Sports Today Sunday, September 6
← Back to today’s slate MLB matchup · September 6, 2026
Washington Nationals
67-77 · 4th in NL East, 18 GB
Offense cooling lately
LHP Andrew Alvarez · Balanced starter
@
Los Angeles Dodgers
85-57 · 1st in NL West
Offense cooling lately
LHP Justin Wrobleski · Command specialist
MLB · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, hits run 7% below average here · 7:10 PM PT

Team Identity

Washington Nationals
Season-to-date, 144 games, 5,780 PA.
A power-hitting, aggressive offense that does damage on extra-base hits. The offense has cooled off recently.
Power
Elite96
Contact
Average64
Plate Discipline
Below Avg45
Speed
Elite90
RISP
Average47
Recent Form
Trending Down
Total bases per PA is down 5% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Season-to-date, 142 games, 5,579 PA.
A contact-oriented, opportunistic offense that puts the ball in play and avoids empty at-bats, though it can be station-to-station. The offense has cooled off recently.
Power
Above Avg76
Contact
Elite94
Plate Discipline
Elite91
Speed
Below Avg32
RISP
Elite93
Recent Form
Trending Down
Total bases per PA is down 24% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.

What This Game Is About

Biggest Advantage

Dodgers bring the more contact-oriented profile, while Nationals lean on being power-hitting.

Swing Factor

Nationals rank in the 96th percentile in extra-base production, while Justin Wrobleski sits in the 33rd percentile at suppressing total bases.

Momentum

Nationals are trending down and Dodgers are trending down over their last 10 games.

Key Matchups

Can Justin Wrobleski limit Nationals' power?
Nationals rank in the 96th percentile in extra-base production, while Justin Wrobleski sits in the 33rd percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · NationalsNationals: 0.365 TB/PAJustin Wrobleski: 0.365 TB/PA allowed (532 PA)High confidence
Can Andrew Alvarez miss enough bats?
Andrew Alvarez strikes hitters out at a 21.7% clip (52nd percentile); Dodgers carry a 20.0% strikeout rate.
Edge · DodgersAndrew Alvarez: 21.7% K rateDodgers: 20.0% K rateHigh confidence
Can Andrew Alvarez command the strike zone?
Dodgers walk in 9.6% of trips; Andrew Alvarez allows walks at a fairly typical rate (10.4%).
Edge · DodgersDodgers: 9.6% walk rateAndrew Alvarez: 10.4% walks allowedHigh confidence
Can Justin Wrobleski miss enough bats?
Justin Wrobleski strikes hitters out at a 19.5% clip (37th percentile); Nationals carry a 20.8% strikeout rate.
Edge · NationalsJustin Wrobleski: 19.5% K rateNationals: 20.8% K rateHigh confidence
How do Nationals handle left-handers?
Nationals have produced better against left-handers this season (0.373 vs. 0.365 TB/PA overall).
Edge · Nationalsvs left-handers: 0.373 TB/PA (1674 PA)overall: 0.365 TB/PAModerate confidence

Pitcher Trends

Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
Washington Nationals · 8 starts
SP
Strikeouts4.1/start
Hits allowed3.6/start
4 or fewer Hits Allowed — 5 of last 65 or fewer Strikeouts — 4 of last 6
22% K rate
Per-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Justin Wrobleski
Justin Wrobleski
Los Angeles Dodgers · 8 starts
SP
Strikeouts6.2/start
Hits allowed5.9/start
6+ Strikeouts — 4 of last 66+ Hits Allowed — 4 of last 6
20% K rate
Per-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.

Player Trends

Brady House
Brady House
Washington Nationals · 0.312 hit rate · 0.500 TB/PA
Heating up
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L108 / 10L2517 / 254-game hit streak
Hit rate is up 56% over his prior baseline, with hits in 7 of his last 8 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 12%.
Daylen Lile
Daylen Lile
Washington Nationals · 0.250 hit rate · 0.545 TB/PA
Heating up
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L106 / 10L2515 / 25
Total bases per PA is up 47% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 14%.
Keibert Ruiz
Keibert Ruiz
Washington Nationals · 0.389 hit rate · 0.667 TB/PA
Heating up
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L107 / 10L2517 / 25
Total bases per PA is up 70% over his prior baseline, with hits in 4 of his last 5 games.
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
Washington Nationals · 0.098 hit rate · 0.098 TB/PA
Cooling off
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L103 / 10L2513 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 78% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 9 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 37%.
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani
Los Angeles Dodgers · 0.118 hit rate · 0.147 TB/PA
Cooling off
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L104 / 10L2514 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 67% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 7 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 35%.
Max Muncy
Max Muncy
Los Angeles Dodgers · 0.033 hit rate · 0.033 TB/PA
Cooling off
recent games · 1+ hit
L51 / 5L102 / 10L2511 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 92% over his prior baseline, with hits in 1 of his last 8 games.

Players Positioned to Succeed

78
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
77
Teoscar Hernandez
Teoscar Hernandez
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
75
Tommy Edman
Tommy Edman
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
74
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
72
Daylen Lile
Daylen Lile
1+ Hit
Washington Nationals
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Recent hit rate has cooled
71
Luis Garcia Jr.
Luis Garcia Jr.
1+ Hit
Washington Nationals
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted

Expected Game Shape

Power-orientedModerate confidence

Both lineups can change the game with one swing. Nationals bring more power.

Early edge Dodgers Driver Extra-base damage Volatility Moderate
  • Both probable starters grade around the 53rd percentile in combined suppression.
  • Nationals are trending down; Dodgers are trending down.

Storylines to Watch

Can CJ Abrams snap out of it?
CJ Abrams has cooled off. Total bases per PA is down 78% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 9 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 37%.
0.098 hit rate · 0.098 TB/PA · 0.234 hit rate · 0.448 TB/PA
Is Brady House the one to watch?
Brady House enters as Nationals' hottest bat. Hit rate is up 56% over his prior baseline, with hits in 7 of his last 8 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 12%.
0.312 hit rate · 0.500 TB/PA · 0.201 hit rate · 0.335 TB/PA
Based on plate appearances before 2026-09-06, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.