New York Yankees
79-60 · 2nd in AL East, 4.5 GB
Bats heating upRHP Cam Schlittler · Elite strikeout stuff · plus control
@
Los Angeles Angels
53-86 · 5th in AL West, 17 GB
Offense cooling latelyLHP Reid Detmers · Elite strikeout stuff
Team Identity
New York Yankees
Season-to-date, 139 games, 5,403 PA.
A power-hitting, patient offense that does damage on extra-base hits, though it can be strikeout-prone. The bats have been heating up lately.
PowerAbove Avg79
ContactWell Below12
Plate DisciplineAbove Avg74
SpeedAbove Avg72
RISPWell Below24
Recent FormTrending Up
Hit rate is up 28% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
Los Angeles Angels
Season-to-date, 139 games, 5,394 PA.
A below-league-average offense across most categories this season. The offense has cooled off recently.
PowerWell Below11
ContactWell Below19
Plate DisciplineBelow Avg33
SpeedAverage48
RISPWell Below14
Recent FormTrending Down
Walk rate is down 13% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
What This Game Is About
Biggest Advantage
Yankees' offense is defined by being power-hitting, and this game tests whether Angels can match it.
Swing Factor
Cam Schlittler strikes hitters out at a 30.3% clip (95th percentile); Angels carry a 24.2% strikeout rate.
Momentum
Yankees are trending up and Angels are trending down over their last 10 games.
Key Matchups
Can Cam Schlittler miss enough bats?
Cam Schlittler strikes hitters out at a 30.3% clip (95th percentile); Angels carry a 24.2% strikeout rate.
Edge · Cam SchlittlerCam Schlittler: 30.3% K rateAngels: 24.2% K rateHigh confidence
Can Reid Detmers miss enough bats?
Reid Detmers strikes hitters out at a 27.1% clip (86th percentile); Yankees carry a 23.5% strikeout rate.
Edge · Reid DetmersReid Detmers: 27.1% K rateYankees: 23.5% K rateHigh confidence
Can Cam Schlittler limit Angels' power?
Angels rank in the 11th percentile in extra-base production, while Cam Schlittler sits in the 76th percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · Cam SchlittlerAngels: 0.320 TB/PACam Schlittler: 0.285 TB/PA allowed (659 PA)High confidence
Can Reid Detmers command the strike zone?
Yankees walk in 9.2% of trips; Reid Detmers allows walks sparingly (6.8%).
Edge · Reid DetmersYankees: 9.2% walk rateReid Detmers: 6.8% walks allowedHigh confidence
Can Cam Schlittler command the strike zone?
Angels walk in 8.0% of trips; Cam Schlittler allows walks sparingly (6.4%).
Edge · Cam SchlittlerAngels: 8.0% walk rateCam Schlittler: 6.4% walks allowedHigh confidence
Pitcher Trends
Cam Schlittler
New York Yankees · 8 starts
Strikeouts8.0/start
Hits allowed3.8/start
6+ Strikeouts — 5 of last 64 or fewer Hits Allowed — 5 of last 6
30% K ratePer-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Reid Detmers
Los Angeles Angels · 8 starts
Strikeouts6.4/start
Hits allowed4.1/start
5+ Strikeouts — 5 of last 64 or fewer Hits Allowed — 4 of last 6
27% K ratePer-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Player Trends
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
New York Yankees · 0.361 hit rate · 0.556 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L53 / 5L108 / 10L2516 / 253-game hit streak
Hit rate is up 94% over his prior baseline, with hits in 7 of his last 9 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 19%.
Amed Rosario
New York Yankees · 0.375 hit rate · 0.375 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L53 / 5L103 / 10L259 / 253-game hit streak
Hit rate is up 86% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 5 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 6%.
Wade Meckler
Los Angeles Angels · 0.348 hit rate · 0.391 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L106 / 10L2518 / 253-game hit streak
On-base rate is up 51% over his prior baseline, with hits in 4 of his last 5 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 13%.
Jose Siri
Los Angeles Angels · 0.067 hit rate · 0.067 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L50 / 5L102 / 10L259 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 84% over his prior baseline, with hits in 1 of his last 9 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 37%.
Denzer Guzman
Los Angeles Angels · 0.069 hit rate · 0.103 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L104 / 10L2513 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 69% over his prior baseline, with hits in 2 of his last 8 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 28%.
Trent Grisham
New York Yankees · 0.065 hit rate · 0.130 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L51 / 5L103 / 10L2512 / 25
Hit rate is down 64% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 10 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 24%.
Players Positioned to Succeed
85
Zach Neto
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Angels
Why it stands out
Batting 1st, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Recent hit rate has cooled
73
Mike Trout
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Angels
Why it stands out
Batting 2nd, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
72
Cody Bellinger
1+ Hit
New York Yankees
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
72
Ben Rice
1+ Hit
New York Yankees
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
70
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
1+ Hit
New York Yankees
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
70
Luis Garcia Jr.
1+ Hit
New York Yankees
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
Expected Game Shape
Starter-drivenModerate confidence
Runs may be at a premium if the starters hold form. Yankees bring stronger recent momentum. Yankees bring more power. Starting pitching is likely to set the tone.
Early edge Yankees Driver Pitching and command Volatility Elevated
- Both probable starters grade around the 78th percentile in combined suppression.
- Yankees are trending up; Angels are trending down.
Storylines to Watch
Does Yankees' power tilt the game?
Yankees bring a clearly stronger extra-base profile into this matchup.
Yankees power pct 79 vs Angels 11
Can Angels handle Cam Schlittler's strikeout stuff?
Angels have been a below-average contact team while Cam Schlittler misses bats at an above-average rate — a swing factor early.
Angels contact percentile: 19
Can Yankees handle Reid Detmers's strikeout stuff?
Yankees have been a below-average contact team while Reid Detmers misses bats at an above-average rate — a swing factor early.
Yankees contact percentile: 12
Based on plate appearances before 2026-09-02, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.