Phillies at Braves · Sports Today

NL Wild Card Series · Game 2 of 3Series tied 1-1

Philadelphia Phillies

No. 6 seed · 88-74 in the regular season

Regular-season form: offense cooling lately

LHP Cristopher Sánchez · High-strikeout arm · plus control

Atlanta Braves

No. 3 seed · 94-68 in the regular season

Regular-season form: offense cooling lately

RHP Tyler Mahle · Command specialist

MLB · Truist Park · 11:00 AM PT

Playoff Prop Desk

Evidence for player and pitcher decisions

Data through Sep 29 · regular season ended Sep 27

Lineup spot leads because it sets plate appearances, which predict a hit more than twice as well as recent hitting does.

Total bases rides on the same chances as a hit, plus extra-base power. We do not model it; these are records.

The opposing starter carries batter strikeouts more than the batter's own form, so his strikeout rate sits beside every row.

Workload leads: a postseason hook can cut a starter's batters faced, and strikeouts need batters.

Records only. When this market was measured, recent hits allowed carried no information beyond its base rate.

Records only — the site has no walks model.

Cristopher SanchezLHP · Phillies vs Braves

7 K / start7 K / start6.2 H allowed / start6.2 H allowed / start6.2 H allowed / start1.4 BB / start

~96 pitches · 26 BF · ~6.1 IP per start · 33 regular-season starts

Recent K8535610

Recent H2510865

Recent BB130201

Pitches ~91108819898100

BF252626272527

Last 6 recorded starts · no postseason appearance yet

Braves confirmed lineup vs LHP: K 20% 332/1627hits 22% 365/1627BB 7% 111/1627 per PA

Start by start

	Avg	Aug 29	Sep 4	Sep 9	Sep 15	Sep 20	Sep 25
Pitches ~	~95.7	91	108	81	98	98	100
Batters faced	26	25	26	26	27	25	27
Innings ~	~6.1	7.0	6.0	6.0	6.1	6.1	7.0
Strikeouts	7	8	5	3	5	6	10
Hits allowed	6.2	2	5	10	8	6	5
Walks	1.4	1	3	0	2	0	1

vs Atlanta Braves this season: Apr 18: 6.0 IP, 8 K, 8 H, 1 BB; Sep 4: 6.0 IP, 5 K, 5 H, 3 BB

Tyler MahleRHP · Braves vs Phillies

5 K / start5 K / start5.1 H allowed / start5.1 H allowed / start5.1 H allowed / start1.7 BB / start

~89 pitches · 22.7 BF · ~5.2 IP per start · 27 regular-season starts

Recent K493363

Recent H654636

Recent BB201012

Pitches ~948994979891

BF242424252222

Last 6 recorded starts · no postseason appearance yet

Phillies confirmed lineup vs RHP: K 21% 745/3526hits 22% 779/3526BB 9% 327/3526 per PA

Start by start

	Avg	Aug 23	Aug 30	Sep 6	Sep 12	Sep 18	Sep 24
Pitches ~	~89	94	89	94	97	98	91
Batters faced	22.7	24	24	24	25	22	22
Innings ~	~5.2	5.0	6.2	6.0	7.0	6.0	5.0
Strikeouts	5	4	9	3	3	6	3
Hits allowed	5.1	6	5	4	6	3	6
Walks	1.7	2	0	1	0	1	2

vs Philadelphia Phillies this season: Apr 8: 5.2 IP, 6 K, 3 H, 4 BB; Apr 28: 5.0 IP, 3 K, 6 H, 3 BB; Sep 6: 6.0 IP, 3 K, 4 H, 1 BB; Sep 12: 7.0 IP, 3 K, 6 H, 0 BB

Phillies✓ Confirmed lineupvs RHP Tyler MahleGames with 1+ hitGames with 2+ total basesGames with 1+ strikeoutStrikeouts per PAWalks per PA

1Trea TurnerRHB vs RHPSeason104/157L149/12Post0/1Season59/157L144/12Post0/1Season109/157L148/12Post1/1Season21% 146/700vs RHP23% 108/465Season7% 48/700K% vs RHP23% 108/4651211101220122110132010201111110220000000

Bats 1st · 4.48 PA per start this season · league average from the 1st spot: 4.49

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	157	156-for-645	104/157 · 66%	41/157 · 26%	244	59/157 · 38%	35/157 · 22%	24/157 · 15%	49	146	21% 146/700	109/157 · 69%	32/157 · 20%	48	7% 48/700
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	25	24-for-101	18/25 · 72%	6/25 · 24%	37	11/25 · 44%	3/25 · 12%	2/25 · 8%	9	20	18% 20/111	17/25 · 68%	2/25 · 8%	10	9% 10/111
L14Sep 14–27	12	12-for-48	9/12 · 75%	3/12 · 25%	14	4/12 · 33%	1/12 · 8%	0/12 · 0%	2	9	16% 9/55	8/12 · 67%	1/12 · 8%	7	13% 7/55
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Atlanta Braves	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Atlanta Bravesregular season	13	13-for-52	12/13 · 92%	1/13 · 8%	19	5/13 · 38%	1/13 · 8%	1/13 · 8%	4	7	12% 7/58	7/13 · 54%	0/13 · 0%	6	10% 6/58

vs Tyler Mahle: 5-for-12, 1 XBH, 2 K in 12 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

2Kyle SchwarberLHB vs RHPSeason91/156L144/12Post1/1Season66/156L144/12Post0/1Season119/156L148/12Post1/1Season31% 220/701vs RHP34% 150/443Season15% 105/701K% vs RHP34% 150/4430100020021020003003112011001111140101111

Bats 2nd · 4.49 PA per start this season · league average from the 2nd spot: 4.4

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	156	135-for-581	91/156 · 58%	34/156 · 22%	292	66/156 · 42%	48/156 · 31%	39/156 · 25%	66	220	31% 220/701	119/156 · 76%	72/156 · 46%	105	15% 105/701
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	25	15-for-90	10/25 · 40%	5/25 · 20%	33	9/25 · 36%	7/25 · 28%	5/25 · 20%	8	26	23% 26/113	16/25 · 64%	8/25 · 32%	20	18% 20/113
L14Sep 14–27	12	6-for-40	4/12 · 33%	2/12 · 17%	12	4/12 · 33%	3/12 · 25%	1/12 · 8%	4	10	18% 10/55	8/12 · 67%	2/12 · 17%	13	24% 13/55
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	1	25% 1/4
This seriesvs Atlanta Braves	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	1	25% 1/4
vs Atlanta Bravesregular season	13	12-for-50	8/13 · 62%	4/13 · 31%	30	7/13 · 54%	6/13 · 46%	5/13 · 38%	7	12	20% 12/59	7/13 · 54%	4/13 · 31%	8	14% 8/59

vs Tyler Mahle: 1-for-7, 1 K, 5 BB in 12 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

3Bryce HarperLHB vs RHPSeason101/161L148/12Post0/1Season69/161L144/12Post0/1Season96/161L148/12Post1/1Season21% 148/693vs RHP18% 78/425Season15% 107/693K% vs RHP18% 78/4250110021110021002114031000021120001101000

Bats 3rd · 4.3 PA per start this season · league average from the 3rd spot: 4.3

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	161	155-for-577	101/161 · 63%	39/161 · 24%	280	69/161 · 43%	49/161 · 30%	34/161 · 21%	64	148	21% 148/693	96/161 · 60%	40/161 · 25%	107	15% 107/693
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	25	27-for-96	17/25 · 68%	7/25 · 28%	38	10/25 · 40%	7/25 · 28%	4/25 · 16%	7	26	24% 26/107	17/25 · 68%	6/25 · 24%	10	9% 10/107
L14Sep 14–27	12	11-for-48	8/12 · 67%	2/12 · 17%	15	4/12 · 33%	2/12 · 17%	1/12 · 8%	2	11	20% 11/54	8/12 · 67%	2/12 · 17%	5	9% 5/54
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Atlanta Braves	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Atlanta Bravesregular season	13	14-for-50	8/13 · 62%	5/13 · 38%	25	7/13 · 54%	5/13 · 38%	4/13 · 31%	6	18	33% 18/54	9/13 · 69%	6/13 · 46%	3	6% 3/54

vs Tyler Mahle: 3-for-11, 2 XBH, 3 K, 1 BB in 12 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

4Alec BohmRHB vs RHPSeason94/153L147/12Post1/1Season56/153L144/12Post1/1Season69/153L143/12Post0/1Season14% 88/629vs RHP15% 65/437Season8% 48/629K% vs RHP15% 65/4370222100001022310000201002100000100010020

Bats 4th · 4.18 PA per start this season · league average from the 4th spot: 4.18

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	153	141-for-567	94/153 · 61%	41/153 · 27%	217	56/153 · 37%	29/153 · 19%	17/153 · 11%	45	88	14% 88/629	69/153 · 45%	16/153 · 10%	48	8% 48/629
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	22-for-82	14/23 · 61%	8/23 · 35%	32	11/23 · 48%	4/23 · 17%	1/23 · 4%	8	13	14% 13/95	10/23 · 43%	3/23 · 13%	13	14% 13/95
L14Sep 14–27	12	11-for-42	7/12 · 58%	4/12 · 33%	12	4/12 · 33%	1/12 · 8%	0/12 · 0%	1	4	8% 4/50	3/12 · 25%	1/12 · 8%	8	16% 8/50
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Atlanta Braves	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Atlanta Bravesregular season	13	9-for-48	6/13 · 46%	3/13 · 23%	15	4/13 · 31%	2/13 · 15%	1/13 · 8%	4	9	17% 9/53	8/13 · 62%	1/13 · 8%	4	8% 4/53

vs Tyler Mahle: 4-for-11, 1 XBH, 1 K in 11 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

5Bryson StottLHB vs RHPSeason99/155L148/12Post1/1Season55/155L145/12Post0/1Season77/155L143/12Post1/1Season16% 100/608vs RHP16% 76/463Season10% 62/608K% vs RHP16% 76/4631101201231210140145102000100020011111010

Bats 5th · 4.04 PA per start this season · league average from the 5th spot: 4.04

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	155	137-for-536	99/155 · 64%	33/155 · 21%	215	55/155 · 35%	31/155 · 20%	20/155 · 13%	52	100	16% 100/608	77/155 · 50%	21/155 · 14%	62	10% 62/608
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	19-for-80	12/24 · 50%	5/24 · 21%	31	7/24 · 29%	6/24 · 25%	5/24 · 21%	10	11	12% 11/94	9/24 · 38%	2/24 · 8%	11	12% 11/94
L14Sep 14–27	12	13-for-41	8/12 · 67%	4/12 · 33%	21	5/12 · 42%	4/12 · 33%	3/12 · 25%	8	4	8% 4/50	3/12 · 25%	1/12 · 8%	8	16% 8/50
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Atlanta Braves	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Atlanta Bravesregular season	10	8-for-34	5/10 · 50%	2/10 · 20%	12	3/10 · 30%	2/10 · 20%	2/10 · 20%	3	6	17% 6/35	5/10 · 50%	1/10 · 10%	1	3% 1/35

vs Tyler Mahle: 0-for-11, 3 K in 11 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

6Brandon MarshLHB vs RHPSeason93/153L144/11Post1/1Season49/153L141/11Post0/1Season97/153L148/11Post0/1Season25% 141/568vs RHP21% 94/439Season6% 34/568K% vs RHP21% 94/4390012000101001600010101311011000000100100

Bats 6th · 3.96 PA per start this season · league average from the 6th spot: 3.88

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	153	136-for-523	93/153 · 61%	32/153 · 21%	214	49/153 · 32%	30/153 · 20%	21/153 · 14%	40	141	25% 141/568	97/153 · 63%	35/153 · 23%	34	6% 34/568
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	8-for-56	7/23 · 30%	1/23 · 4%	13	2/23 · 9%	1/23 · 4%	1/23 · 4%	3	15	25% 15/61	12/23 · 52%	2/23 · 9%	2	3% 2/61
L14Sep 14–27	11	5-for-27	4/11 · 36%	1/11 · 9%	9	1/11 · 9%	1/11 · 9%	1/11 · 9%	2	10	31% 10/32	8/11 · 73%	1/11 · 9%	2	6% 2/32
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-1	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/1
This seriesvs Atlanta Braves	1	1-for-1	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/1
vs Atlanta Bravesregular season	11	4-for-29	3/11 · 27%	1/11 · 9%	4	1/11 · 9%	0/11 · 0%	0/11 · 0%	0	4	14% 4/29	4/11 · 36%	0/11 · 0%	0	0% 0/29

vs Tyler Mahle: 0-for-8, 1 K in 9 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

7Edmundo SosaRHB vs RHPSeason42/83L142/5Post1/1Season22/83L142/5Post1/1Season42/83L143/5Post1/1Season22% 54/250vs RHP23% 26/112Season3% 7/250K% vs RHP23% 26/1121010300021101070006211000102110000000000

Bats 7th · 3.49 PA per start this season · league average from the 7th spot: 3.73

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	83	57-for-231	42/83 · 51%	13/83 · 16%	99	22/83 · 27%	15/83 · 18%	9/83 · 11%	22	54	22% 54/250	42/83 · 51%	11/83 · 13%	7	3% 7/250
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	14	10-for-32	7/14 · 50%	2/14 · 14%	19	3/14 · 21%	2/14 · 14%	2/14 · 14%	5	9	27% 9/33	7/14 · 50%	2/14 · 14%	0	0% 0/33
L14Sep 14–27	5	5-for-13	2/5	2/5	13	2/5	2/5	2/5	4	4	31% 4/13	3/5	1/5	0	0% 0/13
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-2	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	1	50% 1/2	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/2
This seriesvs Atlanta Braves	1	1-for-2	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	1	50% 1/2	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/2
vs Atlanta Bravesregular season	8	3-for-21	3/8	0/8	3	0/8	0/8	0/8	0	6	27% 6/22	5/8	1/8	0	0% 0/22

vs Tyler Mahle: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

8Justin CrawfordLHB vs RHPSeason88/144L147/10Post0/1Season37/144L142/10Post0/1Season69/144L145/10Post0/1Season18% 82/464vs RHP17% 69/398Season6% 26/464K% vs RHP17% 69/3981010101110103010111002110102000000000000

Bats 8th · 3.48 PA per start this season · league average from the 8th spot: 3.54

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	144	112-for-423	88/144 · 61%	19/144 · 13%	150	37/144 · 26%	17/144 · 12%	6/144 · 4%	27	82	18% 82/464	69/144 · 48%	12/144 · 8%	26	6% 26/464
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	22	15-for-61	15/22 · 68%	0/22 · 0%	22	4/22 · 18%	2/22 · 9%	1/22 · 5%	4	13	20% 13/65	11/22 · 50%	2/22 · 9%	2	3% 2/65
L14Sep 14–27	10	7-for-30	7/10 · 70%	0/10 · 0%	10	2/10 · 20%	1/10 · 10%	0/10 · 0%	2	7	21% 7/33	5/10 · 50%	2/10 · 20%	1	3% 1/33
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-1	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/1
This seriesvs Atlanta Braves	1	0-for-1	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/1
vs Atlanta Bravesregular season	10	5-for-28	5/10 · 50%	0/10 · 0%	8	1/10 · 10%	1/10 · 10%	1/10 · 10%	1	4	13% 4/31	3/10 · 30%	1/10 · 10%	2	6% 2/31

vs Tyler Mahle: 0-for-8, 2 K in 8 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

9J.T. RealmutoRHB vs RHPSeason62/122L141/11Post1/1Season37/122L141/11Post1/1Season68/122L148/11Post1/1Season21% 100/467vs RHP23% 79/344Season8% 37/467K% vs RHP23% 79/3440000000011000000002302211100110021010000

Bats 9th · 3.84 PA per start this season · league average from the 9th spot: 3.23

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	122	85-for-414	62/122 · 51%	20/122 · 16%	137	37/122 · 30%	17/122 · 14%	13/122 · 11%	30	100	21% 100/467	68/122 · 56%	26/122 · 21%	37	8% 37/467
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	21	8-for-71	5/21 · 24%	2/21 · 10%	13	3/21 · 14%	1/21 · 5%	1/21 · 5%	3	21	27% 21/79	14/21 · 67%	6/21 · 29%	7	9% 7/79
L14Sep 14–27	11	1-for-37	1/11 · 9%	0/11 · 0%	2	1/11 · 9%	0/11 · 0%	0/11 · 0%	1	11	26% 11/42	8/11 · 73%	3/11 · 27%	5	12% 5/42
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	3	1/1	1/1	0/1	1	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
This seriesvs Atlanta Braves	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	3	1/1	1/1	0/1	1	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
vs Atlanta Bravesregular season	8	7-for-24	3/8	3/8	11	3/8	1/8	1/8	2	7	26% 7/27	4/8	2/8	2	7% 2/27

vs Tyler Mahle: 2-for-2, 0 K in 2 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

Braves✓ Confirmed lineupvs LHP Cristopher SanchezGames with 1+ hitGames with 2+ total basesGames with 1+ strikeoutStrikeouts per PAWalks per PA

1Ronald Acuña Jr.RHB vs LHPSeason71/107L146/10Post0/1Season44/107L145/10Post0/1Season68/107L147/10Post0/1Season22% 103/469vs LHP24% 35/145Season11% 53/469K% vs LHP24% 35/1451212102000434510200012101001100002100000

Bats 1st · 4.38 PA per start this season · league average from the 1st spot: 4.49

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	107	104-for-408	71/107 · 66%	29/107 · 27%	184	44/107 · 41%	28/107 · 26%	22/107 · 21%	39	103	22% 103/469	68/107 · 64%	24/107 · 22%	53	11% 53/469
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	28-for-92	16/23 · 70%	9/23 · 39%	54	13/23 · 57%	9/23 · 39%	8/23 · 35%	12	17	17% 17/99	15/23 · 65%	2/23 · 9%	6	6% 6/99
L14Sep 14–27	10	9-for-39	6/10 · 60%	3/10 · 30%	19	5/10 · 50%	4/10 · 40%	3/10 · 30%	4	8	19% 8/43	7/10 · 70%	1/10 · 10%	4	9% 4/43
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Philadelphia Phillies	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Philadelphia Philliesregular season	13	19-for-50	11/13 · 85%	6/13 · 46%	34	8/13 · 62%	5/13 · 38%	5/13 · 38%	7	9	15% 9/60	8/13 · 62%	1/13 · 8%	9	15% 9/60

vs Cristopher Sanchez: 3-for-7, 1 XBH, 1 K in 7 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

2Drake BaldwinLHB vs LHPSeason98/138L148/11Post0/1Season64/138L147/11Post0/1Season87/138L147/11Post1/1Season21% 132/615vs LHP22% 49/224Season9% 55/615K% vs LHP22% 49/2240231202030034120306001120201010101100000

Bats 2nd · 4.47 PA per start this season · league average from the 2nd spot: 4.4

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	138	156-for-549	98/138 · 71%	48/138 · 35%	252	64/138 · 46%	39/138 · 28%	26/138 · 19%	46	132	21% 132/615	87/138 · 63%	35/138 · 25%	55	9% 55/615
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	32-for-101	19/24 · 79%	11/24 · 46%	49	14/24 · 58%	9/24 · 38%	4/24 · 17%	11	25	23% 25/110	18/24 · 75%	7/24 · 29%	6	5% 6/110
L14Sep 14–27	11	17-for-46	8/11 · 73%	7/11 · 64%	26	7/11 · 64%	5/11 · 45%	3/11 · 27%	5	9	18% 9/51	7/11 · 64%	2/11 · 18%	4	8% 4/51
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Philadelphia Phillies	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Philadelphia Philliesregular season	13	15-for-58	10/13 · 77%	5/13 · 38%	18	6/13 · 46%	2/13 · 15%	0/13 · 0%	3	17	27% 17/63	12/13 · 92%	5/13 · 38%	3	5% 3/63

vs Cristopher Sanchez: 1-for-6, 1 K in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

3Ozzie AlbiesSwitch vs LHPSeason104/162L145/12Post1/1Season59/162L141/12Post1/1Season84/162L1410/12Post0/1Season15% 105/682vs LHP10% 25/260Season7% 45/682K% vs LHP10% 25/2600010110001001011000311110312101000000001

Bats 3rd · 4.23 PA per start this season · league average from the 3rd spot: 4.3

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	162	145-for-615	104/162 · 64%	33/162 · 20%	239	59/162 · 36%	30/162 · 19%	24/162 · 15%	49	105	15% 105/682	84/162 · 52%	18/162 · 11%	45	7% 45/682
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	25	13-for-92	12/25 · 48%	1/25 · 4%	24	6/25 · 24%	3/25 · 12%	2/25 · 8%	6	21	21% 21/99	17/25 · 68%	3/25 · 12%	5	5% 5/99
L14Sep 14–27	12	6-for-43	5/12 · 42%	1/12 · 8%	9	1/12 · 8%	1/12 · 8%	1/12 · 8%	1	13	28% 13/46	10/12 · 83%	2/12 · 17%	2	4% 2/46
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-2	1/1	0/1	3	1/1	1/1	0/1	1	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	1	25% 1/4
This seriesvs Philadelphia Phillies	1	1-for-2	1/1	0/1	3	1/1	1/1	0/1	1	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	1	25% 1/4
vs Philadelphia Philliesregular season	13	12-for-55	8/13 · 62%	3/13 · 23%	19	7/13 · 54%	2/13 · 15%	1/13 · 8%	7	5	8% 5/59	5/13 · 38%	0/13 · 0%	3	5% 3/59

vs Cristopher Sanchez: 3-for-6, 2 XBH, 1 K in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

4Matt OlsonLHB vs LHPSeason111/162L147/12Post0/1Season76/162L144/12Post0/1Season111/162L146/12Post1/1Season24% 171/698vs LHP25% 71/280Season9% 64/698K% vs LHP25% 71/2803201200100620160010000200001120000001000

Bats 4th · 4.31 PA per start this season · league average from the 4th spot: 4.18

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	162	157-for-625	111/162 · 69%	39/162 · 24%	314	76/162 · 47%	53/162 · 33%	41/162 · 25%	75	171	24% 171/698	111/162 · 69%	46/162 · 28%	64	9% 64/698
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	25	20-for-94	13/25 · 52%	5/25 · 20%	34	7/25 · 28%	4/25 · 16%	4/25 · 16%	6	21	21% 21/102	14/25 · 56%	4/25 · 16%	5	5% 5/102
L14Sep 14–27	12	12-for-44	7/12 · 58%	4/12 · 33%	19	4/12 · 33%	2/12 · 17%	2/12 · 17%	3	9	19% 9/48	6/12 · 50%	2/12 · 17%	2	4% 2/48
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Philadelphia Phillies	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Philadelphia Philliesregular season	13	12-for-51	8/13 · 62%	3/13 · 23%	23	6/13 · 46%	4/13 · 31%	3/13 · 23%	5	10	17% 10/59	8/13 · 62%	2/13 · 15%	8	14% 8/59

vs Cristopher Sanchez: 0-for-5, 2 K, 1 BB in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

5Mauricio DubónRHB vs LHPSeason105/153L1410/11Post1/1Season60/153L147/11Post1/1Season60/153L144/11Post1/1Season12% 73/619vs LHP10% 20/210Season6% 35/619K% vs LHP10% 20/2102211122021531212205201121000020000010000

Bats 5th · 4.11 PA per start this season · league average from the 5th spot: 4.04

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	153	157-for-572	105/153 · 69%	42/153 · 27%	227	60/153 · 39%	33/153 · 22%	20/153 · 13%	43	73	12% 73/619	60/153 · 39%	12/153 · 8%	35	6% 35/619
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	27-for-87	17/23 · 74%	9/23 · 39%	39	10/23 · 43%	6/23 · 26%	3/23 · 13%	7	11	12% 11/95	9/23 · 39%	2/23 · 9%	4	4% 4/95
L14Sep 14–27	11	16-for-42	10/11 · 91%	6/11 · 55%	24	7/11 · 64%	3/11 · 27%	2/11 · 18%	5	5	11% 5/46	4/11 · 36%	1/11 · 9%	3	7% 3/46
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Philadelphia Phillies	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Philadelphia Philliesregular season	13	13-for-47	8/13 · 62%	4/13 · 31%	19	4/13 · 31%	4/13 · 31%	2/13 · 15%	3	9	17% 9/53	6/13 · 46%	3/13 · 23%	2	4% 2/53

vs Cristopher Sanchez: 2-for-6, 1 K in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

6Austin RileyRHB vs LHPSeason85/159L146/11Post1/1Season52/159L142/11Post1/1Season120/159L147/11Post0/1Season32% 201/630vs LHP33% 60/184Season8% 48/630K% vs LHP33% 60/1841011210001101154000423002023100000010010

Bats 6th · 3.97 PA per start this season · league average from the 6th spot: 3.88

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	159	124-for-566	85/159 · 53%	33/159 · 21%	206	52/159 · 33%	31/159 · 19%	17/159 · 11%	42	201	32% 201/630	120/159 · 75%	61/159 · 38%	48	8% 48/630
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	18-for-84	15/24 · 62%	3/24 · 12%	32	7/24 · 29%	5/24 · 21%	4/24 · 17%	5	30	33% 30/92	17/24 · 71%	10/24 · 42%	6	7% 6/92
L14Sep 14–27	11	7-for-40	6/11 · 55%	1/11 · 9%	13	2/11 · 18%	2/11 · 18%	2/11 · 18%	2	16	36% 16/44	7/11 · 64%	6/11 · 55%	3	7% 3/44
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	4	1/1	1/1	1/1	1	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Philadelphia Phillies	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	4	1/1	1/1	1/1	1	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Philadelphia Philliesregular season	13	11-for-48	9/13 · 69%	2/13 · 15%	26	6/13 · 46%	4/13 · 31%	3/13 · 23%	6	14	26% 14/54	9/13 · 69%	4/13 · 31%	3	6% 3/54

vs Cristopher Sanchez: 3-for-6, 1 K in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

7Michael Harris IILHB vs LHPSeason105/155L146/11Post1/1Season67/155L145/11Post1/1Season91/155L145/11Post0/1Season19% 119/621vs LHP18% 41/224Season4% 23/621K% vs LHP18% 41/2241300203043160030406311000001100002000000

Bats 7th · 4.16 PA per start this season · league average from the 7th spot: 3.73

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	155	174-for-591	105/155 · 68%	47/155 · 30%	290	67/155 · 43%	46/155 · 30%	33/155 · 21%	63	119	19% 119/621	91/155 · 59%	25/155 · 16%	23	4% 23/621
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	27-for-93	12/24 · 50%	8/24 · 33%	43	9/24 · 38%	8/24 · 33%	6/24 · 25%	8	16	16% 16/97	13/24 · 54%	3/24 · 12%	4	4% 4/97
L14Sep 14–27	11	15-for-44	6/11 · 55%	5/11 · 45%	22	5/11 · 45%	4/11 · 36%	3/11 · 27%	5	5	11% 5/46	5/11 · 45%	0/11 · 0%	2	4% 2/46
Postseasonthis October	1	3-for-3	1/1	1/1	3	1/1	1/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Philadelphia Phillies	1	3-for-3	1/1	1/1	3	1/1	1/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Philadelphia Philliesregular season	13	18-for-43	8/13 · 62%	5/13 · 38%	28	6/13 · 46%	4/13 · 31%	3/13 · 23%	4	8	17% 8/47	5/13 · 38%	3/13 · 23%	3	6% 3/47

vs Cristopher Sanchez: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

8Sean MurphyRHB vs LHPSeason15/33L142/9Season7/33L141/9Season26/33L145/9Season31% 37/121vs LHP35% 12/34Season9% 11/121K% vs LHP35% 12/341000000012200000001212100220011000200200

Bats 8th · 3.67 PA per start this season · league average from the 8th spot: 3.54

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	33	20-for-110	15/33 · 45%	4/33 · 12%	33	7/33 · 21%	4/33 · 12%	3/33 · 9%	7	37	31% 37/121	26/33 · 79%	10/33 · 30%	11	9% 11/121
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	17	8-for-55	6/17 · 35%	2/17 · 12%	12	3/17 · 18%	1/17 · 6%	1/17 · 6%	2	17	27% 17/64	12/17 · 71%	5/17 · 29%	9	14% 9/64
L14Sep 14–27	9	3-for-29	2/9	1/9	3	1/9	0/9	0/9	0	8	24% 8/33	5/9	3/9	4	12% 4/33
Postseasonthis October	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
This seriesvs Philadelphia Phillies	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Philadelphia Philliesregular season	4	2-for-13	2/4	0/4	3	1/4	0/4	0/4	1	5	31% 5/16	4/4	1/4	3	19% 3/16

vs Cristopher Sanchez: 0-for-1, 1 K, 2 BB in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

9Ha-Seong KimRHB vs LHPSeason12/45L141/7Post0/1Season4/45L141/7Post0/1Season26/45L146/7Post1/1Season26% 38/147vs LHP29% 19/66Season11% 16/147K% vs LHP29% 19/660000000100000000030010112011121200000120

Bats 9th · 3.45 PA per start this season · league average from the 9th spot: 3.23

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	45	15-for-128	12/45 · 27%	2/45 · 4%	18	4/45 · 9%	2/45 · 4%	0/45 · 0%	2	38	26% 38/147	26/45 · 58%	12/45 · 27%	16	11% 16/147
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	16	8-for-42	5/16 · 31%	2/16 · 12%	11	4/16 · 25%	2/16 · 12%	0/16 · 0%	2	12	24% 12/51	9/16 · 56%	3/16 · 19%	7	14% 7/51
L14Sep 14–27	7	1-for-19	1/7	0/7	3	1/7	1/7	0/7	1	7	29% 7/24	6/7	1/7	3	12% 3/24
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-2	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	100% 2/2	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/2
This seriesvs Philadelphia Phillies	1	0-for-2	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	100% 2/2	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/2
vs Philadelphia Philliesregular season	6	1-for-14	1/6	0/6	1	0/6	0/6	0/6	0	5	29% 5/17	3/6	2/6	3	18% 3/17

vs Cristopher Sanchez: 0-for-2, 0 K in 2 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

Thresholds

Games that cleared each mark. Counts first; a rate only from 10 games up. L14 is the last two weeks of the regular season.

1+ hit — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Phillies
1Trea Turner	104/157 · 66%	9/12 · 75%	0/1
2Kyle Schwarber	91/156 · 58%	4/12 · 33%	1/1
3Bryce Harper	101/161 · 63%	8/12 · 67%	0/1
4Alec Bohm	94/153 · 61%	7/12 · 58%	1/1
5Bryson Stott	99/155 · 64%	8/12 · 67%	1/1
6Brandon Marsh	93/153 · 61%	4/11 · 36%	1/1
7Edmundo Sosa	42/83 · 51%	2/5	1/1
8Justin Crawford	88/144 · 61%	7/10 · 70%	0/1
9J.T. Realmuto	62/122 · 51%	1/11 · 9%	1/1
Braves
1Ronald Acuña Jr.	71/107 · 66%	6/10 · 60%	0/1
2Drake Baldwin	98/138 · 71%	8/11 · 73%	0/1
3Ozzie Albies	104/162 · 64%	5/12 · 42%	1/1
4Matt Olson	111/162 · 69%	7/12 · 58%	0/1
5Mauricio Dubón	105/153 · 69%	10/11 · 91%	1/1
6Austin Riley	85/159 · 53%	6/11 · 55%	1/1
7Michael Harris II	105/155 · 68%	6/11 · 55%	1/1
8Sean Murphy	15/33 · 45%	2/9	—
9Ha-Seong Kim	12/45 · 27%	1/7	0/1

2+ hits — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Phillies
1Trea Turner	41/157 · 26%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
2Kyle Schwarber	34/156 · 22%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
3Bryce Harper	39/161 · 24%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
4Alec Bohm	41/153 · 27%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
5Bryson Stott	33/155 · 21%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
6Brandon Marsh	32/153 · 21%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
7Edmundo Sosa	13/83 · 16%	2/5	0/1
8Justin Crawford	19/144 · 13%	0/10 · 0%	0/1
9J.T. Realmuto	20/122 · 16%	0/11 · 0%	0/1
Braves
1Ronald Acuña Jr.	29/107 · 27%	3/10 · 30%	0/1
2Drake Baldwin	48/138 · 35%	7/11 · 64%	0/1
3Ozzie Albies	33/162 · 20%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
4Matt Olson	39/162 · 24%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
5Mauricio Dubón	42/153 · 27%	6/11 · 55%	0/1
6Austin Riley	33/159 · 21%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
7Michael Harris II	47/155 · 30%	5/11 · 45%	1/1
8Sean Murphy	4/33 · 12%	1/9	—
9Ha-Seong Kim	2/45 · 4%	0/7	0/1

2+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Phillies
1Trea Turner	59/157 · 38%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
2Kyle Schwarber	66/156 · 42%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
3Bryce Harper	69/161 · 43%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
4Alec Bohm	56/153 · 37%	4/12 · 33%	1/1
5Bryson Stott	55/155 · 35%	5/12 · 42%	0/1
6Brandon Marsh	49/153 · 32%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
7Edmundo Sosa	22/83 · 27%	2/5	1/1
8Justin Crawford	37/144 · 26%	2/10 · 20%	0/1
9J.T. Realmuto	37/122 · 30%	1/11 · 9%	1/1
Braves
1Ronald Acuña Jr.	44/107 · 41%	5/10 · 50%	0/1
2Drake Baldwin	64/138 · 46%	7/11 · 64%	0/1
3Ozzie Albies	59/162 · 36%	1/12 · 8%	1/1
4Matt Olson	76/162 · 47%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
5Mauricio Dubón	60/153 · 39%	7/11 · 64%	1/1
6Austin Riley	52/159 · 33%	2/11 · 18%	1/1
7Michael Harris II	67/155 · 43%	5/11 · 45%	1/1
8Sean Murphy	7/33 · 21%	1/9	—
9Ha-Seong Kim	4/45 · 9%	1/7	0/1

3+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Phillies
1Trea Turner	35/157 · 22%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
2Kyle Schwarber	48/156 · 31%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
3Bryce Harper	49/161 · 30%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
4Alec Bohm	29/153 · 19%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
5Bryson Stott	31/155 · 20%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
6Brandon Marsh	30/153 · 20%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
7Edmundo Sosa	15/83 · 18%	2/5	0/1
8Justin Crawford	17/144 · 12%	1/10 · 10%	0/1
9J.T. Realmuto	17/122 · 14%	0/11 · 0%	1/1
Braves
1Ronald Acuña Jr.	28/107 · 26%	4/10 · 40%	0/1
2Drake Baldwin	39/138 · 28%	5/11 · 45%	0/1
3Ozzie Albies	30/162 · 19%	1/12 · 8%	1/1
4Matt Olson	53/162 · 33%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
5Mauricio Dubón	33/153 · 22%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
6Austin Riley	31/159 · 19%	2/11 · 18%	1/1
7Michael Harris II	46/155 · 30%	4/11 · 36%	1/1
8Sean Murphy	4/33 · 12%	0/9	—
9Ha-Seong Kim	2/45 · 4%	1/7	0/1

4+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Phillies
1Trea Turner	24/157 · 15%	0/12 · 0%	0/1
2Kyle Schwarber	39/156 · 25%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
3Bryce Harper	34/161 · 21%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
4Alec Bohm	17/153 · 11%	0/12 · 0%	0/1
5Bryson Stott	20/155 · 13%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
6Brandon Marsh	21/153 · 14%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
7Edmundo Sosa	9/83 · 11%	2/5	0/1
8Justin Crawford	6/144 · 4%	0/10 · 0%	0/1
9J.T. Realmuto	13/122 · 11%	0/11 · 0%	0/1
Braves
1Ronald Acuña Jr.	22/107 · 21%	3/10 · 30%	0/1
2Drake Baldwin	26/138 · 19%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
3Ozzie Albies	24/162 · 15%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
4Matt Olson	41/162 · 25%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
5Mauricio Dubón	20/153 · 13%	2/11 · 18%	0/1
6Austin Riley	17/159 · 11%	2/11 · 18%	1/1
7Michael Harris II	33/155 · 21%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
8Sean Murphy	3/33 · 9%	0/9	—
9Ha-Seong Kim	0/45 · 0%	0/7	0/1

1+ K — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Phillies
1Trea Turner	109/157 · 69%	8/12 · 67%	1/1
2Kyle Schwarber	119/156 · 76%	8/12 · 67%	1/1
3Bryce Harper	96/161 · 60%	8/12 · 67%	1/1
4Alec Bohm	69/153 · 45%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
5Bryson Stott	77/155 · 50%	3/12 · 25%	1/1
6Brandon Marsh	97/153 · 63%	8/11 · 73%	0/1
7Edmundo Sosa	42/83 · 51%	3/5	1/1
8Justin Crawford	69/144 · 48%	5/10 · 50%	0/1
9J.T. Realmuto	68/122 · 56%	8/11 · 73%	1/1
Braves
1Ronald Acuña Jr.	68/107 · 64%	7/10 · 70%	0/1
2Drake Baldwin	87/138 · 63%	7/11 · 64%	1/1
3Ozzie Albies	84/162 · 52%	10/12 · 83%	0/1
4Matt Olson	111/162 · 69%	6/12 · 50%	1/1
5Mauricio Dubón	60/153 · 39%	4/11 · 36%	1/1
6Austin Riley	120/159 · 75%	7/11 · 64%	0/1
7Michael Harris II	91/155 · 59%	5/11 · 45%	0/1
8Sean Murphy	26/33 · 79%	5/9	—
9Ha-Seong Kim	26/45 · 58%	6/7	1/1

2+ K — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Phillies
1Trea Turner	32/157 · 20%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
2Kyle Schwarber	72/156 · 46%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
3Bryce Harper	40/161 · 25%	2/12 · 17%	1/1
4Alec Bohm	16/153 · 10%	1/12 · 8%	0/1
5Bryson Stott	21/155 · 14%	1/12 · 8%	1/1
6Brandon Marsh	35/153 · 23%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
7Edmundo Sosa	11/83 · 13%	1/5	0/1
8Justin Crawford	12/144 · 8%	2/10 · 20%	0/1
9J.T. Realmuto	26/122 · 21%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
Braves
1Ronald Acuña Jr.	24/107 · 22%	1/10 · 10%	0/1
2Drake Baldwin	35/138 · 25%	2/11 · 18%	0/1
3Ozzie Albies	18/162 · 11%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
4Matt Olson	46/162 · 28%	2/12 · 17%	1/1
5Mauricio Dubón	12/153 · 8%	1/11 · 9%	1/1
6Austin Riley	61/159 · 38%	6/11 · 55%	0/1
7Michael Harris II	25/155 · 16%	0/11 · 0%	0/1
8Sean Murphy	10/33 · 30%	3/9	—
9Ha-Seong Kim	12/45 · 27%	1/7	1/1

4+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cristopher Sanchez	30/33 · 91%	5/6	—
Tyler Mahle	19/27 · 70%	3/6	—

5+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cristopher Sanchez	29/33 · 88%	5/6	—
Tyler Mahle	14/27 · 52%	2/6	—

6+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cristopher Sanchez	26/33 · 79%	3/6	—
Tyler Mahle	10/27 · 37%	2/6	—

7+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cristopher Sanchez	19/33 · 58%	2/6	—
Tyler Mahle	5/27 · 19%	1/6	—

3 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cristopher Sanchez	5/33 · 15%	1/6	—
Tyler Mahle	7/27 · 26%	1/6	—

4 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cristopher Sanchez	11/33 · 33%	1/6	—
Tyler Mahle	11/27 · 41%	2/6	—

5 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cristopher Sanchez	14/33 · 42%	3/6	—
Tyler Mahle	17/27 · 63%	3/6	—

1 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cristopher Sanchez	21/33 · 64%	4/6	—
Tyler Mahle	12/27 · 44%	4/6	—

2 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cristopher Sanchez	26/33 · 79%	5/6	—
Tyler Mahle	21/27 · 78%	6/6	—

3+ — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cristopher Sanchez	7/33 · 21%	1/6	—
Tyler Mahle	6/27 · 22%	0/6	—

regular season ends · 2 playoff game · strips run oldest → newest · tap a hitter for L28, the opponent, the series and the matchup. Built from the play-by-play feed, which does not pick up official scoring changes, so a season total can differ from MLB’s by a hit. Evidence, not picks: no odds are read and nothing here is scored.

Game Analysis

Context and interpretation

Team Identity

Philadelphia Phillies

Season-to-date, 162 games, 6,256 PA.

An opportunistic, aggressive offense that cashes in scoring chances. The offense has cooled off recently.

Power

Average50

Contact

Below Avg42

Plate Discipline

Average50

Speed

Above Avg70

RISP

Elite91

Recent Form

Trending Down

Total bases per PA is down 20% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

Atlanta Braves

Season-to-date, 162 games, 6,246 PA.

A power-hitting, opportunistic offense that does damage on extra-base hits, though it can be free-swinging. The offense has cooled off recently.

Power

Above Avg79

Contact

Average60

Plate Discipline

Below Avg25

Speed

Below Avg43

RISP

Above Avg71

Recent Form

Trending Down

Walk rate is down 8% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

What This Game Is About

Biggest Advantage

Braves bring the more power-hitting profile, while Phillies lean on being opportunistic.

Swing Factor

Cristopher Sánchez strikes hitters out at a 26.3% clip (83rd percentile); Braves carry a 20.9% strikeout rate.

Momentum

Phillies are trending down and Braves are trending down over their last 10 games.

Key Matchups

Can either lineup run up a starter's pitch count?

Phillies' nine see 3.87 pitches per plate appearance against RHPs (league 3.89); Tyler Mahle averages ~89 pitches and 22.7 batters a start. Braves' nine see 3.77 pitches per plate appearance against LHPs (league 3.89); Cristopher Sanchez averages ~96 pitches and 26.0 batters a start.

Edge · EvenPhillies: 3.87 P/PABraves: 3.77 P/PALow confidence

Which lineup has the platoon advantage?

5 of 9 in the Phillies' confirmed lineup bat from the other side of Tyler Mahle (RHP); 6 of 9 in the Braves' confirmed lineup bat from the other side of Cristopher Sanchez (LHP). Switch hitters count.

Edge · EvenPhillies: 5/9Braves: 6/9High confidence

Which bullpen is under more pressure?

Phillies relievers ~82 pitches; Braves relievers ~65 pitches (Sep 27–29).

Edge · EvenPhillies: ~82 relief pitchesBraves: ~65 relief pitchesModerate confidence

Through Sep 29, the feed's last day. Relief pitches are reconstructed from play-by-play.

Expected Game Shape

Power-orientedModerate confidence

Both lineups can change the game with one swing. Braves bring more power.

Both probable starters grade around the 55th percentile in combined suppression.
Phillies are trending down; Braves are trending down.

Storylines to Watch

Is Bryson Stott the one to watch?

Bryson Stott enters as Phillies' hottest bat. Total bases per PA is up 52% over his prior baseline, with hits in 8 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 7%.

0.317 hit rate · 0.512 TB/PA · 0.215 hit rate · 0.336 TB/PA

Can Ozzie Albies snap out of it?

Ozzie Albies has cooled off. Total bases per PA is down 71% over his prior baseline, with hits in 4 of his last 10 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 31%.

0.103 hit rate · 0.103 TB/PA · 0.212 hit rate · 0.354 TB/PA

Based on plate appearances before 2026-09-30, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.