Texas Rangers
73-76 · 2nd in AL West, 2 GB
Bats heating upRHP Cal Quantrill · Pitches to contact
@
Arizona Diamondbacks
79-70 · 3rd in NL West, 11.5 GB
Offense cooling latelyLHP Eduardo Rodriguez · Pitches to contact
Team Identity
Texas Rangers
Season-to-date, 149 games, 5,724 PA.
A balanced offense without a standout strength or glaring weakness. The bats have been heating up lately.
PowerAverage54
ContactAverage49
Plate DisciplineAverage51
SpeedBelow Avg43
RISPAverage64
Recent FormTrending Up
Total bases per PA is up 7% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
Arizona Diamondbacks
Season-to-date, 149 games, 5,828 PA.
An aggressive offense that runs and pressures defenses on the bases, though it can be light on power. The offense has cooled off recently.
PowerBelow Avg30
ContactAverage55
Plate DisciplineAverage56
SpeedAbove Avg67
RISPBelow Avg43
Recent FormTrending Down
Total bases per PA is down 10% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
What This Game Is About
Biggest Advantage
D-backs' offense is defined by being aggressive, and this game tests whether Rangers can match it.
Swing Factor
D-backs rank in the 30th percentile in extra-base production, while Cal Quantrill sits in the 61st percentile at suppressing total bases.
Momentum
Rangers are trending up and D-backs are trending down over their last 10 games.
Key Matchups
Can Cal Quantrill limit D-backs' power?
D-backs rank in the 30th percentile in extra-base production, while Cal Quantrill sits in the 61st percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · Cal QuantrillD-backs: 0.338 TB/PACal Quantrill: 0.315 TB/PA allowed (429 PA)High confidence
Can Cal Quantrill miss enough bats?
Cal Quantrill strikes hitters out at a 17.9% clip (25th percentile); D-backs carry a 18.7% strikeout rate.
Edge · D-backsCal Quantrill: 17.9% K rateD-backs: 18.7% K rateHigh confidence
How do Rangers handle left-handers?
Rangers have produced better against left-handers this season (0.375 vs. 0.346 TB/PA overall).
Edge · Rangersvs left-handers: 0.375 TB/PA (1639 PA)overall: 0.346 TB/PAModerate confidence
Can Eduardo Rodriguez miss enough bats?
Eduardo Rodriguez strikes hitters out at a 17.8% clip (24th percentile); Rangers carry a 22.1% strikeout rate.
Edge · RangersEduardo Rodriguez: 17.8% K rateRangers: 22.1% K rateHigh confidence
How do D-backs handle right-handers?
D-backs have produced worse against right-handers this season (0.325 vs. 0.338 TB/PA overall).
Edge · Cal Quantrillvs right-handers: 0.325 TB/PA (4192 PA)overall: 0.338 TB/PAModerate confidence
Pitcher Trends
Cal Quantrill
Texas Rangers · 8 starts
Strikeouts5.6/start
Hits allowed3.9/start
5+ Strikeouts — 5 of last 64 or fewer Hits Allowed — 4 of last 6
18% K ratePer-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Eduardo Rodriguez
Arizona Diamondbacks · 8 starts
Strikeouts5.2/start
Hits allowed5.4/start
5 or fewer Hits Allowed — 5 of last 65+ Strikeouts — 4 of last 6
18% K ratePer-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Player Trends
Danny Jansen
Texas Rangers · 0.333 hit rate · 0.500 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L107 / 10L2511 / 253-game hit streak
Hit rate is up 147% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 6 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 11%.
Nicky Lopez
Texas Rangers · 0.333 hit rate · 0.389 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L103 / 10L258 / 25
Total bases per PA is up 47% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 7 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 11%.
Nolan Arenado
Arizona Diamondbacks · 0.195 hit rate · 0.439 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L53 / 5L105 / 10L2513 / 25
On-base rate is up 29% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 10 games.
Cody Freeman
Texas Rangers · 0.100 hit rate · 0.100 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L51 / 5L104 / 10L2513 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 70% over his prior baseline, with hits in 2 of his last 8 games.
Corbin Carroll
Arizona Diamondbacks · 0.129 hit rate · 0.290 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L53 / 5L104 / 10L2513 / 25
On-base rate is down 61% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 8 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 39%.
Ryan Waldschmidt
Arizona Diamondbacks · 0.074 hit rate · 0.074 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L51 / 5L104 / 10L2511 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 78% over his prior baseline, with hits in 2 of his last 7 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 41%.
Players Positioned to Succeed
72
Corey Seager
1+ Hit
Texas Rangers
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
71
Gabriel Moreno
1+ Hit
Arizona Diamondbacks
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
70
Ketel Marte
1+ Hit
Arizona Diamondbacks
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
66
Josh Jung
1+ Hit
Texas Rangers
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
66
Brandon Nimmo
1+ Hit
Texas Rangers
Why it stands out
Recent form supports the pick
Main risk
Recent hit rate has cooled
64
Ezequiel Duran
1+ Hit
Texas Rangers
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Ice cold — 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Expected Game Shape
BalancedLow confidence
Competitive profile without a clear stylistic tilt. Rangers bring stronger recent momentum. Rangers bring more power.
Early edge Rangers Driver No single dominant factor Volatility Elevated
- Both probable starters grade around the 53rd percentile in combined suppression.
- Rangers are trending up; D-backs are trending down.
Storylines to Watch
Is Danny Jansen the one to watch?
Danny Jansen enters as Rangers' hottest bat. Hit rate is up 147% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 6 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 11%.
0.333 hit rate · 0.500 TB/PA · 0.135 hit rate · 0.270 TB/PA
Can Cody Freeman snap out of it?
Cody Freeman has cooled off. Total bases per PA is down 70% over his prior baseline, with hits in 2 of his last 8 games.
0.100 hit rate · 0.100 TB/PA · 0.257 hit rate · 0.338 TB/PA
Based on plate appearances before 2026-09-13, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.