Sports Today Friday, September 11
← Back to today’s slate MLB matchup · September 11, 2026
Los Angeles Dodgers
89-57 · 1st in NL West
Offense cooling lately
LHP Blake Snell · Elite strikeout stuff
@
Miami Marlins
72-75 · 3rd in NL East, 14 GB
Bats heating up
RHP Ryan Gusto · Command specialist
MLB · loanDepot park · 4:10 PM PT

Team Identity

Los Angeles Dodgers
Season-to-date, 146 games, 5,735 PA.
A contact-oriented, opportunistic offense that puts the ball in play and avoids empty at-bats, though it can be station-to-station. The offense has cooled off recently.
Power
Above Avg84
Contact
Elite93
Plate Discipline
Elite91
Speed
Below Avg30
RISP
Elite92
Recent Form
Trending Down
Hit rate is down 11% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
Miami Marlins
Season-to-date, 147 games, 5,782 PA.
An aggressive, contact-oriented offense that runs and pressures defenses on the bases, though it can be light on power. The bats have been heating up lately.
Power
Below Avg30
Contact
Above Avg67
Plate Discipline
Average52
Speed
Above Avg80
RISP
Average46
Recent Form
Trending Up
Total bases per PA is up 20% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

What This Game Is About

Biggest Advantage

Marlins bring the more aggressive profile, while Dodgers lean on being contact-oriented.

Swing Factor

Marlins rank in the 30th percentile in extra-base production, while Blake Snell sits in the 99th percentile at suppressing total bases.

Momentum

Dodgers are trending down and Marlins are trending up over their last 10 games.

Key Matchups

Can Blake Snell limit Marlins' power?
Marlins rank in the 30th percentile in extra-base production, while Blake Snell sits in the 99th percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · Blake SnellMarlins: 0.340 TB/PABlake Snell: 0.182 TB/PA allowed (143 PA)Low confidence
Can Ryan Gusto limit Dodgers' power?
Dodgers rank in the 84th percentile in extra-base production, while Ryan Gusto sits in the 22nd percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · DodgersDodgers: 0.362 TB/PARyan Gusto: 0.387 TB/PA allowed (326 PA)High confidence
Can Blake Snell miss enough bats?
Blake Snell strikes hitters out at a 30.1% clip (95th percentile); Marlins carry a 20.8% strikeout rate.
Edge · MarlinsBlake Snell: 30.1% K rateMarlins: 20.8% K rateLow confidence
Can Ryan Gusto miss enough bats?
Ryan Gusto strikes hitters out at a 19.0% clip (32nd percentile); Dodgers carry a 20.0% strikeout rate.
Edge · DodgersRyan Gusto: 19.0% K rateDodgers: 20.0% K rateHigh confidence
Can Ryan Gusto command the strike zone?
Dodgers walk in 9.7% of trips; Ryan Gusto allows walks sparingly (6.7%).
Edge · Ryan GustoDodgers: 9.7% walk rateRyan Gusto: 6.7% walks allowedHigh confidence

Pitcher Trends

Blake Snell
Blake Snell
Los Angeles Dodgers · 6 starts
SP
Strikeouts7.2/start
Hits allowed3.5/start
5+ Strikeouts — 6 of last 64 or fewer Hits Allowed — 4 of last 6
30% K rate
Per-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Ryan Gusto
Ryan Gusto
Miami Marlins · 8 starts
SP
Strikeouts3.9/start
Hits allowed5.8/start
4 or fewer Strikeouts — 4 of last 64 or fewer Hits Allowed — 3 of last 6
19% K rate
Per-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.

Player Trends

Teoscar Hernandez
Teoscar Hernandez
Los Angeles Dodgers · 0.400 hit rate · 0.644 TB/PA
Heating up
recent games · 1+ hit
L55 / 5L1010 / 10L2519 / 2510-game hit streak
Total bases per PA is up 89% over his prior baseline, with hits in 10 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 16%.
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
Miami Marlins · 0.366 hit rate · 0.512 TB/PA
Heating up
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L107 / 10L2514 / 254-game hit streak
Hit rate is up 118% over his prior baseline, with hits in 7 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 7%.
Graham Pauley
Graham Pauley
Miami Marlins · 0.231 hit rate · 0.538 TB/PA
Heating up
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L105 / 10L2510 / 252-game hit streak
Total bases per PA is up 97% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 6 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 19%.
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani
Los Angeles Dodgers · 0.050 hit rate · 0.050 TB/PA
Cooling off
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L104 / 10L2513 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 89% over his prior baseline, with hits in 1 of his last 4 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 40%.
Hunter Feduccia
Hunter Feduccia
Los Angeles Dodgers · 0.118 hit rate · 0.118 TB/PA
Cooling off
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L104 / 10L2514 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 62% over his prior baseline, with hits in 2 of his last 6 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 35%.
Agustin Ramirez
Agustin Ramirez
Miami Marlins · 0.095 hit rate · 0.238 TB/PA
Cooling off
recent games · 1+ hit
L51 / 5L103 / 10L259 / 25
On-base rate is down 71% over his prior baseline, with hits in 2 of his last 7 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 29%.

Players Positioned to Succeed

79
Javier Sanoja
Javier Sanoja
1+ Hit
Miami Marlins
Why it stands out
Batting 4th, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
79
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Batting 3rd, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
77
Teoscar Hernandez
Teoscar Hernandez
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Batting 6th, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
77
Tommy Edman
Tommy Edman
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Batting 1st, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Ice cold — 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
75
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
1+ Hit
Miami Marlins
Why it stands out
Batting 2nd, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
74
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
1+ Hit
Miami Marlins
Why it stands out
Batting 3rd, confirmed lineup
No notable risk

Expected Game Shape

BalancedLow confidence

Competitive profile without a clear stylistic tilt. Marlins bring stronger recent momentum. Dodgers bring more power. Starting pitching is likely to set the tone.

Early edge Dodgers Driver No single dominant factor Volatility Elevated
  • Both probable starters grade around the 59th percentile in combined suppression.
  • Dodgers are trending down; Marlins are trending up.

Storylines to Watch

Does Dodgers' power tilt the game?
Dodgers bring a clearly stronger extra-base profile into this matchup.
Dodgers power pct 84 vs Marlins 30
Is Teoscar Hernandez the one to watch?
Teoscar Hernandez enters as Dodgers' hottest bat. Total bases per PA is up 89% over his prior baseline, with hits in 10 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 16%.
0.400 hit rate · 0.644 TB/PA · 0.218 hit rate · 0.342 TB/PA
Can Shohei Ohtani snap out of it?
Shohei Ohtani has cooled off. Total bases per PA is down 89% over his prior baseline, with hits in 1 of his last 4 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 40%.
0.050 hit rate · 0.050 TB/PA · 0.233 hit rate · 0.441 TB/PA
Based on plate appearances before 2026-09-11, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.