Toronto Blue Jays
73-73 · 4th in AL East, 14 GB
Bats heating upRHP Braydon Fisher · Balanced starter
@
Athletics
58-88 · 4th in AL West, 16.5 GB
Offense cooling latelyLHP Brady Basso · Pitches to contact
Team Identity
Toronto Blue Jays
Season-to-date, 146 games, 5,585 PA.
A contact-oriented offense that puts the ball in play and avoids empty at-bats, though it can be free-swinging. The bats have been heating up lately.
PowerWell Below24
ContactAbove Avg82
Plate DisciplineWell Below16
SpeedAverage50
RISPBelow Avg29
Recent FormTrending Up
Walk rate is up 17% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
Athletics
Season-to-date, 146 games, 5,715 PA.
An opportunistic offense that cashes in scoring chances. The offense has cooled off recently.
PowerAverage66
ContactAverage62
Plate DisciplineBelow Avg41
SpeedBelow Avg33
RISPAbove Avg77
Recent FormTrending Down
Walk rate is down 13% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
What This Game Is About
Biggest Advantage
Athletics bring the more opportunistic profile, while Blue Jays lean on being contact-oriented.
Swing Factor
Brady Basso strikes hitters out at a 16.1% clip (13th percentile); Blue Jays carry a 18.7% strikeout rate.
Momentum
Blue Jays are trending up and Athletics are trending down over their last 10 games.
Key Matchups
Can Brady Basso miss enough bats?
Brady Basso strikes hitters out at a 16.1% clip (13th percentile); Blue Jays carry a 18.7% strikeout rate.
Edge · Blue JaysBrady Basso: 16.1% K rateBlue Jays: 18.7% K rateLow confidence
Can Brady Basso command the strike zone?
Blue Jays walk in 7.2% of trips; Brady Basso allows walks sparingly (3.4%).
Edge · Brady BassoBlue Jays: 7.2% walk rateBrady Basso: 3.4% walks allowedLow confidence
How do Blue Jays handle left-handers?
Blue Jays have produced worse against left-handers this season (0.314 vs. 0.339 TB/PA overall).
Edge · Brady Bassovs left-handers: 0.314 TB/PA (1646 PA)overall: 0.339 TB/PAModerate confidence
Can Braydon Fisher miss enough bats?
Braydon Fisher strikes hitters out at a 22.7% clip (61st percentile); Athletics carry a 21.9% strikeout rate.
Edge · AthleticsBraydon Fisher: 22.7% K rateAthletics: 21.9% K rateHigh confidence
Can Braydon Fisher limit Athletics' power?
Athletics rank in the 66th percentile in extra-base production, while Braydon Fisher sits in the 86th percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · Braydon FisherAthletics: 0.350 TB/PABraydon Fisher: 0.263 TB/PA allowed (300 PA)High confidence
Player Trends
Myles Straw
Toronto Blue Jays · 0.321 hit rate · 0.357 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L53 / 5L107 / 10L2513 / 25
On-base rate is up 84% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 9 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 7%.
Kazuma Okamoto
Toronto Blue Jays · 0.263 hit rate · 0.553 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L107 / 10L2519 / 252-game hit streak
Total bases per PA is up 43% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 9 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 24%.
Max Muncy
Athletics · 0.276 hit rate · 0.483 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L106 / 10L2513 / 25
Total bases per PA is up 53% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 8 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 28%.
Ernie Clement
Toronto Blue Jays · 0.158 hit rate · 0.184 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L53 / 5L105 / 10L2514 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 50% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 10 games.
Lawrence Butler
Athletics · 0.174 hit rate · 0.261 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L107 / 10L2520 / 25
On-base rate is down 31% over his prior baseline, with hits in 7 of his last 10 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 35%.
George Springer
Toronto Blue Jays · 0.182 hit rate · 0.303 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L53 / 5L107 / 10L2515 / 25
On-base rate is down 33% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 8 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 21%.
Players Positioned to Succeed
78
Henry Bolte
1+ Hit
Athletics
Why it stands out
Batting 1st, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
74
Brett Bateman
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
72
Zack Gelof
1+ Hit
Athletics
Why it stands out
Batting 3rd, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
69
Lawrence Butler
1+ Hit
Athletics
Why it stands out
Batting 2nd, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Ice cold — 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
67
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
67
Alejandro Kirk
1+ Hit
Toronto Blue Jays
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Expected Game Shape
BalancedLow confidence
Competitive profile without a clear stylistic tilt. Blue Jays bring stronger recent momentum. Athletics bring more power.
Early edge Blue Jays Driver No single dominant factor Volatility Elevated
- Both probable starters grade around the 46th percentile in combined suppression.
- Blue Jays are trending up; Athletics are trending down.
Storylines to Watch
Does Athletics' power tilt the game?
Athletics bring a clearly stronger extra-base profile into this matchup.
Blue Jays power pct 24 vs Athletics 66
Can Ernie Clement snap out of it?
Ernie Clement has cooled off. Total bases per PA is down 50% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 10 games.
0.158 hit rate · 0.184 TB/PA · 0.263 hit rate · 0.371 TB/PA
Is Myles Straw the one to watch?
Myles Straw enters as Blue Jays' hottest bat. On-base rate is up 84% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 9 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 7%.
0.321 hit rate · 0.357 TB/PA · 0.197 hit rate · 0.301 TB/PA
Based on plate appearances before 2026-09-09, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.