Los Angeles DodgersOffense cooling lately
Blake Snell
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Detroit TigersOffense cooling lately
RHP Keider Montero · Pitches to contact
Team Identity
Los Angeles Dodgers
Season-to-date, 135 games, 5,292 PA.
An opportunistic, contact-oriented offense that cashes in scoring chances, though it can be station-to-station. The offense has cooled off recently.
PowerAbove Avg80
ContactElite97
Plate DisciplineElite90
SpeedBelow Avg25
RISPElite98
Recent FormTrending Down
Total bases per PA is down 14% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
Detroit Tigers
Season-to-date, 134 games, 5,217 PA.
A patient offense that works counts and draws walks, though it can be station-to-station. The offense has cooled off recently.
PowerAverage58
ContactBelow Avg37
Plate DisciplineAbove Avg71
SpeedWell Below3
RISPBelow Avg28
Recent FormTrending Down
Total bases per PA is down 24% over the team's last 10 games versus its season baseline.
What This Game Is About
Biggest Advantage
Tigers bring the more patient profile, while Dodgers lean on being opportunistic.
Swing Factor
Keider Montero strikes hitters out at a 16.5% clip (15th percentile); Dodgers carry a 20.0% strikeout rate.
Momentum
Dodgers are trending down and Tigers are trending down over their last 10 games.
Key Matchups
Can Keider Montero miss enough bats?
Keider Montero strikes hitters out at a 16.5% clip (15th percentile); Dodgers carry a 20.0% strikeout rate.
Edge · DodgersKeider Montero: 16.5% K rateDodgers: 20.0% K rateHigh confidence
Can Keider Montero command the strike zone?
Dodgers walk in 9.5% of trips; Keider Montero allows walks sparingly (5.6%).
Edge · Keider MonteroDodgers: 9.5% walk rateKeider Montero: 5.6% walks allowedHigh confidence
Can Keider Montero limit Dodgers' power?
Dodgers rank in the 80th percentile in extra-base production, while Keider Montero sits in the 62nd percentile at suppressing total bases.
Edge · DodgersDodgers: 0.364 TB/PAKeider Montero: 0.313 TB/PA allowed (540 PA)High confidence
How do Dodgers handle right-handers?
Dodgers have produced better against right-handers this season (0.364 vs. 0.364 TB/PA overall).
Edge · Dodgersvs right-handers: 0.364 TB/PA (3685 PA)overall: 0.364 TB/PAModerate confidence
Pitcher Trends
Blake Snell
Los Angeles Dodgers · 4 starts
Strikeouts6.5/start
Hits allowed3.2/start
5+ Strikeouts — 4 of last 44 or fewer Hits Allowed — 3 of last 4
27% K ratePer-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Keider Montero
Detroit Tigers · 8 starts
Strikeouts3.1/start
Hits allowed4.6/start
4 or fewer Hits Allowed — 4 of last 64 or fewer Strikeouts — 4 of last 6
16% K ratePer-start form only — opponent lineup, park, and pitch count aren't modeled.
Player Trends
Hao-Yu Lee
Detroit Tigers · 0.237 hit rate · 0.342 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L52 / 5L106 / 10L2514 / 25
On-base rate is up 27% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 13%.
Mookie Betts
Los Angeles Dodgers · 0.234 hit rate · 0.340 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L55 / 5L108 / 10L2515 / 255-game hit streak
On-base rate is up 27% over his prior baseline, with hits in 8 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 6%.
Andy Pages
Los Angeles Dodgers · 0.294 hit rate · 0.353 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L107 / 10L2519 / 25
On-base rate is up 25% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 4 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 12%.
Eduardo Valencia
Detroit Tigers · 0.158 hit rate · 0.211 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L53 / 5L106 / 10L2515 / 243-game hit streak
Total bases per PA is down 73% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 6 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 37%.
Ben Malgeri
Detroit Tigers · 0.062 hit rate · 0.062 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L51 / 5L103 / 10L2510 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 83% over his prior baseline, with hits in 1 of his last 6 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 38%.
Dillon Dingler
Detroit Tigers · 0.135 hit rate · 0.135 TB/PA
recent games · 1+ hit
L54 / 5L106 / 10L2514 / 25
Total bases per PA is down 69% over his prior baseline, with hits in 5 of his last 9 games.
Players Positioned to Succeed
80
Freddie Freeman
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Batting 2nd, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
74
Mookie Betts
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Batting 3rd, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
72
Gleyber Torres
1+ Hit
Detroit Tigers
Why it stands out
Batting 1st, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Recent hit rate has cooled
71
Shohei Ohtani
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Batting 1st, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Ice cold — 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
66
Max Muncy
1+ Hit
Los Angeles Dodgers
Why it stands out
Batting 4th, confirmed lineup
No notable risk
64
Kevin McGonigle
1+ Hit
Detroit Tigers
Why it stands out
Batting 3rd, confirmed lineup
Main risk
Ice cold — 3 hits in the last 25 plate appearances
Expected Game Shape
UncertainLow confidence
Probable-starter data is incomplete, so the shape is hard to call. Dodgers bring more power.
Early edge Dodgers Driver Unclear without matched starters Volatility Moderate
- At least one probable starter could not be matched to stored data.
- Dodgers are trending down; Tigers are trending down.
Storylines to Watch
Can Eduardo Valencia snap out of it?
Eduardo Valencia has cooled off. Total bases per PA is down 73% over his prior baseline, with hits in 3 of his last 6 games. His strikeout rate has climbed to 37%.
0.158 hit rate · 0.211 TB/PA · 0.368 hit rate · 0.789 TB/PA
Is Hao-Yu Lee the one to watch?
Hao-Yu Lee enters as Tigers' hottest bat. On-base rate is up 27% over his prior baseline, with hits in 6 of his last 10 games. He has trimmed his strikeout rate to 13%.
0.237 hit rate · 0.342 TB/PA · 0.244 hit rate · 0.385 TB/PA
Based on plate appearances before 2026-08-29, with today's posted lineups when available. Injuries, weather, bullpen availability, and park factors are not yet included.