Sports Today Sunday, September 20
← Back to today’s slate MLB matchup · September 20, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers
97-58 · 1st in NL Central
Bats heating up
RHP Jacob Misiorowski · Elite strikeout stuff · plus control
@
Baltimore Orioles
75-80 · 5th in AL East, 19.5 GB
Bats heating up
RHP Brandon Young · Pitches to contact
MLB · Oriole Park at Camden Yards · 4:20 PM PT

Team Identity

Milwaukee Brewers
Season-to-date, 155 games, 6,294 PA.
An opportunistic, patient offense that cashes in scoring chances, though it can be light on power. The bats have been heating up lately.
Power
Well Below19
Contact
Above Avg76
Plate Discipline
Elite96
Speed
Above Avg67
RISP
Elite97
Recent Form
Trending Up
Total bases per PA is up 20% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
Baltimore Orioles
Season-to-date, 155 games, 6,027 PA.
A patient offense that works counts and draws walks, though it can be station-to-station. The bats have been heating up lately.
Power
Average51
Contact
Well Below21
Plate Discipline
Elite86
Speed
Well Below17
RISP
Average52
Recent Form
Trending Up
Total bases per PA is up 9% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

What This Game Is About

Biggest Advantage

Orioles bring the more patient profile, while Brewers lean on being opportunistic.

Swing Factor

Jacob Misiorowski strikes hitters out at a 37.7% clip (100th percentile); Orioles carry a 24.1% strikeout rate.

Momentum

Brewers are trending up and Orioles are trending up over their last 10 games.

Key Matchups

Can Jacob Misiorowski miss enough bats?
Jacob Misiorowski strikes hitters out at a 37.7% clip (100th percentile); Orioles carry a 24.1% strikeout rate.
Edge · Jacob MisiorowskiJacob Misiorowski: 37.7% K rateOrioles: 24.1% K rateHigh confidence
Can Brandon Young miss enough bats?
Brandon Young strikes hitters out at a 18.2% clip (27th percentile); Brewers carry a 20.7% strikeout rate.
Edge · BrewersBrandon Young: 18.2% K rateBrewers: 20.7% K rateHigh confidence
Can Brandon Young command the strike zone?
Brewers walk in 10.1% of trips; Brandon Young allows walks at a fairly typical rate (8.6%).
Edge · Brandon YoungBrewers: 10.1% walk rateBrandon Young: 8.6% walks allowedHigh confidence
Can Jacob Misiorowski limit Orioles' power?
Orioles rank in the 51st percentile in extra-base production, while Jacob Misiorowski sits in the 95th percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · Jacob MisiorowskiOrioles: 0.339 TB/PAJacob Misiorowski: 0.228 TB/PA allowed (645 PA)High confidence
Can Jacob Misiorowski command the strike zone?
Orioles walk in 9.4% of trips; Jacob Misiorowski allows walks sparingly (6.5%).
Edge · Jacob MisiorowskiOrioles: 9.4% walk rateJacob Misiorowski: 6.5% walks allowedHigh confidence

Pitcher Trends

Jacob Misiorowski
Jacob Misiorowski
Milwaukee Brewers · 8 starts
SP
Strikeouts7.2/start
Hits allowed3.9/start
6+ Strikeouts — 5 of last 65 or fewer Hits Allowed — 6 of last 6
38% K rate
Per-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Brandon Young
Brandon Young
Baltimore Orioles · 8 starts
SP
Strikeouts4.1/start
Hits allowed6.0/start
4 or fewer Strikeouts — 4 of last 65 or fewer Hits Allowed — 3 of last 6
18% K rate
Per-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.

Player Trends

Brice Turang
Brice Turang
Milwaukee Brewers · 0.298 hit rate · 0.489 TB/PA
Heating up
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L107 / 10L2515 / 253-game hit streak
On-base rate is up 58% over his prior baseline, with hits in 7 of his last 9 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 15%.
Joey Ortiz
Joey Ortiz
Milwaukee Brewers · 0.378 hit rate · 0.541 TB/PA
Heating up
recent games · 1+ hit
L55 / 5L1010 / 10L2521 / 2510-game hit streak
Hit rate is up 75% over his prior baseline, with hits in 9 of his last 9 games.
William Contreras
William Contreras
Milwaukee Brewers · 0.256 hit rate · 0.538 TB/PA
Heating up
recent games · 1+ hit
L55 / 5L109 / 10L2520 / 258-game hit streak
Total bases per PA is up 56% over his prior baseline, with hits in 8 of his last 8 games.
David Hamilton
David Hamilton
Milwaukee Brewers · 0.118 hit rate · 0.118 TB/PA
Cooling off
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L105 / 10L2513 / 25
On-base rate is down 59% over his prior baseline, with hits in 2 of his last 6 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 41%.
Andrew Vaughn
Andrew Vaughn
Milwaukee Brewers · 0.200 hit rate · 0.250 TB/PA
Cooling off
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L105 / 10L2518 / 25
On-base rate is down 34% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 7 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 20%.
Luis Lara
Luis Lara
Milwaukee Brewers · 0.176 hit rate · 0.206 TB/PA
Cooling off
recent games · 1+ hit
L53 / 5L106 / 10L2518 / 25
On-base rate is down 36% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 8 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 24%.

Players Positioned to Succeed

83
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
1+ Hit
Milwaukee Brewers
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Recent hit rate has cooled
83
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
1+ Hit
Milwaukee Brewers
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Ice cold — 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
74
William Contreras
William Contreras
1+ Hit
Milwaukee Brewers
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
74
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
72
Adley Rutschman
Adley Rutschman
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Batting 3rd, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Ice cold — 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
70
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted

Expected Game Shape

Starter-drivenModerate confidence

Runs may be at a premium if the starters hold form. Orioles bring more power. Starting pitching is likely to set the tone.

Early edge Brewers Driver Pitching and command Volatility Moderate
  • Both probable starters grade around the 63rd percentile in combined suppression.
  • Brewers are trending up; Orioles are trending up.

Storylines to Watch

Can Orioles handle Jacob Misiorowski's strikeout stuff?
Orioles have been a below-average contact team while Jacob Misiorowski misses bats at an above-average rate — a swing factor early.
Orioles contact percentile: 21
Can David Hamilton snap out of it?
David Hamilton has cooled off. On-base rate is down 59% over his prior baseline, with hits in 2 of his last 6 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 41%.
0.118 hit rate · 0.118 TB/PA · 0.202 hit rate · 0.279 TB/PA
Is Brice Turang the one to watch?
Brice Turang enters as Brewers' hottest bat. On-base rate is up 58% over his prior baseline, with hits in 7 of his last 9 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 15%.
0.298 hit rate · 0.489 TB/PA · 0.213 hit rate · 0.352 TB/PA
Based on plate appearances before 2026-09-20, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.