Sports Today Sunday, September 6
← Back to today’s slate MLB matchup · September 6, 2026
Arizona Diamondbacks
75-68 · 2nd in NL West, 10.5 GB
Offense cooling lately
LHP Eduardo Rodriguez · Pitches to contact
@
Houston Astros
73-70 · 1st in AL West
Offense cooling lately
RHP Peter Lambert · Balanced starter
MLB · Daikin Park · 11:10 AM PT

Team Identity

Arizona Diamondbacks
Season-to-date, 143 games, 5,586 PA.
An aggressive offense that runs and pressures defenses on the bases. The offense has cooled off recently.
Power
Below Avg37
Contact
Average54
Plate Discipline
Average55
Speed
Above Avg68
RISP
Average46
Recent Form
Trending Down
Total bases per PA is down 12% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
Houston Astros
Season-to-date, 143 games, 5,535 PA.
A power-hitting offense that does damage on extra-base hits, though it can be station-to-station. The offense has cooled off recently.
Power
Above Avg79
Contact
Average45
Plate Discipline
Average53
Speed
Well Below6
RISP
Average63
Recent Form
Trending Down
Total bases per PA is down 12% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

What This Game Is About

Biggest Advantage

Astros bring the more power-hitting profile, while D-backs lean on being aggressive.

Swing Factor

D-backs rank in the 37th percentile in extra-base production, while Peter Lambert sits in the 77th percentile at suppressing total bases.

Momentum

D-backs are trending down and Astros are trending down over their last 10 games.

Key Matchups

Can Peter Lambert limit D-backs' power?
D-backs rank in the 37th percentile in extra-base production, while Peter Lambert sits in the 77th percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · Peter LambertD-backs: 0.338 TB/PAPeter Lambert: 0.284 TB/PA allowed (585 PA)High confidence
Can Eduardo Rodriguez miss enough bats?
Eduardo Rodriguez strikes hitters out at a 17.5% clip (22nd percentile); Astros carry a 21.0% strikeout rate.
Edge · AstrosEduardo Rodriguez: 17.5% K rateAstros: 21.0% K rateHigh confidence
Can Eduardo Rodriguez limit Astros' power?
Astros rank in the 79th percentile in extra-base production, while Eduardo Rodriguez sits in the 53rd percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · AstrosAstros: 0.353 TB/PAEduardo Rodriguez: 0.330 TB/PA allowed (696 PA)High confidence
How do D-backs handle right-handers?
D-backs have produced worse against right-handers this season (0.325 vs. 0.338 TB/PA overall).
Edge · Peter Lambertvs right-handers: 0.325 TB/PA (4043 PA)overall: 0.338 TB/PAModerate confidence
Can Peter Lambert miss enough bats?
Peter Lambert strikes hitters out at a 22.2% clip (57th percentile); D-backs carry a 18.7% strikeout rate.
Edge · D-backsPeter Lambert: 22.2% K rateD-backs: 18.7% K rateHigh confidence

Pitcher Trends

Eduardo Rodriguez
Eduardo Rodriguez
Arizona Diamondbacks · 8 starts
SP
Strikeouts5.0/start
Hits allowed5.9/start
5 or fewer Hits Allowed — 4 of last 64 or fewer Strikeouts — 3 of last 6
18% K rate
Per-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Peter Lambert
Peter Lambert
Houston Astros · 8 starts
SP
Strikeouts5.0/start
Hits allowed5.4/start
5+ Strikeouts — 4 of last 64 or fewer Hits Allowed — 3 of last 6
22% K rate
Per-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.

Player Trends

Lars Nootbaar
Lars Nootbaar
Arizona Diamondbacks · 0.321 hit rate · 0.643 TB/PA
Heating up
recent games · 1+ hit
L53 / 5L106 / 10L2514 / 25
Total bases per PA is up 197% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 8 games.
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
Arizona Diamondbacks · 0.222 hit rate · 0.444 TB/PA
Heating up
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L108 / 10L2517 / 254-game hit streak
On-base rate is up 27% over his prior baseline, with hits in 4 of his last 4 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 6%.
Yainer Diaz
Yainer Diaz
Houston Astros · 0.296 hit rate · 0.481 TB/PA
Heating up
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L108 / 10L2517 / 253-game hit streak
Total bases per PA is up 21% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 7 games.
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
Arizona Diamondbacks · 0.068 hit rate · 0.159 TB/PA
Cooling off
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L103 / 10L2514 / 25
Hit rate is down 68% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 10 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 27%.
Ildemaro Vargas
Ildemaro Vargas
Arizona Diamondbacks · 0.152 hit rate · 0.152 TB/PA
Cooling off
recent games · 1+ hit
L53 / 5L104 / 10L2512 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 58% over his prior baseline, with hits in 4 of his last 9 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 15%.
Max Kepler
Max Kepler
Arizona Diamondbacks · 0.133 hit rate · 0.133 TB/PA
Cooling off
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L106 / 10L2512 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 54% over his prior baseline, with hits in 2 of his last 4 games.

Players Positioned to Succeed

72
Geraldo Perdomo
Geraldo Perdomo
1+ Hit
Arizona Diamondbacks
Why it stands out
Batting 1st, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Recent hit rate has cooled
69
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
1+ Hit
Arizona Diamondbacks
Why it stands out
Batting 2nd, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
67
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
1+ Hit
Houston Astros
Why it stands out
Batting 2nd, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
66
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
1+ Hit
Arizona Diamondbacks
Why it stands out
Batting 3rd, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
66
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
1+ Hit
Houston Astros
Why it stands out
Batting 3rd, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
66
Jeremy Pena
Jeremy Pena
1+ Hit
Houston Astros
Why it stands out
Batting 1st, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Ice cold — 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances

Expected Game Shape

BalancedLow confidence

Competitive profile without a clear stylistic tilt. Astros bring more power.

Early edge Astros Driver No single dominant factor Volatility Moderate
  • Both probable starters grade around the 53rd percentile in combined suppression.
  • D-backs are trending down; Astros are trending down.

Storylines to Watch

Does Astros' power tilt the game?
Astros bring a clearly stronger extra-base profile into this matchup.
D-backs power pct 37 vs Astros 79
Is Lars Nootbaar the one to watch?
Lars Nootbaar enters as D-backs' hottest bat. Total bases per PA is up 197% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 8 games.
0.321 hit rate · 0.643 TB/PA · 0.133 hit rate · 0.217 TB/PA
Can Corbin Carroll snap out of it?
Corbin Carroll has cooled off. Hit rate is down 68% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 10 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 27%.
0.068 hit rate · 0.159 TB/PA · 0.212 hit rate · 0.410 TB/PA
Based on plate appearances before 2026-09-06, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.