White Sox at Guardians · Sports Today

AL Division Series · Game 2 of 5White Sox lead 2-0

Chicago White Sox

No. 6 seed · 84-78 in the regular season

Regular-season form: bats heating up

LHP Anthony Kay · Pitches to contact

Cleveland Guardians

No. 2 seed · 85-77 in the regular season

Regular-season form: bats heating up

RHP Gavin Williams · Elite strikeout stuff

MLB · Progressive Field · 2:00 PM PT

Playoff Prop Desk

Evidence for player and pitcher decisions

Data through Oct 4 · regular season ended Sep 27

Lineup spot leads because it sets plate appearances, which predict a hit more than twice as well as recent hitting does.

Total bases rides on the same chances as a hit, plus extra-base power. We do not model it; these are records.

The opposing starter carries batter strikeouts more than the batter's own form, so his strikeout rate sits beside every row.

Workload leads: a postseason hook can cut a starter's batters faced, and strikeouts need batters.

Records only. When this market was measured, recent hits allowed carried no information beyond its base rate.

Records only — the site has no walks model.

Anthony KayLHP · White Sox vs Guardians

4.1 K / start4.1 K / start5 H allowed / start5 H allowed / start5 H allowed / start1.7 BB / start

~85 pitches · 21.8 BF · ~4.3 IP per start · 31 regular-season starts

Recent K53234400

Recent H66527501

Recent BB21121211

Pitches ~8982676665741122

BF23221917202136

Last 6 recorded starts · playoff after the rule

Guardians confirmed lineup vs LHP: K 18% 242/1362hits 23% 308/1362BB 8% 110/1362 per PA

Start by start

	Avg	Aug 31	Sep 5	Sep 11	Sep 16	Sep 22	Sep 27	Sep 30relief	Oct 3relief
Pitches ~	~85.2	89	82	67	66	65	74	11	22
Batters faced	21.8	23	22	19	17	20	21	3	6
Innings ~	~4.3	4.2	4.1	4.0	4.0	4.0	5.0	0.2	1.1
Strikeouts	4.1	5	3	2	3	4	4	0	0
Hits allowed	5	6	6	5	2	7	5	0	1
Walks	1.7	2	1	1	2	1	2	1	1

vs Cleveland Guardians this season: Jun 22: 6.0 IP, 8 K, 3 H, 2 BB; Jul 3: 4.0 IP, 2 K, 1 H, 2 BB; Aug 8: 6.0 IP, 4 K, 6 H, 1 BB; Sep 16: 4.0 IP, 3 K, 2 H, 2 BB

Gavin WilliamsRHP · Guardians vs White Sox

7.8 K / start7.8 K / start4.5 H allowed / start4.5 H allowed / start4.5 H allowed / start1.9 BB / start

~94 pitches · 23.3 BF · ~5.2 IP per start · 32 regular-season starts

Recent K31311794

Recent H624435

Recent BB113314

Pitches ~6297991138974

BF112524242318

Last 6 recorded starts · no postseason appearance yet

White Sox confirmed lineup vs RHP: K 24% 813/3435hits 21% 729/3435BB 10% 354/3435 per PA

Start by start

	Avg	Aug 25	Sep 1	Sep 6	Sep 14	Sep 20	Sep 25
Pitches ~	~93.5	62	97	99	113	89	74
Batters faced	23.3	11	25	24	24	23	18
Innings ~	~5.2	1.1	7.0	6.0	5.0	7.0	3.1
Strikeouts	7.8	3	13	11	7	9	4
Hits allowed	4.5	6	2	4	4	3	5
Walks	1.9	1	1	3	3	1	4

vs Chicago White Sox this season: Jun 22: 5.0 IP, 8 K, 5 H, 1 BB; Jul 3: 4.2 IP, 6 K, 5 H, 2 BB; Aug 8: 5.2 IP, 7 K, 3 H, 2 BB; Sep 14: 5.0 IP, 7 K, 4 H, 3 BB

White Sox✓ Confirmed lineupvs RHP Gavin WilliamsGames with 1+ hitGames with 2+ total basesGames with 1+ strikeoutStrikeouts per PAWalks per PA

1Sam AntonacciLHB vs RHPSeason85/139L148/11Post2/3Season51/139L145/11Post1/3Season68/139L142/11Post1/3Season15% 82/557vs RHP13% 58/443Season8% 43/557K% vs RHP13% 58/4430212312110031231312000000100100001000100

Bats 1st · 4.28 PA per start this season · league average from the 1st spot: 4.49

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	139	132-for-480	85/139 · 61%	38/139 · 27%	189	51/139 · 37%	29/139 · 21%	13/139 · 9%	37	82	15% 82/557	68/139 · 49%	14/139 · 10%	43	8% 43/557
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	26-for-82	17/24 · 71%	7/24 · 29%	33	8/24 · 33%	5/24 · 21%	1/24 · 4%	6	9	10% 9/94	9/24 · 38%	0/24 · 0%	6	6% 6/94
L14Sep 14–27	11	14-for-37	8/11 · 73%	5/11 · 45%	16	5/11 · 45%	3/11 · 27%	0/11 · 0%	2	2	5% 2/41	2/11 · 18%	0/11 · 0%	1	2% 1/41
Postseasonthis October	3	2-for-8	2/3	0/3	3	1/3	0/3	0/3	1	1	10% 1/10	1/3	0/3	1	10% 1/10
This seriesvs Cleveland Guardians	1	0-for-1	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/1
vs Cleveland Guardiansregular season	13	8-for-41	5/13 · 38%	3/13 · 23%	9	3/13 · 23%	1/13 · 8%	0/13 · 0%	1	6	13% 6/46	6/13 · 46%	0/13 · 0%	4	9% 4/46

vs Gavin Williams: 1-for-11, 2 K, 1 BB in 12 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

2Kyle TeelLHB vs RHPSeason19/39L146/11Post2/3Season11/39L143/11Post1/3Season31/39L148/11Post2/3Season35% 51/144vs RHP35% 37/105Season13% 19/144K% vs RHP35% 37/1050101212120010151212021220020320111100001

Bats 2nd · 4.19 PA per start this season · league average from the 2nd spot: 4.4

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	39	25-for-119	19/39 · 49%	6/39 · 15%	43	11/39 · 28%	5/39 · 13%	5/39 · 13%	8	51	35% 51/144	31/39 · 79%	16/39 · 41%	19	13% 19/144
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	20	13-for-56	9/20 · 45%	4/20 · 20%	23	6/20 · 30%	3/20 · 15%	3/20 · 15%	4	24	32% 24/74	15/20 · 75%	8/20 · 40%	13	18% 13/74
L14Sep 14–27	11	8-for-34	6/11 · 55%	2/11 · 18%	12	3/11 · 27%	1/11 · 9%	1/11 · 9%	2	15	32% 15/47	8/11 · 73%	6/11 · 55%	8	17% 8/47
Postseasonthis October	3	3-for-13	2/3	1/3	3	1/3	0/3	0/3	0	5	36% 5/14	2/3	2/3	1	7% 1/14
This seriesvs Cleveland Guardians	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	1	25% 1/4
vs Cleveland Guardiansregular season	9	5-for-29	5/9	0/9	10	3/9	1/9	1/9	3	14	39% 14/36	7/9	5/9	6	17% 6/36

vs Gavin Williams: 0-for-6, 5 K, 1 BB in 7 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

3Miguel VargasRHB vs RHPSeason107/159L149/12Post1/3Season61/159L144/12Post0/3Season93/159L146/12Post2/3Season18% 126/704vs RHP18% 91/496Season14% 101/704K% vs RHP18% 91/4961111200001411120000101003101202310103102

Bats 3rd · 4.48 PA per start this season · league average from the 3rd spot: 4.3

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	159	147-for-588	107/159 · 67%	33/159 · 21%	279	61/159 · 38%	37/159 · 23%	33/159 · 21%	65	126	18% 126/704	93/159 · 58%	28/159 · 18%	101	14% 101/704
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	25	24-for-94	18/25 · 72%	6/25 · 24%	37	8/25 · 32%	4/25 · 16%	4/25 · 16%	5	22	19% 22/113	16/25 · 64%	4/25 · 16%	17	15% 17/113
L14Sep 14–27	12	12-for-41	9/12 · 75%	3/12 · 25%	22	4/12 · 33%	3/12 · 25%	3/12 · 25%	4	8	14% 8/56	6/12 · 50%	1/12 · 8%	13	23% 13/56
Postseasonthis October	3	1-for-11	1/3	0/3	1	0/3	0/3	0/3	0	3	21% 3/14	2/3	1/3	3	21% 3/14
This seriesvs Cleveland Guardians	1	1-for-2	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	2	50% 2/4
vs Cleveland Guardiansregular season	13	14-for-46	11/13 · 85%	3/13 · 23%	26	7/13 · 54%	3/13 · 23%	3/13 · 23%	6	10	17% 10/59	8/13 · 62%	2/13 · 15%	11	19% 11/59

vs Gavin Williams: 5-for-11, 1 XBH, 2 K, 1 BB in 12 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

4Munetaka MurakamiLHB vs RHPSeason74/127L147/13Post2/3Season49/127L145/13Post1/3Season109/127L1412/13Post3/3Season35% 196/553vs RHP36% 137/384Season17% 92/553K% vs RHP36% 137/3840111301102042190210511121212322101000100

Bats 4th · 4.49 PA per start this season · league average from the 4th spot: 4.18

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	127	94-for-454	74/127 · 58%	14/127 · 11%	217	49/127 · 39%	33/127 · 26%	32/127 · 25%	52	196	35% 196/553	109/127 · 86%	60/127 · 47%	92	17% 92/553
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	26	15-for-92	12/26 · 46%	2/26 · 8%	37	7/26 · 27%	5/26 · 19%	5/26 · 19%	9	47	42% 47/111	24/26 · 92%	15/26 · 58%	15	14% 15/111
L14Sep 14–27	13	10-for-46	7/13 · 54%	2/13 · 15%	26	5/13 · 38%	3/13 · 23%	3/13 · 23%	7	22	39% 22/57	12/13 · 92%	7/13 · 54%	8	14% 8/57
Postseasonthis October	3	3-for-12	2/3	1/3	6	1/3	1/3	1/3	1	7	50% 7/14	3/3	3/3	1	7% 1/14
This seriesvs Cleveland Guardians	1	2-for-4	1/1	1/1	5	1/1	1/1	1/1	1	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Cleveland Guardiansregular season	6	3-for-19	3/6	0/6	10	3/6	2/6	2/6	3	12	48% 12/25	5/6	4/6	5	20% 5/25

vs Gavin Williams: 1-for-5, 1 XBH, 3 K in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

5Andrew BenintendiLHB vs RHPSeason74/141L143/9Post1/2Season40/141L142/9Post0/2Season81/141L145/9Post1/2Season24% 112/468vs RHP22% 94/420Season8% 39/468K% vs RHP22% 94/4200001000101000100040103110230100000020111

Bats 5th · 3.66 PA per start this season · league average from the 5th spot: 4.04

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	141	102-for-421	74/141 · 52%	21/141 · 15%	175	40/141 · 28%	26/141 · 18%	21/141 · 15%	41	112	24% 112/468	81/141 · 57%	25/141 · 18%	39	8% 39/468
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	22	10-for-56	7/22 · 32%	2/22 · 9%	16	4/22 · 18%	3/22 · 14%	2/22 · 9%	4	18	29% 18/63	12/22 · 55%	4/22 · 18%	6	10% 6/63
L14Sep 14–27	9	5-for-23	3/9	1/9	8	2/9	2/9	1/9	1	10	37% 10/27	5/9	3/9	3	11% 3/27
Postseasonthis October	2	1-for-3	1/2	0/2	1	0/2	0/2	0/2	0	1	20% 1/5	1/2	0/2	2	40% 2/5
This seriesvs Cleveland Guardians	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Cleveland Guardiansregular season	8	7-for-25	5/8	1/8	7	1/8	1/8	0/8	0	4	14% 4/28	3/8	1/8	2	7% 2/28

vs Gavin Williams: 4-for-8, 2 K, 1 BB in 9 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

6Tristan PetersLHB vs RHPSeason78/149L142/10Post3/3Season49/149L140/10Post0/3Season74/149L147/10Post2/3Season18% 90/491vs RHP18% 77/424Season8% 37/491K% vs RHP18% 77/4240001010111000101011111010101101000000010

Bats 6th · 3.56 PA per start this season · league average from the 6th spot: 3.88

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	149	116-for-428	78/149 · 52%	29/149 · 19%	191	49/149 · 33%	28/149 · 19%	17/149 · 11%	47	90	18% 90/491	74/149 · 50%	14/149 · 9%	37	8% 37/491
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	13-for-68	9/23 · 39%	3/23 · 13%	19	5/23 · 22%	2/23 · 9%	2/23 · 9%	5	16	20% 16/80	14/23 · 61%	2/23 · 9%	5	6% 5/80
L14Sep 14–27	10	2-for-27	2/10 · 20%	0/10 · 0%	2	0/10 · 0%	0/10 · 0%	0/10 · 0%	0	8	24% 8/34	7/10 · 70%	1/10 · 10%	3	9% 3/34
Postseasonthis October	3	3-for-9	3/3	0/3	3	0/3	0/3	0/3	0	2	18% 2/11	2/3	0/3	1	9% 1/11
This seriesvs Cleveland Guardians	1	1-for-2	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/2	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/2
vs Cleveland Guardiansregular season	10	8-for-30	6/10 · 60%	2/10 · 20%	15	5/10 · 50%	2/10 · 20%	1/10 · 10%	5	6	16% 6/38	4/10 · 40%	2/10 · 20%	4	11% 4/38

vs Gavin Williams: 1-for-7, 2 K, 2 BB in 9 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

7Braden MontgomerySwitch vs RHPSeason54/92L147/12Post1/3Season30/92L145/12Post1/3Season53/92L147/12Post3/3Season20% 72/365vs RHP16% 41/262Season10% 38/365K% vs RHP16% 41/2622132201200313320120001010012110000000000

Bats 7th · 4.09 PA per start this season · league average from the 7th spot: 3.74

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	92	73-for-323	54/92 · 59%	16/92 · 17%	113	30/92 · 33%	16/92 · 17%	9/92 · 10%	25	72	20% 72/365	53/92 · 58%	16/92 · 17%	38	10% 38/365
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	16-for-74	11/24 · 46%	4/24 · 17%	23	7/24 · 29%	4/24 · 17%	1/24 · 4%	5	14	17% 14/82	12/24 · 50%	1/24 · 4%	8	10% 8/82
L14Sep 14–27	12	12-for-38	7/12 · 58%	4/12 · 33%	15	5/12 · 42%	3/12 · 25%	0/12 · 0%	3	9	23% 9/39	7/12 · 58%	1/12 · 8%	1	3% 1/39
Postseasonthis October	3	2-for-11	1/3	1/3	2	1/3	0/3	0/3	0	4	36% 4/11	3/3	1/3	0	0% 0/11
This seriesvs Cleveland Guardians	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
vs Cleveland Guardiansregular season	12	9-for-37	7/12 · 58%	2/12 · 17%	18	4/12 · 33%	3/12 · 25%	3/12 · 25%	5	14	30% 14/47	8/12 · 67%	4/12 · 33%	8	17% 8/47

vs Gavin Williams: 2-for-6, 1 XBH, 2 K, 2 BB in 8 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

8Chase MeidrothRHB vs RHPSeason105/154L149/11Post2/3Season66/154L147/11Post2/3Season97/154L146/11Post1/3Season22% 141/643vs RHP24% 110/460Season9% 61/643K% vs RHP24% 110/4600013221220004623225011201100021001000010

Bats 8th · 4.23 PA per start this season · league average from the 8th spot: 3.54

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	154	156-for-564	105/154 · 68%	42/154 · 27%	235	66/154 · 43%	32/154 · 21%	18/154 · 12%	47	141	22% 141/643	97/154 · 63%	36/154 · 23%	61	9% 61/643
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	25-for-82	15/24 · 62%	8/24 · 33%	42	10/24 · 42%	7/24 · 29%	4/24 · 17%	9	19	20% 19/95	15/24 · 62%	4/24 · 17%	10	11% 10/95
L14Sep 14–27	11	16-for-41	9/11 · 82%	5/11 · 45%	26	7/11 · 64%	5/11 · 45%	3/11 · 27%	6	7	16% 7/44	6/11 · 55%	1/11 · 9%	2	5% 2/44
Postseasonthis October	3	4-for-11	2/3	2/3	7	2/3	1/3	1/3	1	2	17% 2/12	1/3	1/3	1	8% 1/12
This seriesvs Cleveland Guardians	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Cleveland Guardiansregular season	12	13-for-51	10/12 · 83%	2/12 · 17%	19	4/12 · 33%	3/12 · 25%	2/12 · 17%	4	10	19% 10/52	6/12 · 50%	3/12 · 25%	1	2% 1/52

vs Gavin Williams: 2-for-8, 1 K in 8 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

9Colson MontgomeryLHB vs RHPSeason79/153L142/12Post2/3Season55/153L141/12Post2/3Season126/153L1411/12Post2/3Season36% 227/638vs RHP38% 168/441Season8% 54/638K% vs RHP38% 168/4411000000102100000040303311121202000000010

Bats 9th · 4.22 PA per start this season · league average from the 9th spot: 3.23

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	153	112-for-568	79/153 · 52%	29/153 · 19%	229	55/153 · 36%	39/153 · 25%	31/153 · 20%	55	227	36% 227/638	126/153 · 82%	71/153 · 46%	54	8% 54/638
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	25	10-for-84	7/25 · 28%	3/25 · 12%	23	6/25 · 24%	5/25 · 20%	3/25 · 12%	7	43	44% 43/98	23/25 · 92%	12/25 · 48%	10	10% 10/98
L14Sep 14–27	12	3-for-39	2/12 · 17%	1/12 · 8%	4	1/12 · 8%	1/12 · 8%	0/12 · 0%	1	21	49% 21/43	11/12 · 92%	6/12 · 50%	2	5% 2/43
Postseasonthis October	3	3-for-9	2/3	1/3	7	2/3	2/3	1/3	2	3	27% 3/11	2/3	1/3	1	9% 1/11
This seriesvs Cleveland Guardians	1	2-for-3	1/1	1/1	3	1/1	1/1	0/1	1	0	0% 0/3	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/3
vs Cleveland Guardiansregular season	13	9-for-47	7/13 · 54%	2/13 · 15%	20	4/13 · 31%	3/13 · 23%	3/13 · 23%	5	22	43% 22/51	11/13 · 85%	6/13 · 46%	1	2% 1/51

vs Gavin Williams: 0-for-8, 8 K in 9 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

Guardians✓ Confirmed lineupvs LHP Anthony KayGames with 1+ hitGames with 2+ total basesGames with 1+ strikeoutStrikeouts per PAWalks per PA

1Steven KwanLHB vs LHPSeason97/150L147/11Post0/1Season54/150L144/11Post0/1Season51/150L142/11Post0/1Season10% 62/637vs LHP13% 26/205Season13% 85/637K% vs LHP13% 26/2050023120030002312005001002000001200101211

Bats 1st · 4.31 PA per start this season · league average from the 1st spot: 4.49

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	150	151-for-538	97/150 · 65%	42/150 · 28%	187	54/150 · 36%	20/150 · 13%	8/150 · 5%	27	62	10% 62/637	51/150 · 34%	11/150 · 7%	85	13% 85/637
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	29-for-92	17/24 · 71%	9/24 · 38%	38	10/24 · 42%	4/24 · 17%	3/24 · 12%	6	9	8% 9/107	7/24 · 29%	2/24 · 8%	14	13% 14/107
L14Sep 14–27	11	13-for-39	7/11 · 64%	4/11 · 36%	15	4/11 · 36%	2/11 · 18%	1/11 · 9%	1	3	6% 3/50	2/11 · 18%	1/11 · 9%	10	20% 10/50
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	1	25% 1/4
This seriesvs Chicago White Sox	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	1	25% 1/4
vs Chicago White Soxregular season	13	15-for-42	11/13 · 85%	3/13 · 23%	21	5/13 · 38%	2/13 · 15%	1/13 · 8%	3	7	14% 7/51	5/13 · 38%	2/13 · 15%	8	16% 8/51

vs Anthony Kay: 0-for-6, 2 K in 7 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

2José RamírezSwitch vs LHPSeason77/124L148/11Post0/1Season44/124L145/11Post0/1Season55/124L144/11Post1/1Season13% 69/544vs LHP7% 12/164Season11% 60/544K% vs LHP7% 12/1642222102100452310210001001010010010010101

Bats 2nd · 4.42 PA per start this season · league average from the 2nd spot: 4.4

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	124	111-for-473	77/124 · 62%	28/124 · 23%	174	44/124 · 35%	19/124 · 15%	16/124 · 13%	39	69	13% 69/544	55/124 · 44%	13/124 · 10%	60	11% 60/544
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	22	18-for-91	13/22 · 59%	5/22 · 23%	24	5/22 · 23%	3/22 · 14%	2/22 · 9%	4	10	10% 10/97	9/22 · 41%	1/22 · 5%	4	4% 4/97
L14Sep 14–27	11	13-for-46	8/11 · 73%	5/11 · 45%	19	5/11 · 45%	3/11 · 27%	2/11 · 18%	4	4	8% 4/50	4/11 · 36%	0/11 · 0%	3	6% 3/50
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	1	25% 1/4
This seriesvs Chicago White Sox	1	0-for-3	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	1	25% 1/4
vs Chicago White Soxregular season	6	6-for-20	4/6	2/6	8	2/6	1/6	1/6	2	1	4% 1/23	1/6	0/6	2	9% 2/23

vs Anthony Kay: 0-for-3, 0 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

3Chase DeLauterLHB vs LHPSeason87/133L146/9Post0/1Season60/133L144/9Post0/1Season64/133L144/9Post0/1Season15% 82/559vs LHP20% 36/179Season11% 60/559K% vs LHP20% 36/1790121200110015130024000100131001101000210

Bats 3rd · 4.36 PA per start this season · league average from the 3rd spot: 4.3

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	133	142-for-495	87/133 · 65%	42/133 · 32%	226	60/133 · 45%	33/133 · 25%	22/133 · 17%	49	82	15% 82/559	64/133 · 48%	15/133 · 11%	60	11% 60/559
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	18	17-for-68	11/18 · 61%	5/18 · 28%	32	8/18 · 44%	6/18 · 33%	5/18 · 28%	9	11	14% 11/79	8/18 · 44%	2/18 · 11%	10	13% 10/79
L14Sep 14–27	9	8-for-34	6/9	2/9	16	4/9	3/9	2/9	4	6	15% 6/41	4/9	1/9	6	15% 6/41
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Chicago White Sox	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/4	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Chicago White Soxregular season	8	7-for-34	5/8	2/8	10	2/8	1/8	1/8	1	7	19% 7/37	5/8	1/8	3	8% 3/37

vs Anthony Kay: 1-for-6, 0 K in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

4Jo AdellRHB vs LHPSeason95/159L1410/12Post0/1Season54/159L144/12Post0/1Season108/159L147/12Post1/1Season24% 157/660vs LHP22% 42/191Season5% 34/660K% vs LHP22% 42/1911211001120121100215021011100040001102010

Bats 4th · 4.22 PA per start this season · league average from the 4th spot: 4.18

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	159	145-for-603	95/159 · 60%	39/159 · 25%	242	54/159 · 34%	38/159 · 24%	26/159 · 16%	50	157	24% 157/660	108/159 · 68%	40/159 · 25%	34	5% 34/660
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	25	23-for-95	18/25 · 72%	5/25 · 20%	36	7/25 · 28%	5/25 · 20%	3/25 · 12%	7	23	22% 23/106	15/25 · 60%	6/25 · 24%	8	8% 8/106
L14Sep 14–27	12	12-for-46	10/12 · 83%	2/12 · 17%	19	4/12 · 33%	2/12 · 17%	2/12 · 17%	3	9	17% 9/52	7/12 · 58%	2/12 · 17%	6	12% 6/52
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	4	100% 4/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Chicago White Sox	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	4	100% 4/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Chicago White Soxregular season	12	8-for-44	8/12 · 67%	0/12 · 0%	12	2/12 · 17%	1/12 · 8%	1/12 · 8%	2	15	31% 15/49	9/12 · 75%	4/12 · 33%	2	4% 2/49

vs Anthony Kay: 1-for-6, 1 K, 1 BB in 7 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

5Nathaniel LoweLHB vs LHPSeason68/123L144/9Post1/1Season43/123L141/9Post1/1Season75/123L143/9Post1/1Season23% 99/429vs LHP20% 10/49Season9% 38/429K% vs LHP20% 10/490210000111021000011210100100010000001001

Bats 5th · 3.87 PA per start this season · league average from the 5th spot: 4.04

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	123	96-for-381	68/123 · 55%	25/123 · 20%	169	43/123 · 35%	26/123 · 21%	18/123 · 15%	39	99	23% 99/429	75/123 · 61%	22/123 · 18%	38	9% 38/429
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	21	12-for-57	10/21 · 48%	2/21 · 10%	19	5/21 · 24%	2/21 · 10%	2/21 · 10%	3	13	19% 13/69	11/21 · 52%	2/21 · 10%	6	9% 6/69
L14Sep 14–27	9	5-for-22	4/9	1/9	5	1/9	0/9	0/9	0	3	11% 3/27	3/9	0/9	1	4% 1/27
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-2	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	1	33% 1/3
This seriesvs Chicago White Sox	1	1-for-2	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	1	33% 1/3
vs Chicago White Soxregular season	3	2-for-8	1/3	1/3	2	1/3	0/3	0/3	0	2	22% 2/9	2/3	0/3	0	0% 0/9

vs Anthony Kay: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

6Angel MartínezSwitch vs LHPSeason62/107L144/9Post0/1Season45/107L144/9Post0/1Season66/107L145/9Post1/1Season22% 91/416vs LHP17% 26/152Season3% 13/416K% vs LHP17% 26/15204030120000110404300010201001120000001000

Bats 6th · 4.1 PA per start this season · league average from the 6th spot: 3.88

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	107	99-for-389	62/107 · 58%	30/107 · 28%	181	45/107 · 42%	27/107 · 25%	20/107 · 19%	44	91	22% 91/416	66/107 · 62%	23/107 · 21%	13	3% 13/416
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	20	21-for-71	11/20 · 55%	7/20 · 35%	44	8/20 · 40%	8/20 · 40%	7/20 · 35%	12	17	23% 17/75	12/20 · 60%	5/20 · 25%	3	4% 3/75
L14Sep 14–27	9	10-for-33	4/9	3/9	22	4/9	4/9	3/9	6	6	18% 6/34	5/9	1/9	1	3% 1/34
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Chicago White Sox	1	0-for-4	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	2	50% 2/4	1/1	1/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Chicago White Soxregular season	3	4-for-12	2/3	2/3	8	2/3	2/3	1/3	2	3	25% 3/12	3/3	0/3	0	0% 0/12

vs Anthony Kay: 2-for-3, 1 XBH, 1 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

7Travis BazzanaLHB vs LHPSeason72/124L146/12Post1/1Season46/124L145/12Post1/1Season72/124L147/12Post1/1Season21% 107/517vs LHP25% 41/165Season11% 56/517K% vs LHP25% 41/1651001001301400100260200132111011000100000

Bats 7th · 4.21 PA per start this season · league average from the 7th spot: 3.74

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	124	110-for-448	72/124 · 58%	29/124 · 23%	183	46/124 · 37%	24/124 · 19%	17/124 · 14%	40	107	21% 107/517	72/124 · 58%	28/124 · 23%	56	11% 56/517
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	21-for-75	13/23 · 57%	7/23 · 30%	46	11/23 · 48%	8/23 · 35%	6/23 · 26%	12	14	16% 14/85	10/23 · 43%	3/23 · 13%	8	9% 8/85
L14Sep 14–27	12	9-for-44	6/12 · 50%	2/12 · 17%	23	5/12 · 42%	3/12 · 25%	3/12 · 25%	7	10	22% 10/46	7/12 · 58%	2/12 · 17%	2	4% 2/46
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
This seriesvs Chicago White Sox	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	2	1/1	0/1	0/1	1	1	25% 1/4	1/1	0/1	0	0% 0/4
vs Chicago White Soxregular season	12	10-for-47	7/12 · 58%	3/12 · 25%	19	5/12 · 42%	2/12 · 17%	1/12 · 8%	5	11	21% 11/52	7/12 · 58%	3/12 · 25%	5	10% 5/52

vs Anthony Kay: 4-for-11, 1 XBH, 0 K in 11 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

8Patrick BaileySwitch vs LHPSeason49/104L144/9Post1/1Season24/104L141/9Post0/1Season63/104L146/9Post0/1Season27% 92/345vs LHP29% 17/58Season8% 28/345K% vs LHP29% 17/581010100201101010080120331002200100001000

Bats 8th · 3.54 PA per start this season · league average from the 8th spot: 3.54

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	104	64-for-309	49/104 · 47%	12/104 · 12%	104	24/104 · 23%	13/104 · 12%	9/104 · 9%	19	92	27% 92/345	63/104 · 61%	24/104 · 23%	28	8% 28/345
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	18	13-for-54	10/18 · 56%	3/18 · 17%	23	5/18 · 28%	2/18 · 11%	2/18 · 11%	4	21	36% 21/59	13/18 · 72%	6/18 · 33%	3	5% 3/59
L14Sep 14–27	9	5-for-27	4/9	1/9	11	1/9	1/9	1/9	2	13	45% 13/29	6/9	5/9	2	7% 2/29
Postseasonthis October	1	1-for-1	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/1
This seriesvs Chicago White Sox	1	1-for-1	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0% 0/1
vs Chicago White Soxregular season	8	5-for-23	4/8	1/8	6	1/8	1/8	0/8	1	5	19% 5/27	4/8	1/8	4	15% 4/27

vs Anthony Kay: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

9Brayan RocchioSwitch vs LHPSeason94/153L148/10Post0/1Season49/153L144/10Post0/1Season66/153L144/10Post1/1Season14% 85/592vs LHP16% 32/199Season6% 38/592K% vs LHP16% 32/19920211101303032110110001001011011110000101

Bats 9th · 3.89 PA per start this season · league average from the 9th spot: 3.23

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	153	135-for-533	94/153 · 61%	32/153 · 21%	209	49/153 · 32%	31/153 · 20%	17/153 · 11%	42	85	14% 85/592	66/153 · 43%	17/153 · 11%	38	6% 38/592
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	22	21-for-73	15/22 · 68%	5/22 · 23%	42	9/22 · 41%	5/22 · 23%	3/22 · 14%	11	11	13% 11/83	11/22 · 50%	0/22 · 0%	6	7% 6/83
L14Sep 14–27	10	12-for-33	8/10 · 80%	3/10 · 30%	22	4/10 · 40%	3/10 · 30%	1/10 · 10%	6	4	11% 4/38	4/10 · 40%	0/10 · 0%	4	11% 4/38
Postseasonthis October	1	0-for-2	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	1	33% 1/3
This seriesvs Chicago White Sox	1	0-for-2	0/1	0/1	0	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	1	33% 1/3	1/1	0/1	1	33% 1/3
vs Chicago White Soxregular season	13	14-for-47	10/13 · 77%	3/13 · 23%	19	4/13 · 31%	3/13 · 23%	2/13 · 15%	3	9	18% 9/51	8/13 · 62%	1/13 · 8%	4	8% 4/51

vs Anthony Kay: 3-for-9, 2 K in 9 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

Thresholds

Games that cleared each mark. Counts first; a rate only from 10 games up. L14 is the last two weeks of the regular season.

1+ hit — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
White Sox
1Sam Antonacci	85/139 · 61%	8/11 · 73%	2/3
2Kyle Teel	19/39 · 49%	6/11 · 55%	2/3
3Miguel Vargas	107/159 · 67%	9/12 · 75%	1/3
4Munetaka Murakami	74/127 · 58%	7/13 · 54%	2/3
5Andrew Benintendi	74/141 · 52%	3/9	1/2
6Tristan Peters	78/149 · 52%	2/10 · 20%	3/3
7Braden Montgomery	54/92 · 59%	7/12 · 58%	1/3
8Chase Meidroth	105/154 · 68%	9/11 · 82%	2/3
9Colson Montgomery	79/153 · 52%	2/12 · 17%	2/3
Guardians
1Steven Kwan	97/150 · 65%	7/11 · 64%	0/1
2José Ramírez	77/124 · 62%	8/11 · 73%	0/1
3Chase DeLauter	87/133 · 65%	6/9	0/1
4Jo Adell	95/159 · 60%	10/12 · 83%	0/1
5Nathaniel Lowe	68/123 · 55%	4/9	1/1
6Angel Martínez	62/107 · 58%	4/9	0/1
7Travis Bazzana	72/124 · 58%	6/12 · 50%	1/1
8Patrick Bailey	49/104 · 47%	4/9	1/1
9Brayan Rocchio	94/153 · 61%	8/10 · 80%	0/1

2+ hits — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
White Sox
1Sam Antonacci	38/139 · 27%	5/11 · 45%	0/3
2Kyle Teel	6/39 · 15%	2/11 · 18%	1/3
3Miguel Vargas	33/159 · 21%	3/12 · 25%	0/3
4Munetaka Murakami	14/127 · 11%	2/13 · 15%	1/3
5Andrew Benintendi	21/141 · 15%	1/9	0/2
6Tristan Peters	29/149 · 19%	0/10 · 0%	0/3
7Braden Montgomery	16/92 · 17%	4/12 · 33%	1/3
8Chase Meidroth	42/154 · 27%	5/11 · 45%	2/3
9Colson Montgomery	29/153 · 19%	1/12 · 8%	1/3
Guardians
1Steven Kwan	42/150 · 28%	4/11 · 36%	0/1
2José Ramírez	28/124 · 23%	5/11 · 45%	0/1
3Chase DeLauter	42/133 · 32%	2/9	0/1
4Jo Adell	39/159 · 25%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
5Nathaniel Lowe	25/123 · 20%	1/9	0/1
6Angel Martínez	30/107 · 28%	3/9	0/1
7Travis Bazzana	29/124 · 23%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
8Patrick Bailey	12/104 · 12%	1/9	0/1
9Brayan Rocchio	32/153 · 21%	3/10 · 30%	0/1

2+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
White Sox
1Sam Antonacci	51/139 · 37%	5/11 · 45%	1/3
2Kyle Teel	11/39 · 28%	3/11 · 27%	1/3
3Miguel Vargas	61/159 · 38%	4/12 · 33%	0/3
4Munetaka Murakami	49/127 · 39%	5/13 · 38%	1/3
5Andrew Benintendi	40/141 · 28%	2/9	0/2
6Tristan Peters	49/149 · 33%	0/10 · 0%	0/3
7Braden Montgomery	30/92 · 33%	5/12 · 42%	1/3
8Chase Meidroth	66/154 · 43%	7/11 · 64%	2/3
9Colson Montgomery	55/153 · 36%	1/12 · 8%	2/3
Guardians
1Steven Kwan	54/150 · 36%	4/11 · 36%	0/1
2José Ramírez	44/124 · 35%	5/11 · 45%	0/1
3Chase DeLauter	60/133 · 45%	4/9	0/1
4Jo Adell	54/159 · 34%	4/12 · 33%	0/1
5Nathaniel Lowe	43/123 · 35%	1/9	1/1
6Angel Martínez	45/107 · 42%	4/9	0/1
7Travis Bazzana	46/124 · 37%	5/12 · 42%	1/1
8Patrick Bailey	24/104 · 23%	1/9	0/1
9Brayan Rocchio	49/153 · 32%	4/10 · 40%	0/1

3+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
White Sox
1Sam Antonacci	29/139 · 21%	3/11 · 27%	0/3
2Kyle Teel	5/39 · 13%	1/11 · 9%	0/3
3Miguel Vargas	37/159 · 23%	3/12 · 25%	0/3
4Munetaka Murakami	33/127 · 26%	3/13 · 23%	1/3
5Andrew Benintendi	26/141 · 18%	2/9	0/2
6Tristan Peters	28/149 · 19%	0/10 · 0%	0/3
7Braden Montgomery	16/92 · 17%	3/12 · 25%	0/3
8Chase Meidroth	32/154 · 21%	5/11 · 45%	1/3
9Colson Montgomery	39/153 · 25%	1/12 · 8%	2/3
Guardians
1Steven Kwan	20/150 · 13%	2/11 · 18%	0/1
2José Ramírez	19/124 · 15%	3/11 · 27%	0/1
3Chase DeLauter	33/133 · 25%	3/9	0/1
4Jo Adell	38/159 · 24%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
5Nathaniel Lowe	26/123 · 21%	0/9	0/1
6Angel Martínez	27/107 · 25%	4/9	0/1
7Travis Bazzana	24/124 · 19%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
8Patrick Bailey	13/104 · 12%	1/9	0/1
9Brayan Rocchio	31/153 · 20%	3/10 · 30%	0/1

4+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
White Sox
1Sam Antonacci	13/139 · 9%	0/11 · 0%	0/3
2Kyle Teel	5/39 · 13%	1/11 · 9%	0/3
3Miguel Vargas	33/159 · 21%	3/12 · 25%	0/3
4Munetaka Murakami	32/127 · 25%	3/13 · 23%	1/3
5Andrew Benintendi	21/141 · 15%	1/9	0/2
6Tristan Peters	17/149 · 11%	0/10 · 0%	0/3
7Braden Montgomery	9/92 · 10%	0/12 · 0%	0/3
8Chase Meidroth	18/154 · 12%	3/11 · 27%	1/3
9Colson Montgomery	31/153 · 20%	0/12 · 0%	1/3
Guardians
1Steven Kwan	8/150 · 5%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
2José Ramírez	16/124 · 13%	2/11 · 18%	0/1
3Chase DeLauter	22/133 · 17%	2/9	0/1
4Jo Adell	26/159 · 16%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
5Nathaniel Lowe	18/123 · 15%	0/9	0/1
6Angel Martínez	20/107 · 19%	3/9	0/1
7Travis Bazzana	17/124 · 14%	3/12 · 25%	0/1
8Patrick Bailey	9/104 · 9%	1/9	0/1
9Brayan Rocchio	17/153 · 11%	1/10 · 10%	0/1

1+ K — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
White Sox
1Sam Antonacci	68/139 · 49%	2/11 · 18%	1/3
2Kyle Teel	31/39 · 79%	8/11 · 73%	2/3
3Miguel Vargas	93/159 · 58%	6/12 · 50%	2/3
4Munetaka Murakami	109/127 · 86%	12/13 · 92%	3/3
5Andrew Benintendi	81/141 · 57%	5/9	1/2
6Tristan Peters	74/149 · 50%	7/10 · 70%	2/3
7Braden Montgomery	53/92 · 58%	7/12 · 58%	3/3
8Chase Meidroth	97/154 · 63%	6/11 · 55%	1/3
9Colson Montgomery	126/153 · 82%	11/12 · 92%	2/3
Guardians
1Steven Kwan	51/150 · 34%	2/11 · 18%	0/1
2José Ramírez	55/124 · 44%	4/11 · 36%	1/1
3Chase DeLauter	64/133 · 48%	4/9	0/1
4Jo Adell	108/159 · 68%	7/12 · 58%	1/1
5Nathaniel Lowe	75/123 · 61%	3/9	1/1
6Angel Martínez	66/107 · 62%	5/9	1/1
7Travis Bazzana	72/124 · 58%	7/12 · 58%	1/1
8Patrick Bailey	63/104 · 61%	6/9	0/1
9Brayan Rocchio	66/153 · 43%	4/10 · 40%	1/1

2+ K — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
White Sox
1Sam Antonacci	14/139 · 10%	0/11 · 0%	0/3
2Kyle Teel	16/39 · 41%	6/11 · 55%	2/3
3Miguel Vargas	28/159 · 18%	1/12 · 8%	1/3
4Munetaka Murakami	60/127 · 47%	7/13 · 54%	3/3
5Andrew Benintendi	25/141 · 18%	3/9	0/2
6Tristan Peters	14/149 · 9%	1/10 · 10%	0/3
7Braden Montgomery	16/92 · 17%	1/12 · 8%	1/3
8Chase Meidroth	36/154 · 23%	1/11 · 9%	1/3
9Colson Montgomery	71/153 · 46%	6/12 · 50%	1/3
Guardians
1Steven Kwan	11/150 · 7%	1/11 · 9%	0/1
2José Ramírez	13/124 · 10%	0/11 · 0%	0/1
3Chase DeLauter	15/133 · 11%	1/9	0/1
4Jo Adell	40/159 · 25%	2/12 · 17%	1/1
5Nathaniel Lowe	22/123 · 18%	0/9	0/1
6Angel Martínez	23/107 · 21%	1/9	1/1
7Travis Bazzana	28/124 · 23%	2/12 · 17%	0/1
8Patrick Bailey	24/104 · 23%	5/9	0/1
9Brayan Rocchio	17/153 · 11%	0/10 · 0%	0/1

4+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Anthony Kay	21/31 · 68%	3/6	—
Gavin Williams	31/32 · 97%	5/6	—

5+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Anthony Kay	12/31 · 39%	1/6	—
Gavin Williams	26/32 · 81%	4/6	—

6+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Anthony Kay	5/31 · 16%	0/6	—
Gavin Williams	24/32 · 75%	4/6	—

7+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Anthony Kay	3/31 · 10%	0/6	—
Gavin Williams	20/32 · 62%	4/6	—

3 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Anthony Kay	8/31 · 26%	1/6	—
Gavin Williams	12/32 · 38%	2/6	—

4 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Anthony Kay	10/31 · 32%	1/6	—
Gavin Williams	18/32 · 56%	4/6	—

5 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Anthony Kay	16/31 · 52%	3/6	—
Gavin Williams	23/32 · 72%	5/6	—

6 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Anthony Kay	24/31 · 77%	5/6	—
Gavin Williams	25/32 · 78%	6/6	—

1 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Anthony Kay	14/31 · 45%	3/6	—
Gavin Williams	15/32 · 47%	3/6	—

2 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Anthony Kay	27/31 · 87%	6/6	—
Gavin Williams	22/32 · 69%	3/6	—

3+ — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Anthony Kay	4/31 · 13%	0/6	—
Gavin Williams	10/32 · 31%	3/6	—

regular season ends · 2 playoff game · strips run oldest → newest · tap a hitter for L28, the opponent, the series and the matchup. Built from the play-by-play feed, which does not pick up official scoring changes, so a season total can differ from MLB’s by a hit. Evidence, not picks: no odds are read and nothing here is scored.

Game Analysis

Context and interpretation

Team Identity

Chicago White Sox

Season-to-date, 162 games, 6,386 PA.

A power-hitting, patient offense that does damage on extra-base hits, though it can be strikeout-prone. The bats have been heating up lately.

Power

Above Avg74

Contact

Below Avg26

Plate Discipline

Above Avg66

Speed

Below Avg34

RISP

Average54

Recent Form

Trending Up

Total bases per PA is up 10% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

Cleveland Guardians

Season-to-date, 162 games, 6,352 PA.

An aggressive, patient offense that runs and pressures defenses on the bases, though it can be inconsistent with runners in scoring position. The bats have been heating up lately.

Power

Well Below12

Contact

Average46

Plate Discipline

Above Avg67

Speed

Elite87

RISP

Well Below9

Recent Form

Trending Up

Total bases per PA is up 25% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

What This Game Is About

Biggest Advantage

Guardians bring the more aggressive profile, while White Sox lean on being power-hitting.

Swing Factor

Gavin Williams strikes hitters out at a 31.9% clip (97th percentile); White Sox carry a 23.3% strikeout rate.

Momentum

White Sox are trending up and Guardians are trending up over their last 10 games.

Key Matchups

Can either lineup run up a starter's pitch count?

White Sox' nine see 3.95 pitches per plate appearance against RHPs (league 3.89); Gavin Williams averages ~94 pitches and 23.3 batters a start. Guardians' nine see 3.88 pitches per plate appearance against LHPs (league 3.89); Anthony Kay averages ~85 pitches and 21.8 batters a start.

Edge · EvenWhite Sox: 3.95 P/PAGuardians: 3.88 P/PALow confidence

Which lineup has the platoon advantage?

7 of 9 in the White Sox' confirmed lineup bat from the other side of Gavin Williams (RHP); 5 of 9 in the Guardians' confirmed lineup bat from the other side of Anthony Kay (LHP). Switch hitters count.

Edge · White SoxWhite Sox: 7/9Guardians: 5/9High confidence

Which bullpen is under more pressure?

White Sox relievers ~87 pitches; Guardians relievers ~62 pitches (Oct 2–4).

Edge · GuardiansWhite Sox: ~87 relief pitchesGuardians: ~62 relief pitchesModerate confidence

Through Oct 4, the feed's last day. Relief pitches are reconstructed from play-by-play.

Expected Game Shape

BalancedLow confidence

Competitive profile without a clear stylistic tilt. White Sox bring more power.

Both probable starters grade around the 56th percentile in combined suppression.
White Sox are trending up; Guardians are trending up.

Storylines to Watch

Does White Sox's power tilt the game?

White Sox bring a clearly stronger extra-base profile into this matchup.

White Sox power pct 74 vs Guardians 12

Can White Sox handle Gavin Williams's strikeout stuff?

White Sox have been a below-average contact team while Gavin Williams misses bats at an above-average rate — a swing factor early.

White Sox contact percentile: 26

Can Tristan Peters snap out of it?

Tristan Peters has cooled off. Total bases per PA is down 77% over his prior baseline, with hits in 2 of his last 7 games.

0.091 hit rate · 0.091 TB/PA · 0.237 hit rate · 0.394 TB/PA

Based on plate appearances before 2026-10-05, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.