Dodgers at Brewers · Sports Today

NL Championship Series · Game 1 of 7Series opener · best of 7

Los Angeles Dodgers

No. 2 seed · 100-62 in the regular season

Regular-season form: bats heating up

LHP Tarik Skubal · Elite strikeout stuff · plus control

Milwaukee Brewers

No. 1 seed · 103-59 in the regular season

Regular-season form: offense cooling lately

RHP Jacob Misiorowski · Elite strikeout stuff · plus control

MLB · American Family Field · 5:00 PM PT

Playoff Prop Desk

Evidence for player and pitcher decisions

Data through Oct 8 · regular season ended Sep 27

Lineup spot leads because it sets plate appearances, which predict a hit more than twice as well as recent hitting does.

Total bases rides on the same chances as a hit, plus extra-base power. We do not model it; these are records.

The opposing starter carries batter strikeouts more than the batter's own form, so his strikeout rate sits beside every row.

Workload leads: a postseason hook can cut a starter's batters faced, and strikeouts need batters.

Records only. When this market was measured, recent hits allowed carried no information beyond its base rate.

Records only — the site has no walks model.

Tarik SkubalLHP · Dodgers vs Brewers

7.2 K / start7.2 K / start4.8 H allowed / start4.8 H allowed / start4.8 H allowed / start1 BB / start

~91 pitches · 23.8 BF · ~6.0 IP per start · 26 regular-season starts

Recent K76593107

Recent H41043832

Recent BB0121202

Pitches ~831029490867594

BF22262724252322

Last 6 recorded starts · playoff after the rule

Brewers last game's lineup vs LHP: K 22% 281/1291hits 22% 281/1291BB 10% 132/1291 per PA

Start by start

	Avg	Aug 28	Sep 3	Sep 8	Sep 14	Sep 19	Sep 25	Oct 3
Pitches ~	~90.6	83	102	94	90	86	75	94
Batters faced	23.8	22	26	27	24	25	23	22
Innings ~	~6.0	6.0	5.2	7.1	7.0	5.0	7.0	6.0
Strikeouts	7.2	7	6	5	9	3	10	7
Hits allowed	4.8	4	10	4	3	8	3	2
Walks	1	0	1	2	1	2	0	2

vs Milwaukee Brewers this season: Apr 23: 6.0 IP, 5 K, 7 H, 0 BB; Aug 16: 6.0 IP, 7 K, 7 H, 2 BB

Jacob MisiorowskiRHP · Brewers vs Dodgers

8.4 K / start8.4 K / start3.2 H allowed / start3.2 H allowed / start3.2 H allowed / start1.5 BB / start

~88 pitches · 22.2 BF · ~5.2 IP per start · 30 regular-season starts

Recent K6597456

Recent H2545124

Recent BB2421021

Pitches ~89929382446888

BF21212420101918

Last 6 recorded starts · playoff after the rule

Dodgers last game's lineup vs RHP: K 20% 615/3053hits 23% 710/3053BB 11% 328/3053 per PA

Start by start

	Avg	Aug 27	Sep 2	Sep 8	Sep 15	Sep 20	Sep 27	Oct 3
Pitches ~	~88.2	89	92	93	82	44	68	88
Batters faced	22.2	21	21	24	20	10	19	18
Innings ~	~5.2	6.0	4.0	6.1	5.0	3.0	5.1	4.0
Strikeouts	8.4	6	5	9	7	4	5	6
Hits allowed	3.2	2	5	4	5	1	2	4
Walks	1.5	2	4	2	1	0	2	1

vs Los Angeles Dodgers this season: Aug 15: 6.0 IP, 6 K, 5 H, 1 BB

DodgersNot confirmedvs RHP Jacob MisiorowskiGames with 1+ hitGames with 2+ total basesGames with 1+ strikeoutStrikeouts per PAWalks per PA

Not posted yet — this is the last game's order (Oct 7), not tonight's

1Mookie BettsRHB vs RHPSeason74/123L146/12Post2/4Season45/123L146/12Post1/4Season48/123L144/12Post2/4Season11% 58/528vs RHP13% 45/358Season9% 47/528K% vs RHP13% 45/3581030101020204040102001001210101111001200

Bats 1st · 4.38 PA per start this season · league average from the 1st spot: 4.49

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	123	123-for-478	74/123 · 60%	31/123 · 25%	217	45/123 · 37%	34/123 · 28%	26/123 · 21%	48	58	11% 58/528	48/123 · 39%	10/123 · 8%	47	9% 47/528
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	30-for-89	14/23 · 61%	10/23 · 43%	60	14/23 · 61%	11/23 · 48%	9/23 · 39%	16	11	10% 11/105	9/23 · 39%	2/23 · 9%	16	15% 16/105
L14Sep 14–27	12	15-for-46	6/12 · 50%	4/12 · 33%	29	6/12 · 50%	5/12 · 42%	4/12 · 33%	8	5	9% 5/53	4/12 · 33%	1/12 · 8%	7	13% 7/53
Postseasonthis October	4	3-for-14	2/4	1/4	3	1/4	0/4	0/4	0	2	12% 2/17	2/4	0/4	3	18% 3/17
This seriesvs Milwaukee Brewers	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Milwaukee Brewersregular season	7	3-for-27	3/7	0/7	3	0/7	0/7	0/7	0	6	21% 6/28	6/7	0/7	1	4% 1/28

vs Jacob Misiorowski: 0-for-3, 1 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

2Freddie FreemanLHB vs RHPSeason103/153L145/11Post3/4Season66/153L145/11Post2/4Season81/153L149/11Post2/4Season18% 116/657vs RHP16% 71/439Season10% 66/657K% vs RHP16% 71/4392202001210220200154012111101100000001010

Bats 2nd · 4.3 PA per start this season · league average from the 2nd spot: 4.4

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	153	167-for-579	103/153 · 67%	52/153 · 34%	249	66/153 · 43%	41/153 · 27%	24/153 · 16%	49	116	18% 116/657	81/153 · 53%	28/153 · 18%	66	10% 66/657
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	20	14-for-76	7/20 · 35%	6/20 · 30%	17	6/20 · 30%	2/20 · 10%	1/20 · 5%	1	23	27% 23/85	15/20 · 75%	6/20 · 30%	6	7% 6/85
L14Sep 14–27	11	11-for-46	5/11 · 45%	5/11 · 45%	11	5/11 · 45%	1/11 · 9%	0/11 · 0%	0	13	27% 13/48	9/11 · 82%	3/11 · 27%	1	2% 1/48
Postseasonthis October	4	4-for-15	3/4	1/4	10	2/4	2/4	2/4	2	2	12% 2/17	2/4	0/4	2	12% 2/17
This seriesvs Milwaukee Brewers	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Milwaukee Brewersregular season	6	1-for-17	1/6	0/6	2	1/6	0/6	0/6	1	7	27% 7/26	4/6	2/6	9	35% 9/26

vs Jacob Misiorowski: 0-for-3, 1 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

3Will SmithRHB vs RHPSeason44/73L147/9Post1/4Season25/73L145/9Post0/4Season34/73L145/9Post3/4Season16% 45/276vs RHP14% 27/193Season12% 34/276K% vs RHP14% 27/1933011310010604131001000201102320003000000

Bats 3rd · 4.27 PA per start this season · league average from the 3rd spot: 4.3

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	73	61-for-235	44/73 · 60%	12/73 · 16%	100	25/73 · 34%	15/73 · 21%	11/73 · 15%	19	45	16% 45/276	34/73 · 47%	10/73 · 14%	34	12% 34/276
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	21	18-for-62	13/21 · 62%	3/21 · 14%	34	9/21 · 43%	6/21 · 29%	4/21 · 19%	8	11	15% 11/75	10/21 · 48%	1/21 · 5%	11	15% 11/75
L14Sep 14–27	9	12-for-31	7/9	3/9	22	5/9	5/9	3/9	4	6	17% 6/36	5/9	1/9	5	14% 5/36
Postseasonthis October	4	1-for-16	1/4	0/4	1	0/4	0/4	0/4	0	7	44% 7/16	3/4	3/4	0	0% 0/16
This seriesvs Milwaukee Brewers	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Milwaukee Brewersregular season	1	1-for-4	1/1	0/1	1	0/1	0/1	0/1	0	0	0% 0/5	0/1	0/1	1	20% 1/5

vs Jacob Misiorowski: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

4Shohei OhtaniLHB vs RHPSeason92/135L144/5Post2/4Season59/135L141/5Post0/4Season100/135L144/5Post3/4Season25% 152/618vs RHP24% 101/414Season13% 81/618K% vs RHP24% 101/4140120111100013011110022132002111100000011

Bats 4th · 4.6 PA per start this season · league average from the 4th spot: 4.18

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	135	144-for-523	92/135 · 68%	41/135 · 30%	268	59/135 · 44%	46/135 · 34%	34/135 · 25%	60	152	25% 152/618	100/135 · 74%	47/135 · 35%	81	13% 81/618
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	8	6-for-30	5/8	1/8	7	1/8	1/8	0/8	1	14	39% 14/36	6/8	5/8	4	11% 4/36
L14Sep 14–27	5	5-for-21	4/5	1/5	6	1/5	1/5	0/5	1	8	36% 8/22	4/5	3/5	1	5% 1/22
Postseasonthis October	4	2-for-13	2/4	0/4	2	0/4	0/4	0/4	0	4	25% 4/16	3/4	1/4	2	12% 2/16
This seriesvs Milwaukee Brewers	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Milwaukee Brewersregular season	7	6-for-26	5/7	1/7	9	3/7	1/7	0/7	2	8	25% 8/32	6/7	2/7	5	16% 5/32

vs Jacob Misiorowski: 1-for-3, 1 XBH, 1 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

5Teoscar HernándezRHB vs RHPSeason80/125L1410/13Post2/4Season45/125L147/13Post1/4Season93/125L1412/13Post3/4Season27% 135/491vs RHP30% 101/338Season9% 42/491K% vs RHP30% 101/3381301102001130420500111312022020000000000

Bats 5th · 4 PA per start this season · league average from the 5th spot: 4.04

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	125	118-for-442	80/125 · 64%	31/125 · 25%	188	45/125 · 36%	25/125 · 20%	21/125 · 17%	36	135	27% 135/491	93/125 · 74%	32/125 · 26%	42	9% 42/491
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	30-for-88	19/24 · 79%	8/24 · 33%	48	13/24 · 54%	8/24 · 33%	6/24 · 25%	9	25	25% 25/100	19/24 · 79%	5/24 · 21%	11	11% 11/100
L14Sep 14–27	13	14-for-49	10/13 · 77%	3/13 · 23%	24	7/13 · 54%	4/13 · 31%	3/13 · 23%	4	17	31% 17/54	12/13 · 92%	4/13 · 31%	4	7% 4/54
Postseasonthis October	4	3-for-16	2/4	1/4	6	1/4	1/4	1/4	1	6	38% 6/16	3/4	3/4	0	0% 0/16
This seriesvs Milwaukee Brewers	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Milwaukee Brewersregular season	7	9-for-24	7/7	1/7	12	1/7	1/7	1/7	1	6	22% 6/27	6/7	0/7	3	11% 3/27

vs Jacob Misiorowski: 1-for-2, 1 K in 2 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

6Max MuncyLHB vs RHPSeason81/148L145/12Post3/4Season59/148L145/12Post3/4Season91/148L147/12Post2/4Season25% 140/561vs RHP24% 103/427Season12% 65/561K% vs RHP24% 103/4272000021101200003440411120001100000020000

Bats 6th · 4.06 PA per start this season · league average from the 6th spot: 3.88

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	148	123-for-488	81/148 · 55%	31/148 · 21%	239	59/148 · 40%	37/148 · 25%	29/148 · 20%	57	140	25% 140/561	91/148 · 61%	37/148 · 25%	65	12% 65/561
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	23	20-for-77	11/23 · 48%	7/23 · 30%	36	11/23 · 48%	9/23 · 39%	5/23 · 22%	10	22	25% 22/88	14/23 · 61%	6/23 · 26%	8	9% 8/88
L14Sep 14–27	12	9-for-40	5/12 · 42%	4/12 · 33%	16	5/12 · 42%	4/12 · 33%	2/12 · 17%	5	10	23% 10/44	7/12 · 58%	2/12 · 17%	2	5% 2/44
Postseasonthis October	4	3-for-12	3/4	0/4	12	3/4	3/4	3/4	3	2	17% 2/12	2/4	0/4	0	0% 0/12
This seriesvs Milwaukee Brewers	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Milwaukee Brewersregular season	5	3-for-14	3/5	0/5	10	3/5	2/5	2/5	3	6	38% 6/16	5/5	1/5	1	6% 1/16

vs Jacob Misiorowski: 0-for-2, 1 K, 1 BB in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

7Enrique HernándezRHB vs RHPSeason16/36L145/7Post1/2Season6/36L142/7Post1/2Season21/36L144/7Post1/2Season29% 28/96vs RHP24% 10/41Season6% 6/96K% vs RHP24% 10/411110111010111021404000111010200100000000

Bats 7th · 3.04 PA per start this season · league average from the 7th spot: 3.74

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	36	20-for-90	16/36 · 44%	4/36 · 11%	36	6/36 · 17%	5/36 · 14%	4/36 · 11%	8	28	29% 28/96	21/36 · 58%	5/36 · 14%	6	6% 6/96
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	17	10-for-46	9/17 · 53%	1/17 · 6%	18	3/17 · 18%	2/17 · 12%	2/17 · 12%	4	13	27% 13/49	10/17 · 59%	3/17 · 18%	3	6% 3/49
L14Sep 14–27	7	5-for-22	5/7	0/7	9	2/7	1/7	1/7	2	4	17% 4/23	4/7	0/7	1	4% 1/23
Postseasonthis October	2	1-for-6	1/2	0/2	4	1/2	1/2	1/2	1	2	33% 2/6	1/2	1/2	0	0% 0/6
This seriesvs Milwaukee Brewers	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Milwaukee Brewersregular season	2	0-for-6	0/2	0/2	0	0/2	0/2	0/2	0	4	67% 4/6	2/2	1/2	0	0% 0/6

vs Jacob Misiorowski: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

8Kyle TuckerLHB vs RHPSeason88/153L149/13Post4/4Season44/153L144/13Post1/4Season83/153L144/13Post2/4Season17% 105/627vs RHP17% 73/436Season12% 78/627K% vs RHP17% 73/4361200112111120011511100111020100000100001

Bats 8th · 4.21 PA per start this season · league average from the 8th spot: 3.54

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	153	126-for-539	88/153 · 58%	26/153 · 17%	208	44/153 · 29%	28/153 · 18%	21/153 · 14%	44	105	17% 105/627	83/153 · 54%	18/153 · 12%	78	12% 78/627
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	25	22-for-84	13/25 · 52%	5/25 · 20%	45	7/25 · 28%	6/25 · 24%	6/25 · 24%	10	10	10% 10/99	10/25 · 40%	0/25 · 0%	13	13% 13/99
L14Sep 14–27	13	14-for-44	9/13 · 69%	3/13 · 23%	25	4/13 · 31%	3/13 · 23%	3/13 · 23%	5	4	8% 4/51	4/13 · 31%	0/13 · 0%	7	14% 7/51
Postseasonthis October	4	5-for-15	4/4	1/4	8	1/4	1/4	1/4	1	3	19% 3/16	2/4	1/4	1	6% 1/16
This seriesvs Milwaukee Brewers	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Milwaukee Brewersregular season	6	3-for-23	2/6	1/6	8	2/6	2/6	1/6	3	5	20% 5/25	4/6	1/6	2	8% 2/25

vs Jacob Misiorowski: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

9Andy PagesRHB vs RHPSeason93/133L143/6Post2/4Season57/133L143/6Post2/4Season80/133L144/6Post3/4Season20% 113/574vs RHP21% 84/407Season9% 49/574K% vs RHP21% 84/4070302010022040504002201202131101010110100

Bats 9th · 4.34 PA per start this season · league average from the 9th spot: 3.23

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	133	141-for-511	93/133 · 70%	34/133 · 26%	240	57/133 · 43%	35/133 · 26%	24/133 · 18%	51	113	20% 113/574	80/133 · 60%	28/133 · 21%	49	9% 49/574
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	6	6-for-18	3/6	2/6	13	3/6	3/6	3/6	3	6	25% 6/24	4/6	2/6	4	17% 4/24
L14Sep 14–27	6	6-for-18	3/6	2/6	13	3/6	3/6	3/6	3	6	25% 6/24	4/6	2/6	4	17% 4/24
Postseasonthis October	4	4-for-14	2/4	2/4	4	2/4	0/4	0/4	0	5	33% 5/15	3/4	1/4	1	7% 1/15
This seriesvs Milwaukee Brewers	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Milwaukee Brewersregular season	7	6-for-26	4/7	1/7	16	4/7	3/7	3/7	4	4	14% 4/29	3/7	1/7	3	10% 3/29

vs Jacob Misiorowski: 0-for-3, 0 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

BrewersNot confirmedvs LHP Tarik SkubalGames with 1+ hitGames with 2+ total basesGames with 1+ strikeoutStrikeouts per PAWalks per PA

Not posted yet — this is the last game's order (Oct 7), not tonight's

1Jackson ChourioRHB vs LHPSeason94/127L148/12Post3/4Season50/127L144/12Post1/4Season86/127L148/12Post1/4Season23% 134/573vs LHP20% 35/171Season8% 47/573K% vs LHP20% 35/1710111231101014123410122000000101011000001

Bats 1st · 4.64 PA per start this season · league average from the 1st spot: 4.49

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	127	152-for-522	94/127 · 74%	37/127 · 29%	254	50/127 · 39%	41/127 · 32%	28/127 · 22%	52	134	23% 134/573	86/127 · 68%	39/127 · 31%	47	8% 47/573
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	25	34-for-102	18/25 · 72%	8/25 · 32%	54	10/25 · 40%	7/25 · 28%	6/25 · 24%	10	25	22% 25/112	17/25 · 68%	8/25 · 32%	9	8% 9/112
L14Sep 14–27	12	12-for-43	8/12 · 67%	3/12 · 25%	18	4/12 · 33%	3/12 · 25%	2/12 · 17%	2	12	24% 12/49	8/12 · 67%	4/12 · 33%	6	12% 6/49
Postseasonthis October	4	3-for-16	3/4	0/4	6	1/4	1/4	1/4	1	1	5% 1/19	1/4	0/4	1	5% 1/19
This seriesvs Los Angeles Dodgers	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Los Angeles Dodgersregular season	7	9-for-30	6/7	2/7	13	2/7	2/7	2/7	4	11	35% 11/31	6/7	4/7	1	3% 1/31

vs Tarik Skubal: 1-for-3, 1 XBH, 1 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

2Christian YelichLHB vs LHPSeason71/117L145/9Post4/4Season45/117L141/9Post2/4Season88/117L147/9Post2/4Season27% 135/500vs LHP26% 34/130Season10% 49/500K% vs LHP26% 34/1300011011121004101122132011201010102000110

Bats 2nd · 4.5 PA per start this season · league average from the 2nd spot: 4.4

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	117	104-for-440	71/117 · 61%	27/117 · 23%	167	45/117 · 38%	26/117 · 22%	18/117 · 15%	37	135	27% 135/500	88/117 · 75%	40/117 · 34%	49	10% 49/500
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	22	16-for-74	14/22 · 64%	2/22 · 9%	26	5/22 · 23%	4/22 · 18%	3/22 · 14%	4	27	32% 27/84	17/22 · 77%	8/22 · 36%	8	10% 8/84
L14Sep 14–27	9	5-for-31	5/9	0/9	8	1/9	1/9	1/9	1	12	33% 12/36	7/9	4/9	4	11% 4/36
Postseasonthis October	4	5-for-14	4/4	1/4	6	2/4	0/4	0/4	1	2	12% 2/17	2/4	0/4	2	12% 2/17
This seriesvs Los Angeles Dodgers	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Los Angeles Dodgersregular season	5	1-for-18	1/5	0/5	1	0/5	0/5	0/5	0	6	29% 6/21	3/5	3/5	3	14% 3/21

vs Tarik Skubal: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

3William ContrerasRHB vs LHPSeason97/147L149/10Post3/4Season65/147L143/10Post3/4Season71/147L146/10Post1/4Season15% 94/640vs LHP16% 29/183Season10% 61/640K% vs LHP16% 29/1831110111032411011406212100101001001011010

Bats 3rd · 4.48 PA per start this season · league average from the 3rd spot: 4.3

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	147	153-for-566	97/147 · 66%	42/147 · 29%	237	65/147 · 44%	31/147 · 21%	23/147 · 16%	47	94	15% 94/640	71/147 · 48%	20/147 · 14%	61	10% 61/640
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	21	22-for-82	18/21 · 86%	4/21 · 19%	43	11/21 · 52%	6/21 · 29%	6/21 · 29%	11	19	20% 19/94	14/21 · 67%	5/21 · 24%	10	11% 10/94
L14Sep 14–27	10	9-for-38	9/10 · 90%	0/10 · 0%	14	3/10 · 30%	1/10 · 10%	1/10 · 10%	3	7	16% 7/43	6/10 · 60%	1/10 · 10%	4	9% 4/43
Postseasonthis October	4	6-for-16	3/4	2/4	12	3/4	2/4	2/4	2	1	6% 1/18	1/4	0/4	2	11% 2/18
This seriesvs Los Angeles Dodgers	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Los Angeles Dodgersregular season	6	7-for-23	4/6	2/6	13	2/6	2/6	2/6	2	3	12% 3/25	2/6	1/6	2	8% 2/25

vs Tarik Skubal: 2-for-5, 1 XBH, 0 K, 1 BB in 6 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

4Brice TurangLHB vs LHPSeason101/150L149/11Post2/4Season64/150L145/11Post0/4Season107/150L149/11Post3/4Season25% 171/680vs LHP26% 52/202Season13% 90/680K% vs LHP26% 52/2021213110011161541001121202011100000101010

Bats 4th · 4.55 PA per start this season · league average from the 4th spot: 4.18

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	150	158-for-584	101/150 · 67%	42/150 · 28%	264	64/150 · 43%	42/150 · 28%	28/150 · 19%	61	171	25% 171/680	107/150 · 71%	50/150 · 33%	90	13% 90/680
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	24	30-for-88	16/24 · 67%	10/24 · 42%	50	12/24 · 50%	8/24 · 33%	7/24 · 29%	12	28	26% 28/106	15/24 · 62%	10/24 · 42%	17	16% 17/106
L14Sep 14–27	11	13-for-43	9/11 · 82%	3/11 · 27%	23	5/11 · 45%	3/11 · 27%	3/11 · 27%	6	17	34% 17/50	9/11 · 82%	6/11 · 55%	7	14% 7/50
Postseasonthis October	4	2-for-15	2/4	0/4	2	0/4	0/4	0/4	0	3	17% 3/18	3/4	0/4	2	11% 2/18
This seriesvs Los Angeles Dodgers	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Los Angeles Dodgersregular season	3	3-for-10	3/3	0/3	4	1/3	0/3	0/3	1	3	25% 3/12	3/3	0/3	2	17% 2/12

vs Tarik Skubal: 0-for-3, 1 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

5Jake BauersLHB vs LHPSeason88/144L147/10Post2/4Season53/144L143/10Post1/4Season99/144L149/10Post2/4Season27% 156/578vs LHP23% 37/159Season16% 94/578K% vs LHP23% 37/1591021012001103101200133222102400000100013

Bats 5th · 4.25 PA per start this season · league average from the 5th spot: 4.04

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	144	127-for-477	88/144 · 61%	33/144 · 23%	231	53/144 · 37%	40/144 · 28%	32/144 · 22%	50	156	27% 156/578	99/144 · 69%	47/144 · 33%	94	16% 94/578
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	22	15-for-67	13/22 · 59%	2/22 · 9%	27	6/22 · 27%	4/22 · 18%	3/22 · 14%	6	29	33% 29/88	17/22 · 77%	10/22 · 45%	20	23% 20/88
L14Sep 14–27	10	8-for-35	7/10 · 70%	1/10 · 10%	11	3/10 · 30%	1/10 · 10%	0/10 · 0%	3	18	43% 18/42	9/10 · 90%	7/10 · 70%	6	14% 6/42
Postseasonthis October	4	3-for-12	2/4	1/4	3	1/4	0/4	0/4	0	6	35% 6/17	2/4	2/4	4	24% 4/17
This seriesvs Los Angeles Dodgers	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Los Angeles Dodgersregular season	7	8-for-23	5/7	1/7	9	1/7	1/7	1/7	1	5	17% 5/29	2/7	2/7	5	17% 5/29

vs Tarik Skubal: 3-for-3, 0 K in 3 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

6Cooper PrattRHB vs LHPSeason44/72L147/10Post3/4Season21/72L144/10Post2/4Season35/72L144/10Post1/4Season18% 48/266vs LHP21% 15/70Season10% 26/266K% vs LHP21% 15/702020110121202021012211000220001010100000

Bats 6th · 3.85 PA per start this season · league average from the 6th spot: 3.88

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	72	64-for-228	44/72 · 61%	17/72 · 24%	84	21/72 · 29%	8/72 · 11%	5/72 · 7%	12	48	18% 48/266	35/72 · 49%	11/72 · 15%	26	10% 26/266
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	22	23-for-74	16/22 · 73%	6/22 · 27%	30	8/22 · 36%	3/22 · 14%	2/22 · 9%	4	12	14% 12/83	10/22 · 45%	2/22 · 9%	8	10% 8/83
L14Sep 14–27	10	10-for-30	7/10 · 70%	3/10 · 30%	11	4/10 · 40%	0/10 · 0%	0/10 · 0%	1	6	18% 6/34	4/10 · 40%	2/10 · 20%	4	12% 4/34
Postseasonthis October	4	4-for-15	3/4	1/4	5	2/4	0/4	0/4	1	2	13% 2/15	1/4	1/4	0	0% 0/15
This seriesvs Los Angeles Dodgers	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Los Angeles Dodgersregular season	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

vs Tarik Skubal: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

7Sal FrelickLHB vs LHPSeason59/109L143/8Post3/3Season28/109L142/8Post0/3Season30/109L140/8Post1/3Season10% 38/384vs LHP10% 10/98Season8% 31/384K% vs LHP10% 10/982100100111210020011100000000010100200200

Bats 7th · 3.97 PA per start this season · league average from the 7th spot: 3.74

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	109	78-for-338	59/109 · 54%	17/109 · 16%	108	28/109 · 26%	13/109 · 12%	7/109 · 6%	22	38	10% 38/384	30/109 · 28%	7/109 · 6%	31	8% 31/384
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	17	8-for-50	7/17 · 41%	1/17 · 6%	10	3/17 · 18%	0/17 · 0%	0/17 · 0%	2	4	7% 4/54	3/17 · 18%	1/17 · 6%	3	6% 3/54
L14Sep 14–27	8	4-for-19	3/8	1/8	5	2/8	0/8	0/8	1	0	0% 0/23	0/8	0/8	3	13% 3/23
Postseasonthis October	3	3-for-9	3/3	0/3	3	0/3	0/3	0/3	0	1	8% 1/12	1/3	0/3	2	17% 2/12
This seriesvs Los Angeles Dodgers	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Los Angeles Dodgersregular season	3	1-for-8	1/3	0/3	1	0/3	0/3	0/3	0	0	0% 0/9	0/3	0/3	0	0% 0/9

vs Tarik Skubal: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

8Garrett MitchellLHB vs LHPSeason78/144L147/11Post3/4Season46/144L142/11Post1/4Season106/144L149/11Post3/4Season31% 167/531vs LHP29% 37/128Season11% 60/531K% vs LHP29% 37/1281011011102101101110421401012300000111000

Bats 8th · 4.01 PA per start this season · league average from the 8th spot: 3.54

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	144	120-for-462	78/144 · 54%	31/144 · 22%	191	46/144 · 32%	26/144 · 18%	19/144 · 13%	45	167	31% 167/531	106/144 · 74%	46/144 · 32%	60	11% 60/531
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	22	20-for-72	14/22 · 64%	3/22 · 14%	32	6/22 · 27%	3/22 · 14%	3/22 · 14%	7	26	32% 26/81	15/22 · 68%	8/22 · 36%	7	9% 7/81
L14Sep 14–27	11	7-for-37	7/11 · 64%	0/11 · 0%	9	2/11 · 18%	0/11 · 0%	0/11 · 0%	2	15	34% 15/44	9/11 · 82%	4/11 · 36%	5	11% 5/44
Postseasonthis October	4	4-for-15	3/4	1/4	6	1/4	1/4	1/4	1	6	38% 6/16	3/4	2/4	1	6% 1/16
This seriesvs Los Angeles Dodgers	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Los Angeles Dodgersregular season	4	2-for-11	2/4	0/4	2	0/4	0/4	0/4	0	6	50% 6/12	4/4	1/4	1	8% 1/12

vs Tarik Skubal: No meetings this season — raw counts; too few to mean much

9Joey OrtizRHB vs LHPSeason70/119L148/9Post1/3Season37/119L143/9Post0/3Season58/119L145/9Post2/3Season20% 82/415vs LHP21% 32/150Season8% 35/415K% vs LHP21% 32/1501110112010113011201000142202011100001000

Bats 9th · 3.75 PA per start this season · league average from the 9th spot: 3.23

	G	H-AB	1+ H	2+ H	TB	2+ TB	3+ TB	4+ TB	XBH	K	K/PA	1+ K	2+ K	BB	BB/PA
Regular seasonall of it	119	100-for-371	70/119 · 59%	24/119 · 20%	149	37/119 · 31%	19/119 · 16%	15/119 · 13%	27	82	20% 82/415	58/119 · 49%	17/119 · 14%	35	8% 35/415
L28Aug 31–Sep 27	19	23-for-67	16/19 · 84%	4/19 · 21%	33	7/19 · 37%	5/19 · 26%	4/19 · 21%	5	18	25% 18/71	9/19 · 47%	6/19 · 32%	4	6% 4/71
L14Sep 14–27	9	11-for-34	8/9	2/9	14	3/9	2/9	1/9	2	12	32% 12/37	5/9	4/9	3	8% 3/37
Postseasonthis October	3	1-for-10	1/3	0/3	1	0/3	0/3	0/3	0	3	27% 3/11	2/3	1/3	0	0% 0/11
This seriesvs Los Angeles Dodgers	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs Los Angeles Dodgersregular season	7	5-for-21	4/7	1/7	9	3/7	1/7	1/7	2	6	23% 6/26	3/7	1/7	4	15% 4/26

vs Tarik Skubal: 0-for-5, 4 K in 5 PA — raw counts; too few to mean much

Thresholds

Games that cleared each mark. Counts first; a rate only from 10 games up. L14 is the last two weeks of the regular season.

1+ hit — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Dodgers
1Mookie Betts	74/123 · 60%	6/12 · 50%	2/4
2Freddie Freeman	103/153 · 67%	5/11 · 45%	3/4
3Will Smith	44/73 · 60%	7/9	1/4
4Shohei Ohtani	92/135 · 68%	4/5	2/4
5Teoscar Hernández	80/125 · 64%	10/13 · 77%	2/4
6Max Muncy	81/148 · 55%	5/12 · 42%	3/4
7Enrique Hernández	16/36 · 44%	5/7	1/2
8Kyle Tucker	88/153 · 58%	9/13 · 69%	4/4
9Andy Pages	93/133 · 70%	3/6	2/4
Brewers
1Jackson Chourio	94/127 · 74%	8/12 · 67%	3/4
2Christian Yelich	71/117 · 61%	5/9	4/4
3William Contreras	97/147 · 66%	9/10 · 90%	3/4
4Brice Turang	101/150 · 67%	9/11 · 82%	2/4
5Jake Bauers	88/144 · 61%	7/10 · 70%	2/4
6Cooper Pratt	44/72 · 61%	7/10 · 70%	3/4
7Sal Frelick	59/109 · 54%	3/8	3/3
8Garrett Mitchell	78/144 · 54%	7/11 · 64%	3/4
9Joey Ortiz	70/119 · 59%	8/9	1/3

2+ hits — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Dodgers
1Mookie Betts	31/123 · 25%	4/12 · 33%	1/4
2Freddie Freeman	52/153 · 34%	5/11 · 45%	1/4
3Will Smith	12/73 · 16%	3/9	0/4
4Shohei Ohtani	41/135 · 30%	1/5	0/4
5Teoscar Hernández	31/125 · 25%	3/13 · 23%	1/4
6Max Muncy	31/148 · 21%	4/12 · 33%	0/4
7Enrique Hernández	4/36 · 11%	0/7	0/2
8Kyle Tucker	26/153 · 17%	3/13 · 23%	1/4
9Andy Pages	34/133 · 26%	2/6	2/4
Brewers
1Jackson Chourio	37/127 · 29%	3/12 · 25%	0/4
2Christian Yelich	27/117 · 23%	0/9	1/4
3William Contreras	42/147 · 29%	0/10 · 0%	2/4
4Brice Turang	42/150 · 28%	3/11 · 27%	0/4
5Jake Bauers	33/144 · 23%	1/10 · 10%	1/4
6Cooper Pratt	17/72 · 24%	3/10 · 30%	1/4
7Sal Frelick	17/109 · 16%	1/8	0/3
8Garrett Mitchell	31/144 · 22%	0/11 · 0%	1/4
9Joey Ortiz	24/119 · 20%	2/9	0/3

2+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Dodgers
1Mookie Betts	45/123 · 37%	6/12 · 50%	1/4
2Freddie Freeman	66/153 · 43%	5/11 · 45%	2/4
3Will Smith	25/73 · 34%	5/9	0/4
4Shohei Ohtani	59/135 · 44%	1/5	0/4
5Teoscar Hernández	45/125 · 36%	7/13 · 54%	1/4
6Max Muncy	59/148 · 40%	5/12 · 42%	3/4
7Enrique Hernández	6/36 · 17%	2/7	1/2
8Kyle Tucker	44/153 · 29%	4/13 · 31%	1/4
9Andy Pages	57/133 · 43%	3/6	2/4
Brewers
1Jackson Chourio	50/127 · 39%	4/12 · 33%	1/4
2Christian Yelich	45/117 · 38%	1/9	2/4
3William Contreras	65/147 · 44%	3/10 · 30%	3/4
4Brice Turang	64/150 · 43%	5/11 · 45%	0/4
5Jake Bauers	53/144 · 37%	3/10 · 30%	1/4
6Cooper Pratt	21/72 · 29%	4/10 · 40%	2/4
7Sal Frelick	28/109 · 26%	2/8	0/3
8Garrett Mitchell	46/144 · 32%	2/11 · 18%	1/4
9Joey Ortiz	37/119 · 31%	3/9	0/3

3+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Dodgers
1Mookie Betts	34/123 · 28%	5/12 · 42%	0/4
2Freddie Freeman	41/153 · 27%	1/11 · 9%	2/4
3Will Smith	15/73 · 21%	5/9	0/4
4Shohei Ohtani	46/135 · 34%	1/5	0/4
5Teoscar Hernández	25/125 · 20%	4/13 · 31%	1/4
6Max Muncy	37/148 · 25%	4/12 · 33%	3/4
7Enrique Hernández	5/36 · 14%	1/7	1/2
8Kyle Tucker	28/153 · 18%	3/13 · 23%	1/4
9Andy Pages	35/133 · 26%	3/6	0/4
Brewers
1Jackson Chourio	41/127 · 32%	3/12 · 25%	1/4
2Christian Yelich	26/117 · 22%	1/9	0/4
3William Contreras	31/147 · 21%	1/10 · 10%	2/4
4Brice Turang	42/150 · 28%	3/11 · 27%	0/4
5Jake Bauers	40/144 · 28%	1/10 · 10%	0/4
6Cooper Pratt	8/72 · 11%	0/10 · 0%	0/4
7Sal Frelick	13/109 · 12%	0/8	0/3
8Garrett Mitchell	26/144 · 18%	0/11 · 0%	1/4
9Joey Ortiz	19/119 · 16%	2/9	0/3

4+ TB — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Dodgers
1Mookie Betts	26/123 · 21%	4/12 · 33%	0/4
2Freddie Freeman	24/153 · 16%	0/11 · 0%	2/4
3Will Smith	11/73 · 15%	3/9	0/4
4Shohei Ohtani	34/135 · 25%	0/5	0/4
5Teoscar Hernández	21/125 · 17%	3/13 · 23%	1/4
6Max Muncy	29/148 · 20%	2/12 · 17%	3/4
7Enrique Hernández	4/36 · 11%	1/7	1/2
8Kyle Tucker	21/153 · 14%	3/13 · 23%	1/4
9Andy Pages	24/133 · 18%	3/6	0/4
Brewers
1Jackson Chourio	28/127 · 22%	2/12 · 17%	1/4
2Christian Yelich	18/117 · 15%	1/9	0/4
3William Contreras	23/147 · 16%	1/10 · 10%	2/4
4Brice Turang	28/150 · 19%	3/11 · 27%	0/4
5Jake Bauers	32/144 · 22%	0/10 · 0%	0/4
6Cooper Pratt	5/72 · 7%	0/10 · 0%	0/4
7Sal Frelick	7/109 · 6%	0/8	0/3
8Garrett Mitchell	19/144 · 13%	0/11 · 0%	1/4
9Joey Ortiz	15/119 · 13%	1/9	0/3

1+ K — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Dodgers
1Mookie Betts	48/123 · 39%	4/12 · 33%	2/4
2Freddie Freeman	81/153 · 53%	9/11 · 82%	2/4
3Will Smith	34/73 · 47%	5/9	3/4
4Shohei Ohtani	100/135 · 74%	4/5	3/4
5Teoscar Hernández	93/125 · 74%	12/13 · 92%	3/4
6Max Muncy	91/148 · 61%	7/12 · 58%	2/4
7Enrique Hernández	21/36 · 58%	4/7	1/2
8Kyle Tucker	83/153 · 54%	4/13 · 31%	2/4
9Andy Pages	80/133 · 60%	4/6	3/4
Brewers
1Jackson Chourio	86/127 · 68%	8/12 · 67%	1/4
2Christian Yelich	88/117 · 75%	7/9	2/4
3William Contreras	71/147 · 48%	6/10 · 60%	1/4
4Brice Turang	107/150 · 71%	9/11 · 82%	3/4
5Jake Bauers	99/144 · 69%	9/10 · 90%	2/4
6Cooper Pratt	35/72 · 49%	4/10 · 40%	1/4
7Sal Frelick	30/109 · 28%	0/8	1/3
8Garrett Mitchell	106/144 · 74%	9/11 · 82%	3/4
9Joey Ortiz	58/119 · 49%	5/9	2/3

2+ K — games that cleared it
Player	Season	L14	Post
Dodgers
1Mookie Betts	10/123 · 8%	1/12 · 8%	0/4
2Freddie Freeman	28/153 · 18%	3/11 · 27%	0/4
3Will Smith	10/73 · 14%	1/9	3/4
4Shohei Ohtani	47/135 · 35%	3/5	1/4
5Teoscar Hernández	32/125 · 26%	4/13 · 31%	3/4
6Max Muncy	37/148 · 25%	2/12 · 17%	0/4
7Enrique Hernández	5/36 · 14%	0/7	1/2
8Kyle Tucker	18/153 · 12%	0/13 · 0%	1/4
9Andy Pages	28/133 · 21%	2/6	1/4
Brewers
1Jackson Chourio	39/127 · 31%	4/12 · 33%	0/4
2Christian Yelich	40/117 · 34%	4/9	0/4
3William Contreras	20/147 · 14%	1/10 · 10%	0/4
4Brice Turang	50/150 · 33%	6/11 · 55%	0/4
5Jake Bauers	47/144 · 33%	7/10 · 70%	2/4
6Cooper Pratt	11/72 · 15%	2/10 · 20%	1/4
7Sal Frelick	7/109 · 6%	0/8	0/3
8Garrett Mitchell	46/144 · 32%	4/11 · 36%	2/4
9Joey Ortiz	17/119 · 14%	4/9	1/3

4+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Tarik Skubal	24/26 · 92%	5/6	1/1
Jacob Misiorowski	30/30 · 100%	6/6	1/1

5+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Tarik Skubal	23/26 · 88%	5/6	1/1
Jacob Misiorowski	29/30 · 97%	5/6	1/1

6+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Tarik Skubal	20/26 · 77%	4/6	1/1
Jacob Misiorowski	26/30 · 87%	3/6	1/1

7+ K — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Tarik Skubal	15/26 · 58%	3/6	1/1
Jacob Misiorowski	22/30 · 73%	2/6	0/1

3 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Tarik Skubal	5/26 · 19%	2/6	1/1
Jacob Misiorowski	15/30 · 50%	3/6	0/1

4 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Tarik Skubal	14/26 · 54%	4/6	1/1
Jacob Misiorowski	23/30 · 77%	4/6	1/1

5 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Tarik Skubal	19/26 · 73%	4/6	1/1
Jacob Misiorowski	29/30 · 97%	6/6	1/1

6 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Tarik Skubal	20/26 · 77%	4/6	1/1
Jacob Misiorowski	30/30 · 100%	6/6	1/1

1 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Tarik Skubal	16/26 · 62%	4/6	0/1
Jacob Misiorowski	17/30 · 57%	2/6	1/1

2 or fewer — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Tarik Skubal	26/26 · 100%	6/6	1/1
Jacob Misiorowski	24/30 · 80%	5/6	1/1

3+ — starts that cleared it
Starter	Season	Last 6 recorded	Post
Tarik Skubal	0/26 · 0%	0/6	0/1
Jacob Misiorowski	6/30 · 20%	1/6	0/1

regular season ends · 2 playoff game · strips run oldest → newest · tap a hitter for L28, the opponent, the series and the matchup. Built from the play-by-play feed, which does not pick up official scoring changes, so a season total can differ from MLB’s by a hit. Evidence, not picks: no odds are read and nothing here is scored.

Game Analysis

Context and interpretation

Team Identity

Los Angeles Dodgers

Season-to-date, 162 games, 6,374 PA.

A contact-oriented, patient offense that puts the ball in play and avoids empty at-bats. The bats have been heating up lately.

Power

Elite87

Contact

Elite95

Plate Discipline

Elite91

Speed

Below Avg35

RISP

Above Avg83

Recent Form

Trending Up

Total bases per PA is up 17% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

Milwaukee Brewers

Season-to-date, 162 games, 6,566 PA.

A patient, opportunistic offense that works counts and draws walks, though it can be light on power. The offense has cooled off recently.

Power

Well Below20

Contact

Above Avg76

Plate Discipline

Elite95

Speed

Above Avg67

RISP

Elite94

Recent Form

Trending Down

Total bases per PA is down 11% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

What This Game Is About

Biggest Advantage

Brewers bring the more patient profile, while Dodgers lean on being contact-oriented.

Swing Factor

Jacob Misiorowski strikes hitters out at a 37.3% clip (100th percentile); Dodgers carry a 19.8% strikeout rate.

Momentum

Dodgers are trending up and Brewers are trending down over their last 10 games.

Key Matchups

Can either lineup run up a starter's pitch count?

Dodgers' nine see 4.02 pitches per plate appearance against RHPs (league 3.89); Jacob Misiorowski averages ~88 pitches and 22.2 batters a start. Brewers' nine see 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against LHPs (league 3.89); Tarik Skubal averages ~91 pitches and 23.8 batters a start.

Edge · BrewersDodgers: 4.02 P/PABrewers: 4.03 P/PAModerate confidence

Which lineup has the platoon advantage?

4 of 9 in the Dodgers' last game's lineup bat from the other side of Jacob Misiorowski (RHP); 4 of 9 in the Brewers' last game's lineup bat from the other side of Tarik Skubal (LHP). Switch hitters count.

Edge · EvenDodgers: 4/9Brewers: 4/9Low confidence

Uses the last game's order where tonight's lineup is not posted.

Which bullpen is under more pressure?

Dodgers relievers ~83 pitches, with Diaz, Scott on back-to-back days; Brewers relievers ~151 pitches, with Uribe on back-to-back days (Oct 6–8).

Edge · DodgersDodgers: ~83 relief pitchesBrewers: ~151 relief pitchesModerate confidence

Through Oct 8, the feed's last day. Relief pitches are reconstructed from play-by-play.

Expected Game Shape

BalancedLow confidence

Competitive profile without a clear stylistic tilt. Dodgers bring stronger recent momentum. Dodgers bring more power. Starting pitching is likely to set the tone.

Both probable starters grade around the 86th percentile in combined suppression.
Dodgers are trending up; Brewers are trending down.

Storylines to Watch

Does Dodgers' power tilt the game?

Dodgers bring a clearly stronger extra-base profile into this matchup.

Dodgers power pct 87 vs Brewers 20

Is Will Smith the one to watch?

Will Smith enters as Dodgers' hottest bat. Total bases per PA is up 122% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 7 games.

0.370 hit rate · 0.704 TB/PA · 0.199 hit rate · 0.316 TB/PA

Can Hunter Feduccia snap out of it?

Hunter Feduccia has cooled off. Total bases per PA is down 100% over his prior baseline, with hits in 0 of his last 5 games.

0.000 hit rate · 0.000 TB/PA · 0.195 hit rate · 0.260 TB/PA

Based on plate appearances before 2026-10-11, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.