Colorado RockiesOffense cooling lately
RHP Ryan Feltner · Pitches to contact
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Atlanta BravesOffense cooling lately
LHP Martín Pérez · Pitches to contact
Team Identity
Colorado Rockies
Season-to-date, 135 games, 5,330 PA.
An opportunistic, power-hitting offense that cashes in scoring chances, though it can be free-swinging. The offense has cooled off recently.
PowerAbove Avg73
ContactAbove Avg73
Plate DisciplineBelow Avg27
SpeedAverage48
RISPAbove Avg76
Recent FormTrending Down
Total bases per PA is down 8% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
Atlanta Braves
Season-to-date, 135 games, 5,219 PA.
A power-hitting, opportunistic offense that does damage on extra-base hits, though it can be free-swinging. The offense has cooled off recently.
PowerElite86
ContactAverage63
Plate DisciplineBelow Avg28
SpeedBelow Avg42
RISPAbove Avg70
Recent FormTrending Down
Total bases per PA is down 12% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
What This Game Is About
Biggest Advantage
Braves bring the more power-hitting profile, while Rockies lean on being opportunistic.
Swing Factor
Braves rank in the 86th percentile in extra-base production, while Ryan Feltner sits in the 6th percentile at suppressing total bases.
Momentum
Rockies are trending down and Braves are trending down over their last 10 games.
Key Matchups
Can Ryan Feltner limit Braves' power?
Braves rank in the 86th percentile in extra-base production, while Ryan Feltner sits in the 6th percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · BravesBraves: 0.361 TB/PARyan Feltner: 0.440 TB/PA allowed (457 PA)High confidence
Can Ryan Feltner miss enough bats?
Ryan Feltner strikes hitters out at a 15.3% clip (11th percentile); Braves carry a 20.9% strikeout rate.
Edge · BravesRyan Feltner: 15.3% K rateBraves: 20.9% K rateHigh confidence
Can Martín Pérez miss enough bats?
Martín Pérez strikes hitters out at a 17.8% clip (24th percentile); Rockies carry a 21.9% strikeout rate.
Edge · RockiesMartín Pérez: 17.8% K rateRockies: 21.9% K rateHigh confidence
Can Martín Pérez command the strike zone?
Rockies walk in 8.2% of trips; Martín Pérez allows walks at a fairly typical rate (10.1%).
Edge · Martín PérezRockies: 8.2% walk rateMartín Pérez: 10.1% walks allowedHigh confidence
Can Ryan Feltner command the strike zone?
Braves walk in 7.5% of trips; Ryan Feltner allows walks at a fairly typical rate (9.4%).
Edge · Ryan FeltnerBraves: 7.5% walk rateRyan Feltner: 9.4% walks allowedHigh confidence
Pitcher Trends
Ryan Feltner
Colorado Rockies · 8 starts
Strikeouts3.2/start
Hits allowed6.9/start
6+ Hits Allowed — 5 of last 64 or fewer Strikeouts — 5 of last 6
15% K ratePer-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Martin Perez
Atlanta Braves · 8 starts
Strikeouts2.8/start
Hits allowed4.8/start
4 or fewer Strikeouts — 5 of last 64 or fewer Hits Allowed — 4 of last 6
18% K ratePer-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Player Trends
Hunter Goodman
Colorado Rockies · 0.353 hit rate · 0.706 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L53 / 5L106 / 10L2514 / 25
Hit rate is up 62% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 4 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 18%.
Mauricio Dubon
Atlanta Braves · 0.378 hit rate · 0.405 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L108 / 10L2517 / 25
Hit rate is up 63% over his prior baseline, with hits in 8 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 3%.
Troy Johnston
Colorado Rockies · 0.273 hit rate · 0.500 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L53 / 5L107 / 10L2513 / 25
Total bases per PA is up 48% over his prior baseline, with hits in 4 of his last 7 games.
Cole Carrigg
Colorado Rockies · 0.136 hit rate · 0.250 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L105 / 10L2515 / 25
On-base rate is down 43% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 9 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 32%.
Matt Olson
Atlanta Braves · 0.159 hit rate · 0.250 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L53 / 5L106 / 10L2517 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 48% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 10 games.
Brett Sullivan
Colorado Rockies · 0.100 hit rate · 0.150 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L105 / 10L2514 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 63% over his prior baseline, with hits in 2 of his last 6 games.
Players Positioned to Succeed
75
Drake Baldwin
1+ Hit
Atlanta Braves
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
72
Michael Harris II
1+ Hit
Atlanta Braves
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Recent hit rate has cooled
72
Jake McCarthy
1+ Hit
Colorado Rockies
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
69
Ozzie Albies
1+ Hit
Atlanta Braves
Why it stands out
Recent contact results are improving
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
69
TJ Rumfield
1+ Hit
Colorado Rockies
Why it stands out
Strong recent plate-appearance volume
Main risk
Lineup not yet posted
66
Willi Castro
1+ Hit
Colorado Rockies
Why it stands out
Low recent strikeout rate
Main risk
Recent hit rate has cooled
Expected Game Shape
Power-orientedModerate confidence
Both lineups can change the game with one swing. Braves bring more power.
Early edge Braves Driver Extra-base damage Volatility Moderate
- Both probable starters grade around the 32nd percentile in combined suppression.
- Rockies are trending down; Braves are trending down.
Storylines to Watch
Is Hunter Goodman the one to watch?
Hunter Goodman enters as Rockies' hottest bat. Hit rate is up 62% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 4 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 18%.
0.353 hit rate · 0.706 TB/PA · 0.218 hit rate · 0.470 TB/PA
Can Cole Carrigg snap out of it?
Cole Carrigg has cooled off. On-base rate is down 43% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 9 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 32%.
0.136 hit rate · 0.250 TB/PA · 0.238 hit rate · 0.396 TB/PA
Based on plate appearances before 2026-08-29, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.