Los Angeles DodgersOffense cooling lately
RHP Tyler Glasnow · Elite strikeout stuff
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Detroit TigersOffense cooling lately
LHP Framber Valdez · Pitches to contact
Team Identity
Los Angeles Dodgers
Season-to-date, 136 games, 5,326 PA.
An opportunistic, contact-oriented offense that cashes in scoring chances, though it can be station-to-station. The offense has cooled off recently.
PowerAbove Avg81
ContactElite95
Plate DisciplineElite90
SpeedBelow Avg25
RISPElite98
Recent FormTrending Down
Total bases per PA is down 24% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
Detroit Tigers
Season-to-date, 135 games, 5,258 PA.
A patient offense that works counts and draws walks, though it can be station-to-station. The offense has cooled off recently.
PowerAverage57
ContactBelow Avg37
Plate DisciplineAbove Avg70
SpeedWell Below7
RISPBelow Avg28
Recent FormTrending Down
Total bases per PA is down 29% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
What This Game Is About
Biggest Advantage
Tigers bring the more patient profile, while Dodgers lean on being opportunistic.
Swing Factor
Framber Valdez strikes hitters out at a 16.9% clip (17th percentile); Dodgers carry a 20.0% strikeout rate.
Momentum
Dodgers are trending down and Tigers are trending down over their last 10 games.
Key Matchups
Can Framber Valdez miss enough bats?
Framber Valdez strikes hitters out at a 16.9% clip (17th percentile); Dodgers carry a 20.0% strikeout rate.
Edge · DodgersFramber Valdez: 16.9% K rateDodgers: 20.0% K rateHigh confidence
Can Tyler Glasnow miss enough bats?
Tyler Glasnow strikes hitters out at a 31.3% clip (97th percentile); Tigers carry a 22.0% strikeout rate.
Edge · Tyler GlasnowTyler Glasnow: 31.3% K rateTigers: 22.0% K rateModerate confidence
Can Framber Valdez command the strike zone?
Dodgers walk in 9.5% of trips; Framber Valdez allows walks at a fairly typical rate (8.5%).
Edge · DodgersDodgers: 9.5% walk rateFramber Valdez: 8.5% walks allowedHigh confidence
Can Tyler Glasnow limit Tigers' power?
Tigers rank in the 57th percentile in extra-base production, while Tyler Glasnow sits in the 85th percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · Tyler GlasnowTigers: 0.345 TB/PATyler Glasnow: 0.268 TB/PA allowed (179 PA)Moderate confidence
Can Framber Valdez limit Dodgers' power?
Dodgers rank in the 81st percentile in extra-base production, while Framber Valdez sits in the 54th percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · DodgersDodgers: 0.363 TB/PAFramber Valdez: 0.329 TB/PA allowed (656 PA)High confidence
Pitcher Trends
Tyler Glasnow
Los Angeles Dodgers · 7 starts
Strikeouts7.7/start
Hits allowed3.6/start
7+ Strikeouts — 6 of last 64 or fewer Hits Allowed — 4 of last 6
31% K ratePer-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Framber Valdez
Detroit Tigers · 8 starts
Strikeouts4.1/start
Hits allowed5.6/start
5 or fewer Strikeouts — 5 of last 65 or fewer Hits Allowed — 3 of last 6
17% K ratePer-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Player Trends
Mookie Betts
Los Angeles Dodgers · 0.239 hit rate · 0.326 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L55 / 5L108 / 10L2516 / 256-game hit streak
On-base rate is up 30% over his prior baseline, with hits in 8 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 7%.
Tommy Edman
Los Angeles Dodgers · 0.220 hit rate · 0.366 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L107 / 10L2513 / 252-game hit streak
On-base rate is up 19% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 9 games.
Javier Baez
Detroit Tigers · 0.227 hit rate · 0.455 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L105 / 10L2514 / 25
Total bases per PA is up 34% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 7 games.
Eduardo Valencia
Detroit Tigers · 0.130 hit rate · 0.174 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L53 / 5L105 / 10L2515 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 78% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 7 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 35%.
Ben Malgeri
Detroit Tigers · 0.059 hit rate · 0.059 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L51 / 5L102 / 10L259 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 84% over his prior baseline, with hits in 1 of his last 6 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 41%.
Dillon Dingler
Detroit Tigers · 0.147 hit rate · 0.147 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L106 / 10L2514 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 66% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 9 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 29%.
Players Positioned to Succeed
79
Freddie Freeman
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Batting 4th, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
74
Mookie Betts
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Batting 3rd, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
73
Gleyber Torres
1+ Hit
Detroit Tigers
Why it stands out
Batting 1st, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
72
Kevin McGonigle
1+ Hit
Detroit Tigers
Why it stands out
Batting 3rd, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Ice cold — 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
71
Shohei Ohtani
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Batting 1st, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Elevated recent strikeout rate
67
Tommy Edman
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Batting 2nd, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
Expected Game Shape
Power-orientedModerate confidence
Both lineups can change the game with one swing. Dodgers bring more power. Starting pitching is likely to set the tone.
Early edge Dodgers Driver Extra-base damage Volatility Moderate
- Both probable starters grade around the 62nd percentile in combined suppression.
- Dodgers are trending down; Tigers are trending down.
Storylines to Watch
Can Tigers handle Tyler Glasnow's strikeout stuff?
Tigers have been a below-average contact team while Tyler Glasnow misses bats at an above-average rate — a swing factor early.
Tigers contact percentile: 37
Can Eduardo Valencia snap out of it?
Eduardo Valencia has cooled off. Total bases per PA is down 78% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 7 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 35%.
0.130 hit rate · 0.174 TB/PA · 0.368 hit rate · 0.789 TB/PA
Is Mookie Betts the one to watch?
Mookie Betts enters as Dodgers' hottest bat. On-base rate is up 30% over his prior baseline, with hits in 8 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 7%.
0.239 hit rate · 0.326 TB/PA · 0.213 hit rate · 0.367 TB/PA
Based on plate appearances before 2026-08-30, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.