | 11% 3/28 |
| L14Sep 14–27 | 7 | 4-for-25 | 3/7 | 1/7 | 7 | 1/7 | 1/7 | 1/7 | 1 | 9 | 32% 9/28 | 5/7 | 2/7 | 3 | 11% 3/28 |
| Postseasonthis October | 1 | 0-for-3 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 1 | 33% 1/3 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0% 0/3 |
| This seriesvs San Diego Padres | 1 | 0-for-3 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 1 | 33% 1/3 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0% 0/3 |
| vs San Diego Padresregular season | 5 | 11-for-17 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 28 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 7 | 1 | 6% 1/18 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 1 | 6% 1/18 |
vs Nick Pivetta: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much
Padres✓ Confirmed lineupvs RHP Kevin GausmanGames with 1+ hitGames with 2+ total basesGames with 1+ strikeoutStrikeouts per PAWalks per PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr.RHB vs RHPSeason113/159L1410/12Post1/1Season74/159L148/12Post1/1Season91/159L149/12Post1/1Season18% 129/703vs RHP18% 100/543Season9% 64/703K% vs RHP18% 100/5431111132202214414230512102110011100001011
Bats 1st · 4.48 PA per start this season · league average from the 1st spot: 4.49
| G | H-AB | 1+ H | 2+ H | TB | 2+ TB | 3+ TB | 4+ TB | XBH | K | K/PA | 1+ K | 2+ K | BB | BB/PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular seasonall of it | 159 | 181-for-625 | 113/159 · 71% | 47/159 · 30% | 294 | 74/159 · 47% | 42/159 · 26% | 32/159 · 20% | 60 | 129 | 18% 129/703 | 91/159 · 57% | 29/159 · 18% | 64 | 9% 64/703 |
| L28Aug 31–Sep 27 | 24 | 32-for-97 | 19/24 · 79% | 9/24 · 38% | 62 | 17/24 · 71% | 13/24 · 54% | 8/24 · 33% | 13 | 18 | 17% 18/109 | 15/24 · 62% | 3/24 · 12% | 10 | 9% 10/109 |
| L14Sep 14–27 | 12 | 14-for-49 | 10/12 · 83% | 3/12 · 25% | 29 | 8/12 · 67% | 6/12 · 50% | 5/12 · 42% | 7 | 11 | 20% 11/55 | 9/12 · 75% | 2/12 · 17% | 4 | 7% 4/55 |
| Postseasonthis October | 1 | 2-for-3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 5 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1 | 1 | 25% 1/4 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1 | 25% 1/4 |
| This seriesvs Chicago Cubs | 1 | 2-for-3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 5 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1 | 1 | 25% 1/4 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1 | 25% 1/4 |
| vs Chicago Cubsregular season | 6 | 6-for-26 | 4/6 | 2/6 | 12 | 2/6 | 1/6 | 1/6 | 2 | 6 | 22% 6/27 | 4/6 | 2/6 | 0 | 0% 0/27 |
vs Kevin Gausman: 0-for-3, 2 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much
2Dustin HarrisLHB vs RHPSeason27/43L1410/13Post1/1Season15/43L147/13Post0/1Season15/43L145/13Post0/1Season13% 20/152vs RHP12% 16/129Season7% 11/152K% vs RHP12% 16/1292110001221221000142121010200000000001000
Bats 2nd · 3.89 PA per start this season · league average from the 2nd spot: 4.4
| G | H-AB | 1+ H | 2+ H | TB | 2+ TB | 3+ TB | 4+ TB | XBH | K | K/PA | 1+ K | 2+ K | BB | BB/PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular seasonall of it | 43 | 39-for-132 | 27/43 · 63% | 10/43 · 23% | 51 | 15/43 · 35% | 6/43 · 14% | 3/43 · 7% | 8 | 20 | 13% 20/152 | 15/43 · 35% | 4/43 · 9% | 11 | 7% 11/152 |
| L28Aug 31–Sep 27 | 22 | 23-for-78 | 15/22 · 68% | 7/22 · 32% | 31 | 9/22 · 41% | 4/22 · 18% | 3/22 · 14% | 5 | 12 | 14% 12/87 | 10/22 · 45% | 2/22 · 9% | 5 | 6% 5/87 |
| L14Sep 14–27 | 13 | 16-for-51 | 10/13 · 77% | 5/13 · 38% | 22 | 7/13 · 54% | 3/13 · 23% | 2/13 · 15% | 4 | 7 | 12% 7/57 | 5/13 · 38% | 2/13 · 15% | 3 | 5% 3/57 |
| Postseasonthis October | 1 | 1-for-2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0% 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0% 0/2 |
| This seriesvs Chicago Cubs | 1 | 1-for-2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0% 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0% 0/2 |
| vs Chicago Cubsregular season | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
vs Kevin Gausman: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much
3Manny MachadoRHB vs RHPSeason87/158L147/13Post1/1Season56/158L144/13Post1/1Season103/158L148/13Post0/1Season21% 143/677vs RHP21% 111/518Season11% 76/677K% vs RHP21% 111/5180200100212020040051621210220101001000001
Bats 3rd · 4.29 PA per start this season · league average from the 3rd spot: 4.3
| G | H-AB | 1+ H | 2+ H | TB | 2+ TB | 3+ TB | 4+ TB | XBH | K | K/PA | 1+ K | 2+ K | BB | BB/PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular seasonall of it | 158 | 129-for-589 | 87/158 · 55% | 34/158 · 22% | 241 | 56/158 · 35% | 38/158 · 24% | 32/158 · 20% | 52 | 143 | 21% 143/677 | 103/158 · 65% | 36/158 · 23% | 76 | 11% 76/677 |
| L28Aug 31–Sep 27 | 24 | 21-for-90 | 14/24 · 58% | 5/24 · 21% | 41 | 10/24 · 42% | 8/24 · 33% | 7/24 · 29% | 8 | 19 | 18% 19/104 | 14/24 · 58% | 5/24 · 21% | 11 | 11% 11/104 |
| L14Sep 14–27 | 13 | 9-for-51 | 7/13 · 54% | 2/13 · 15% | 18 | 4/13 · 31% | 3/13 · 23% | 3/13 · 23% | 3 | 12 | 21% 12/56 | 8/13 · 62% | 4/13 · 31% | 3 | 5% 3/56 |
| Postseasonthis October | 1 | 2-for-3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 6 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2 | 0 | 0% 0/4 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 1 | 25% 1/4 |
| This seriesvs Chicago Cubs | 1 | 2-for-3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 6 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2 | 0 | 0% 0/4 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 1 | 25% 1/4 |
| vs Chicago Cubsregular season | 5 | 6-for-20 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 12 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 4 | 5 | 24% 5/21 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 1 | 5% 1/21 |
vs Kevin Gausman: 2-for-3, 0 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much
4Ty FranceRHB vs RHPSeason78/128L148/13Post1/1Season53/128L146/13Post1/1Season73/128L148/13Post0/1Season21% 107/500vs RHP20% 74/364Season7% 37/500K% vs RHP20% 74/3642300100122540010012210120231000001001010
Bats 4th · 4.08 PA per start this season · league average from the 4th spot: 4.18
| G | H-AB | 1+ H | 2+ H | TB | 2+ TB | 3+ TB | 4+ TB | XBH | K | K/PA | 1+ K | 2+ K | BB | BB/PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular seasonall of it | 128 | 130-for-440 | 78/128 · 61% | 43/128 · 34% | 221 | 53/128 · 41% | 36/128 · 28% | 26/128 · 20% | 47 | 107 | 21% 107/500 | 73/128 · 57% | 28/128 · 22% | 37 | 7% 37/500 |
| L28Aug 31–Sep 27 | 22 | 28-for-85 | 13/22 · 59% | 10/22 · 45% | 41 | 11/22 · 50% | 8/22 · 36% | 7/22 · 32% | 9 | 19 | 20% 19/95 | 13/22 · 59% | 5/22 · 23% | 7 | 7% 7/95 |
| L14Sep 14–27 | 13 | 16-for-52 | 8/13 · 62% | 5/13 · 38% | 23 | 6/13 · 46% | 4/13 · 31% | 4/13 · 31% | 5 | 13 | 22% 13/58 | 8/13 · 62% | 4/13 · 31% | 3 | 5% 3/58 |
| Postseasonthis October | 1 | 2-for-4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0% 0/4 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0% 0/4 |
| This seriesvs Chicago Cubs | 1 | 2-for-4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0% 0/4 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0% 0/4 |
| vs Chicago Cubsregular season | 6 | 10-for-22 | 5/6 | 5/6 | 14 | 5/6 | 2/6 | 1/6 | 3 | 3 | 12% 3/26 | 2/6 | 1/6 | 2 | 8% 2/26 |
vs Kevin Gausman: 1-for-2, 0 K, 1 BB in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much
5Jackson MerrillLHB vs RHPSeason95/157L1410/12Post1/1Season69/157L147/12Post1/1Season103/157L149/12Post1/1Season24% 160/664vs RHP23% 112/481Season6% 41/664K% vs RHP23% 112/4811111001122341100212212311020210010000010
Bats 5th · 4.24 PA per start this season · league average from the 5th spot: 4.04
| G | H-AB | 1+ H | 2+ H | TB | 2+ TB | 3+ TB | 4+ TB | XBH | K | K/PA | 1+ K | 2+ K | BB | BB/PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular seasonall of it | 157 | 156-for-614 | 95/157 · 61% | 44/157 · 28% | 270 | 69/157 · 44% | 45/157 · 29% | 31/157 · 20% | 57 | 160 | 24% 160/664 | 103/157 · 66% | 43/157 · 27% | 41 | 6% 41/664 |
| L28Aug 31–Sep 27 | 24 | 32-for-94 | 17/24 · 71% | 9/24 · 38% | 53 | 14/24 · 58% | 9/24 · 38% | 5/24 · 21% | 11 | 22 | 22% 22/101 | 15/24 · 62% | 6/24 · 25% | 4 | 4% 4/101 |
| L14Sep 14–27 | 12 | 16-for-48 | 10/12 · 83% | 4/12 · 33% | 22 | 7/12 · 58% | 4/12 · 33% | 1/12 · 8% | 3 | 15 | 30% 15/50 | 9/12 · 75% | 5/12 · 42% | 2 | 4% 2/50 |
| Postseasonthis October | 1 | 2-for-4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 1 | 25% 1/4 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0% 0/4 |
| This seriesvs Chicago Cubs | 1 | 2-for-4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 1 | 25% 1/4 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0% 0/4 |
| vs Chicago Cubsregular season | 6 | 3-for-23 | 3/6 | 0/6 | 3 | 0/6 | 0/6 | 0/6 | 0 | 6 | 24% 6/25 | 4/6 | 1/6 | 2 | 8% 2/25 |
vs Kevin Gausman: 0-for-3, 1 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much
6Xander BogaertsRHB vs RHPSeason87/153L148/11Post1/1Season44/153L144/11Post1/1Season82/153L145/11Post1/1Season18% 108/606vs RHP20% 89/448Season13% 77/606K% vs RHP20% 89/4480321100212093110024502100200112001011020
Bats 6th · 4 PA per start this season · league average from the 6th spot: 3.88
| G | H-AB | 1+ H | 2+ H | TB | 2+ TB | 3+ TB | 4+ TB | XBH | K | K/PA | 1+ K | 2+ K | BB | BB/PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular seasonall of it | 153 | 120-for-520 | 87/153 · 57% | 28/153 · 18% | 179 | 44/153 · 29% | 23/153 · 15% | 15/153 · 10% | 32 | 108 | 18% 108/606 | 82/153 · 54% | 21/153 · 14% | 77 | 13% 77/606 |
| L28Aug 31–Sep 27 | 23 | 24-for-78 | 16/23 · 70% | 5/23 · 22% | 37 | 8/23 · 35% | 4/23 · 17% | 3/23 · 13% | 8 | 19 | 21% 19/92 | 11/23 · 48% | 7/23 · 30% | 14 | 15% 14/92 |
| L14Sep 14–27 | 11 | 12-for-34 | 8/11 · 73% | 3/11 · 27% | 22 | 4/11 · 36% | 3/11 · 27% | 2/11 · 18% | 5 | 8 | 19% 8/42 | 5/11 · 45% | 3/11 · 27% | 8 | 19% 8/42 |
| Postseasonthis October | 1 | 2-for-4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 5 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1 | 1 | 25% 1/4 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0% 0/4 |
| This seriesvs Chicago Cubs | 1 | 2-for-4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 5 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1 | 1 | 25% 1/4 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0% 0/4 |
| vs Chicago Cubsregular season | 6 | 6-for-21 | 4/6 | 2/6 | 10 | 3/6 | 2/6 | 1/6 | 2 | 4 | 17% 4/24 | 3/6 | 1/6 | 3 | 12% 3/24 |
vs Kevin Gausman: 0-for-3, 1 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much
7Ethan SalasLHB vs RHPSeason7/16L146/9Season4/16L143/9Season8/16L143/9Season22% 9/40vs RHP21% 7/33Season2% 1/40K% vs RHP21% 7/331020101122308010112211000100100000010000
Bats 7th · 3 PA per start this season · league average from the 7th spot: 3.73
| G | H-AB | 1+ H | 2+ H | TB | 2+ TB | 3+ TB | 4+ TB | XBH | K | K/PA | 1+ K | 2+ K | BB | BB/PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular seasonall of it | 16 | 10-for-39 | 7/16 · 44% | 3/16 · 19% | 18 | 4/16 · 25% | 2/16 · 12% | 1/16 · 6% | 3 | 9 | 22% 9/40 | 8/16 · 50% | 1/16 · 6% | 1 | 2% 1/40 |
| L28Aug 31–Sep 27 | 16 | 10-for-39 | 7/16 · 44% | 3/16 · 19% | 18 | 4/16 · 25% | 2/16 · 12% | 1/16 · 6% | 3 | 9 | 22% 9/40 | 8/16 · 50% | 1/16 · 6% | 1 | 2% 1/40 |
| L14Sep 14–27 | 9 | 9-for-23 | 6/9 | 3/9 | 15 | 3/9 | 1/9 | 1/9 | 2 | 3 | 12% 3/24 | 3/9 | 0/9 | 1 | 4% 1/24 |
| Postseasonthis October | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| This seriesvs Chicago Cubs | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| vs Chicago Cubsregular season | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
vs Kevin Gausman: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much
8Austin HaysRHB vs RHPSeason22/38L144/7Post0/1Season10/38L142/7Post0/1Season18/38L142/7Post1/1Season26% 27/105vs RHP29% 15/52Season4% 4/105K% vs RHP29% 15/522220011020235001102001001000120000000010
Bats 8th · 3.31 PA per start this season · league average from the 8th spot: 3.54
| G | H-AB | 1+ H | 2+ H | TB | 2+ TB | 3+ TB | 4+ TB | XBH | K | K/PA | 1+ K | 2+ K | BB | BB/PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular seasonall of it | 38 | 28-for-100 | 22/38 · 58% | 6/38 · 16% | 40 | 10/38 · 26% | 4/38 · 11% | 3/38 · 8% | 6 | 27 | 26% 27/105 | 18/38 · 47% | 7/38 · 18% | 4 | 4% 4/105 |
| L28Aug 31–Sep 27 | 15 | 12-for-29 | 8/15 · 53% | 4/15 · 27% | 17 | 5/15 · 33% | 2/15 · 13% | 1/15 · 7% | 3 | 7 | 23% 7/31 | 6/15 · 40% | 1/15 · 7% | 1 | 3% 1/31 |
| L14Sep 14–27 | 7 | 6-for-14 | 4/7 | 2/7 | 9 | 2/7 | 1/7 | 1/7 | 1 | 2 | 13% 2/15 | 2/7 | 0/7 | 1 | 7% 1/15 |
| Postseasonthis October | 1 | 0-for-4 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 2 | 50% 2/4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0 | 0% 0/4 |
| This seriesvs Chicago Cubs | 1 | 0-for-4 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 2 | 50% 2/4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0 | 0% 0/4 |
| vs Chicago Cubsregular season | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
vs Kevin Gausman: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much
9Jake CronenworthLHB vs RHPSeason58/108L149/13Post1/1Season34/108L146/13Post0/1Season74/108L1410/13Post1/1Season23% 96/425vs RHP24% 81/333Season9% 39/425K% vs RHP24% 81/33321300012012110000130101111211111100000020
Bats 9th · 4.04 PA per start this season · league average from the 9th spot: 3.23
| G | H-AB | 1+ H | 2+ H | TB | 2+ TB | 3+ TB | 4+ TB | XBH | K | K/PA | 1+ K | 2+ K | BB | BB/PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular seasonall of it | 108 | 85-for-375 | 58/108 · 54% | 23/108 · 21% | 121 | 34/108 · 31% | 15/108 · 14% | 8/108 · 7% | 21 | 96 | 23% 96/425 | 74/108 · 69% | 20/108 · 19% | 39 | 9% 39/425 |
| L28Aug 31–Sep 27 | 24 | 20-for-84 | 13/24 · 54% | 6/24 · 25% | 33 | 7/24 · 29% | 4/24 · 17% | 3/24 · 12% | 6 | 20 | 21% 20/94 | 16/24 · 67% | 4/24 · 17% | 8 | 9% 8/94 |
| L14Sep 14–27 | 13 | 16-for-47 | 9/13 · 69% | 6/13 · 46% | 26 | 6/13 · 46% | 3/13 · 23% | 2/13 · 15% | 5 | 12 | 23% 12/53 | 10/13 · 77% | 2/13 · 15% | 5 | 9% 5/53 |
| Postseasonthis October | 1 | 1-for-4 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 1 | 25% 1/4 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0% 0/4 |
| This seriesvs Chicago Cubs | 1 | 1-for-4 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 1 | 25% 1/4 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0% 0/4 |
| vs Chicago Cubsregular season | 5 | 3-for-13 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 0 | 2 | 13% 2/15 | 2/5 | 0/5 | 1 | 7% 1/15 |
vs Kevin Gausman: 1-for-3, 2 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much
Thresholds
Games that cleared each mark. Counts first; a rate only from 10 games up. L14 is the last two weeks of the regular season.| Player | Season | L14 | Post |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | |||
| 1Pete Crow-Armstrong | 111/162 · 69% | 7/12 · 58% | 0/1 |
| 2Alex Bregman | 101/155 · 65% | 3/8 | 0/1 |
| 3Michael Busch | 102/160 · 64% | 7/12 · 58% | 0/1 |
| 4Seiya Suzuki | 94/143 · 66% | 9/11 · 82% | 1/1 |
| 5Ian Happ | 86/155 · 55% | 7/12 · 58% | 0/1 |
| 6Nico Hoerner | 108/159 · 68% | 7/12 · 58% | 1/1 |
| 7Matt Shaw | 30/70 · 43% | 3/7 | — |
| 8Carson Kelly | 69/116 · 59% | 4/9 | 0/1 |
| 9Dansby Swanson | 62/124 · 50% | 3/7 | 0/1 |
| Padres | |||
| 1Fernando Tatis Jr. | 113/159 · 71% | 10/12 · 83% | 1/1 |
| 2Dustin Harris | 27/43 · 63% | 10/13 · 77% | 1/1 |
| 3Manny Machado | 87/158 · 55% | 7/13 · 54% | 1/1 |
| 4Ty France | 78/128 · 61% | 8/13 · 62% | 1/1 |
| 5Jackson Merrill | 95/157 · 61% | 10/12 · 83% | 1/1 |
| 6Xander Bogaerts | 87/153 · 57% | 8/11 · 73% | 1/1 |
| 7Ethan Salas | 7/16 · 44% | 6/9 | — |
| 8Austin Hays | 22/38 · 58% | 4/7 | 0/1 |
| 9Jake Cronenworth | 58/108 · 54% | 9/13 · 69% | 1/1 |
| Player | Season | L14 | Post |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | |||
| 1Pete Crow-Armstrong | 42/162 · 26% | 4/12 · 33% | 0/1 |
| 2Alex Bregman | 42/155 · 27% | 2/8 | 0/1 |
| 3Michael Busch | 36/160 · 22% | 4/12 · 33% | 0/1 |
| 4Seiya Suzuki | 42/143 · 29% | 4/11 · 36% | 0/1 |
| 5Ian Happ | 29/155 · 19% | 1/12 · 8% | 0/1 |
| 6Nico Hoerner | 40/159 · 25% | 3/12 · 25% | 1/1 |
| 7Matt Shaw | 9/70 · 13% | 2/7 | — |
| 8Carson Kelly | 25/116 · 22% | 2/9 | 0/1 |
| 9Dansby Swanson | 23/124 · 19% | 1/7 | 0/1 |
| Padres | |||
| 1Fernando Tatis Jr. | 47/159 · 30% | 3/12 · 25% | 1/1 |
| 2Dustin Harris | 10/43 · 23% | 5/13 · 38% | 0/1 |
| 3Manny Machado | 34/158 · 22% | 2/13 · 15% | 1/1 |
| 4Ty France | 43/128 · 34% | 5/13 · 38% | 1/1 |
| 5Jackson Merrill | 44/157 · 28% | 4/12 · 33% | 1/1 |
| 6Xander Bogaerts | 28/153 · 18% | 3/11 · 27% | 1/1 |
| 7Ethan Salas | 3/16 · 19% | 3/9 | — |
| 8Austin Hays | 6/38 · 16% | 2/7 | 0/1 |
| 9Jake Cronenworth | 23/108 · 21% | 6/13 · 46% | 0/1 |
| Player | Season | L14 | Post |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | |||
| 1Pete Crow-Armstrong | 76/162 · 47% | 4/12 · 33% | 0/1 |
| 2Alex Bregman | 62/155 · 40% | 2/8 | 0/1 |
| 3Michael Busch | 59/160 · 37% | 4/12 · 33% | 0/1 |
| 4Seiya Suzuki | 65/143 · 45% | 5/11 · 45% | 0/1 |
| 5Ian Happ | 54/155 · 35% | 6/12 · 50% | 0/1 |
| 6Nico Hoerner | 55/159 · 35% | 3/12 · 25% | 1/1 |
| 7Matt Shaw | 17/70 · 24% | 2/7 | — |
| 8Carson Kelly | 38/116 · 33% | 2/9 | 0/1 |
| 9Dansby Swanson | 37/124 · 30% | 1/7 | 0/1 |
| Padres | |||
| 1Fernando Tatis Jr. | 74/159 · 47% | 8/12 · 67% | 1/1 |
| 2Dustin Harris | 15/43 · 35% | 7/13 · 54% | 0/1 |
| 3Manny Machado | 56/158 · 35% | 4/13 · 31% | 1/1 |
| 4Ty France | 53/128 · 41% | 6/13 · 46% | 1/1 |
| 5Jackson Merrill | 69/157 · 44% | 7/12 · 58% | 1/1 |
| 6Xander Bogaerts | 44/153 · 29% | 4/11 · 36% | 1/1 |
| 7Ethan Salas | 4/16 · 25% | 3/9 | — |
| 8Austin Hays | 10/38 · 26% | 2/7 | 0/1 |
| 9Jake Cronenworth | 34/108 · 31% | 6/13 · 46% | 0/1 |
| Player | Season | L14 | Post |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | |||
| 1Pete Crow-Armstrong | 51/162 · 31% | 4/12 · 33% | 0/1 |
| 2Alex Bregman | 34/155 · 22% | 2/8 | 0/1 |
| 3Michael Busch | 38/160 · 24% | 1/12 · 8% | 0/1 |
| 4Seiya Suzuki | 42/143 · 29% | 3/11 · 27% | 0/1 |
| 5Ian Happ | 35/155 · 23% | 3/12 · 25% | 0/1 |
| 6Nico Hoerner | 26/159 · 16% | 1/12 · 8% | 0/1 |
| 7Matt Shaw | 11/70 · 16% | 1/7 | — |
| 8Carson Kelly | 17/116 · 15% | 0/9 | 0/1 |
| 9Dansby Swanson | 23/124 · 19% | 1/7 | 0/1 |
| Padres | |||
| 1Fernando Tatis Jr. | 42/159 · 26% | 6/12 · 50% | 1/1 |
| 2Dustin Harris | 6/43 · 14% | 3/13 · 23% | 0/1 |
| 3Manny Machado | 38/158 · 24% | 3/13 · 23% | 1/1 |
| 4Ty France | 36/128 · 28% | 4/13 · 31% | 0/1 |
| 5Jackson Merrill | 45/157 · 29% | 4/12 · 33% | 0/1 |
| 6Xander Bogaerts | 23/153 · 15% | 3/11 · 27% | 1/1 |
| 7Ethan Salas | 2/16 · 12% | 1/9 | — |
| 8Austin Hays | 4/38 · 11% | 1/7 | 0/1 |
| 9Jake Cronenworth | 15/108 · 14% | 3/13 · 23% | 0/1 |
| Player | Season | L14 | Post |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | |||
| 1Pete Crow-Armstrong | 40/162 · 25% | 3/12 · 25% | 0/1 |
| 2Alex Bregman | 27/155 · 17% | 2/8 | 0/1 |
| 3Michael Busch | 27/160 · 17% | 1/12 · 8% | 0/1 |
| 4Seiya Suzuki | 31/143 · 22% | 2/11 · 18% | 0/1 |
| 5Ian Happ | 26/155 · 17% | 1/12 · 8% | 0/1 |
| 6Nico Hoerner | 15/159 · 9% | 0/12 · 0% | 0/1 |
| 7Matt Shaw | 8/70 · 11% | 0/7 | — |
| 8Carson Kelly | 12/116 · 10% | 0/9 | 0/1 |
| 9Dansby Swanson | 16/124 · 13% | 1/7 | 0/1 |
| Padres | |||
| 1Fernando Tatis Jr. | 32/159 · 20% | 5/12 · 42% | 1/1 |
| 2Dustin Harris | 3/43 · 7% | 2/13 · 15% | 0/1 |
| 3Manny Machado | 32/158 · 20% | 3/13 · 23% | 1/1 |
| 4Ty France | 26/128 · 20% | 4/13 · 31% | 0/1 |
| 5Jackson Merrill | 31/157 · 20% | 1/12 · 8% | 0/1 |
| 6Xander Bogaerts | 15/153 · 10% | 2/11 · 18% | 1/1 |
| 7Ethan Salas | 1/16 · 6% | 1/9 | — |
| 8Austin Hays | 3/38 · 8% | 1/7 | 0/1 |
| 9Jake Cronenworth | 8/108 · 7% | 2/13 · 15% | 0/1 |
| Player | Season | L14 | Post |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | |||
| 1Pete Crow-Armstrong | 115/162 · 71% | 9/12 · 75% | 1/1 |
| 2Alex Bregman | 78/155 · 50% | 3/8 | 1/1 |
| 3Michael Busch | 112/160 · 70% | 9/12 · 75% | 1/1 |
| 4Seiya Suzuki | 105/143 · 73% | 11/11 · 100% | 0/1 |
| 5Ian Happ | 117/155 · 75% | 5/12 · 42% | 0/1 |
| 6Nico Hoerner | 51/159 · 32% | 2/12 · 17% | 0/1 |
| 7Matt Shaw | 28/70 · 40% | 2/7 | — |
| 8Carson Kelly | 52/116 · 45% | 2/9 | 1/1 |
| 9Dansby Swanson | 81/124 · 65% | 5/7 | 1/1 |
| Padres | |||
| 1Fernando Tatis Jr. | 91/159 · 57% | 9/12 · 75% | 1/1 |
| 2Dustin Harris | 15/43 · 35% | 5/13 · 38% | 0/1 |
| 3Manny Machado | 103/158 · 65% | 8/13 · 62% | 0/1 |
| 4Ty France | 73/128 · 57% | 8/13 · 62% | 0/1 |
| 5Jackson Merrill | 103/157 · 66% | 9/12 · 75% | 1/1 |
| 6Xander Bogaerts | 82/153 · 54% | 5/11 · 45% | 1/1 |
| 7Ethan Salas | 8/16 · 50% | 3/9 | — |
| 8Austin Hays | 18/38 · 47% | 2/7 | 1/1 |
| 9Jake Cronenworth | 74/108 · 69% | 10/13 · 77% | 1/1 |
| Player | Season | L14 | Post |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | |||
| 1Pete Crow-Armstrong | 56/162 · 35% | 1/12 · 8% | 1/1 |
| 2Alex Bregman | 20/155 · 13% | 0/8 | 1/1 |
| 3Michael Busch | 44/160 · 28% | 4/12 · 33% | 0/1 |
| 4Seiya Suzuki | 36/143 · 25% | 4/11 · 36% | 0/1 |
| 5Ian Happ | 58/155 · 37% | 3/12 · 25% | 0/1 |
| 6Nico Hoerner | 7/159 · 4% | 0/12 · 0% | 0/1 |
| 7Matt Shaw | 5/70 · 7% | 1/7 | — |
| 8Carson Kelly | 15/116 · 13% | 1/9 | 0/1 |
| 9Dansby Swanson | 30/124 · 24% | 2/7 | 0/1 |
| Padres | |||
| 1Fernando Tatis Jr. | 29/159 · 18% | 2/12 · 17% | 0/1 |
| 2Dustin Harris | 4/43 · 9% | 2/13 · 15% | 0/1 |
| 3Manny Machado | 36/158 · 23% | 4/13 · 31% | 0/1 |
| 4Ty France | 28/128 · 22% | 4/13 · 31% | 0/1 |
| 5Jackson Merrill | 43/157 · 27% | 5/12 · 42% | 0/1 |
| 6Xander Bogaerts | 21/153 · 14% | 3/11 · 27% | 0/1 |
| 7Ethan Salas | 1/16 · 6% | 0/9 | — |
| 8Austin Hays | 7/38 · 18% | 0/7 | 1/1 |
| 9Jake Cronenworth | 20/108 · 19% | 2/13 · 15% | 0/1 |
| Starter | Season | Last 6 recorded | Post |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman | 27/32 · 84% | 6/6 | — |
| Nick Pivetta | 7/8 | 5/6 | — |
| Starter | Season | Last 6 recorded | Post |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman | 23/32 · 72% | 6/6 | — |
| Nick Pivetta | 4/8 | 3/6 | — |
| Starter | Season | Last 6 recorded | Post |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman | 16/32 · 50% | 6/6 | — |
| Nick Pivetta | 3/8 | 2/6 | — |
| Starter | Season | Last 6 recorded | Post |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman | 12/32 · 38% | 3/6 | — |
| Nick Pivetta | 3/8 | 2/6 | — |
| Starter | Season | Last 6 recorded | Post |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman | 4/32 · 12% | 1/6 | — |
| Nick Pivetta | 3/8 | 2/6 | — |
| Starter | Season | Last 6 recorded | Post |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman | 8/32 · 25% | 1/6 | — |
| Nick Pivetta | 6/8 | 5/6 | — |
| Starter | Season | Last 6 recorded | Post |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman | 16/32 · 50% | 3/6 | — |
| Nick Pivetta | 7/8 | 6/6 | — |
| Starter | Season | Last 6 recorded | Post |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman | 23/32 · 72% | 5/6 | — |
| Nick Pivetta | 7/8 | 6/6 | — |
| Starter | Season | Last 6 recorded | Post |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman | 17/32 · 53% | 4/6 | — |
| Nick Pivetta | 6/8 | 6/6 | — |
| Starter | Season | Last 6 recorded | Post |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman | 28/32 · 88% | 6/6 | — |
| Nick Pivetta | 7/8 | 6/6 | — |
| Starter | Season | Last 6 recorded | Post |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman | 4/32 · 12% | 0/6 | — |
| Nick Pivetta | 1/8 | 0/6 | — |
regular season ends · 2 playoff game · strips run oldest → newest · tap a hitter for L28, the opponent, the series and the matchup. Built from the play-by-play feed, which does not pick up official scoring changes, so a season total can differ from MLB’s by a hit. Evidence, not picks: no odds are read and nothing here is scored.
Game Analysis
Context and interpretation
Team Identity
Chicago Cubs
Season-to-date, 162 games, 6,618 PA.
A patient, power-hitting offense that works counts and draws walks. The bats have been heating up lately.
PowerElite90
ContactAbove Avg72
Plate DisciplineElite96
SpeedAbove Avg77
RISPBelow Avg43
Recent FormTrending Up
Hit rate is up 6% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
San Diego Padres
Season-to-date, 162 games, 6,325 PA.
An aggressive, opportunistic offense that runs and pressures defenses on the bases. The bats have been heating up lately.
PowerBelow Avg37
ContactAverage49
Plate DisciplineAverage55
SpeedAbove Avg82
RISPAbove Avg67
Recent FormTrending Up
Hit rate is up 20% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
What This Game Is About
Biggest Advantage
Padres bring the more aggressive profile, while Cubs lean on being patient.
Swing Factor
Nick Pivetta strikes hitters out at a 29.8% clip (95th percentile); Cubs carry a 20.3% strikeout rate.
Momentum
Cubs are trending up and Padres are trending up over their last 10 games.
Key Matchups
Can either lineup run up a starter's pitch count?
Cubs' nine see 4.00 pitches per plate appearance against RHPs (league 3.89); Nick Pivetta averages ~72 pitches and 17.5 batters a start. Padres' nine see 3.84 pitches per plate appearance against RHPs (league 3.89); Kevin Gausman averages ~94 pitches and 23.4 batters a start.
Edge · CubsCubs: 4.00 P/PAPadres: 3.84 P/PAModerate confidence
Which lineup has the platoon advantage?
3 of 9 in the Cubs' confirmed lineup bat from the other side of Nick Pivetta (RHP); 4 of 9 in the Padres' confirmed lineup bat from the other side of Kevin Gausman (RHP). Switch hitters count.
Edge · EvenCubs: 3/9Padres: 4/9High confidence
Which bullpen is under more pressure?
Cubs relievers ~174 pitches; Padres relievers ~97 pitches (Sep 27–29).
Edge · PadresCubs: ~174 relief pitchesPadres: ~97 relief pitchesModerate confidence
Through Sep 29, the feed's last day. Relief pitches are reconstructed from play-by-play.
Expected Game Shape
Power-orientedModerate confidence
Both lineups can change the game with one swing. Cubs bring more power. Starting pitching is likely to set the tone.
Early edge Cubs Driver Extra-base damage Volatility Moderate
- Both probable starters grade around the 68th percentile in combined suppression.
- Cubs are trending up; Padres are trending up.
Storylines to Watch
Does Cubs' power tilt the game?
Cubs bring a clearly stronger extra-base profile into this matchup.
Cubs power pct 90 vs Padres 37
Is Xander Bogaerts the one to watch?
Xander Bogaerts enters as Padres' hottest bat. Total bases per PA is up 149% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 8 games.
0.333 hit rate · 0.667 TB/PA · 0.185 hit rate · 0.267 TB/PA
Can Manny Machado snap out of it?
Manny Machado has cooled off. On-base rate is down 41% over his prior baseline, with hits in 4 of his last 10 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 24%.
0.130 hit rate · 0.261 TB/PA · 0.183 hit rate · 0.340 TB/PA
Based on plate appearances before 2026-09-30, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.