Sports Today Wednesday, September 2
← Back to today’s slate MLB matchup · September 2, 2026
Baltimore Orioles
69-70 · 4th in AL East, 14.5 GB
Offense cooling lately
LHP Trevor Rogers · Command specialist
@
Colorado Rockies
53-86 · 5th in NL West, 29.5 GB
Offense cooling lately
RHP Tomoyuki Sugano · Pitches to contact
MLB · Coors Field, hits run 12% above average here · 12:10 PM PT

Team Identity

Baltimore Orioles
Season-to-date, 139 games, 5,404 PA.
A patient offense that works counts and draws walks, though it can be strikeout-prone. The offense has cooled off recently.
Power
Average54
Contact
Well Below23
Plate Discipline
Elite88
Speed
Below Avg25
RISP
Average62
Recent Form
Trending Down
Walk rate is down 22% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
Colorado Rockies
Season-to-date, 139 games, 5,479 PA.
A contact-oriented, power-hitting offense that puts the ball in play and avoids empty at-bats, though it can be free-swinging. The offense has cooled off recently.
Power
Above Avg72
Contact
Above Avg73
Plate Discipline
Below Avg28
Speed
Average48
RISP
Above Avg70
Recent Form
Trending Down
Total bases per PA is down 8% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

What This Game Is About

Biggest Advantage

Rockies bring the more contact-oriented profile, while Orioles lean on being patient.

Swing Factor

Tomoyuki Sugano strikes hitters out at a 13.5% clip (4th percentile); Orioles carry a 23.6% strikeout rate.

Momentum

Orioles are trending down and Rockies are trending down over their last 10 games.

Key Matchups

Can Tomoyuki Sugano miss enough bats?
Tomoyuki Sugano strikes hitters out at a 13.5% clip (4th percentile); Orioles carry a 23.6% strikeout rate.
Edge · OriolesTomoyuki Sugano: 13.5% K rateOrioles: 23.6% K rateHigh confidence
Can Tomoyuki Sugano limit Orioles' power?
Orioles rank in the 54th percentile in extra-base production, while Tomoyuki Sugano sits in the 1st percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · OriolesOrioles: 0.340 TB/PATomoyuki Sugano: 0.491 TB/PA allowed (554 PA)High confidence
Can Trevor Rogers limit Rockies' power?
Rockies rank in the 72nd percentile in extra-base production, while Trevor Rogers sits in the 31st percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · RockiesRockies: 0.358 TB/PATrevor Rogers: 0.368 TB/PA allowed (595 PA)High confidence
Can Tomoyuki Sugano command the strike zone?
Orioles walk in 9.6% of trips; Tomoyuki Sugano allows walks sparingly (5.2%).
Edge · Tomoyuki SuganoOrioles: 9.6% walk rateTomoyuki Sugano: 5.2% walks allowedHigh confidence
Can Trevor Rogers miss enough bats?
Trevor Rogers strikes hitters out at a 20.3% clip (42nd percentile); Rockies carry a 21.9% strikeout rate.
Edge · RockiesTrevor Rogers: 20.3% K rateRockies: 21.9% K rateHigh confidence

Pitcher Trends

Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers
Baltimore Orioles · 8 starts
SP
Strikeouts6.5/start
Hits allowed6.0/start
6+ Strikeouts — 5 of last 66+ Hits Allowed — 4 of last 6
20% K rate
Per-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Tomoyuki Sugano
Tomoyuki Sugano
Colorado Rockies · 8 starts
SP
Strikeouts3.4/start
Hits allowed6.8/start
5+ Hits Allowed — 6 of last 64 or fewer Strikeouts — 5 of last 6
14% K rate
Per-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.

Player Trends

Troy Johnston
Troy Johnston
Colorado Rockies · 0.304 hit rate · 0.522 TB/PA
Heating up
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L107 / 10L2515 / 253-game hit streak
Total bases per PA is up 53% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 8 games.
Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
Colorado Rockies · 0.269 hit rate · 0.423 TB/PA
Heating up
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L105 / 10L2513 / 25
Hit rate is up 49% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 8 games.
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
Baltimore Orioles · 0.281 hit rate · 0.500 TB/PA
Heating up
recent games · 1+ hit
L55 / 5L107 / 10L2515 / 256-game hit streak
Hit rate is up 51% over his prior baseline, with hits in 7 of his last 8 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 28%.
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
Colorado Rockies · 0.158 hit rate · 0.184 TB/PA
Cooling off
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L106 / 10L2514 / 253-game hit streak
Total bases per PA is down 62% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 9 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 29%.
Cole Carrigg
Cole Carrigg
Colorado Rockies · 0.111 hit rate · 0.222 TB/PA
Cooling off
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L103 / 10L2514 / 25
On-base rate is down 61% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 9 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 25%.
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
Baltimore Orioles · 0.116 hit rate · 0.233 TB/PA
Cooling off
recent games · 1+ hit
L51 / 5L103 / 10L2513 / 25
Hit rate is down 42% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 10 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 30%.

Players Positioned to Succeed

77
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
1+ Hit
Colorado Rockies
Why it stands out
Batting 1st, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
75
Jackson Holliday
Jackson Holliday
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Batting 1st, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
70
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Batting 2nd, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Ice cold — 2 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
70
Connor Norby
Connor Norby
1+ Hit
Colorado Rockies
Why it stands out
Batting 2nd, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
69
Taylor Ward
Taylor Ward
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Batting 5th, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Ice cold — 2 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
66
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Batting 3rd, confirmed lineup
No notable risk

Expected Game Shape

Power-orientedModerate confidence

Both lineups can change the game with one swing. Rockies bring more power.

Early edge Orioles Driver Extra-base damage Volatility Moderate
  • Both probable starters grade around the 36th percentile in combined suppression.
  • Orioles are trending down; Rockies are trending down.

Storylines to Watch

Can Mickey Moniak snap out of it?
Mickey Moniak has cooled off. Total bases per PA is down 62% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 9 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 29%.
0.158 hit rate · 0.184 TB/PA · 0.237 hit rate · 0.486 TB/PA
Is Troy Johnston the one to watch?
Troy Johnston enters as Rockies' hottest bat. Total bases per PA is up 53% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 8 games.
0.304 hit rate · 0.522 TB/PA · 0.245 hit rate · 0.341 TB/PA
Based on plate appearances before 2026-09-02, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.