Baltimore OriolesOffense cooling lately
RHP Chris Bassitt · Pitches to contact
@
AthleticsSteady at the plate
LHP Jeffrey Springs · Pitches to contact
Team Identity
Baltimore Orioles
Season-to-date, 136 games, 5,294 PA.
A patient offense that works counts and draws walks, though it can be station-to-station. The offense has cooled off recently.
PowerAverage54
ContactBelow Avg27
Plate DisciplineElite90
SpeedWell Below24
RISPAverage62
Recent FormTrending Down
Walk rate is down 34% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
Athletics
Season-to-date, 136 games, 5,317 PA.
An opportunistic offense that cashes in scoring chances, though it can be station-to-station.
PowerAverage58
ContactAverage65
Plate DisciplineBelow Avg41
SpeedBelow Avg27
RISPAbove Avg71
Recent FormHolding Steady
Recent underlying offense is roughly in line with its season baseline.
What This Game Is About
Biggest Advantage
Athletics bring the more opportunistic profile, while Orioles lean on being patient.
Swing Factor
Chris Bassitt strikes hitters out at a 14.7% clip (8th percentile); Athletics carry a 21.8% strikeout rate.
Momentum
Orioles are trending down and Athletics are holding steady over their last 10 games.
Key Matchups
Can Chris Bassitt miss enough bats?
Chris Bassitt strikes hitters out at a 14.7% clip (8th percentile); Athletics carry a 21.8% strikeout rate.
Edge · AthleticsChris Bassitt: 14.7% K rateAthletics: 21.8% K rateHigh confidence
Can Jeffrey Springs miss enough bats?
Jeffrey Springs strikes hitters out at a 17.0% clip (18th percentile); Orioles carry a 23.6% strikeout rate.
Edge · OriolesJeffrey Springs: 17.0% K rateOrioles: 23.6% K rateHigh confidence
Can Jeffrey Springs limit Orioles' power?
Orioles rank in the 54th percentile in extra-base production, while Jeffrey Springs sits in the 4th percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · OriolesOrioles: 0.340 TB/PAJeffrey Springs: 0.459 TB/PA allowed (540 PA)High confidence
Can Jeffrey Springs command the strike zone?
Orioles walk in 9.6% of trips; Jeffrey Springs allows walks at a fairly typical rate (9.1%).
Edge · OriolesOrioles: 9.6% walk rateJeffrey Springs: 9.1% walks allowedHigh confidence
Can Chris Bassitt limit Athletics' power?
Athletics rank in the 58th percentile in extra-base production, while Chris Bassitt sits in the 29th percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · AthleticsAthletics: 0.348 TB/PAChris Bassitt: 0.369 TB/PA allowed (347 PA)High confidence
Pitcher Trends
Chris Bassitt
Baltimore Orioles · 8 starts
Strikeouts3.9/start
Hits allowed6.0/start
6+ Hits Allowed — 4 of last 64 or fewer Strikeouts — 4 of last 6
15% K ratePer-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Jeffrey Springs
Athletics · 8 starts
Strikeouts2.5/start
Hits allowed5.4/start
4 or fewer Strikeouts — 6 of last 66 or fewer Hits Allowed — 5 of last 6
17% K ratePer-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Player Trends
Dylan Beavers
Baltimore Orioles · 0.270 hit rate · 0.595 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L108 / 10L2516 / 252-game hit streak
Total bases per PA is up 100% over his prior baseline, with hits in 8 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 22%.
Colton Cowser
Baltimore Orioles · 0.310 hit rate · 0.586 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L55 / 5L106 / 10L2514 / 256-game hit streak
Total bases per PA is up 98% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 8 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 17%.
Lawrence Butler
Athletics · 0.304 hit rate · 0.413 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L55 / 5L109 / 10L2519 / 257-game hit streak
On-base rate is up 71% over his prior baseline, with hits in 9 of his last 10 games.
Zack Gelof
Athletics · 0.130 hit rate · 0.152 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L53 / 5L104 / 10L2513 / 252-game hit streak
Total bases per PA is down 65% over his prior baseline, with hits in 4 of his last 10 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 28%.
Samuel Basallo
Baltimore Orioles · 0.121 hit rate · 0.212 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L51 / 5L103 / 10L2511 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 46% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 9 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 33%.
Jackson Holliday
Baltimore Orioles · 0.170 hit rate · 0.213 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L53 / 5L105 / 10L2512 / 25
On-base rate is down 41% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 10 games.
Players Positioned to Succeed
80
Lawrence Butler
1+ Hit
Athletics
Why it stands out
Batting 4th, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
77
Henry Bolte
1+ Hit
Athletics
Why it stands out
Batting 1st, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
74
Pete Alonso
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Batting 2nd, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Recent hit rate has cooled
72
Adley Rutschman
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Batting 5th, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Ice cold — 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
72
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Batting 5th, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
70
Blaze Alexander
1+ Hit
Baltimore Orioles
Why it stands out
Batting 1st, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
Expected Game Shape
BalancedLow confidence
Competitive profile without a clear stylistic tilt.
Early edge Orioles Driver No single dominant factor Volatility Moderate
- Both probable starters grade around the 24th percentile in combined suppression.
- Orioles are trending down; Athletics are trending steady.
Storylines to Watch
Is Dylan Beavers the one to watch?
Dylan Beavers enters as Orioles' hottest bat. Total bases per PA is up 100% over his prior baseline, with hits in 8 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 22%.
0.270 hit rate · 0.595 TB/PA · 0.208 hit rate · 0.297 TB/PA
Can Zack Gelof snap out of it?
Zack Gelof has cooled off. Total bases per PA is down 65% over his prior baseline, with hits in 4 of his last 10 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 28%.
0.130 hit rate · 0.152 TB/PA · 0.243 hit rate · 0.435 TB/PA
Based on plate appearances before 2026-08-30, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.