← Back to today’s slate MLB matchup · September 13, 2026
Cleveland Guardians
75-74 · 2nd in AL Central, 1.5 GB
Offense cooling lately
RHP Tanner Bibee · Pitches to contact
@
Minnesota Twins
70-78 · 3rd in AL Central, 6 GB
Offense cooling lately
RHP Joe Ryan · High-strikeout arm · plus control
MLB · Target Field · 11:10 AM PT

Team Identity

Cleveland Guardians
Season-to-date, 149 games, 5,832 PA.
An aggressive, patient offense that runs and pressures defenses on the bases, though it can be light on power. The offense has cooled off recently.
Power
Well Below7
Contact
Below Avg36
Plate Discipline
Above Avg67
Speed
Elite85
RISP
Well Below7
Recent Form
Trending Down
Walk rate is down 20% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
Minnesota Twins
Season-to-date, 148 games, 5,766 PA.
An opportunistic, power-hitting offense that cashes in scoring chances, though it can be station-to-station. The offense has cooled off recently.
Power
Above Avg67
Contact
Average64
Plate Discipline
Below Avg43
Speed
Below Avg28
RISP
Elite85
Recent Form
Trending Down
Hit rate is down 11% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

What This Game Is About

Biggest Advantage

Twins bring the more opportunistic profile, while Guardians lean on being aggressive.

Swing Factor

Joe Ryan strikes hitters out at a 25.7% clip (80th percentile); Guardians carry a 20.4% strikeout rate.

Momentum

Guardians are trending down and Twins are trending down over their last 10 games.

Key Matchups

Can Joe Ryan miss enough bats?
Joe Ryan strikes hitters out at a 25.7% clip (80th percentile); Guardians carry a 20.4% strikeout rate.
Edge · Joe RyanJoe Ryan: 25.7% K rateGuardians: 20.4% K rateHigh confidence
Can Tanner Bibee miss enough bats?
Tanner Bibee strikes hitters out at a 18.4% clip (29th percentile); Twins carry a 20.3% strikeout rate.
Edge · TwinsTanner Bibee: 18.4% K rateTwins: 20.3% K rateHigh confidence
Can Tanner Bibee limit Twins' power?
Twins rank in the 67th percentile in extra-base production, while Tanner Bibee sits in the 35th percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · TwinsTwins: 0.349 TB/PATanner Bibee: 0.364 TB/PA allowed (717 PA)High confidence
Can Joe Ryan limit Guardians' power?
Guardians rank in the 7th percentile in extra-base production, while Joe Ryan sits in the 34th percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · Joe RyanGuardians: 0.316 TB/PAJoe Ryan: 0.365 TB/PA allowed (564 PA)High confidence
How do Twins handle right-handers?
Twins have produced better against right-handers this season (0.367 vs. 0.349 TB/PA overall).
Edge · Twinsvs right-handers: 0.367 TB/PA (4007 PA)overall: 0.349 TB/PAModerate confidence

Pitcher Trends

Tanner Bibee
Tanner Bibee
Cleveland Guardians · 8 starts
SP
Strikeouts4.5/start
Hits allowed5.1/start
4 or fewer Strikeouts — 4 of last 65 or fewer Hits Allowed — 3 of last 6
18% K rate
Per-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan
Minnesota Twins · 8 starts
SP
Strikeouts5.8/start
Hits allowed6.4/start
6+ Hits Allowed — 4 of last 64 or fewer Strikeouts — 3 of last 6
26% K rate
Per-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.

Player Trends

Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
Cleveland Guardians · 0.333 hit rate · 0.600 TB/PA
Heating up
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L106 / 10L2514 / 252-game hit streak
Total bases per PA is up 95% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 8 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 10%.
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
Minnesota Twins · 0.233 hit rate · 0.442 TB/PA
Heating up
recent games · 1+ hit
L55 / 5L107 / 10L2517 / 255-game hit streak
On-base rate is up 33% over his prior baseline, with hits in 7 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 19%.
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
Cleveland Guardians · 0.172 hit rate · 0.414 TB/PA
Heating up
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L105 / 10L2514 / 25
On-base rate is up 44% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 9 games.
Jose Ramirez
Jose Ramirez
Cleveland Guardians · 0.098 hit rate · 0.098 TB/PA
Cooling off
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L104 / 10L2515 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 70% over his prior baseline, with hits in 4 of his last 9 games.
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
Cleveland Guardians · 0.156 hit rate · 0.178 TB/PA
Cooling off
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L106 / 10L2515 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 53% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 10 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 31%.
Kaelen Culpepper
Kaelen Culpepper
Minnesota Twins · 0.205 hit rate · 0.256 TB/PA
Cooling off
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L105 / 10L2518 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 40% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 10 games.

Players Positioned to Succeed

72
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
1+ Hit
Cleveland Guardians
Why it stands out
Batting 1st, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
72
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
1+ Hit
Minnesota Twins
Why it stands out
Batting 1st, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Ice cold — 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
70
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
1+ Hit
Minnesota Twins
Why it stands out
Batting 2nd, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
68
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
1+ Hit
Minnesota Twins
Why it stands out
Batting 3rd, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
63
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
1+ Hit
Cleveland Guardians
Why it stands out
Batting 4th, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
63
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
1+ Hit
Cleveland Guardians
Why it stands out
Batting 2nd, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Recent hit rate has cooled

Expected Game Shape

BalancedLow confidence

Competitive profile without a clear stylistic tilt. Twins bring more power.

Early edge Twins Driver No single dominant factor Volatility Moderate
  • Both probable starters grade around the 54th percentile in combined suppression.
  • Guardians are trending down; Twins are trending down.

Storylines to Watch

Does Twins' power tilt the game?
Twins bring a clearly stronger extra-base profile into this matchup.
Guardians power pct 7 vs Twins 67
Is Travis Bazzana the one to watch?
Travis Bazzana enters as Guardians' hottest bat. Total bases per PA is up 95% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 8 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 10%.
0.333 hit rate · 0.600 TB/PA · 0.200 hit rate · 0.307 TB/PA
Can Jose Ramirez snap out of it?
Jose Ramirez has cooled off. Total bases per PA is down 70% over his prior baseline, with hits in 4 of his last 9 games.
0.098 hit rate · 0.098 TB/PA · 0.201 hit rate · 0.323 TB/PA
Based on plate appearances before 2026-09-13, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.