Toronto Tempo
11-28
7:00 PM PT
Phoenix Mercury
13-26
Marina Mabrey
20.8 PPG · 3.3 REB · 3.7 AST
Alyssa Thomas
14.5 PPG · 7.7 REB · 8.3 AST
Game Script
Expect a balanced, competitive matchup. Tempo (86.5 PPG) meet Mercury (83.7 PPG), with points likely on both ends.
The game likely turns on scoring environment: Tempo have averaged 180 combined points a game, Mercury 171. A higher-scoring environment favors Tempo.
Game Snapshot
Toronto Tempo
Last 51-4LLWLL
StreakL2
L5 scoring83.0points/game
L5 defense90.2allowed/game
Home7-13Road 4-15
Rest3dsince last game
Series1-12 played
Phoenix Mercury
Last 51-4WLLLL
StreakL4
L5 scoring85.0points/game
L5 defense89.6allowed/game
Home5-14Road 8-12
Rest2dsince last game
Series1-12 played
Team Identity
Toronto Tempo
Transition teamThree-point shooting
A transition game and a three-point attack, though hampered by little interior scoring.
EliteBelow Avg39
Defensive DWell Below22
Three-point shootingAbove Avg67
TransitionAbove Avg83
Paint-firstWell Below17
Ball movementBelow Avg33
ReboundingBelow Avg33
Rim protectionWell Below22
Phoenix Mercury
A balanced team without a defining strength or glaring weakness.
EliteBelow Avg33
Defensive DAverage56
Three-point shootingBelow Avg36
TransitionBelow Avg33
Paint-firstBelow Avg39
Ball movementBelow Avg39
ReboundingBelow Avg39
Rim protectionBelow Avg33
Where the Game Will Be Won
Scoring Environment
Tempo have averaged 180 combined points a game, Mercury 171. A higher-scoring environment favors Tempo.
Edge · TempoTempo: 180 combined pts/gm (83rd pct)Mercury: 171 combined pts/gm (33rd pct)High confidence
Paint
Tempo score 20.2 two-point makes a game; Mercury protect the rim with 3.3 blocks. Interior control leans Mercury.
Edge · MercuryTempo: 20.2 2PT makesMercury: 3.3 blocks/gmHigh confidence
Turnovers
Tempo average 13.7 turnovers, Mercury 13.1; steals (6.9 vs 7.3) add pressure. Ball security favors Mercury.
Edge · MercuryTempo: 13.7 TO / 6.9 STLMercury: 13.1 TO / 7.3 STLHigh confidence
Rebounding
Tempo carry a -2.9 rebound margin, Mercury -2.7. Second-chance control leans Mercury.
Edge · MercuryTempo: -2.9 margin, 8.5 OREBMercury: -2.7 margin, 6.8 OREBHigh confidence
Perimeter
Tempo shoot 35% from three (9.7/gm); Mercury allow 36%. The three-point battle tilts toward Tempo.
Edge · TempoTempo: 9.7 3PM at 35%Mercury allow 36% on threesHigh confidence
Players Who Shape Tonight
Marina Mabrey
Toronto Tempo · G
20.8 PPG · 3.3 REB · 3.7 AST · 29 MIN
As Toronto Tempo's primary scorer, Mabrey sets the tone for how they attack. Holding steady
Brittney Sykes
Toronto Tempo · G
18.0 PPG · 3.3 REB · 3.2 AST · 29 MIN
As Toronto Tempo's primary scorer, Sykes sets the tone for how they attack. Holding steady
Alyssa Thomas
Phoenix Mercury · F
14.5 PPG · 7.7 REB · 8.3 AST · 34 MIN
As Phoenix Mercury's primary creator, Thomas sets the tone for how they attack. Holding steady
Kahleah Copper
Phoenix Mercury · G
21.3 PPG · 3.6 REB · 1.9 AST · 33 MIN
As Phoenix Mercury's primary scorer, Copper sets the tone for how they attack. Holding steady
Trending Players
Kia Nurse
Toronto Tempo
9.0 points over his last 5 (from 4.8).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 9.0p 2.0r 2.2aSeason: 4.8p 12.3 min
Kiki Rice
Toronto Tempo
17.2 points over his last 5 (from 11.2).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 17.2p 2.4r 4.4aSeason: 11.2p 25.5 min
Sami Whitcomb
Phoenix Mercury
Minutes up to 22.2 from 14.2.
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 5.6p 1.8r 3.0aSeason: 4.0p 14.2 min
Jovana Nogic
Phoenix Mercury
4.6 points over his last 5 (from 11.0).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 4.6p 0.6r 0.4aSeason: 11.0p 20.7 min
Julie Allemand
Toronto Tempo
4.0 points over his last 5 (from 6.6).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 4.0p 3.0r 4.0aSeason: 6.6p 29.0 min
Maria Conde
Toronto Tempo
4.0 points over his last 5 (from 9.0).
Double figures (10+ pts)
L5: 4.0p 4.0r 4.0aSeason: 9.0p 27.2 min
Team Trends
Toronto TempoPoints78
Opp points90
3PT%15%
Rebounds43
Phoenix MercuryPoints73
Opp points80
3PT%29%
Rebounds29
Strongest Player Opportunities
100
Alyssa Thomas
7+ Assists
Phoenix Mercury
Why it stands out
32.6 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
100
Kahleah Copper
15+ Points
Phoenix Mercury
Why it stands out
34.2 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
100
DeWanna Bonner
6+ Rebounds
Phoenix Mercury
Why it stands out
28.6 minutes per game over the last 5
Main risk
Recent production is below the 10-game baseline
100
Isabelle Harrison
6+ Rebounds
Toronto Tempo
Why it stands out
Usable recent role at 26.4 minutes
Main risk
Minutes have been volatile
100
Alyssa Thomas
8+ Rebounds
Phoenix Mercury
Why it stands out
32.6 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
100
Marina Mabrey
20+ Points
Toronto Tempo
Why it stands out
30.0 minutes per game over the last 5
No notable risk
Based on games before 2026-08-29. Injuries, confirmed starters, rest/travel, and advanced ratings (pace, offensive/defensive rating) are not yet included.