Yankees at Rays · Sports Today

AL Division Series · Game 2 of 5Rays lead 1-0

New York Yankees

No. 4 seed · 93-68 in the regular season

Regular-season form: offense cooling lately

RHP Cam Schlittler · Elite strikeout stuff · plus control

Tampa Bay Rays

No. 1 seed · 98-64 in the regular season

Regular-season form: offense cooling lately

RHP Freddy Peralta · Balanced starter

MLB · Tropicana Field · 5:00 PM PT

Playoff Prop Desk

Evidence for player and pitcher decisions

Data through Oct 4 · regular season ended Sep 27

Lineup spot leads because it sets plate appearances, which predict a hit more than twice as well as recent hitting does.

Total bases rides on the same chances as a hit, plus extra-base power. We do not model it; these are records.

The opposing starter carries batter strikeouts more than the batter's own form, so his strikeout rate sits beside every row.

Workload leads: a postseason hook can cut a starter's batters faced, and strikeouts need batters.

Records only. When this market was measured, recent hits allowed carried no information beyond its base rate.

Records only — the site has no walks model.

Cam SchlittlerRHP · Yankees vs Rays

7.2 K / start7.2 K / start3.9 H allowed / start3.9 H allowed / start3.9 H allowed / start1.5 BB / start

~92 pitches · 23.1 BF · ~5.3 IP per start · 33 regular-season starts

Recent K891086510

Recent H2231332

Recent BB5002321

Pitches ~1029996949870117

BF24262421251422

Last 6 recorded starts · playoff after the rule

Rays confirmed lineup vs RHP: K 17% 566/3330hits 25% 833/3330BB 9% 299/3330 per PA

Start by start

	Avg	Aug 28	Sep 2	Sep 8	Sep 13	Sep 19	Sep 24	Sep 29
Pitches ~	~92.2	102	99	96	94	98	70	117
Batters faced	23.1	24	26	24	21	25	14	22
Innings ~	~5.3	5.2	8.0	7.0	6.0	6.0	3.0	6.1
Strikeouts	7.2	8	9	10	8	6	5	10
Hits allowed	3.9	2	2	3	1	3	3	2
Walks	1.5	5	0	0	2	3	2	1

vs Tampa Bay Rays this season: Apr 12: 5.0 IP, 8 K, 7 H, 1 BB; Jul 6: 8.0 IP, 8 K, 4 H, 0 BB; Sep 24: 3.0 IP, 5 K, 3 H, 2 BB

Freddy PeraltaRHP · Rays vs Yankees

4.9 K / start4.9 K / start5 H allowed / start5 H allowed / start5 H allowed / start2 BB / start

~92 pitches · 22.8 BF · ~5.1 IP per start · 32 regular-season starts

Recent K472464

Recent H235044

Recent BB001323

Pitches ~817492869793

BF202224182322

Last 6 recorded starts · no postseason appearance yet

Yankees confirmed lineup vs RHP: K 23% 687/2934hits 21% 626/2934BB 11% 311/2934 per PA

Start by start

	Avg	Aug 26	Sep 1	Sep 8	Sep 13	Sep 19	Sep 25
Pitches ~	~92.5	81	74	92	86	97	93
Batters faced	22.8	20	22	24	18	23	22
Innings ~	~5.1	6.0	6.0	6.0	5.0	5.2	5.1
Strikeouts	4.9	4	7	2	4	6	4
Hits allowed	5	2	3	5	0	4	4
Walks	2	0	0	1	3	2	3

vs New York Yankees this season: May 17: 5.0 IP, 4 K, 2 H, 6 BB

Yankees✓ Confirmed lineupvs RHP Freddy PeraltaGames with 1+ hitGames with 2+ total basesGames with 1+ strikeoutStrikeouts per PAWalks per PA

1Ben RiceLHB vs RHPSeason98/154L148/12Post2/3Season68/154L145/12Post1/3Season106/154L148/12Post3/3Season24% 162/667vs RHP23% 102/446Season13% 85/667K% vs RHP23% 102/44601030124100209013111001301311121101101011

Bats 1st · 4.42 PA per start this season · league average from the 1st spot: 4.49

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	154	151-for-573	98/154 · 64%	42/154 · 27%	306	68/154 · 44%	53/154 · 34%	43/154 · 28%	69	162	24% 162/667	106/154 · 69%	41/154 · 27%	85	13% 85/667
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	27-for-85	15/23 · 65%	8/23 · 35%	49	10/23 · 43%	7/23 · 30%	5/23 · 22%	9	21	20% 21/104	14/23 · 61%	4/23 · 17%	17	16% 17/104
L14Sep 14–27	12	13-for-43	8/12 · 67%	4/12 · 33%	26	5/12 · 42%	3/12 · 25%	2/12 · 17%	6	12	22% 12/55	8/12 · 67%	2/12 · 17%	11	20% 11/55
Postseasonthis October	3	5-for-12	2/3	1/3	12	1/3	1/3	1/3	3	4	29% 4/14	3/3	1/3	2	14% 2/14
This seriesvs Tampa Bay Rays	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	1	25% 1/4
vs Tampa Bay Raysregular season	13	16-for-45	10/13 · 77%	4/13 · 31%	40	8/13 · 62%	6/13 · 46%	5/13 · 38%	10	12	24% 12/51	8/13 · 62%	3/13 · 23%	6	12% 6/51

vs Freddy Peralta: 1-for-3, 1 XBH, 0 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

2Cody BellingerLHB vs RHPSeason90/132L146/10Post2/3Season53/132L143/10Post1/3Season66/132L144/10Post2/3Season16% 89/562vs RHP17% 60/362Season10% 59/562K% vs RHP17% 60/3621011000120101400015000301020120000100000

Bats 2nd · 4.3 PA per start this season · league average from the 2nd spot: 4.4

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	132	132-for-496	90/132 · 68%	32/132 · 24%	214	53/132 · 40%	28/132 · 21%	20/132 · 15%	45	89	16% 89/562	66/132 · 50%	19/132 · 14%	59	10% 59/562
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	22	28-for-91	16/22 · 73%	8/22 · 36%	46	11/22 · 50%	9/22 · 41%	6/22 · 27%	8	15	16% 15/95	10/22 · 45%	3/22 · 14%	3	3% 3/95
L14Sep 14–27	10	10-for-41	6/10 · 60%	2/10 · 20%	16	3/10 · 30%	3/10 · 30%	2/10 · 20%	2	7	16% 7/44	4/10 · 40%	2/10 · 20%	3	7% 3/44
Postseasonthis October	3	3-for-13	2/3	1/3	6	1/3	1/3	1/3	1	3	23% 3/13	2/3	1/3	0	0% 0/13
This seriesvs Tampa Bay Rays	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Tampa Bay Raysregular season	12	10-for-47	7/12 · 58%	3/12 · 25%	14	4/12 · 33%	2/12 · 17%	1/12 · 8%	2	13	27% 13/49	8/12 · 67%	4/12 · 33%	1	2% 1/49

vs Freddy Peralta: 0-for-0, 0 K, 3 BB in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

3Luis García Jr.LHB vs RHPSeason88/147L144/9Post1/3Season54/147L140/9Post1/3Season75/147L147/9Post1/3Season18% 97/543vs RHP18% 80/456Season5% 25/543K% vs RHP18% 80/4560010011030001001106032011200100000011000

Bats 3rd · 4.02 PA per start this season · league average from the 3rd spot: 4.3

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	147	143-for-516	88/147 · 60%	38/147 · 26%	269	54/147 · 37%	45/147 · 31%	31/147 · 21%	61	97	18% 97/543	75/147 · 51%	18/147 · 12%	25	5% 25/543
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	20	16-for-74	11/20 · 55%	4/20 · 20%	24	5/20 · 25%	4/20 · 20%	2/20 · 10%	4	20	26% 20/76	13/20 · 65%	6/20 · 30%	2	3% 2/76
L14Sep 14–27	9	4-for-35	4/9	0/9	4	0/9	0/9	0/9	0	11	30% 11/37	7/9	3/9	2	5% 2/37
Postseasonthis October	3	3-for-9	1/3	1/3	6	1/3	1/3	1/3	1	1	11% 1/9	1/3	0/3	0	0% 0/9
This seriesvs Tampa Bay Rays	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/3	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
vs Tampa Bay Raysregular season	6	3-for-19	2/6	1/6	6	1/6	1/6	1/6	1	8	40% 8/20	6/6	2/6	1	5% 1/20

vs Freddy Peralta: 1-for-3, 1 XBH, 1 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

4Spencer JonesLHB vs RHPSeason46/84L146/10Post2/3Season27/84L143/10Post0/3Season63/84L148/10Post2/3Season36% 105/289vs RHP38% 87/230Season9% 25/289K% vs RHP38% 87/2300110111110041021111022022120420001000100

Bats 4th · 3.62 PA per start this season · league average from the 4th spot: 4.18

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	84	64-for-261	46/84 · 55%	15/84 · 18%	112	27/84 · 32%	18/84 · 21%	15/84 · 18%	25	105	36% 105/289	63/84 · 75%	30/84 · 36%	25	9% 25/289
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	22	22-for-83	16/22 · 73%	5/22 · 23%	38	11/22 · 50%	6/22 · 27%	4/22 · 18%	8	35	38% 35/91	17/22 · 77%	12/22 · 55%	7	8% 7/91
L14Sep 14–27	10	6-for-42	6/10 · 60%	0/10 · 0%	13	3/10 · 30%	2/10 · 20%	2/10 · 20%	3	18	42% 18/43	8/10 · 80%	7/10 · 70%	1	2% 1/43
Postseasonthis October	3	2-for-11	2/3	0/3	2	0/3	0/3	0/3	0	6	50% 6/12	2/3	2/3	1	8% 1/12
This seriesvs Tampa Bay Rays	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	67% 2/3	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/3
vs Tampa Bay Raysregular season	3	2-for-11	2/3	0/3	3	1/3	0/3	0/3	1	4	33% 4/12	2/3	2/3	1	8% 1/12

vs Freddy Peralta: 0-for-2, 2 K in 2 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

5George Lombard Jr.RHB vs RHPSeason27/42L149/11Post2/3Season16/42L146/11Post1/3Season29/42L146/11Post2/3Season27% 44/166vs RHP26% 36/136Season6% 10/166K% vs RHP26% 36/1360211120310051146031010114020210000000000

Bats 5th · 3.95 PA per start this season · league average from the 5th spot: 4.04

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	42	36-for-152	27/42 · 64%	9/42 · 21%	63	16/42 · 38%	8/42 · 19%	7/42 · 17%	12	44	27% 44/166	29/42 · 69%	11/42 · 26%	10	6% 10/166
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	19	16-for-73	12/19 · 63%	4/19 · 21%	34	8/19 · 42%	5/19 · 26%	5/19 · 26%	8	20	25% 20/79	13/19 · 68%	5/19 · 26%	3	4% 3/79
L14Sep 14–27	11	13-for-46	9/11 · 82%	4/11 · 36%	27	6/11 · 55%	4/11 · 36%	4/11 · 36%	6	11	23% 11/47	6/11 · 55%	3/11 · 27%	1	2% 1/47
Postseasonthis October	3	4-for-11	2/3	1/3	4	1/3	1/3	0/3	0	3	27% 3/11	2/3	1/3	0	0% 0/11
This seriesvs Tampa Bay Rays	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
vs Tampa Bay Raysregular season	4	5-for-16	4/4	1/4	12	2/4	2/4	2/4	3	6	38% 6/16	3/4	1/4	0	0% 0/16

vs Freddy Peralta: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

6Jazz Chisholm Jr.LHB vs RHPSeason82/136L142/3Post1/2Season42/136L140/3Post1/2Season102/136L143/3Post1/2Season30% 157/532vs RHP27% 101/372Season11% 56/532K% vs RHP27% 101/3723001211020600121102021100112010110011011

Bats 6th · 4.03 PA per start this season · league average from the 6th spot: 3.88

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	136	109-for-470	82/136 · 60%	22/136 · 16%	187	42/136 · 31%	29/136 · 21%	21/136 · 15%	37	157	30% 157/532	102/136 · 75%	45/136 · 33%	56	11% 56/532
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	9	9-for-31	6/9	2/9	12	2/9	1/9	1/9	1	9	26% 9/35	7/9	2/9	4	11% 4/35
L14Sep 14–27	3	2-for-10	2/3	0/3	2	0/3	0/3	0/3	0	4	33% 4/12	3/3	1/3	2	17% 2/12
Postseasonthis October	2	2-for-5	1/2	1/2	2	1/2	0/2	0/2	0	1	14% 1/7	1/2	0/2	2	29% 2/7
This seriesvs Tampa Bay Rays	1	0-for-2	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	1	33% 1/3
vs Tampa Bay Raysregular season	10	8-for-35	7/10 · 70%	1/10 · 10%	12	3/10 · 30%	1/10 · 10%	1/10 · 10%	3	9	22% 9/40	7/10 · 70%	2/10 · 20%	4	10% 4/40

vs Freddy Peralta: 0-for-1, 1 K, 2 BB in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

7Trent GrishamLHB vs RHPSeason59/120L140/0Post1/3Season35/120L140/0Post1/3Season66/120L140/0Post1/3Season18% 89/484vs RHP18% 61/348Season13% 61/484K% vs RHP18% 61/3480000110020000011002001122000020110001010

Bats 7th · 4.31 PA per start this season · league average from the 7th spot: 3.74

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	120	88-for-418	59/120 · 49%	24/120 · 20%	165	35/120 · 29%	26/120 · 22%	21/120 · 18%	39	89	18% 89/484	66/120 · 55%	19/120 · 16%	61	13% 61/484
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	4	2-for-11	2/4	0/4	2	0/4	0/4	0/4	0	4	33% 4/12	2/4	2/4	1	8% 1/12
L14Sep 14–27	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Postseasonthis October	3	2-for-7	1/3	1/3	2	1/3	0/3	0/3	0	2	25% 2/8	1/3	1/3	1	12% 1/8
This seriesvs Tampa Bay Rays	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	67% 2/3	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/3
vs Tampa Bay Raysregular season	9	8-for-31	4/9	3/9	12	4/9	2/9	1/9	4	5	15% 5/34	4/9	1/9	3	9% 3/34

vs Freddy Peralta: 0-for-3, 0 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

8Austin WellsLHB vs RHPSeason51/121L145/8Post3/3Season25/121L143/8Post2/3Season73/121L145/8Post1/3Season27% 103/388vs RHP26% 74/289Season12% 48/388K% vs RHP26% 74/2890121010211015104021201011010010111112000

Bats 8th · 3.39 PA per start this season · league average from the 8th spot: 3.54

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	121	62-for-333	51/121 · 42%	10/121 · 8%	111	25/121 · 21%	14/121 · 12%	13/121 · 11%	21	103	27% 103/388	73/121 · 60%	27/121 · 22%	48	12% 48/388
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	20	10-for-52	8/20 · 40%	2/20 · 10%	22	5/20 · 25%	4/20 · 20%	4/20 · 20%	4	15	23% 15/66	12/20 · 60%	3/20 · 15%	14	21% 14/66
L14Sep 14–27	8	6-for-21	5/8	1/8	15	3/8	3/8	3/8	3	6	21% 6/28	5/8	1/8	7	25% 7/28
Postseasonthis October	3	4-for-9	3/3	1/3	5	2/3	0/3	0/3	1	1	9% 1/11	1/3	0/3	0	0% 0/11
This seriesvs Tampa Bay Rays	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
vs Tampa Bay Raysregular season	10	4-for-29	4/10 · 40%	0/10 · 0%	16	4/10 · 40%	4/10 · 40%	4/10 · 40%	4	5	15% 5/34	5/10 · 50%	0/10 · 0%	5	15% 5/34

vs Freddy Peralta: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

9Ryan McMahonLHB vs RHPSeason55/115L143/7Post1/3Season27/115L142/7Post0/3Season78/115L145/7Post1/3Season29% 106/360vs RHP29% 86/295Season8% 28/360K% vs RHP29% 86/2951000022010100005301004101120100001000100

Bats 9th · 3.51 PA per start this season · league average from the 9th spot: 3.23

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	115	70-for-326	55/115 · 48%	14/115 · 12%	117	27/115 · 23%	17/115 · 15%	13/115 · 11%	25	106	29% 106/360	78/115 · 68%	24/115 · 21%	28	8% 28/360
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	16	10-for-49	8/16 · 50%	2/16 · 12%	15	3/16 · 19%	2/16 · 12%	1/16 · 6%	3	13	24% 13/54	8/16 · 50%	3/16 · 19%	4	7% 4/54
L14Sep 14–27	7	5-for-21	3/7	2/7	9	2/7	2/7	1/7	2	9	39% 9/23	5/7	2/7	1	4% 1/23
Postseasonthis October	3	1-for-5	1/3	0/3	1	0/3	0/3	0/3	0	1	14% 1/7	1/3	0/3	1	14% 1/7
This seriesvs Tampa Bay Rays	1	0-for-1	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/2	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/2
vs Tampa Bay Raysregular season	9	8-for-28	6/9	2/9	13	2/9	2/9	2/9	3	12	43% 12/28	7/9	4/9	0	0% 0/28

vs Freddy Peralta: 0-for-2, 0 K in 2 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

Rays✓ Confirmed lineupvs RHP Cam SchlittlerGames with 1+ hitGames with 2+ total basesGames with 1+ strikeoutStrikeouts per PAWalks per PA

1Yandy DíazRHB vs RHPSeason106/154L143/10Post1/1Season71/154L143/10Post0/1Season72/154L144/10Post0/1Season14% 98/686vs RHP15% 74/484Season8% 56/686K% vs RHP15% 74/4840000022031000002204102102000000021001000

Bats 1st · 4.47 PA per start this season · league average from the 1st spot: 4.49

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	154	180-for-614	106/154 · 69%	54/154 · 35%	274	71/154 · 46%	42/154 · 27%	30/154 · 19%	49	98	14% 98/686	72/154 · 47%	22/154 · 14%	56	8% 56/686
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	23-for-96	12/23 · 52%	9/23 · 39%	33	9/23 · 39%	4/23 · 17%	4/23 · 17%	6	16	15% 16/104	11/23 · 48%	4/23 · 17%	7	7% 7/104
L14Sep 14–27	10	7-for-40	3/10 · 30%	3/10 · 30%	8	3/10 · 30%	1/10 · 10%	1/10 · 10%	1	6	14% 6/44	4/10 · 40%	2/10 · 20%	4	9% 4/44
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs New York Yankees	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs New York Yankeesregular season	12	17-for-47	9/12 · 75%	6/12 · 50%	25	6/12 · 50%	4/12 · 33%	3/12 · 25%	4	6	12% 6/51	5/12 · 42%	1/12 · 8%	4	8% 4/51

vs Cam Schlittler: 2-for-8, 1 K, 1 BB in 9 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

2Jonathan ArandaLHB vs RHPSeason107/155L147/10Post1/1Season63/155L144/10Post1/1Season110/155L149/10Post0/1Season24% 163/668vs RHP23% 111/478Season10% 69/668K% vs RHP23% 111/4781111001011224100102420211222101000001200

Bats 2nd · 4.39 PA per start this season · league average from the 2nd spot: 4.4

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	155	159-for-580	107/155 · 69%	41/155 · 26%	252	63/155 · 41%	37/155 · 24%	26/155 · 17%	49	163	24% 163/668	110/155 · 71%	42/155 · 27%	69	10% 69/668
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	22	19-for-77	15/22 · 68%	4/22 · 18%	40	9/22 · 41%	5/22 · 23%	4/22 · 18%	11	29	33% 29/89	17/22 · 77%	11/22 · 50%	9	10% 9/89
L14Sep 14–27	10	7-for-34	7/10 · 70%	0/10 · 0%	13	4/10 · 40%	1/10 · 10%	1/10 · 10%	4	15	39% 15/38	9/10 · 90%	6/10 · 60%	4	11% 4/38
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	4	1/1	1/1	1/1	1	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs New York Yankees	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	4	1/1	1/1	1/1	1	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs New York Yankeesregular season	12	7-for-42	5/12 · 42%	2/12 · 17%	9	3/12 · 25%	1/12 · 8%	0/12 · 0%	2	16	34% 16/47	10/12 · 83%	4/12 · 33%	3	6% 3/47

vs Cam Schlittler: 0-for-6, 6 K in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

3Junior CamineroRHB vs RHPSeason119/162L149/13Post0/1Season77/162L146/13Post0/1Season92/162L1410/13Post1/1Season18% 129/702vs RHP20% 102/507Season11% 79/702K% vs RHP20% 102/5071101021200110202150011100011110000000102

Bats 3rd · 4.34 PA per start this season · league average from the 3rd spot: 4.3

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	162	170-for-616	119/162 · 73%	45/162 · 28%	323	77/162 · 48%	50/162 · 31%	42/162 · 26%	68	129	18% 129/702	92/162 · 57%	30/162 · 19%	79	11% 79/702
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	26	24-for-98	18/26 · 69%	6/26 · 23%	44	12/26 · 46%	6/26 · 23%	5/26 · 19%	10	21	19% 21/109	17/26 · 65%	4/26 · 15%	9	8% 9/109
L14Sep 14–27	13	11-for-46	9/13 · 69%	2/13 · 15%	20	6/13 · 46%	2/13 · 15%	2/13 · 15%	5	11	22% 11/51	10/13 · 77%	1/13 · 8%	5	10% 5/51
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-2	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	2	50% 2/4
This seriesvs New York Yankees	1	0-for-2	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	2	50% 2/4
vs New York Yankeesregular season	13	10-for-49	8/13 · 62%	2/13 · 15%	15	5/13 · 38%	1/13 · 8%	1/13 · 8%	3	10	19% 10/54	8/13 · 62%	2/13 · 15%	3	6% 3/54

vs Cam Schlittler: 3-for-8, 1 K in 8 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

4Liam HicksLHB vs RHPSeason89/142L144/10Post1/1Season54/142L144/10Post1/1Season48/142L144/10Post0/1Season10% 55/554vs RHP9% 38/436Season10% 56/554K% vs RHP9% 38/4360202000221020200024201001020000110020001

Bats 4th · 4.18 PA per start this season · league average from the 4th spot: 4.18

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	142	137-for-479	89/142 · 63%	39/142 · 27%	209	54/142 · 38%	27/142 · 19%	20/142 · 14%	35	55	10% 55/554	48/142 · 34%	7/142 · 5%	56	10% 56/554
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	20	16-for-62	10/20 · 50%	6/20 · 30%	22	8/20 · 40%	2/20 · 10%	2/20 · 10%	4	9	13% 9/69	7/20 · 35%	2/20 · 10%	6	9% 6/69
L14Sep 14–27	10	8-for-31	4/10 · 40%	4/10 · 40%	10	4/10 · 40%	1/10 · 10%	1/10 · 10%	2	5	14% 5/36	4/10 · 40%	1/10 · 10%	5	14% 5/36
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	1	25% 1/4
This seriesvs New York Yankees	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	1	25% 1/4
vs New York Yankeesregular season	6	1-for-19	1/6	0/6	1	0/6	0/6	0/6	0	3	14% 3/22	2/6	1/6	3	14% 3/22

vs Cam Schlittler: 0-for-2, 2 K in 2 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

5Chandler SimpsonLHB vs RHPSeason109/148L148/10Post0/1Season58/148L144/10Post0/1Season43/148L142/10Post1/1Season8% 48/612vs RHP7% 27/401Season4% 26/612K% vs RHP7% 27/4012202111100320211110000000010110000000000

Bats 5th · 4.18 PA per start this season · league average from the 5th spot: 4.04

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	148	175-for-562	109/148 · 74%	54/148 · 36%	203	58/148 · 39%	23/148 · 16%	9/148 · 6%	22	48	8% 48/612	43/148 · 29%	4/148 · 3%	26	4% 26/612
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	27-for-87	17/23 · 74%	9/23 · 39%	29	9/23 · 39%	2/23 · 9%	1/23 · 4%	2	6	6% 6/94	6/23 · 26%	0/23 · 0%	2	2% 2/94
L14Sep 14–27	10	13-for-36	8/10 · 80%	4/10 · 40%	15	4/10 · 40%	2/10 · 20%	1/10 · 10%	2	2	5% 2/39	2/10 · 20%	0/10 · 0%	0	0% 0/39
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs New York Yankees	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs New York Yankeesregular season	12	14-for-45	10/12 · 83%	3/12 · 25%	20	3/12 · 25%	2/12 · 17%	2/12 · 17%	3	3	7% 3/46	3/12 · 25%	0/12 · 0%	0	0% 0/46

vs Cam Schlittler: 3-for-8, 0 K in 8 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

6Victor Mesa Jr.LHB vs RHPSeason41/73L146/10Post1/1Season24/73L142/10Post0/1Season42/73L145/10Post1/1Season20% 53/262vs RHP22% 44/196Season9% 23/262K% vs RHP22% 44/1960101101411010410161111300020210101010000

Bats 6th · 3.8 PA per start this season · league average from the 6th spot: 3.88

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	73	60-for-235	41/73 · 56%	14/73 · 19%	115	24/73 · 33%	21/73 · 29%	17/73 · 23%	24	53	20% 53/262	42/73 · 58%	10/73 · 14%	23	9% 23/262
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	22	26-for-76	16/22 · 73%	6/22 · 27%	44	9/22 · 41%	8/22 · 36%	6/22 · 27%	9	13	16% 13/83	9/22 · 41%	3/22 · 14%	7	8% 7/83
L14Sep 14–27	10	9-for-36	6/10 · 60%	1/10 · 10%	14	2/10 · 20%	2/10 · 20%	2/10 · 20%	3	9	23% 9/39	5/10 · 50%	3/10 · 30%	3	8% 3/39
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
This seriesvs New York Yankees	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
vs New York Yankeesregular season	5	5-for-17	4/5	1/5	9	2/5	1/5	1/5	2	3	17% 3/18	2/5	1/5	1	6% 1/18

vs Cam Schlittler: 0-for-2, 2 K in 2 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

7Jonny DeLucaRHB vs RHPSeason64/104L148/12Post0/1Season39/104L145/12Post0/1Season56/104L1410/12Post1/1Season21% 78/370vs RHP20% 42/215Season5% 17/370K% vs RHP20% 42/2150101311120020241118002131111010000020100

Bats 7th · 3.88 PA per start this season · league average from the 7th spot: 3.74

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	104	93-for-349	64/104 · 62%	25/104 · 24%	150	39/104 · 38%	22/104 · 21%	13/104 · 12%	35	78	21% 78/370	56/104 · 54%	19/104 · 18%	17	5% 17/370
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	21	19-for-72	13/21 · 62%	5/21 · 24%	29	7/21 · 33%	3/21 · 14%	2/21 · 10%	6	19	24% 19/78	14/21 · 67%	4/21 · 19%	5	6% 5/78
L14Sep 14–27	12	12-for-42	8/12 · 67%	3/12 · 25%	22	5/12 · 42%	3/12 · 25%	2/12 · 17%	6	14	31% 14/45	10/12 · 83%	3/12 · 25%	3	7% 3/45
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
This seriesvs New York Yankees	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
vs New York Yankeesregular season	10	9-for-34	6/10 · 60%	2/10 · 20%	11	3/10 · 30%	1/10 · 10%	1/10 · 10%	2	10	28% 10/36	7/10 · 70%	2/10 · 20%	2	6% 2/36

vs Cam Schlittler: 1-for-3, 0 K, 1 BB in 4 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

8Richie PalaciosLHB vs RHPSeason62/118L145/9Post1/1Season34/118L142/9Post1/1Season53/118L145/9Post0/1Season17% 68/399vs RHP17% 56/335Season12% 46/399K% vs RHP17% 56/3350011011201002101130210011101000020001100

Bats 8th · 3.62 PA per start this season · league average from the 8th spot: 3.54

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	118	81-for-344	62/118 · 53%	18/118 · 15%	129	34/118 · 29%	19/118 · 16%	10/118 · 8%	26	68	17% 68/399	53/118 · 45%	13/118 · 11%	46	12% 46/399
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	19	16-for-57	14/19 · 74%	2/19 · 11%	33	7/19 · 37%	6/19 · 32%	5/19 · 26%	7	7	11% 7/65	6/19 · 32%	1/19 · 5%	7	11% 7/65
L14Sep 14–27	9	6-for-26	5/9	1/9	8	2/9	1/9	0/9	2	5	17% 5/30	5/9	0/9	4	13% 4/30
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	0	0% 0/3	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
This seriesvs New York Yankees	1	1-for-3	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	0	0% 0/3	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
vs New York Yankeesregular season	9	7-for-22	5/9	2/9	8	2/9	1/9	0/9	1	4	17% 4/24	4/9	0/9	2	8% 2/24

vs Cam Schlittler: 3-for-6, 0 K in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

9Taylor WallsSwitch vs RHPSeason66/118L144/7Post0/1Season28/118L143/7Post0/1Season74/118L144/7Post1/1Season24% 105/433vs RHP26% 72/278Season10% 45/433K% vs RHP26% 72/2780010003110001000322011100101310111000100

Bats 9th · 3.73 PA per start this season · league average from the 9th spot: 3.23

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	118	82-for-369	66/118 · 56%	14/118 · 12%	110	28/118 · 24%	9/118 · 8%	3/118 · 3%	22	105	24% 105/433	74/118 · 63%	23/118 · 19%	45	10% 45/433
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	12	9-for-35	7/12 · 58%	1/12 · 8%	13	5/12 · 42%	1/12 · 8%	0/12 · 0%	4	9	21% 9/43	7/12 · 58%	1/12 · 8%	5	12% 5/43
L14Sep 14–27	7	6-for-20	4/7	1/7	8	3/7	1/7	0/7	2	6	26% 6/23	4/7	1/7	3	13% 3/23
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
This seriesvs New York Yankees	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
vs New York Yankeesregular season	11	10-for-36	6/11 · 55%	3/11 · 27%	11	4/11 · 36%	1/11 · 9%	0/11 · 0%	1	13	31% 13/42	9/11 · 82%	3/11 · 27%	3	7% 3/42

vs Cam Schlittler: 1-for-5, 3 K, 1 BB in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

Thresholds

Games that cleared each mark. Counts first; a rate only from 10 games up. L14 is the last two weeks of the regular season.

1+ hit — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Yankees
1Ben Rice	98/154 · 64%	8/12 · 67%	2/3
2Cody Bellinger	90/132 · 68%	6/10 · 60%	2/3
3Luis García Jr.	88/147 · 60%	4/9	1/3
4Spencer Jones	46/84 · 55%	6/10 · 60%	2/3
5George Lombard Jr.	27/42 · 64%	9/11 · 82%	2/3
6Jazz Chisholm Jr.	82/136 · 60%	2/3	1/2
7Trent Grisham	59/120 · 49%	—	1/3
8Austin Wells	51/121 · 42%	5/8	3/3
9Ryan McMahon	55/115 · 48%	3/7	1/3
Rays
1Yandy Díaz	106/154 · 69%	3/10 · 30%	1/1
2Jonathan Aranda	107/155 · 69%	7/10 · 70%	1/1
3Junior Caminero	119/162 · 73%	9/13 · 69%	0/1
4Liam Hicks	89/142 · 63%	4/10 · 40%	1/1
5Chandler Simpson	109/148 · 74%	8/10 · 80%	0/1
6Victor Mesa Jr.	41/73 · 56%	6/10 · 60%	1/1
7Jonny DeLuca	64/104 · 62%	8/12 · 67%	0/1
8Richie Palacios	62/118 · 53%	5/9	1/1
9Taylor Walls	66/118 · 56%	4/7	0/1

2+ hits — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Yankees
1Ben Rice	42/154 · 27%	4/12 · 33%	1/3
2Cody Bellinger	32/132 · 24%	2/10 · 20%	1/3
3Luis García Jr.	38/147 · 26%	0/9	1/3
4Spencer Jones	15/84 · 18%	0/10 · 0%	0/3
5George Lombard Jr.	9/42 · 21%	4/11 · 36%	1/3
6Jazz Chisholm Jr.	22/136 · 16%	0/3	1/2
7Trent Grisham	24/120 · 20%	—	1/3
8Austin Wells	10/121 · 8%	1/8	1/3
9Ryan McMahon	14/115 · 12%	2/7	0/3
Rays
1Yandy Díaz	54/154 · 35%	3/10 · 30%	0/1
2Jonathan Aranda	41/155 · 26%	0/10 · 0%	0/1
3Junior Caminero	45/162 · 28%	2/13 · 15%	0/1
4Liam Hicks	39/142 · 27%	4/10 · 40%	0/1
5Chandler Simpson	54/148 · 36%	4/10 · 40%	0/1
6Victor Mesa Jr.	14/73 · 19%	1/10 · 10%	0/1
7Jonny DeLuca	25/104 · 24%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
8Richie Palacios	18/118 · 15%	1/9	0/1
9Taylor Walls	14/118 · 12%	1/7	0/1

2+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Yankees
1Ben Rice	68/154 · 44%	5/12 · 42%	1/3
2Cody Bellinger	53/132 · 40%	3/10 · 30%	1/3
3Luis García Jr.	54/147 · 37%	0/9	1/3
4Spencer Jones	27/84 · 32%	3/10 · 30%	0/3
5George Lombard Jr.	16/42 · 38%	6/11 · 55%	1/3
6Jazz Chisholm Jr.	42/136 · 31%	0/3	1/2
7Trent Grisham	35/120 · 29%	—	1/3
8Austin Wells	25/121 · 21%	3/8	2/3
9Ryan McMahon	27/115 · 23%	2/7	0/3
Rays
1Yandy Díaz	71/154 · 46%	3/10 · 30%	0/1
2Jonathan Aranda	63/155 · 41%	4/10 · 40%	1/1
3Junior Caminero	77/162 · 48%	6/13 · 46%	0/1
4Liam Hicks	54/142 · 38%	4/10 · 40%	1/1
5Chandler Simpson	58/148 · 39%	4/10 · 40%	0/1
6Victor Mesa Jr.	24/73 · 33%	2/10 · 20%	0/1
7Jonny DeLuca	39/104 · 38%	5/12 · 42%	0/1
8Richie Palacios	34/118 · 29%	2/9	1/1
9Taylor Walls	28/118 · 24%	3/7	0/1

3+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Yankees
1Ben Rice	53/154 · 34%	3/12 · 25%	1/3
2Cody Bellinger	28/132 · 21%	3/10 · 30%	1/3
3Luis García Jr.	45/147 · 31%	0/9	1/3
4Spencer Jones	18/84 · 21%	2/10 · 20%	0/3
5George Lombard Jr.	8/42 · 19%	4/11 · 36%	1/3
6Jazz Chisholm Jr.	29/136 · 21%	0/3	0/2
7Trent Grisham	26/120 · 22%	—	0/3
8Austin Wells	14/121 · 12%	3/8	0/3
9Ryan McMahon	17/115 · 15%	2/7	0/3
Rays
1Yandy Díaz	42/154 · 27%	1/10 · 10%	0/1
2Jonathan Aranda	37/155 · 24%	1/10 · 10%	1/1
3Junior Caminero	50/162 · 31%	2/13 · 15%	0/1
4Liam Hicks	27/142 · 19%	1/10 · 10%	0/1
5Chandler Simpson	23/148 · 16%	2/10 · 20%	0/1
6Victor Mesa Jr.	21/73 · 29%	2/10 · 20%	0/1
7Jonny DeLuca	22/104 · 21%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
8Richie Palacios	19/118 · 16%	1/9	0/1
9Taylor Walls	9/118 · 8%	1/7	0/1

4+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Yankees
1Ben Rice	43/154 · 28%	2/12 · 17%	1/3
2Cody Bellinger	20/132 · 15%	2/10 · 20%	1/3
3Luis García Jr.	31/147 · 21%	0/9	1/3
4Spencer Jones	15/84 · 18%	2/10 · 20%	0/3
5George Lombard Jr.	7/42 · 17%	4/11 · 36%	0/3
6Jazz Chisholm Jr.	21/136 · 15%	0/3	0/2
7Trent Grisham	21/120 · 18%	—	0/3
8Austin Wells	13/121 · 11%	3/8	0/3
9Ryan McMahon	13/115 · 11%	1/7	0/3
Rays
1Yandy Díaz	30/154 · 19%	1/10 · 10%	0/1
2Jonathan Aranda	26/155 · 17%	1/10 · 10%	1/1
3Junior Caminero	42/162 · 26%	2/13 · 15%	0/1
4Liam Hicks	20/142 · 14%	1/10 · 10%	0/1
5Chandler Simpson	9/148 · 6%	1/10 · 10%	0/1
6Victor Mesa Jr.	17/73 · 23%	2/10 · 20%	0/1
7Jonny DeLuca	13/104 · 12%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
8Richie Palacios	10/118 · 8%	0/9	0/1
9Taylor Walls	3/118 · 3%	0/7	0/1

1+ K — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Yankees
1Ben Rice	106/154 · 69%	8/12 · 67%	3/3
2Cody Bellinger	66/132 · 50%	4/10 · 40%	2/3
3Luis García Jr.	75/147 · 51%	7/9	1/3
4Spencer Jones	63/84 · 75%	8/10 · 80%	2/3
5George Lombard Jr.	29/42 · 69%	6/11 · 55%	2/3
6Jazz Chisholm Jr.	102/136 · 75%	3/3	1/2
7Trent Grisham	66/120 · 55%	—	1/3
8Austin Wells	73/121 · 60%	5/8	1/3
9Ryan McMahon	78/115 · 68%	5/7	1/3
Rays
1Yandy Díaz	72/154 · 47%	4/10 · 40%	0/1
2Jonathan Aranda	110/155 · 71%	9/10 · 90%	0/1
3Junior Caminero	92/162 · 57%	10/13 · 77%	1/1
4Liam Hicks	48/142 · 34%	4/10 · 40%	0/1
5Chandler Simpson	43/148 · 29%	2/10 · 20%	1/1
6Victor Mesa Jr.	42/73 · 58%	5/10 · 50%	1/1
7Jonny DeLuca	56/104 · 54%	10/12 · 83%	1/1
8Richie Palacios	53/118 · 45%	5/9	0/1
9Taylor Walls	74/118 · 63%	4/7	1/1

2+ K — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Yankees
1Ben Rice	41/154 · 27%	2/12 · 17%	1/3
2Cody Bellinger	19/132 · 14%	2/10 · 20%	1/3
3Luis García Jr.	18/147 · 12%	3/9	0/3
4Spencer Jones	30/84 · 36%	7/10 · 70%	2/3
5George Lombard Jr.	11/42 · 26%	3/11 · 27%	1/3
6Jazz Chisholm Jr.	45/136 · 33%	1/3	0/2
7Trent Grisham	19/120 · 16%	—	1/3
8Austin Wells	27/121 · 22%	1/8	0/3
9Ryan McMahon	24/115 · 21%	2/7	0/3
Rays
1Yandy Díaz	22/154 · 14%	2/10 · 20%	0/1
2Jonathan Aranda	42/155 · 27%	6/10 · 60%	0/1
3Junior Caminero	30/162 · 19%	1/13 · 8%	0/1
4Liam Hicks	7/142 · 5%	1/10 · 10%	0/1
5Chandler Simpson	4/148 · 3%	0/10 · 0%	0/1
6Victor Mesa Jr.	10/73 · 14%	3/10 · 30%	0/1
7Jonny DeLuca	19/104 · 18%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
8Richie Palacios	13/118 · 11%	0/9	0/1
9Taylor Walls	23/118 · 19%	1/7	0/1

4+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cam Schlittler	32/33 · 97%	6/6	1/1
Freddy Peralta	24/32 · 75%	5/6	—

5+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cam Schlittler	30/33 · 91%	6/6	1/1
Freddy Peralta	19/32 · 59%	2/6	—

6+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cam Schlittler	26/33 · 79%	5/6	1/1
Freddy Peralta	14/32 · 44%	2/6	—

7+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cam Schlittler	20/33 · 61%	4/6	1/1
Freddy Peralta	6/32 · 19%	1/6	—

3 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cam Schlittler	15/33 · 45%	6/6	1/1
Freddy Peralta	9/32 · 28%	3/6	—

4 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cam Schlittler	23/33 · 70%	6/6	1/1
Freddy Peralta	15/32 · 47%	5/6	—

5 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cam Schlittler	26/33 · 79%	6/6	1/1
Freddy Peralta	17/32 · 53%	6/6	—

6 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cam Schlittler	29/33 · 88%	6/6	1/1
Freddy Peralta	23/32 · 72%	6/6	—

1 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cam Schlittler	18/33 · 55%	2/6	1/1
Freddy Peralta	13/32 · 41%	3/6	—

2 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cam Schlittler	25/33 · 76%	4/6	1/1
Freddy Peralta	22/32 · 69%	4/6	—

3+ — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Cam Schlittler	8/33 · 24%	2/6	0/1
Freddy Peralta	10/32 · 31%	2/6	—

regular season ends · 2 playoff game · strips run oldest → newest · tap a hitter for L28, the opponent, the series and the matchup. Built from the play-by-play feed, which does not pick up official scoring changes, so a season total can differ from MLB’s by a hit. Evidence, not picks: no odds are read and nothing here is scored.

Game Analysis

Context and interpretation

Team Identity

New York Yankees

Season-to-date, 161 games, 6,245 PA.

A power-hitting, patient offense that does damage on extra-base hits, though it can be strikeout-prone. The offense has cooled off recently.

Power

Above Avg77

Contact

Well Below11

Plate Discipline

Above Avg72

Speed

Average65

RISP

Below Avg31

Recent Form

Trending Down

Walk rate is down 9% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

Tampa Bay Rays

Season-to-date, 162 games, 6,383 PA.

A contact-oriented, opportunistic offense that puts the ball in play and avoids empty at-bats, though it can be free-swinging. The offense has cooled off recently.

Power

Below Avg28

Contact

Elite95

Plate Discipline

Below Avg27

Speed

Above Avg70

RISP

Above Avg74

Recent Form

Trending Down

Total bases per PA is down 14% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

What This Game Is About

Biggest Advantage

Rays bring the more contact-oriented profile, while Yankees lean on being power-hitting.

Swing Factor

Cam Schlittler strikes hitters out at a 30.9% clip (96th percentile); Rays carry a 17.8% strikeout rate.

Momentum

Yankees are trending down and Rays are trending down over their last 10 games.

Key Matchups

Can either lineup run up a starter's pitch count?

Yankees' nine see 4.02 pitches per plate appearance against RHPs (league 3.89); Freddy Peralta averages ~92 pitches and 22.8 batters a start. Rays' nine see 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHPs (league 3.89); Cam Schlittler averages ~92 pitches and 23.1 batters a start.

Edge · YankeesYankees: 4.02 P/PARays: 3.76 P/PAModerate confidence

Which lineup has the platoon advantage?

8 of 9 in the Yankees' confirmed lineup bat from the other side of Freddy Peralta (RHP); 6 of 9 in the Rays' confirmed lineup bat from the other side of Cam Schlittler (RHP). Switch hitters count.

Edge · YankeesYankees: 8/9Rays: 6/9High confidence

Which bullpen is under more pressure?

Yankees relievers ~46 pitches; Rays relievers ~14 pitches (Oct 2–4).

Edge · RaysYankees: ~46 relief pitchesRays: ~14 relief pitchesModerate confidence

Through Oct 4, the feed's last day. Relief pitches are reconstructed from play-by-play.

Expected Game Shape

BalancedLow confidence

Competitive profile without a clear stylistic tilt. Yankees bring more power. Starting pitching is likely to set the tone.

Both probable starters grade around the 66th percentile in combined suppression.
Yankees are trending down; Rays are trending down.

Storylines to Watch

Does Yankees' power tilt the game?

Yankees bring a clearly stronger extra-base profile into this matchup.

Yankees power pct 77 vs Rays 28

Is Austin Wells the one to watch?

Austin Wells enters as Yankees' hottest bat. On-base rate is up 92% over his prior baseline, with hits in 4 of his last 7 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 17%.

0.208 hit rate · 0.458 TB/PA · 0.147 hit rate · 0.258 TB/PA

Can Yankees handle Freddy Peralta's strikeout stuff?

Yankees have been a below-average contact team while Freddy Peralta misses bats at an above-average rate — a swing factor early.

Yankees contact percentile: 11

Based on plate appearances before 2026-10-05, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.