Preseason · Wk 4 · 2026-08-29
Chicago Bears
12-6 in 2025
at
Tennessee Titans
3-14 in 2025
Built from the full 2025 season — the 2026 feed has no played games yet.
The read
- Bears: strong offense (26 pts/g) vs Titans' weak defense (28 allowed).
- Titans: weak offense (17 pts/g) vs Bears' weak defense (25 allowed).
- Watch: Bears' run game should test Titans; Bears own the turnover battle.
Team identity (entering this game · league %ile)
Chicago BearsTeam identityTennessee Titans
26.2 75thPoints / game9th 16.7
24.6 31thPoints allowed / game16th 28.1
5.7 75thYards / play6th 4.4
141.3 94thRush yards / game9th 93.5
241.8 78thPass yards / game12th 190.6
43% 3rd-down % 32%
1.1 100thTurnover margin / game25th -0.3
Battlefields
Bears pass offense vs Titans pass defense
241.8 yds/g vs 248.3 allowedEven
Bears rush offense vs Titans rush defense
141.3 yds/g vs 114.6 allowedEdge Bears
Titans pass offense vs Bears pass defense
190.6 yds/g vs 243.9 allowedEdge Bears
Titans rush offense vs Bears rush defense
93.5 yds/g vs 132.6 allowedEdge Bears
Player spotlights (pick from prior games · matchup effect is measured, and only flagged where it is real)
Bears
Caleb WilliamsQB
200+ Pass Yards
238.7 avg · cleared 70% (7/10)
Tough matchup-27 yds
Players lose 27 yards against their own form facing this pass defence, 6th-toughest pass defence of 32
D'Andre SwiftRB
50+ Rush Yards
67.7 avg · cleared 80% (8/10)
Rome OdunzeWR
40+ Rec Yards
47.8 avg · cleared 60% (6/10)
Matchup not a factor
Colston LovelandTE
40+ Rec Yards
61.6 avg · cleared 70% (7/10)
Matchup not a factor
Titans
Tony PollardRB
50+ Rush Yards
70.2 avg · cleared 60% (6/10)
Receivers carry no matchup call: across three ingested seasons the gap between the softest and toughest defences is about 2 receiving yards, against a 35-yard game-to-game swing. We measured it rather than assuming it.
Recent form
WWLLW
27.6 for · 21.4 against (last 5)
WLWLL
22.8 for · 30.0 against (last 5)
Preview uses only games already played. Weather, injuries, and rest are not modeled yet.